Articles on data analysis and statistics in MQL5

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Articles on mathematical models and laws of probability are interesting for many traders. Mathematics is the basis of technical indicators, and statistics is required to analyze trading results and develop strategies.

Read about the fuzzy logic, digital filters, market profile, Kohonen maps, neural gas and many other tools that can be used for trading.

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The Group Method of Data Handling: Implementing the Multilayered Iterative Algorithm in MQL5

The Group Method of Data Handling: Implementing the Multilayered Iterative Algorithm in MQL5

In this article we describe the implementation of the Multilayered Iterative Algorithm of the Group Method of Data Handling in MQL5.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 64): Playing the service (V)

Developing a Replay System (Part 64): Playing the service (V)

In this article, we will look at how to fix two errors in the code. However, I will try to explain them in a way that will help you, beginner programmers, understand that things don't always go as you expect. Anyway, this is an opportunity to learn. The content presented here is intended solely for educational purposes. In no way should this application be considered as a final document with any purpose other than to explore the concepts presented.
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MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 18): Neural Architecture Search with Eigen Vectors

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 18): Neural Architecture Search with Eigen Vectors

Neural Architecture Search, an automated approach at determining the ideal neural network settings can be a plus when facing many options and large test data sets. We examine how when paired Eigen Vectors this process can be made even more efficient.
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Gaussian Processes in Machine Learning (Part 2): Implementing and Testing a Classification Model in MQL5

Gaussian Processes in Machine Learning (Part 2): Implementing and Testing a Classification Model in MQL5

In this section, we will look at the implementation of the key interfaces of the library of Gaussian processes in MQL5: IKernel, ILikelihood, and IInference. We will also demonstrate its operation on synthetic data and implement indicators for classification and regression, demonstrating its operation in online mode - with retraining of the model on each new bar.
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Non-stationary processes and spurious regression

Non-stationary processes and spurious regression

The article demonstrates spurious regression occurring when attempting to apply regression analysis to non-stationary processes using Monte Carlo simulation.
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Analyzing Price Time Gaps in MQL5 (Part II): Creating a Heat Map of Liquidity Distribution Over Time

Analyzing Price Time Gaps in MQL5 (Part II): Creating a Heat Map of Liquidity Distribution Over Time

A detailed guide on how to create a heat map indicator for MetaTrader 5 that visualizes the price distribution over time. The article reveals the mathematical basis of time density analysis, where each price level is colored from red (minimum stay time) to blue (maximum stay time).
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MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 10). The Unconventional RBM

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 10). The Unconventional RBM

Restrictive Boltzmann Machines are at the basic level, a two-layer neural network that is proficient at unsupervised classification through dimensionality reduction. We take its basic principles and examine if we were to re-design and train it unorthodoxly, we could get a useful signal filter.
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MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 88): Using Blooms Filter with a Custom Trailing Class

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 88): Using Blooms Filter with a Custom Trailing Class

Our next focus in these series on ideas that can be rapidly prototyped with the MQL5 Wizard, is a Custom Trailing class that uses the Blooming Filter. Trailing Stop systems are an optional but very resourceful part to any trading system that we want to explore more in these series besides the traditional Entry Signals.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 57): Understanding a Test Service

Developing a Replay System (Part 57): Understanding a Test Service

One point to note: although the service code is not included in this article and will only be provided in the next one, I'll explain it since we'll be using that same code as a springboard for what we're actually developing. So, be attentive and patient. Wait for the next article, because every day everything becomes more interesting.
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Market Microstructure in MQL5 (Part 6): Order Flow

Market Microstructure in MQL5 (Part 6): Order Flow

This article adds six order-flow functions and a new OrderFlowAnalysis struct to MicroStructureFoundation.mqh: VPINOHLC, signed flow imbalance, trade intensity versus a 20-session baseline, a late-minus-early smart-money index, flow momentum, and a wrapper that outputs a confidence weight. Flow confidence is gated by noise and jump intensity from Parts 5 and 4. Calibrated on 602 NQ M1 NY sessions, it provides ready-to-use intraday flow signals with documented thresholds.
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Evaluating the Quality of Forex Spread Trading Based on Seasonal Factors in MetaTrader 5

Evaluating the Quality of Forex Spread Trading Based on Seasonal Factors in MetaTrader 5

