Articles on data analysis and statistics in MQL5

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Articles on mathematical models and laws of probability are interesting for many traders. Mathematics is the basis of technical indicators, and statistics is required to analyze trading results and develop strategies.

Read about the fuzzy logic, digital filters, market profile, Kohonen maps, neural gas and many other tools that can be used for trading.

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The Role of Statistical Distributions in Trader's Work
The Role of Statistical Distributions in Trader's Work

The Role of Statistical Distributions in Trader's Work

This article is a logical continuation of my article Statistical Probability Distributions in MQL5 which set forth the classes for working with some theoretical statistical distributions. Now that we have a theoretical base, I suggest that we should directly proceed to real data sets and try to make some informational use of this base.
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Data Science and Machine Learning (Part 05): Decision Trees

Data Science and Machine Learning (Part 05): Decision Trees

Decision trees imitate the way humans think to classify data. Let's see how to build trees and use them to classify and predict some data. The main goal of the decision trees algorithm is to separate the data with impurity and into pure or close to nodes.
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Rebuy algorithm: Multicurrency trading simulation

Rebuy algorithm: Multicurrency trading simulation

In this article, we will create a mathematical model for simulating multicurrency pricing and complete the study of the diversification principle as part of the search for mechanisms to increase the trading efficiency, which I started in the previous article with theoretical calculations.
Other classes in DoEasy library (Part 68): Chart window object class and indicator object classes in the chart window
Other classes in DoEasy library (Part 68): Chart window object class and indicator object classes in the chart window

Other classes in DoEasy library (Part 68): Chart window object class and indicator object classes in the chart window

In this article, I will continue the development of the chart object class. I will add the list of chart window objects featuring the lists of available indicators.
Continuous futures contracts in MetaTrader 5
Continuous futures contracts in MetaTrader 5

Continuous futures contracts in MetaTrader 5

A short life span of futures contracts complicates their technical analysis. It is difficult to technically analyze short charts. For example, number of bars on the day chart of the UX-9.13 Ukrainian Stock index future is more than 100. Therefore, trader creates synthetic long futures contracts. This article explains how to splice futures contracts with different dates in the MetaTrader 5 terminal.
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Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 46): Designing an Interactive Fibonacci Retracement EA with Smart Visualization in MQL5

Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 46): Designing an Interactive Fibonacci Retracement EA with Smart Visualization in MQL5

Fibonacci tools are among the most popular instruments used by technical analysts. In this article, we’ll build an Interactive Fibonacci EA that draws retracement and extension levels that react dynamically to price movement, delivering real‑time alerts, stylish lines, and a scrolling news‑style headline. Another key advantage of this EA is flexibility; you can manually type the high (A) and low (B) swing values directly on the chart, giving you exact control over the market range you want to analyze.
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The price movement model and its main provisions (Part 2): Probabilistic price field evolution equation and the occurrence of the observed random walk

The price movement model and its main provisions (Part 2): Probabilistic price field evolution equation and the occurrence of the observed random walk

The article considers the probabilistic price field evolution equation and the upcoming price spike criterion. It also reveals the essence of price values on charts and the mechanism for the occurrence of a random walk of these values.
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High frequency arbitrage trading system in Python using MetaTrader 5

High frequency arbitrage trading system in Python using MetaTrader 5

In this article, we will create an arbitration system that remains legal in the eyes of brokers, creates thousands of synthetic prices on the Forex market, analyzes them, and successfully trades for profit.
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Developing Trend Trading Strategies Using Machine Learning

Developing Trend Trading Strategies Using Machine Learning

This study introduces a novel methodology for the development of trend-following trading strategies. This section describes the process of annotating training data and using it to train classifiers. This process yields fully operational trading systems designed to run on MetaTrader 5.
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Forecasting with ARIMA models in MQL5

Forecasting with ARIMA models in MQL5

In this article we continue the development of the CArima class for building ARIMA models by adding intuitive methods that enable forecasting.
Other classes in DoEasy library (Part 71): Chart object collection events
Other classes in DoEasy library (Part 71): Chart object collection events

