Bitcoin Coil
- Experts
-
Kenichiro Sakamoto
I'm Kenichiro Sakamoto, the developer behind FXEA365 — a studio building transparent, rule-based Expert Advisors for MetaTrader 5. - Version: 1.70
- Updated: 16 July 2026
- Activations: 10
BITCOIN COIL — BTCUSD H4 Volatility-Compression (Squeeze) Breakout
BITCOIN COIL is a squeeze-breakout Expert Advisor for Bitcoin (BTCUSD, H4). It waits for a volatility compression — Bollinger Bands contracting inside the Keltner Channel — and enters ONLY on the expansion that follows, in the direction of the trend. This is a different engine from a Donchian trend follower: COIL stays flat during chop and fires only when a genuine compression releases, aiming for fewer but higher-quality trades. Every trade carries a hard ATR stop-loss, so a single trade's loss is bounded — no grid, no martingale, one position at a time, long-only.
HOW IT WORKS
1) Squeeze: Bollinger Bands (20, 2.0) sit inside the Keltner Channel (20, 1.5x ATR) — a low-volatility compression.
2) Release: on the closed bar where the bands expand back outside the Keltner Channel, it enters in the direction of recent momentum.
BACKTEST (MT5 Strategy Tester, M1 every-tick modelling, $10,000, v1.60 default settings): BTCUSD H4 2018-2026.06: +382% / Profit Factor 4.14 / balance drawdown 4.8% (equity 8.6%) / 57 trades / win rate 47% / Sharpe 3.5. Yearly: 2019 +4 | 2020 +61 | 2021 +2 | 2022 -6 | 2023 +58 | 2024 +73 | 2025 +14 | 2026 YTD -2 percent (worst year about -6%). The v1.60 configuration was found by genetic walk-forward optimization: parameters were optimized ONLY on 2018-2023 and then validated untouched on 2024-2026.06 (forward-window Profit Factor 5.2). Data note: BTC real ticks exist only from 2026 - earlier years use MT5's every-tick modelling from M1 bars; on the 2026 real-tick portion the EA has made 2 trades at -2.2% so far. Historical backtests do not guarantee future results.
4) Protection: a hard stop-loss (2x ATR) on every trade plus an ATR trailing stop (2.5x). No averaging, no grid. Free-margin check and lot normalization before every order.
REAL MT5 BACKTEST (Exness BTCUSD, H4, every-tick, $10,000, fixed-risk 2%)
- Period: about 8 years (2018-2025)
- Maximum balance drawdown: about 16.6 percent
- Trades: 76, win rate 51.3%, Sharpe 2.11
Year by year (Exness, $10k reset each year, every year shown honestly):
Being long-only, the 2022 crypto bear was the one clearly losing year, and it was contained at -6% — the hard stop caps every losing trade, so there was no blow-up. Backtest results do not guarantee future performance.
Being long-only, the 2022 crypto bear was the one clearly losing year, and it was contained at -6% — the hard stop caps every losing trade, so there was no blow-up. Backtest results do not guarantee future performance.
RISK MODES (RunMode input — same EA)
- Run modes: Defensive (x0.5) / Standard (x1.0, published figures) / Aggressive (x2.0) — returns and drawdowns scale roughly proportionally with risk.
WHO IT IS FOR
Traders who want a selective, higher-profit-factor Bitcoin system that trades only on genuine volatility breakouts rather than constantly. It stands aside in long downtrends (long-only), so flat or negative years are possible. Use risk capital only and start on demo first. For a steadier ride keep RunMode on Defensive or Standard.
SUPPORT
Please use the built-in chat / product comments for questions. Updates are published through the Market and delivered automatically.