The article examines the quality of a seasonal trading approach on a daily timeframe, both for individual symbols and for spreads. Particular attention is paid to identifying recurring monthly cycles and the possibilities of their application in trading within the current year.
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Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Theory

Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Theory

The article is devoted to the metaheuristic Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO) algorithm, which simulates the behavior of clouds to solve optimization problems. The algorithm uses the principles of cloud generation, movement and propagation, adapting to the "weather conditions" in the solution space. The article reveals how the algorithm's meteorological simulation finds optimal solutions in a complex possibility space and describes in detail the stages of ACMO operation, including "sky" preparation, cloud birth, cloud movement, and rain concentration.
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MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 25): Expanding to Multiple Distributions with Interactive Switching

MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 25): Expanding to Multiple Distributions with Interactive Switching

In this article, we expand the MQL5 graphing tool to support seventeen statistical distributions with interactive cycling via a header switch icon. We add type-specific data loading, discrete and continuous histogram computation, and theoretical density functions for each model, with dynamic titles, axis labels, and parameter panels that adapt automatically. The result lets you overlay distribution models on the same sample and compare fit across families without reloading the tool.
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Introduction to MQL5 (Part 41): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (III)

Introduction to MQL5 (Part 41): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (III)

Learn how to read a CSV file in MQL5 and organize its trading data into dynamic arrays. This article shows step by step how to count file elements, store all data in a single array, and separate each column into dedicated arrays, laying the foundation for advanced analysis and trading performance visualization.
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MQL5 Trading Toolkit (Part 6): Expanding the History Management EX5 Library with the Last Filled Pending Order Functions

MQL5 Trading Toolkit (Part 6): Expanding the History Management EX5 Library with the Last Filled Pending Order Functions

Learn how to create an EX5 module of exportable functions that seamlessly query and save data for the most recently filled pending order. In this comprehensive step-by-step guide, we will enhance the History Management EX5 library by developing dedicated and compartmentalized functions to retrieve essential properties of the last filled pending order. These properties include the order type, setup time, execution time, filling type, and other critical details necessary for effective pending orders trade history management and analysis.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 60): Playing the Service (I)

Developing a Replay System (Part 60): Playing the Service (I)

We have been working on just the indicators for a long time now, but now it's time to get the service working again and see how the chart is built based on the data provided. However, since the whole thing is not that simple, we will have to be attentive to understand what awaits us ahead.
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Neural network trading EA based on PatchTST

Neural network trading EA based on PatchTST

The article presents the revolutionary architecture of PatchTST, a tailored transformer for financial time series analysis that breaks market data into 16-bar patches for efficient processing. We will discuss the full implementation of a trading robot in MQL5 covering everything from mathematical fundamentals and data structures to a ready-made EA with risk management and continuous learning systems.
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Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolution Strategy (CMA-ES)

Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolution Strategy (CMA-ES)

The article explores one of the most interesting non-gradient optimization algorithms, which learns to understand the geometry of the objective function. We will focus on the classical implementation of CMA-ES with a slight modification - replacing the normal distribution with the power one. We will thoroughly examine the math behind the algorithm, as well as practical implementation, and check where CMA-ES is unbeatable and where it should be avoided.
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Defining your Edge (Part 1): Using a Discrete Fourier Transform and a Spiking Neural Network in a Trading Robot

Defining your Edge (Part 1): Using a Discrete Fourier Transform and a Spiking Neural Network in a Trading Robot

In this article we make the case for pairing the Discrete Fourier Transform with a Spiking Neural Network in a Trading Robot. The Fourier Transform helps represent data as oscillations instead of its raw values. To govern how we interpret these cycles, we engage a Spiking Neural Network that unlike regular networks, uses time dependent electrical charges to accumulate potential and only "spike" when a target threshold is met. Combining these two engines allows us better control on the timing of discrete market movements, that in theory should give us entry signals with rigorous mathematical confirmation.
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Market Positioning Codex for VGT with Kendall's Tau and Distance Correlation

Market Positioning Codex for VGT with Kendall's Tau and Distance Correlation

In this article, we look to explore how a complimentary indicator pairing can be used to analyze the recent 5-year history of Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund ETF. By considering two options of algorithms, Kendall’s Tau and Distance-Correlation, we look to select not just an ideal indicator pair for trading the VGT, but also suitable signal-pattern pairings of these two indicators.
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Bivariate Copulae in MQL5 (Part 3): Implementation and Tuning of Mixed Copula Models in MQL5

