Articles on data analysis and statistics in MQL5

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Articles on mathematical models and laws of probability are interesting for many traders. Mathematics is the basis of technical indicators, and statistics is required to analyze trading results and develop strategies.

Read about the fuzzy logic, digital filters, market profile, Kohonen maps, neural gas and many other tools that can be used for trading.

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Developing a Replay System (Part 45): Chart Trade Project (IV)

Developing a Replay System (Part 45): Chart Trade Project (IV)

The main purpose of this article is to introduce and explain the C_ChartFloatingRAD class. We have a Chart Trade indicator that works in a rather interesting way. As you may have noticed, we still have a fairly small number of objects on the chart, and yet we get the expected functionality. The values present in the indicator can be edited. The question is, how is this possible? This article will start to make things clearer.
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Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Practice

Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Practice

In this article, we will continue diving into the implementation of the ACMO (Atmospheric Cloud Model Optimization) algorithm. In particular, we will discuss two key aspects: the movement of clouds into low-pressure regions and the rain simulation, including the initialization of droplets and their distribution among clouds. We will also look at other methods that play an important role in managing the state of clouds and ensuring their interaction with the environment.
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The case for using Hospital-Performance Data with Perceptrons, this Q4, in weighing SPDR XLV's next Performance

The case for using Hospital-Performance Data with Perceptrons, this Q4, in weighing SPDR XLV's next Performance

XLV is SPDR healthcare ETF and in an age where it is common to be bombarded by a wide array of traditional news items plus social media feeds, it can be pressing to select a data set for use with a model. We try to tackle this problem for this ETF by sizing up some of its critical data sets in MQL5.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 55): Control Module

Developing a Replay System (Part 55): Control Module

In this article, we will implement a control indicator so that it can be integrated into the message system we are developing. Although it is not very difficult, there are some details that need to be understood about the initialization of this module. The material presented here is for educational purposes only. In no way should it be considered as an application for any purpose other than learning and mastering the concepts shown.
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Population optimization algorithms: Bacterial Foraging Optimization - Genetic Algorithm (BFO-GA)

Population optimization algorithms: Bacterial Foraging Optimization - Genetic Algorithm (BFO-GA)

The article presents a new approach to solving optimization problems by combining ideas from bacterial foraging optimization (BFO) algorithms and techniques used in the genetic algorithm (GA) into a hybrid BFO-GA algorithm. It uses bacterial swarming to globally search for an optimal solution and genetic operators to refine local optima. Unlike the original BFO, bacteria can now mutate and inherit genes.
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Feature selection and dimensionality reduction using principal components

Feature selection and dimensionality reduction using principal components

The article delves into the implementation of a modified Forward Selection Component Analysis algorithm, drawing inspiration from the research presented in “Forward Selection Component Analysis: Algorithms and Applications” by Luca Puggini and Sean McLoone.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 35): Making Adjustments (I)

Developing a Replay System (Part 35): Making Adjustments (I)

Before we can move forward, we need to fix a few things. These are not actually the necessary fixes but rather improvements to the way the class is managed and used. The reason is that failures occurred due to some interaction within the system. Despite attempts to find out the cause of such failures in order to eliminate them, all these attempts were unsuccessful. Some of these cases make no sense, for example, when we use pointers or recursion in C/C++, the program crashes.
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Larry Williams Market Secrets (Part 7): An Empirical Study of the Trade Day of the Week Concept

Larry Williams Market Secrets (Part 7): An Empirical Study of the Trade Day of the Week Concept

An empirical study of Larry Williams’ Trade Day of the Week concept, showing how time-based market bias can be measured, tested, and applied using MQL5. This article presents a practical framework for analyzing win rates and performance across trading days to improve short-term trading systems.
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MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 20): Canvas Graphing with Statistical Correlation and Regression Analysis

MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 20): Canvas Graphing with Statistical Correlation and Regression Analysis

In this article, we create a canvas-based graphing tool in MQL5 for statistical correlation and linear regression analysis between two symbols, with draggable and resizable features. We incorporate ALGLIB for regression calculations, dynamic tick labels, data points, and a stats panel displaying slope, intercept, correlation, and R-squared. This interactive visualization aids in pair trading insights, supporting customizable themes, borders, and real-time updates on new bars
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Introduction to MQL5 (Part 41): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (III)

