Employing Game Theory Approaches in Trading Algorithms
We are creating an adaptive self-learning trading expert advisor based on DQN machine learning, with multidimensional causal inference. The EA will successfully trade simultaneously on 7 currency pairs. And agents of different pairs will exchange information with each other.
Data Science and ML (Part 42): Forex Time series Forecasting using ARIMA in Python, Everything you need to Know
ARIMA, short for Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average, is a powerful traditional time series forecasting model. With the ability to detect spikes and fluctuations in a time series data, this model can make accurate predictions on the next values. In this article, we are going to understand what is it, how it operates, what you can do with it when it comes to predicting the next prices in the market with high accuracy and much more.
Data Science and ML(Part 30): The Power Couple for Predicting the Stock Market, Convolutional Neural Networks(CNNs) and Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs)
In this article, We explore the dynamic integration of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) in stock market prediction. By leveraging CNNs' ability to extract patterns and RNNs' proficiency in handling sequential data. Let us see how this powerful combination can enhance the accuracy and efficiency of trading algorithms.
Quantum computing and trading: A fresh approach to price forecasts
The article describes an innovative approach to forecasting price movements in financial markets using quantum computing. The main focus is on the application of the Quantum Phase Estimation (QPE) algorithm to find prototypes of price patterns allowing traders to significantly speed up the market data analysis.
Data Science and ML (Part 31): Using CatBoost AI Models for Trading
CatBoost AI models have gained massive popularity recently among machine learning communities due to their predictive accuracy, efficiency, and robustness to scattered and difficult datasets. In this article, we are going to discuss in detail how to implement these types of models in an attempt to beat the forex market.
Neural networks made easy (Part 23): Building a tool for Transfer Learning
In this series of articles, we have already mentioned Transfer Learning more than once. However, this was only mentioning. in this article, I suggest filling this gap and taking a closer look at Transfer Learning.
Neural networks made easy (Part 73): AutoBots for predicting price movements
We continue to discuss algorithms for training trajectory prediction models. In this article, we will get acquainted with a method called "AutoBots".
Neural Networks Made Easy (Part 87): Time Series Patching
Forecasting plays an important role in time series analysis. In the new article, we will talk about the benefits of time series patching.
Integrate Your Own LLM into EA (Part 2): Example of Environment Deployment
With the rapid development of artificial intelligence today, language models (LLMs) are an important part of artificial intelligence, so we should think about how to integrate powerful LLMs into our algorithmic trading. For most people, it is difficult to fine-tune these powerful models according to their needs, deploy them locally, and then apply them to algorithmic trading. This series of articles will take a step-by-step approach to achieve this goal.
Market Simulation (Part 06): Transferring Information from MetaTrader 5 to Excel
Many people, especially non=programmers, find it very difficult to transfer information between MetaTrader 5 and other programs. One such program is Excel. Many use Excel as a way to manage and maintain their risk control. It is an excellent program and easy to learn, even for those who are not VBA programmers. Here we will look at how to establish a connection between MetaTrader 5 and Excel (a very simple method).
Neural Networks in Trading: Hybrid Graph Sequence Models (GSM++)
Hybrid graph sequence models (GSM++) combine the advantages of different architectures to provide high-fidelity data analysis and optimized computational costs. These models adapt effectively to dynamic market data, improving the presentation and processing of financial information.
Data label for timeseries mining (Part 2):Make datasets with trend markers using Python
This series of articles introduces several time series labeling methods, which can create data that meets most artificial intelligence models, and targeted data labeling according to needs can make the trained artificial intelligence model more in line with the expected design, improve the accuracy of our model, and even help the model make a qualitative leap!
Neural Networks in Trading: Optimizing the Transformer for Time Series Forecasting (LSEAttention)
The LSEAttention framework offers improvements to the Transformer architecture. It was designed specifically for long-term multivariate time series forecasting. The approaches proposed by the authors of the method can be applied to solve problems of entropy collapse and learning instability, which are often encountered with vanilla Transformer.
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 6): Engineering a Production-Grade Caching System
Tired of watching progress bars instead of testing trading strategies? Traditional caching fails financial ML, leaving you with lost computations and frustrating restarts. We've engineered a sophisticated caching architecture that understands the unique challenges of financial data—temporal dependencies, complex data structures, and the constant threat of look-ahead bias. Our three-layer system delivers dramatic speed improvements while automatically invalidating stale results and preventing costly data leaks. Stop waiting for computations and start iterating at the pace the markets demand.
