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YKL Monte Carlo Simulation

FREE

Published: 19 January 2023

Current version: 1.0

YKL Monte Carlo Simulation

Indicators
Ygor Keller Luccas
Ygor Keller Luccas
YKLRobots

Brazil

4012
5 (5)
YKL Robots é uma empresa de automação de estratégias de trading para MT5.

11 products 2 comments
Version: 1.0

Indicador Monte Carlo Simulation

Indicador faz uma regressão linear nos preços de fechamento do ativo escolhido e gera uma simulação de Monte Carlo de N preços aleatórios para definir 3 níveis de sobrecompra e 3 níveis de sobrevenda.

O primeiro processo é a Regressão Linear dos preços de fechamento do ativo, no qual é regido pela equação:

Y = aX + b + R

Onde Y é o valor do ativo escolhido, X é o tempo, a é a inclinação da reta, b é a intersecção da reta e R é o resíduo.

O resíduo representa a quantidade da variabilidade do preço de Y que o modelo ajustado não consegue explicar.

Com a regressão feita, parte-se para a segunda etapa que é plotar a reta gerada pelo modelo e, com base na média e desvio padrão dos resíduos, fazer a geração de N preços aleatórios - Simulação de Monte Carlo. São calculados média e desvio padrão de todas as simulações geradas, plotando no indicador 3 níveis de sobrecompra e 3 níveis de sobrevenda.

Inputs do indicador:

· Barras de regressão: número de barras para que seja feita a regressão linear dos preços de fechamento do ativo escolhido.

· Desvio Padrão: é o desvio informado para que seja feita a plotagem inicial da regressão linear.

· Delta para níveis de Monte Carlo: valor para que sejam montados os níveis de sobrecompra e sobrevenda na Simulação de Monte Carlo. Exemplo: se o desvio padrão escolhido for 2 e o delta for 0.3, significa que os níveis de sobrecompra/sobrevenda seriam 2, 2.3 e 2.6 desvios, respectivamente.

· Simulação Monte Carlo: número de simulações a serem geradas, ou seja, valores aleatórios com base na regressão e desvio da regressão.

Recomenda-se utilizar mínimo de 1 desvio padrão e mais de 100 simulações de Monte Carlo para que os resultados sejam mais precisos.

Indicador funciona para qualquer ativo em qualquer tempo gráfico, incluindo Forex.

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Indicador Volatilidade Histórica Indicador é um oscilador que faz o plot da volatilidade histórica de um ativo, representado pelas fórmulas: Volatilidade Histórica = Raiz quadrada da média das diferenças ao quadrado * Fator de anualização. Média das diferenças ao quadrado = soma de todas as diferenças de retorno diário / número total das diferenças. Retorno diário = (preço atual - preço anterior) / preço anterior. Nesse indicador estamos utilizando os preços de fechamento de cada barra e fazemos

Indicador Regressão Linear – Par de Ativos - INTRADAY Indicador é um oscilador que faz o plot do Resíduo resultado da regressão linear entre os dois ativos inseridos como input do indicador, representado pela fórmula: Y = aX + b + R Onde Y é o valor do ativo dependente, X é o valor do ativo independente, a é a inclinação da reta entre os dois ativos, b é a intersecção da reta e R é o resíduo. O resíduo representa a quantidade da variabilidade que Y que o modelo ajustado não consegue explicar. E

Indicador Regressão Linear – Par de Ativos Indicador é um oscilador que faz o plot do Resíduo resultado da regressão linear entre os dois ativos inseridos como input do indicador, representado pela fórmula: Y = aX + b + R Onde Y é o valor do ativo dependente, X é o valor do ativo independente, a é a inclinação da reta entre os dois ativos, b é a intersecção da reta e R é o resíduo. O resíduo representa a quantidade da variabilidade que Y que o modelo ajustado não consegue explicar. E os resíduos

Estratégia Bandas de Bollinger (“Estratégia da Paula”) Estratégia A estratégia desse robô é baseada no retorno as médias, operando o indicador Bandas de Bollinger. Essa estratégia é popularmente conhecida como “Estratégia da Paula”. Basicamente o robô fica monitorando barras que rompam a Banda de Bollinger (tanto a superior quanto a inferior) para depois voltar para dentro da Banda na próxima barra. Se a condição acima for satisfeita, considerando também os demais parâmetros do robô, o mesmo e

30 USD

YKL Scalper Estrategia YKL Scalper - NOVA VERSÃO 8.0 Estratégia Afastamento da Média Móvel Estratégia A estratégia desse robô é baseada no afastamento do preço em relação as médias móveis, operando o indicador Média Móvel, standard do MT5. Basicamente o robô fica monitorando o afastamento da média móvel, conforme distância DX inserida pelo usuário. Quando o afastamento atinge a distância DX, o robô inicia uma operação de compra ou venda, no sentido de voltar ao encontro da média móvel. Se

30 USD

EA YKL Quant Esse EA faz operações de compra e venda de dois pares de ativos com base no Resíduo resultado da regressão linear entre esses dois ativos, representado pela fórmula: Y = aX + b + R Onde Y é o valor do ativo dependente, X é o valor do ativo independente, a é a inclinação da reta (Beta) entre os dois ativos, b é a intersecção da reta e R é o resíduo. O resíduo representa a quantidade da variabilidade que Y que o modelo ajustado não consegue explicar. E os resíduos podem ser

50 USD

EA YKL DayTrade Esse EA faz operações de compra de ações da bolsa Brasileira B3 de acordo com uma das 3 estratégias pré-definidas e realiza a venda das mesmas no final do dia (operação DAYTRADE). Cada estratégia tem um algoritmo de cálculo do valor de entrada (compra), do stop loss e possíveis filtros. Estratégias : JoeBiden : entrada com 1.5% de desconto em relação às duas mínimas anteriores saída no final do dia stop loss de 4% em relação a entrada timeframe diário sem filtros Chicotada : entr

60 USD

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YKL Monte Carlo Simulation

Ygor Keller Luccas