Introduction to MQL5 (Part 41): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (III)

Learn how to read a CSV file in MQL5 and organize its trading data into dynamic arrays. This article shows step by step how to count file elements, store all data in a single array, and separate each column into dedicated arrays, laying the foundation for advanced analysis and trading performance visualization.
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From Novice to Expert: Animated News Headline Using MQL5 (V)—Event Reminder System

From Novice to Expert: Animated News Headline Using MQL5 (V)—Event Reminder System

In this discussion, we’ll explore additional advancements as we integrate refined event‑alerting logic for the economic calendar events displayed by the News Headline EA. This enhancement is critical—it ensures users receive timely notifications a short time before key upcoming events. Join this discussion to discover more.
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Market Simulation (Part 12): Sockets (VI)

Market Simulation (Part 12): Sockets (VI)

In this article, we will look at how to solve certain problems and issues that arise when using Python code within other programs. More specifically, we will demonstrate a common issue encountered when using Excel in conjunction with MetaTrader 5, although we will be using Python to facilitate this interaction. However, this implementation has a minor drawback. It does not occur in all cases, but only in certain specific situations. When it does happen, it is necessary to understand the cause. In today’s article, we will begin explaining how to resolve this issue.
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Camel Algorithm (CA)

Camel Algorithm (CA)

The Camel Algorithm, developed in 2016, simulates the behavior of camels in the desert to solve optimization problems, taking into account temperature, supply, and endurance. This article also presents a modified version of the algorithm (CAm) with key improvements: the use of a Gaussian distribution in generating solutions and the optimization of the oasis effect parameters.
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Stepwise feature selection in MQL5

Stepwise feature selection in MQL5

In this article, we introduce a modified version of stepwise feature selection, implemented in MQL5. This approach is based on the techniques outlined in Modern Data Mining Algorithms in C++ and CUDA C by Timothy Masters.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 39): Paving the Path (III)

Developing a Replay System (Part 39): Paving the Path (III)

Before we proceed to the second stage of development, we need to revise some ideas. Do you know how to make MQL5 do what you need? Have you ever tried to go beyond what is contained in the documentation? If not, then get ready. Because we will be doing something that most people don't normally do.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 41): Starting the second phase (II)

Developing a Replay System (Part 41): Starting the second phase (II)

If everything seemed right to you up to this point, it means you're not really thinking about the long term, when you start developing applications. Over time you will no longer need to program new applications, you will just have to make them work together. So let's see how to finish assembling the mouse indicator.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 34): Order System (III)

Developing a Replay System (Part 34): Order System (III)

In this article, we will complete the first phase of construction. Although this part is fairly quick to complete, I will cover details that were not discussed previously. I will explain some points that many do not understand. Do you know why you have to press the Shift or Ctrl key?
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Bivariate Copulae in MQL5: (Part 3): Implementation and Tuning of Mixed Copula Models in MQL5

Bivariate Copulae in MQL5: (Part 3): Implementation and Tuning of Mixed Copula Models in MQL5

The article extends our copula toolkit with mixed copulas implemented natively in MQL5. We construct Clayton–Frank–Gumbel and Clayton–Student–t–Gumbel mixtures, estimate them via EM, and enable sparsity control through SCAD with cross‑validation. Provided scripts tune hyperparameters, compare mixtures using information criteria, and save trained models. Practitioners can apply these components to capture asymmetric tail dependence and embed the selected model in indicators or Expert Advisors.
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Market Positioning Codex for VGT with Kendall's Tau and Distance Correlation

Market Positioning Codex for VGT with Kendall's Tau and Distance Correlation

In this article, we look to explore how a complimentary indicator pairing can be used to analyze the recent 5-year history of Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund ETF. By considering two options of algorithms, Kendall’s Tau and Distance-Correlation, we look to select not just an ideal indicator pair for trading the VGT, but also suitable signal-pattern pairings of these two indicators.
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Statistical Arbitrage Through Cointegrated Stocks (Part 10): Detecting Structural Breaks

Statistical Arbitrage Through Cointegrated Stocks (Part 10): Detecting Structural Breaks

