Published article "A Practical Kalman Filter Price Smoother in MQL5: Adaptive Noise Estimation Without External Libraries".

Fixed-weight moving averages introduce regime-insensitive lag. This work presents an adaptive scalar Kalman filter indicator in native MQL5 that estimates process noise Q from rolling return variance and measurement noise R from rolling price variance, with floor clamps for stability, and recomputes the Kalman Gain on every bar. The chart-overlay output is benchmarked against a 20-period EMA using MAE, RMSE, lag, and smoothness metrics to quantify tracking and noise suppression.











