Other classes in DoEasy library (Part 71): Chart object collection events

In this article, I will create the functionality for tracking some chart object events — adding/removing symbol charts and chart subwindows, as well as adding/removing/changing indicators in chart windows.
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Forex arbitrage trading: A simple synthetic market maker bot to get started

Forex arbitrage trading: A simple synthetic market maker bot to get started

Today we will take a look at my first arbitrage robot — a liquidity provider (if you can call it that) for synthetic assets. Currently, this bot is successfully operating as a module in a large machine learning system, but I pulled up an old Forex arbitrage robot from the cloud, so let's take a look at it and think about what we can do with it today.
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The Blue Monkey (BM) Algorithm

The Blue Monkey (BM) Algorithm

The article presents an implementation of the Blue Monkey metaheuristic algorithm, which is based on a model of the social behavior of blue monkeys. The article examines the key mechanisms of the algorithm — the group structure of the population, following local leaders, and generational renewal through the replacement of the worst adults with the best offspring — and analyzes the test results.
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Developing a trading Expert Advisor from scratch (Part 16): Accessing data on the web (II)

Developing a trading Expert Advisor from scratch (Part 16): Accessing data on the web (II)

Knowing how to input data from the Web into an Expert Advisor is not so obvious. It is not so easy to do without understanding all the possibilities offered by MetaTrader 5.
Other classes in DoEasy library (Part 69): Chart object collection class
Other classes in DoEasy library (Part 69): Chart object collection class

Other classes in DoEasy library (Part 69): Chart object collection class

With this article, I start the development of the chart object collection class. The class will store the collection list of chart objects with their subwindows and indicators providing the ability to work with any selected charts and their subwindows or with a list of several charts at once.
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The price movement model and its main provisions. (Part 3): Calculating optimal parameters of stock exchange speculations

The price movement model and its main provisions. (Part 3): Calculating optimal parameters of stock exchange speculations

Within the framework of the engineering approach developed by the author based on the probability theory, the conditions for opening a profitable position are found and the optimal (profit-maximizing) take profit and stop loss values are calculated.
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Price Movement: Mathematical Models and Technical Analysis

Price Movement: Mathematical Models and Technical Analysis

Forecasting the movements of currency pairs is an important factor in trading success. This article explores various price movement models, analyzes their advantages and disadvantages, and explores their practical application in trading strategies. We will consider approaches that allow us to identify hidden patterns and improve the accuracy of forecasts.
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Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 17): TrendLoom EA Tool

Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 17): TrendLoom EA Tool

As a price action observer and trader, I've noticed that when a trend is confirmed by multiple timeframes, it usually continues in that direction. What may vary is how long the trend lasts, and this depends on the type of trader you are, whether you hold positions for the long term or engage in scalping. The timeframes you choose for confirmation play a crucial role. Check out this article for a quick, automated system that helps you analyze the overall trend across different timeframes with just a button click or regular updates.
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Developing a trading Expert Advisor from scratch (Part 15): Accessing data on the web (I)

Developing a trading Expert Advisor from scratch (Part 15): Accessing data on the web (I)

How to access online data via MetaTrader 5? There are a lot of websites and places on the web, featuring a huge amount information. What you need to know is where to look and how best to use this information.
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Self-Learning Expert Advisor with a Neural Network Based on a Markov State-Transition Matrix

Self-Learning Expert Advisor with a Neural Network Based on a Markov State-Transition Matrix

Self-training EA with a neural network based on a state matrix. We combine Markov chains with a multilayer neural network MLP developed using the ALGLIB MQL5 library. How can Markov chains and neural networks be combined for Forex forecasting?
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Implementing the Generalized Hurst Exponent and the Variance Ratio test in MQL5

Implementing the Generalized Hurst Exponent and the Variance Ratio test in MQL5

In this article, we investigate how the Generalized Hurst Exponent and the Variance Ratio test can be utilized to analyze the behaviour of price series in MQL5.
Mountain or Iceberg charts
Mountain or Iceberg charts