This article presents the Chow test for detecting structural breaks in pair relationships and the application of the Cumulative Sum of Squares - CUSUM - for structural breaks monitoring and early detection. The article uses the Nvidia/Intel partnership announcement and the US Gov foreign trade tariff announcement as examples of slope inversion and intercept shift, respectively. Python scripts for all the tests are provided.
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Implementing Practical Modules from Other Languages in MQL5 (Part 05): The Logging module from Python, Log Like a Pro

Implementing Practical Modules from Other Languages in MQL5 (Part 05): The Logging module from Python, Log Like a Pro

Integrating Python's logging module with MQL5 empowers traders with a systematic logging approach, simplifying the process of monitoring, debugging, and documenting trading activities. This article explains the adaptation process, offering traders a powerful tool for maintaining clarity and organization in trading software development.
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Hidden Markov Models in Machine Learning-Based Trading Systems

Hidden Markov Models in Machine Learning-Based Trading Systems

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are a powerful class of probabilistic models designed to analyze sequential data, where observed events depend on some sequence of unobserved (hidden) states that form a Markov process. The main assumptions of HMM include the Markov property for hidden states, meaning that the probability of transition to the next state depends only on the current state, and the independence of observations given knowledge of the current hidden state.
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Population optimization algorithms: Resistance to getting stuck in local extrema (Part I)

Population optimization algorithms: Resistance to getting stuck in local extrema (Part I)

This article presents a unique experiment that aims to examine the behavior of population optimization algorithms in the context of their ability to efficiently escape local minima when population diversity is low and reach global maxima. Working in this direction will provide further insight into which specific algorithms can successfully continue their search using coordinates set by the user as a starting point, and what factors influence their success.
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Implementation of a table model in MQL5: Applying the MVC concept

Implementation of a table model in MQL5: Applying the MVC concept

In this article, we look at the process of developing a table model in MQL5 using the MVC (Model-View-Controller) architectural pattern to separate data logic, presentation, and control, enabling structured, flexible, and scalable code. We consider implementation of classes for building a table model, including the use of linked lists for storing data.
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Introduction to MQL5 (Part 39): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (I)

Introduction to MQL5 (Part 39): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (I)

This article introduces file handling in MQL5 using a practical, project-based workflow. You will use FileSelectDialog to choose or create a CSV file, open it with FileOpen, and write structured account headers such as account name, balance, login, date range, and last update. The result is a clear foundation for a reusable trading journal and safe file operations in MetaTrader 5.
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MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 29): Continuation on Learning Rates with MLPs

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 29): Continuation on Learning Rates with MLPs

We wrap up our look at learning rate sensitivity to the performance of Expert Advisors by primarily examining the Adaptive Learning Rates. These learning rates aim to be customized for each parameter in a layer during the training process and so we assess potential benefits vs the expected performance toll.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 56): Adapting the Modules

Developing a Replay System (Part 56): Adapting the Modules

Although the modules already interact with each other properly, an error occurs when trying to use the mouse pointer in the replay service. We need to fix this before moving on to the next step. Additionally, we will fix an issue in the mouse indicator code. So this version will be finally stable and properly polished.
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MQL5 Trading Toolkit (Part 7): Expanding the History Management EX5 Library with the Last Canceled Pending Order Functions

MQL5 Trading Toolkit (Part 7): Expanding the History Management EX5 Library with the Last Canceled Pending Order Functions

Learn how to complete the creation of the final module in the History Manager EX5 library, focusing on the functions responsible for handling the most recently canceled pending order. This will provide you with the tools to efficiently retrieve and store key details related to canceled pending orders with MQL5.
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MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 25): Expanding to Multiple Distributions with Interactive Switching

MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 25): Expanding to Multiple Distributions with Interactive Switching

In this article, we expand the MQL5 graphing tool to support seventeen statistical distributions with interactive cycling via a header switch icon. We add type-specific data loading, discrete and continuous histogram computation, and theoretical density functions for each model, with dynamic titles, axis labels, and parameter panels that adapt automatically. The result lets you overlay distribution models on the same sample and compare fit across families without reloading the tool.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 63): Playing the service (IV)

Developing a Replay System (Part 63): Playing the service (IV)

In this article, we will finally solve the problems with the simulation of ticks on a one-minute bar so that they can coexist with real ticks. This will help us avoid problems in the future. The material presented here is for educational purposes only. Under no circumstances should the application be viewed for any purpose other than to learn and master the concepts presented.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 58): Returning to Work on the Service