Evolutionary trading algorithm with reinforcement learning and extinction of feeble individuals (ETARE)
In this article, I introduce an innovative trading algorithm that combines evolutionary algorithms with deep reinforcement learning for Forex trading. The algorithm uses the mechanism of extinction of inefficient individuals to optimize the trading strategy.
Neural networks made easy (Part 20): Autoencoders
We continue to study unsupervised learning algorithms. Some readers might have questions regarding the relevance of recent publications to the topic of neural networks. In this new article, we get back to studying neural networks.
Neural Networks in Trading: A Multimodal, Tool-Augmented Agent for Financial Markets (Final Part)
We continue to develop the algorithms for FinAgent, a multimodal financial trading agent designed to analyze multimodal market dynamics data and historical trading patterns.
Neural Networks in Trading: An Ensemble of Agents with Attention Mechanisms (Final Part)
In the previous article, we introduced the multi-agent adaptive framework MASAAT, which uses an ensemble of agents to perform cross-analysis of multimodal time series at different data scales. Today we will continue implementing the approaches of this framework in MQL5 and bring this work to a logical conclusion.
Forex Arbitrage Trading: A Matrix Trading System for Return to Fair Value with Risk Control
The article contains a detailed description of the cross-rate calculation algorithm, a visualization of the imbalance matrix, and recommendations for optimally setting the MinDiscrepancy and MaxRisk parameters for efficient trading. The system automatically calculates the "fair value" of each currency pair using cross rates, generating buy signals in case of negative deviations and sell signals in case of positive ones.
Pure implementation of RSA encryption in MQL5
MQL5 lacks built-in asymmetric cryptography, making secure data exchange over insecure channels like HTTP difficult. This article presents a pure MQL5 implementation of RSA using PKCS#1 v1.5 padding, enabling safe transmission of AES session keys and small data blocks without external libraries. This approach provides HTTPS-like security over standard HTTP and even more, it fills an important gap in secure communication for MQL5 applications.
Experiments with neural networks (Part 4): Templates
In this article, I will use experimentation and non-standard approaches to develop a profitable trading system and check whether neural networks can be of any help for traders. MetaTrader 5 as a self-sufficient tool for using neural networks in trading. Simple explanation.
Differential Search Algorithm (DSA)
The article discusses the Differential Search Algorithm (DSA), which simulates the migration of a superorganism in search of optimal living conditions. The algorithm uses a Gamma distribution to generate a pseudo-stable random walk and offers four strategies for selecting the direction of movement, along with three coordinate mutation mechanisms. How will this method perform?
Integrating MQL5 with data processing packages (Part 2): Machine Learning and Predictive Analytics
In our series on integrating MQL5 with data processing packages, we delve in to the powerful combination of machine learning and predictive analysis. We will explore how to seamlessly connect MQL5 with popular machine learning libraries, to enable sophisticated predictive models for financial markets.
Neural networks made easy (Part 53): Reward decomposition
We have already talked more than once about the importance of correctly selecting the reward function, which we use to stimulate the desired behavior of the Agent by adding rewards or penalties for individual actions. But the question remains open about the decryption of our signals by the Agent. In this article, we will talk about reward decomposition in terms of transmitting individual signals to the trained Agent.
Population optimization algorithms: Firefly Algorithm (FA)
In this article, I will consider the Firefly Algorithm (FA) optimization method. Thanks to the modification, the algorithm has turned from an outsider into a real rating table leader.
Neural networks made easy (Part 66): Exploration problems in offline learning
Models are trained offline using data from a prepared training dataset. While providing certain advantages, its negative side is that information about the environment is greatly compressed to the size of the training dataset. Which, in turn, limits the possibilities of exploration. In this article, we will consider a method that enables the filling of a training dataset with the most diverse data possible.
Population optimization algorithms: Stochastic Diffusion Search (SDS)
The article discusses Stochastic Diffusion Search (SDS), which is a very powerful and efficient optimization algorithm based on the principles of random walk. The algorithm allows finding optimal solutions in complex multidimensional spaces, while featuring a high speed of convergence and the ability to avoid local extrema.
Data Science and Machine Learning(Part 14): Finding Your Way in the Markets with Kohonen Maps
Are you looking for a cutting-edge approach to trading that can help you navigate complex and ever-changing markets? Look no further than Kohonen maps, an innovative form of artificial neural networks that can help you uncover hidden patterns and trends in market data. In this article, we'll explore how Kohonen maps work, and how they can be used to develop smarter, more effective trading strategies. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, you won't want to miss this exciting new approach to trading.
