Statistical Arbitrage Through Cointegrated Stocks (Part 6): Scoring System
In this article, we propose a scoring system for mean-reversion strategies based on statistical arbitrage of cointegrated stocks. The article suggests criteria that go from liquidity and transaction costs to the number of cointegration ranks and time to mean-reversion, while taking into account the strategic criteria of data frequency (timeframe) and the lookback period for cointegration tests, which are evaluated before the score ranking properly. The files required for the reproduction of the backtest are provided, and their results are commented on as well.
Trading Robot Based on a GPT Language Model
The article presents a complete implementation of TimeGPT, a specialized Transformer-based architecture for forecasting financial time series on the MetaTrader 5 platform. Adaptation of the attention mechanism to financial data, selective tokenization of price changes, hardware-aware optimizations, and advanced learning techniques are discussed. Included are practical testing results showing 87% forecast accuracy over a 24-bar horizon with a training time of 15 minutes on the CPU. We also present a ready-made trading EA with automatic retraining.
Integrating Computer Vision into Trading in MQL5 (Part 1): Creating Basic Functions
The EURUSD forecasting system with the use of computer vision and deep learning. Learn how convolutional neural networks can recognize complex price patterns in the foreign exchange market and predict exchange rate movements with up to 54% accuracy. The article shares the methodology for creating an algorithm that uses artificial intelligence technologies for visual analysis of charts instead of traditional technical indicators. The author demonstrates the process of transforming price data into "images", their processing by a neural network, and a unique opportunity to peer into the "consciousness" of AI through activation maps and attention heatmaps. Practical Python code using the MetaTrader 5 library allows readers to reproduce the system and apply it in their own trading.
Exploring Machine Learning in Unidirectional Trend Trading Using Gold as a Case Study
This article discusses an approach to trading only in the chosen direction (buy or sell). For this purpose, the technique of causal inference and machine learning are used.
Developing a Replay System — Market simulation (Part 17): Ticks and more ticks (I)
Here we will see how to implement something really interesting, but at the same time very difficult due to certain points that can be very confusing. The worst thing that can happen is that some traders who consider themselves professionals do not know anything about the importance of these concepts in the capital market. Well, although we focus here on programming, understanding some of the issues involved in market trading is paramount to what we are going to implement.
Brain Storm Optimization algorithm (Part II): Multimodality
In the second part of the article, we will move on to the practical implementation of the BSO algorithm, conduct tests on test functions and compare the efficiency of BSO with other optimization methods.
Andrey Bolkonsky (abolk): "Any programmer knows that there is no software without bugs"
Andrey Bolkonsky (abolk) has been participating in the Jobs service since its opening. He has developed dozens of indicators and Expert Advisors for the MetaTrader 4 and MetaTrader 5 platforms. We will talk with Andrey about what a server is from the perspective of a programmer.
Moving to MQL5 Algo Forge (Part 3): Using External Repositories in Your Own Projects
Let's explore how you can start integrating external code from any repository in the MQL5 Algo Forge storage into your own project. In this article, we finally turn to this promising, yet more complex, task: how to practically connect and use libraries from third-party repositories within MQL5 Algo Forge.
Neural Networks in Trading: Memory Augmented Context-Aware Learning (MacroHFT) for Cryptocurrency Markets
I invite you to explore the MacroHFT framework, which applies context-aware reinforcement learning and memory to improve high-frequency cryptocurrency trading decisions using macroeconomic data and adaptive agents.
Data Science and ML (Part 38): AI Transfer Learning in Forex Markets
The AI breakthroughs dominating headlines, from ChatGPT to self-driving cars, aren’t built from isolated models but through cumulative knowledge transferred from various models or common fields. Now, this same "learn once, apply everywhere" approach can be applied to help us transform our AI models in algorithmic trading. In this article, we are going to learn how we can leverage the information gained across various instruments to help in improving predictions on others using transfer learning.
Building A Candlestick Trend Constraint Model (Part 9): Multiple Strategies Expert Advisor (II)
The number of strategies that can be integrated into an Expert Advisor is virtually limitless. However, each additional strategy increases the complexity of the algorithm. By incorporating multiple strategies, an Expert Advisor can better adapt to varying market conditions, potentially enhancing its profitability. Today, we will explore how to implement MQL5 for one of the prominent strategies developed by Richard Donchian, as we continue to enhance the functionality of our Trend Constraint Expert.
Time series clustering in causal inference
Clustering algorithms in machine learning are important unsupervised learning algorithms that can divide the original data into groups with similar observations. By using these groups, you can analyze the market for a specific cluster, search for the most stable clusters using new data, and make causal inferences. The article proposes an original method for time series clustering in Python.
A New Approach to Custom Criteria in Optimizations (Part 1): Examples of Activation Functions
The first of a series of articles looking at the mathematics of Custom Criteria with a specific focus on non-linear functions used in Neural Networks, MQL5 code for implementation and the use of targeted and correctional offsets.