Mountain or Iceberg charts

How do you like the idea of adding a new chart type to the MetaTrader 5 platform? Some people say it lacks a few things that other platforms offer. But the truth is, MetaTrader 5 is a very practical platform as it allows you to do things that can't be done (or at least can't be done easily) in many other platforms.
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Statistical Arbitrage Through Mean Reversion in Pairs Trading: Beating the Market by Math

Statistical Arbitrage Through Mean Reversion in Pairs Trading: Beating the Market by Math

This article describes the fundamentals of portfolio-level statistical arbitrage. Its goal is to facilitate the understanding of the principles of statistical arbitrage to readers without deep math knowledge and propose a starting point conceptual framework. The article includes a working Expert Advisor, some notes about its one-year backtest, and the respective backtest configuration settings (.ini file) for the reproduction of the experiment.
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Timeseries in DoEasy library (part 49): Multi-period multi-symbol multi-buffer standard indicators

Timeseries in DoEasy library (part 49): Multi-period multi-symbol multi-buffer standard indicators

In the current article, I will improve the library classes to implement the ability to develop multi-symbol multi-period standard indicators requiring several indicator buffers to display their data.
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Data Science and Machine Learning (Part 24): Forex Time series Forecasting Using Regular AI Models

Data Science and Machine Learning (Part 24): Forex Time series Forecasting Using Regular AI Models

In the forex markets It is very challenging to predict the future trend without having an idea of the past. Very few machine learning models are capable of making the future predictions by considering past values. In this article, we are going to discuss how we can use classical(Non-time series) Artificial Intelligence models to beat the market
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Creating Custom Indicators in MQL5 (Part 6): Evolving RSI Calculations with Smoothing, Hue Shifts, and Multi-Timeframe Support

Creating Custom Indicators in MQL5 (Part 6): Evolving RSI Calculations with Smoothing, Hue Shifts, and Multi-Timeframe Support

In this article, we build a versatile RSI indicator in MQL5 supporting multiple variants, data sources, and smoothing methods for improved analysis. We add hue shifts for color visuals, dynamic boundaries for overbought/oversold zones, and notifications for trend alerts. It includes multi-timeframe support with interpolation, offering us a customizable RSI tool for diverse strategies.
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Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 42): Interactive Chart Testing with Button Logic and Statistical Levels

Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 42): Interactive Chart Testing with Button Logic and Statistical Levels

In a world where speed and precision matter, analysis tools need to be as smart as the markets we trade. This article presents an EA built on button logic—an interactive system that instantly transforms raw price data into meaningful statistical levels. With a single click, it calculates and displays mean, deviation, percentiles, and more, turning advanced analytics into clear on-chart signals. It highlights the zones where price is most likely to bounce, retrace, or break, making analysis both faster and more practical.
Prices in DoEasy library (part 61): Collection of symbol tick series
Prices in DoEasy library (part 61): Collection of symbol tick series

Prices in DoEasy library (part 61): Collection of symbol tick series

Since a program may use different symbols in its work, a separate list should be created for each of them. In this article, I will combine such lists into a tick data collection. In fact, this will be a regular list based on the class of dynamic array of pointers to instances of CObject class and its descendants of the Standard library.
Timeseries in DoEasy library (part 44): Collection class of indicator buffer objects
Timeseries in DoEasy library (part 44): Collection class of indicator buffer objects

Timeseries in DoEasy library (part 44): Collection class of indicator buffer objects

The article deals with creating a collection class of indicator buffer objects. I am going to test the ability to create and work with any number of buffers for indicators (the maximum number of buffers that can be created in MQL indicators is 512).
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Reimagining Classic Strategies (Part 21): Bollinger Bands And RSI Ensemble Strategy Discovery

Reimagining Classic Strategies (Part 21): Bollinger Bands And RSI Ensemble Strategy Discovery