Developing a Replay System (Part 58): Returning to Work on the Service

After a break in development and improvement of the service used for replay/simulator, we are resuming work on it. Now that we've abandoned the use of resources like terminal globals, we'll have to completely restructure some parts of it. Don't worry, this process will be explained in detail so that everyone can follow the development of our service.
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MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 30): Spotlight on Batch-Normalization in Machine Learning

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 30): Spotlight on Batch-Normalization in Machine Learning

Batch normalization is the pre-processing of data before it is fed into a machine learning algorithm, like a neural network. This is always done while being mindful of the type of Activation to be used by the algorithm. We therefore explore the different approaches that one can take in reaping the benefits of this, with the help of a wizard assembled Expert Advisor.
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Overcoming Accessibility Problems in MQL5 Trading Tools (Part I): How to Add Contextual Voice Alerts in MQL5 Indicators

Overcoming Accessibility Problems in MQL5 Trading Tools (Part I): How to Add Contextual Voice Alerts in MQL5 Indicators

This article explores an accessibility-focused enhancement that goes beyond default terminal alerts by leveraging MQL5 resource management to deliver contextual voice feedback. Instead of generic tones, the indicator communicates what has occurred and why, allowing traders to understand market events without relying solely on visual observation. This approach is especially valuable for visually impaired traders, but it also benefits busy or multitasking users who prefer hands-free interaction.
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Introduction to MQL5 (Part 40): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (II)

Introduction to MQL5 (Part 40): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (II)

Create a CSV trading journal in MQL5 by reading account history over a defined period and writing structured records to file. The article explains deal counting, ticket retrieval, symbol and order type decoding, and capturing entry (lot, time, price, SL/TP) and exit (time, price, profit, result) data with dynamic arrays. The result is an organized, persistent log suitable for analysis and reporting.
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Market Simulation: (Part 11): Sockets (V)

Market Simulation: (Part 11): Sockets (V)

We are beginning to implement the connection between Excel and MetaTrader 5, but first we need to understand some key points. This way, you won't have to rack your brains trying to figure out why something works or doesn't. And before you frown at the prospect of integrating Python and Excel, let's see how we can (to some extent) control MetaTrader 5 through Excel using xlwings. What we demonstrate here will primarily focus on educational objectives. However, don't think that we can only do what will be covered here.
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MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 27): Rendering Parametric Butterfly Curve on Canvas

MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 27): Rendering Parametric Butterfly Curve on Canvas

In this article, we explore the butterfly curve, a parametric mathematical equation, and render it visually on a MQL5 canvas. We build an interactive display with a draggable, resizable canvas window, supersampled curve rendering, gradient backgrounds, and a color-segmented legend. By the end, we have a fully functional visual tool that plots the butterfly curve directly on the MetaTrader 5 chart.
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MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 13):  Implementing Bet Sizing in MQL5

MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 13): Implementing Bet Sizing in MQL5

We build a production MQL5 bet‑sizing toolkit: utilities, snippets, and user‑level functions that mirror the Python originals. The methods cover probability‑to‑size mapping with overlap correction, dynamic forecast‑price sizing (calibrated sigmoid/power with limit price), occupancy‑based budgeting, and mixture‑model reserve sizing (EF3M). The result is a signed [−1, ..., 1] position plus diagnostics you can plug directly into order logic.
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MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 28): Filling Sweep Polygons for Butterfly Curve in MQL5

MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 28): Filling Sweep Polygons for Butterfly Curve in MQL5

We expand the capabilities of the MetaTrader 5 butterfly curve canvas by adding multi-layered wing fills, vein lines, scale dots, and a full body (abdomen, thorax, head, eyes, antennae). This article implements polygon fills with vertical and radial gradients, as well as filled circles and ellipses, all using supersampling antialiasing. You will also receive reusable MQL5 helper functions and a rendering order that transforms a simple curve into a customizable, detailed chart illustration.
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Deterministic Oscillatory Search (DOS)

Deterministic Oscillatory Search (DOS)

Deterministic Oscillatory Search (DOS) algorithm is an innovative global optimization method that combines the advantages of gradient and swarm algorithms without the use of random numbers. The fitness oscillation and slope mechanism allows DOS to explore complex search spaces in a deterministic manner.