Alexander Anufrenko: "A danger foreseen is half avoided" (ATC 2010)
The risky development of Alexander Anufrenko (Anufrenko321) had been featured among the top three of the Championship for three weeks. Having suffered a catastrophic Stop Loss last week, his Expert Advisor lost about $60,000, but now once again he is approaching the leaders. In this interview the author of this interesting EA is describing the operating principles and characteristics of his application.
From Simple Close Buttons to a Rule-Based Risk Dashboard in MQL5
Build a rule-based on-chart risk management panel in MetaTrader 5 using the MQL5 Standard Library. The guide covers a CAppDialog-based GUI, manual event routing, and an automated update loop. You will bind UI events to CTrade to execute conditional closures, show net floating P/L, and read automated targets directly from the chart.
DoEasy. Service functions (Part 1): Price patterns
In this article, we will start developing methods for searching for price patterns using timeseries data. A pattern has a certain set of parameters, common to any type of patterns. All data of this kind will be concentrated in the object class of the base abstract pattern. In the current article, we will create an abstract pattern class and a Pin Bar pattern class.
Creating a Trading Administrator Panel in MQL5 (Part V): Two-Factor Authentication (2FA)
Today, we will discuss enhancing security for the Trading Administrator Panel currently under development. We will explore how to implement MQL5 in a new security strategy, integrating the Telegram API for two-factor authentication (2FA). This discussion will provide valuable insights into the application of MQL5 in reinforcing security measures. Additionally, we will examine the MathRand function, focusing on its functionality and how it can be effectively utilized within our security framework. Continue reading to discover more!
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 11): Kelly Criterion, Prop Firm Integration, and CPCV Dynamic Backtesting
The bet-sizing signal from Part 10 is concurrency-corrected but carries no payoff-ratio adjustment, no response to a hard drawdown budget, and no validation across combinatorial paths. This article covers three additions: a two-stage architecture in which a Kelly payoff multiplier is applied on top of get_signal, preserving the concurrency correction while incorporating win/loss asymmetry; a prop firm integration layer that calibrates the sigmoid w parameter continuously from the remaining drawdown budget under FundedNext Stellar 2-Step rules; and a CPCV backtest framework that simulates a fresh account state across all φ[N, k] paths, producing a Sharpe distribution and a PBO audit.
Dimitar Manov: "I fear only extraordinary situations in the Championship" (ATC 2010)
In the recent review by Boris Odintsov the Expert Advisor of the Bulgarian Participant Dimitar Manov appeared among the most stable and reliable EAs. We decided to interview this developer and try to find the secret of his success. In this interview Dimitar has told us what situation would be unfavorable for his robot, why he's not using indicators and whether he is expecting to win the competition.
Developing a Replay System (Part 27): Expert Advisor project — C_Mouse class (I)
In this article we will implement the C_Mouse class. It provides the ability to program at the highest level. However, talking about high-level or low-level programming languages is not about including obscene words or jargon in the code. It's the other way around. When we talk about high-level or low-level programming, we mean how easy or difficult the code is for other programmers to understand.
Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 22): Correlation Dashboard
This tool is a Correlation Dashboard that calculates and displays real-time correlation coefficients across multiple currency pairs. By visualizing how pairs move in relation to one another, it adds valuable context to your price-action analysis and helps you anticipate inter-market dynamics. Read on to explore its features and applications.
Interview with Valery Mazurenko (ATC 2011)
The task of writing an Expert Advisor trading on multiple currency pairs is complex both in terms of finding suitable strategies and from the technological side. But if the goal is set clear, nothing is impossible then. It was four times already that Vitaly Mazurenko (notused) submitted his multi-currency Expert Advisor. It seems, he has managed to find the right way this time.
Chaos theory in trading (Part 2): Diving deeper
We continue our dive into chaos theory in financial markets. This time I will consider its applicability to the analysis of currencies and other assets.
Trading with the MQL5 Economic Calendar (Part 7): Preparing for Strategy Testing with Resource-Based News Event Analysis
In this article, we prepare our MQL5 trading system for strategy testing by embedding economic calendar data as a resource for non-live analysis. We implement event loading and filtering for time, currency, and impact, then validate it in the Strategy Tester. This enables effective backtesting of news-driven strategies.
Neural Networks in Trading: Dual-Attention-Based Trend Prediction Model
We continue the discussion about the use of piecewise linear representation of time series, which was started in the previous article. Today we will see how to combine this method with other approaches to time series analysis to improve the price trend prediction quality.
Category Theory in MQL5 (Part 13): Calendar Events with Database Schemas
This article, that follows Category Theory implementation of Orders in MQL5, considers how database schemas can be incorporated for classification in MQL5. We take an introductory look at how database schema concepts could be married with category theory when identifying trade relevant text(string) information. Calendar events are the focus.