Bivariate Copulae in MQL5 (Part 3): Implementation and Tuning of Mixed Copula Models in MQL5

The article extends our copula toolkit with mixed copulas implemented natively in MQL5. We construct Clayton–Frank–Gumbel and Clayton–Student–t–Gumbel mixtures, estimate them via EM, and enable sparsity control through SCAD with cross‑validation. Provided scripts tune hyperparameters, compare mixtures using information criteria, and save trained models. Practitioners can apply these components to capture asymmetric tail dependence and embed the selected model in indicators or Expert Advisors.
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Implementing Practical Modules from Other Languages in MQL5 (Part 05): The Logging module from Python, Log Like a Pro

Implementing Practical Modules from Other Languages in MQL5 (Part 05): The Logging module from Python, Log Like a Pro

Integrating Python's logging module with MQL5 empowers traders with a systematic logging approach, simplifying the process of monitoring, debugging, and documenting trading activities. This article explains the adaptation process, offering traders a powerful tool for maintaining clarity and organization in trading software development.
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Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Practice

Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Practice

In this article, we will continue diving into the implementation of the ACMO (Atmospheric Cloud Model Optimization) algorithm. In particular, we will discuss two key aspects: the movement of clouds into low-pressure regions and the rain simulation, including the initialization of droplets and their distribution among clouds. We will also look at other methods that play an important role in managing the state of clouds and ensuring their interaction with the environment.
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Population optimization algorithms: Bacterial Foraging Optimization - Genetic Algorithm (BFO-GA)

Population optimization algorithms: Bacterial Foraging Optimization - Genetic Algorithm (BFO-GA)

The article presents a new approach to solving optimization problems by combining ideas from bacterial foraging optimization (BFO) algorithms and techniques used in the genetic algorithm (GA) into a hybrid BFO-GA algorithm. It uses bacterial swarming to globally search for an optimal solution and genetic operators to refine local optima. Unlike the original BFO, bacteria can now mutate and inherit genes.
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From Novice to Expert: Animated News Headline Using MQL5 (V)—Event Reminder System

From Novice to Expert: Animated News Headline Using MQL5 (V)—Event Reminder System

In this discussion, we’ll explore additional advancements as we integrate refined event‑alerting logic for the economic calendar events displayed by the News Headline EA. This enhancement is critical—it ensures users receive timely notifications a short time before key upcoming events. Join this discussion to discover more.
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N-BEATS Network-Based Forex EA

N-BEATS Network-Based Forex EA

Implementation of the N-BEATS architecture for Forex trading in MetaTrader 5 with quantile forecasting and adaptive risk management. The architecture is adapted through bilinear normalization and specialized loss functions for financial data. Backtesting on 2025 data shows inability to generate profits, confirming the gap between theoretical achievements and practical trading performance.
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MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 27): Rendering Parametric Butterfly Curve on Canvas

MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 27): Rendering Parametric Butterfly Curve on Canvas

In this article, we explore the butterfly curve, a parametric mathematical equation, and render it visually on a MQL5 canvas. We build an interactive display with a draggable, resizable canvas window, supersampled curve rendering, gradient backgrounds, and a color-segmented legend. By the end, we have a fully functional visual tool that plots the butterfly curve directly on the MetaTrader 5 chart.
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A feature selection algorithm using energy based learning in pure MQL5

A feature selection algorithm using energy based learning in pure MQL5

In this article we present the implementation of a feature selection algorithm described in an academic paper titled,"FREL: A stable feature selection algorithm", called Feature weighting as regularized energy based learning.
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Introduction to MQL5 (Part 39): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (I)

Introduction to MQL5 (Part 39): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (I)

This article introduces file handling in MQL5 using a practical, project-based workflow. You will use FileSelectDialog to choose or create a CSV file, open it with FileOpen, and write structured account headers such as account name, balance, login, date range, and last update. The result is a clear foundation for a reusable trading journal and safe file operations in MetaTrader 5.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 45): Chart Trade Project (IV)

Developing a Replay System (Part 45): Chart Trade Project (IV)

