PrimeQuantum Almanac
- Experts
-
Masahiro Tanigawa
PrimeQuantum — building explainable, event-flow trading systems. Currently running a public forward test of PrimeQuantum Almanac: no grid, no martingale, a hard stop on every position, and a Parity Certificate so you can reproduce the reference backtest yourself. Verify, don't trust. - Version: 1.1
- Activations: 10
PrimeQuantum Almanac - Seven-Engine Portfolio EA
No martingale. No grid. No averaging down. Seven engines, 31 instruments.
Instead of depending on one trading idea, PrimeQuantum Almanac spreads risk across seven mechanically different rule-based engines - trend following, month-end institutional flows, index opening effects and volatility-regime hedging - across 31 FX, metal, index, energy and crypto instruments. The portfolio is therefore less dependent on any single market behaviour.
You choose one of three risk presets: Low Risk, Standard or High Risk. Every other setting is sealed.
HOW TO EVALUATE THIS WITHOUT TRUSTING ME
- Download the free demo and reproduce a one-year slice in the Strategy Tester. The settings and the number you should see are published in the Comments section of this page.
- Read the risk and limitations section below. It is written to be read before you buy, not discovered afterwards.
- Read the reconciliation guide in the Comments section - it explains why this product's yearly figures will not match a third-party tracker's, and gives you the formula to convert between them. You do not need to buy anything to read it.
- Rent for one month before committing to a purchase, if you prefer.
THE ANNUAL RE-BASE
Every January 1st the EA re-bases its position sizing to the same fixed stake: the account balance at first activation. Profits accumulate in the account, but position sizes do not grow with them. Three things follow:
- Position sizes do not compound with account growth, which helps avoid orders expanding toward broker size limits.
- Every calendar year is measured against the same yardstick, like pages of an almanac.
- You can withdraw profits at any time without changing the EA's behaviour.
The current year, the fixed stake and the year-to-date result are always shown on the chart panel (YEAR / STAKE / P/L).
BACKTEST REFERENCE - EVERY FIGURE BELOW IS A HISTORICAL SIMULATION
Test conditions: MetaTrader 5, IC Markets real data, 2018.05.01 - 2026.06.30, 100,000 USD stake, leverage 1:100, 1-minute OHLC model, real spread and real swap charged. Slippage is not modelled. For conservative evaluation the developer uses a stress assumption of 0.7-0.8x backtest Sharpe and 1.3-1.5x backtest drawdown. These are not forecasts of live performance.
| Preset | Profit factor | Max equity drawdown | Weakest full year | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOW RISK | 2.50 | 25.7% | +41.7% | Factory default for new users |
| STANDARD | 2.45 | 30.3% | +48.4% | Reference preset |
| HIGH RISK | 2.39 | 37.9% | +74.5% | Risk capital only - intra-year ledger drawdown reached -41% |
All three presets use the same engines, the same entries and the same exits. Only position sizing changes.
Read this before the yearly table. 2020 dominates this sample. Excluding 2020 entirely, the pooled profit factor is still 2.06. The reported profit factor is a whole-run figure; year by year it ranges from 1.26 to 3.05, and the choppy year 2022 printed 1.38. The table below is measured against the fixed stake, not against account equity - the two are different things, and the reconciliation guide in the Comments section explains the difference.
| Year | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return vs fixed stake | +198% | +3,173% | +186% | +48% | +113% | +403% | +305% |
All seven complete calendar years are positive in the historical simulation, as are both partial years (2018 from May, and 2026 H1).
SEVEN ENGINES, SEVEN DIFFERENT JOBS
Share of net profit over the backtest sample:
| # | Engine | What it does | Share of net profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trend following | Gold, silver, crude, Bitcoin, Ethereum - multi-week momentum | 35.6% |
| 2 | Index overnight-overreaction fade | US indices, 30-minute window at the US open | 28.1% |
| 3 | Month-end FX fixing flow | Three pairs, calm months only - London fixing flow | 20.3% |
| 4 | FX month-end rebalancing reversal | Five majors | 7.4% |
| 5 | Market-neutral FX pair arbitrage | FX crosses, long/short pairs | 6.6% |
| 6 | VIX-backwardation crisis hedge | Long US indices when the volatility curve inverts | 3.5% |
| 7 | Pre-FOMC drift | US indices ahead of FOMC meetings - kept deliberately | -1.5% |
One engine is deliberately negative over the full sample. Removing it improved the headline profit factor slightly but collapsed the portfolio's weakest full year from +48.4% to +12.2% on Standard, and failed every risk tier's gates in a test whose criteria were frozen before the results were seen. Its negative contribution is an insurance premium: its gross profits concentrate in exactly the years when everything else is quiet.