This article explores the development of an ensemble algorithmic trading strategy for the EURUSD market that combines the Bollinger Bands and the Relative Strength Indicator (RSI). Initial rule-based strategies produced high-quality signals but suffered from low trade frequency and limited profitability. Multiple iterations of the strategy were evaluated, revealing flaws in our understanding of the market, increased noise, and degraded performance. By appropriately employing statistical learning algorithms, shifting the modeling target to technical indicators, applying proper scaling, and combining machine learning forecasts with classical trading rules, the final strategy achieved significantly improved profitability and trade frequency while maintaining acceptable signal quality.
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Dream Optimization Algorithm (DOA)

Dream Optimization Algorithm (DOA)

A population-based optimization algorithm inspired by a controversial and little-studied phenomenon - the mechanism of human dreams. Agent groups with different "memory", cosine-wave modulation of motion, and an unusual 99/1 phase distribution — learn how these features affect the optimization efficiency of your trading strategies.
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Neural networks made easy (Part 19): Association rules using MQL5

Neural networks made easy (Part 19): Association rules using MQL5

We continue considering association rules. In the previous article, we have discussed theoretical aspect of this type of problem. In this article, I will show the implementation of the FP Growth method using MQL5. We will also test the implemented solution using real data.
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Data Science and ML (Part 37): Using Candlestick patterns and AI to beat the market

Data Science and ML (Part 37): Using Candlestick patterns and AI to beat the market

Candlestick patterns help traders understand market psychology and identify trends in financial markets, they enable more informed trading decisions that can lead to better outcomes. In this article, we will explore how to use candlestick patterns with AI models to achieve optimal trading performance.
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News Trading Made Easy (Part 2): Risk Management

News Trading Made Easy (Part 2): Risk Management

In this article, inheritance will be introduced into our previous and new code. A new database design will be implemented to provide efficiency. Additionally, a risk management class will be created to tackle volume calculations.
Prices in DoEasy library (part 59): Object to store data of one tick
Prices in DoEasy library (part 59): Object to store data of one tick

Prices in DoEasy library (part 59): Object to store data of one tick

From this article on, start creating library functionality to work with price data. Today, create an object class which will store all price data which arrived with yet another tick.
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Modified Grid-Hedge EA in MQL5 (Part IV): Optimizing Simple Grid Strategy (I)

Modified Grid-Hedge EA in MQL5 (Part IV): Optimizing Simple Grid Strategy (I)

In this fourth part, we revisit the Simple Hedge and Simple Grid Expert Advisors (EAs) developed earlier. Our focus shifts to refining the Simple Grid EA through mathematical analysis and a brute force approach, aiming for optimal strategy usage. This article delves deep into the mathematical optimization of the strategy, setting the stage for future exploration of coding-based optimization in later installments.
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Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 10): External Flow (II) VWAP

Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 10): External Flow (II) VWAP

Master the power of VWAP with our comprehensive guide! Learn how to integrate VWAP analysis into your trading strategy using MQL5 and Python. Maximize your market insights and improve your trading decisions today.
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Parallel Particle Swarm Optimization

Parallel Particle Swarm Optimization

The article describes a method of fast optimization using the particle swarm algorithm. It also presents the method implementation in MQL, which is ready for use both in single-threaded mode inside an Expert Advisor and in a parallel multi-threaded mode as an add-on that runs on local tester agents.
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Population optimization algorithms: Bacterial Foraging Optimization (BFO)

Population optimization algorithms: Bacterial Foraging Optimization (BFO)

E. coli bacterium foraging strategy inspired scientists to create the BFO optimization algorithm. The algorithm contains original ideas and promising approaches to optimization and is worthy of further study.
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Category Theory in MQL5 (Part 1)

Category Theory in MQL5 (Part 1)

Category Theory is a diverse and expanding branch of Mathematics which as of yet is relatively uncovered in the MQL community. These series of articles look to introduce and examine some of its concepts with the overall goal of establishing an open library that attracts comments and discussion while hopefully furthering the use of this remarkable field in Traders' strategy development.