The main purpose of this article is to introduce and explain the C_ChartFloatingRAD class. We have a Chart Trade indicator that works in a rather interesting way. As you may have noticed, we still have a fairly small number of objects on the chart, and yet we get the expected functionality. The values present in the indicator can be edited. The question is, how is this possible? This article will start to make things clearer.
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Building Volatility Models in MQL5 (Part III): Implementing the SLSQP Algorithm for Model Estimation

Building Volatility Models in MQL5 (Part III): Implementing the SLSQP Algorithm for Model Estimation

An SLSQP optimizer is implemented in MQL5 to resolve parameter discrepancies between a volatility library and Python's ARCH module. The article details constraint handling, gradient options, configuration, and convergence controls and shows how to integrate the solver into existing code. Practical examples and comparisons demonstrate matched log‑likelihoods and parameters on shared datasets.
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Market Simulation (Part 12): Sockets (VI)

Market Simulation (Part 12): Sockets (VI)

In this article, we will look at how to solve certain problems and issues that arise when using Python code within other programs. More specifically, we will demonstrate a common issue encountered when using Excel in conjunction with MetaTrader 5, although we will be using Python to facilitate this interaction. However, this implementation has a minor drawback. It does not occur in all cases, but only in certain specific situations. When it does happen, it is necessary to understand the cause. In today’s article, we will begin explaining how to resolve this issue.
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Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization (ASBO): Two-phase evolution

Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization (ASBO): Two-phase evolution

We continue dwelling on the topic of social behavior of living organisms and its impact on the development of a new mathematical model - ASBO (Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization). We will dive into the two-phase evolution, test the algorithm and draw conclusions. Just as in nature a group of living organisms join their efforts to survive, ASBO uses principles of collective behavior to solve complex optimization problems.
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Feature selection and dimensionality reduction using principal components

Feature selection and dimensionality reduction using principal components

The article delves into the implementation of a modified Forward Selection Component Analysis algorithm, drawing inspiration from the research presented in “Forward Selection Component Analysis: Algorithms and Applications” by Luca Puggini and Sean McLoone.
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Biogeography-Based Optimization (BBO)

Biogeography-Based Optimization (BBO)

Biogeography-Based Optimization (BBO) is an elegant global optimization method inspired by natural processes of species migration between islands within archipelagos. The algorithm is based on a simple yet powerful idea: high-quality solutions actively share their characteristics, while low-quality ones actively adopt new features, creating a natural flow of information from the best solutions to the worst. A unique adaptive mutation operator provides an excellent balance between exploration and exploitation. BBO demonstrates high efficiency on a variety of tasks.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 35): Making Adjustments (I)

Developing a Replay System (Part 35): Making Adjustments (I)

Before we can move forward, we need to fix a few things. These are not actually the necessary fixes but rather improvements to the way the class is managed and used. The reason is that failures occurred due to some interaction within the system. Despite attempts to find out the cause of such failures in order to eliminate them, all these attempts were unsuccessful. Some of these cases make no sense, for example, when we use pointers or recursion in C/C++, the program crashes.
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The case for using Hospital-Performance Data with Perceptrons, this Q4, in weighing SPDR XLV's next Performance

The case for using Hospital-Performance Data with Perceptrons, this Q4, in weighing SPDR XLV's next Performance

XLV is SPDR healthcare ETF and in an age where it is common to be bombarded by a wide array of traditional news items plus social media feeds, it can be pressing to select a data set for use with a model. We try to tackle this problem for this ETF by sizing up some of its critical data sets in MQL5.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 55): Control Module

Developing a Replay System (Part 55): Control Module

In this article, we will implement a control indicator so that it can be integrated into the message system we are developing. Although it is not very difficult, there are some details that need to be understood about the initialization of this module. The material presented here is for educational purposes only. In no way should it be considered as an application for any purpose other than learning and mastering the concepts shown.
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Backtracking Search Algorithm (BSA)

Backtracking Search Algorithm (BSA)

What if an optimization algorithm could remember its past journeys and use that memory to find better solutions? BSA does just that – balancing exploration with revisiting the tried and true. In this article, we reveal the secrets of the algorithm. A simple idea, minimum parameters and a stable result.
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Community of Scientists Optimization (CoSO): Practice

Community of Scientists Optimization (CoSO): Practice

We resume the topic of optimization by the scientific community. CoSO should not be viewed as a ready-made solution, but as a promising research platform. With proper development, CoSO can find its niche in tasks where adaptability and resilience to change are important, and computation time is not critical.