RISK AND LIMITATIONS
This section exists so that you read it here rather than discover it later.
- 27-28% of trading days have no trades at all. The longest quiet stretch in the backtest was 13 consecutive trading days. If silence makes you switch an EA off, this product is not suitable for you.
- The worst single backtest day was about -15% to -18% of the yearly stake, driven by the intraday index engine.
- A bootstrap over yearly resamples puts the probability of a live profit factor below 2.0 at roughly 37%. Below 2.0 does not mean unprofitable - it means the backtest profit factor should not be treated as a live expectation. No certainty is claimed.
- Roughly a third of gross backtest profit went to costs, mostly financing (swap). At 1.5x historical swap costs the Standard profit factor still prints at or above 2.0.
- There is no fixed stop-loss on every trade. Exits are scheduled and rule-based, and risk is controlled at the sizing layer. The worst-day and drawdown figures above are the honest measure of that choice.
- Positions are carried across January 1st, so part of a strong December can land on the next year's page.
- Historical simulations are not live results, and past performance does not indicate future results.
RISK CONTROL
- Position sizes never react to losses. They are set by the fixed yearly stake and step back to it every January.
- Every position is time-boxed: each engine has a scheduled, rule-based exit window.
- Engines are independent. If your broker lacks a symbol, only that engine disables itself and says so in the log; the rest keep trading.
- Two engines use event calendars (FOMC, month-end classification) shipped through end-2027. The EA warns on screen 45 days before a table expires, and updates drop into MQL5\Files without reinstalling. If a table does expire, those two engines self-disable and the other five continue.
SETUP AND REQUIREMENTS
Attach the EA to any single chart. The symbol and timeframe of that chart do not matter - the EA trades its own 31-instrument universe internally.
Instruments (31). FX majors and crosses (16 pairs); metals - gold and silver; energy - crude oil; crypto - Bitcoin and Ethereum; US index CFDs - US500, USTEC, US30. Symbol names are pre-filled and auto-resolve broker prefixes and suffixes.
Inputs. Risk level, symbol names, magic number. Nothing else. There are no tunable strategy parameters - every dial is sealed to the certified configuration, which is exactly how the published figures were measured.
Account. Hedging account recommended. Leverage 1:100 or higher (1:30 is not sufficient for High Risk). Minimum balance 1,000 USD; 10,000 USD or more is representative - below that, minimum-lot rounding thins out the smaller legs. A broker carrying the full instrument set is required. The published figures were produced on IC Markets data and were not tuned to any other broker.
Technical. VPS recommended. No DLLs. One optional WebRequest to a public CBOE endpoint refreshes the VIX reading; if it is unavailable the EA falls back to a neutral state and keeps running.
WHO THIS IS FOR
- Traders leaving martingale, grid or averaging EAs - here, sizes never react to losses, so there is nothing to recover by doubling.
- Buyers who weigh drawdown, yearly consistency and transparent risk control above headline gains.
- Patient traders. This is a selective system with silent stretches, not an overtrading scalper.
It is not for you if you need daily activity, cannot tolerate double-digit drawdowns, or expect backtest performance to repeat unchanged in live trading.
SUPPORT, LICENCE AND WHAT YOU GET
- Support is provided in the Comments section of this page, publicly, so that an answer helps the next reader. Questions are answered within two business days, Japan time.
- Lifetime updates, including refreshed event-calendar files.
- 10 activations.
- Market purchases cannot be refunded once completed. That is why the free demo, the one-year reproduction recipe and the one-month rental exist - please use them first.
- I do not offer anything in exchange for reviews.
PRICING
The launch price reflects a short public track record. It rises on published evidence milestones, not on a marketing countdown, and it will not be discounted.
| Stage | Evidence milestone | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Launch | - | 399 USD |
| Stage 2 | 3 published forward months | 499 USD |
| Stage 3 | 6 months, drawdown inside the published range | 599 USD |
Rental is available if you would rather evaluate before committing.
Risk disclaimer. Backtest results are historical simulations and do not guarantee future performance. Trading involves risk, and losses are possible. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