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 13): DBSCAN for Expert Signal Class
Density Based Spatial Clustering for Applications with Noise is an unsupervised form of grouping data that hardly requires any input parameters, save for just 2, which when compared to other approaches like k-means, is a boon. We delve into how this could be constructive for testing and eventually trading with Wizard assembled Expert Advisers
Statistical Arbitrage Through Cointegrated Stocks (Part 2): Expert Advisor, Backtests, and Optimization
This article presents a sample Expert Advisor implementation for trading a basket of four Nasdaq stocks. The stocks were initially filtered based on Pearson correlation tests. The filtered group was then tested for cointegration with Johansen tests. Finally, the cointegrated spread was tested for stationarity with the ADF and KPSS tests. Here we will see some notes about this process and the results of the backtests after a small optimization.
Neural networks made easy (Part 60): Online Decision Transformer (ODT)
The last two articles were devoted to the Decision Transformer method, which models action sequences in the context of an autoregressive model of desired rewards. In this article, we will look at another optimization algorithm for this method.
From Matrices to Models: How to Build an ML Pipeline in MQL5 and Export It to ONNX
The article describes the arrangement of a coordinated ML pipeline in MetaTrader 5 with separation of roles: Python trains and exports the model to ONNX, MQL5 reproduces normalization and PCA via matrix/vector and performs inference. This approach makes the model's inputs stable and verifiable, and the MetaTrader 5 strategy tester provides metrics for analyzing the system behavior.
Combine Fundamental And Technical Analysis Strategies in MQL5 For Beginners
In this article, we will discuss how to integrate trend following and fundamental principles seamlessly into one Expert Advisors to build a strategy that is more robust. This article will demonstrate how easy it is for anyone to get up and running building customized trading algorithms using MQL5.
Category Theory in MQL5 (Part 18): Naturality Square
This article continues our series into category theory by introducing natural transformations, a key pillar within the subject. We look at the seemingly complex definition, then delve into examples and applications with this series’ ‘bread and butter’; volatility forecasting.
Neural networks made easy (Part 68): Offline Preference-guided Policy Optimization
Since the first articles devoted to reinforcement learning, we have in one way or another touched upon 2 problems: exploring the environment and determining the reward function. Recent articles have been devoted to the problem of exploration in offline learning. In this article, I would like to introduce you to an algorithm whose authors completely eliminated the reward function.
Interview with Berron Parker (ATC 2010)
During the first week of the Championship Berron's Expert Advisor has been on the top position. He now tells us about his experience of EA development and difficulties of moving to MQL5. Berron says his EA is set up to work in a trend market, but can be weak in other market conditions. However, he is hopeful that his robot will show good results in this competition.
Custom Indicator: Plotting Partial Entry, Exit and Reversal Deals for Netting Accounts
In this article, we will look at a non-standard way of creating an indicator in MQL5. Instead of focusing on a trend or chart pattern, our goal will be to manage our own positions, including partial entries and exits. We will make extensive use of dynamic matrices and some trading functions related to trade history and open positions to indicate on the chart where these trades were made.
Websockets for MetaTrader 5: Asynchronous client connections with the Windows API
This article details the development of a custom dynamically linked library designed to facilitate asynchronous websocket client connections for MetaTrader programs.
Market Simulation (Part 14): Sockets (VIII)
Many programmers might assume we should abandon using Excel and move directly to Python, using some packages that allow Python to generate an Excel file for later analysis of results. However, as mentioned in the previous article, although this solution is the simplest for many programmers, it will not be accepted by some users. And in this particular case, the user is always right. As programmers, we must find a way to make everything work.
Price Action Analysis Toolkit Development (Part 37): Sentiment Tilt Meter
Market sentiment is one of the most overlooked yet powerful forces influencing price movement. While most traders rely on lagging indicators or guesswork, the Sentiment Tilt Meter (STM) EA transforms raw market data into clear, visual guidance, showing whether the market is leaning bullish, bearish, or staying neutral in real-time. This makes it easier to confirm trades, avoid false entries, and time market participation more effectively.
Developing a Replay System (Part 74): New Chart Trade (I)
In this article, we will modify the last code shown in this series about Chart Trade. These changes are necessary to adapt the code to the current replay/simulation system model. The content presented here is intended solely for educational purposes. Under no circumstances should the application be viewed for any purpose other than to learn and master the concepts presented.
Interview with Igor Korepin (ATC 2011)
Appearance of the Expert Advisor cs2011 by Igor Korepin (Xupypr) at the very top of the Automated Trading Championship 2011 was really impressive - its balance was almost twice that of the EA featured on the second place. However, despite such a sound breakaway, the Expert Advisor could not stay long on the first line. Igor frankly said that he relied much on a lucky start of his trading robot in the competition. We'll see if luck helps this simple EA to take the lead in the ATC 2011 race again.