Using PSAR, Heiken Ashi, and Deep Learning Together for Trading
This project explores the fusion of deep learning and technical analysis to test trading strategies in forex. A Python script is used for rapid experimentation, employing an ONNX model alongside traditional indicators like PSAR, SMA, and RSI to predict EUR/USD movements. A MetaTrader 5 script then brings this strategy into a live environment, using historical data and technical analysis to make informed trading decisions. The backtesting results indicate a cautious yet consistent approach, with a focus on risk management and steady growth rather than aggressive profit-seeking.
Reimagining Classic Strategies in Python: MA Crossovers
In this article, we revisit the classic moving average crossover strategy to assess its current effectiveness. Given the amount of time since its inception, we explore the potential enhancements that AI can bring to this traditional trading strategy. By incorporating AI techniques, we aim to leverage advanced predictive capabilities to potentially optimize trade entry and exit points, adapt to varying market conditions, and enhance overall performance compared to conventional approaches.
Category Theory in MQL5 (Part 15) : Functors with Graphs
This article on Category Theory implementation in MQL5, continues the series by looking at Functors but this time as a bridge between Graphs and a set. We revisit calendar data, and despite its limitations in Strategy Tester use, make the case using functors in forecasting volatility with the help of correlation.
Data Science and ML (Part 33): Pandas Dataframe in MQL5, Data Collection for ML Usage made easier
When working with machine learning models, it’s essential to ensure consistency in the data used for training, validation, and testing. In this article, we will create our own version of the Pandas library in MQL5 to ensure a unified approach for handling machine learning data, for ensuring the same data is applied inside and outside MQL5, where most of the training occurs.
Population optimization algorithms: Artificial Bee Colony (ABC)
In this article, we will study the algorithm of an artificial bee colony and supplement our knowledge with new principles of studying functional spaces. In this article, I will showcase my interpretation of the classic version of the algorithm.
Matrix Utils, Extending the Matrices and Vector Standard Library Functionality
Matrix serves as the foundation of machine learning algorithms and computers in general because of their ability to effectively handle large mathematical operations, The Standard library has everything one needs but let's see how we can extend it by introducing several functions in the utils file, that are not yet available in the library
Utilizing CatBoost Machine Learning model as a Filter for Trend-Following Strategies
CatBoost is a powerful tree-based machine learning model that specializes in decision-making based on stationary features. Other tree-based models like XGBoost and Random Forest share similar traits in terms of their robustness, ability to handle complex patterns, and interpretability. These models have a wide range of uses, from feature analysis to risk management. In this article, we're going to walk through the procedure of utilizing a trained CatBoost model as a filter for a classic moving average cross trend-following strategy.
Neural Networks in Trading: Scene-Aware Object Detection (HyperDet3D)
We invite you to get acquainted with a new approach to detecting objects using hypernetworks. A hypernetwork generates weights for the main model, which allows taking into account the specifics of the current market situation. This approach allows us to improve forecasting accuracy by adapting the model to different trading conditions.
Neural networks made easy (Part 35): Intrinsic Curiosity Module
We continue to study reinforcement learning algorithms. All the algorithms we have considered so far required the creation of a reward policy to enable the agent to evaluate each of its actions at each transition from one system state to another. However, this approach is rather artificial. In practice, there is some time lag between an action and a reward. In this article, we will get acquainted with a model training algorithm which can work with various time delays from the action to the reward.
Algorithmic Trading Strategies: AI and Its Road to Golden Pinnacles
This article demonstrates an approach to creating trading strategies for gold using machine learning. Considering the proposed approach to the analysis and forecasting of time series from different angles, it is possible to determine its advantages and disadvantages in comparison with other ways of creating trading systems which are based solely on the analysis and forecasting of financial time series.
Integrating ML models with the Strategy Tester (Part 3): Managing CSV files (II)
This material provides a complete guide to creating a class in MQL5 for efficient management of CSV files. We will see the implementation of methods for opening, writing, reading, and transforming data. We will also consider how to use them to store and access information. In addition, we will discuss the limitations and the most important aspects of using such a class. This article ca be a valuable resource for those who want to learn how to process CSV files in MQL5.
Category Theory in MQL5 (Part 3)
Category Theory is a diverse and expanding branch of Mathematics which as of yet is relatively uncovered in the MQL5 community. These series of articles look to introduce and examine some of its concepts with the overall goal of establishing an open library that provides insight while hopefully furthering the use of this remarkable field in Traders' strategy development.