Articles on data analysis and statistics in MQL5

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Articles on mathematical models and laws of probability are interesting for many traders. Mathematics is the basis of technical indicators, and statistics is required to analyze trading results and develop strategies.

Read about the fuzzy logic, digital filters, market profile, Kohonen maps, neural gas and many other tools that can be used for trading.

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Interactive Supply and Demand Zone Manager in MQL5 (Part III): Zone Analysis, Stateful Interaction, and Pending Event Management

Interactive Supply and Demand Zone Manager in MQL5 (Part III): Zone Analysis, Stateful Interaction, and Pending Event Management

We extend the stateful supply and demand framework for MetaTrader 5 with a quantitative admission model and a dedicated interaction engine. Candidate zones are scored by structural symmetry, volume participation, and ATR‑normalized displacement, then classified into objective tiers. Admitted zones follow a deterministic lifecycle that tracks first touch, validates bounces, or confirms breakouts, with full telemetry for analysis and reproducibility.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 57): Understanding a Test Service

Developing a Replay System (Part 57): Understanding a Test Service

One point to note: although the service code is not included in this article and will only be provided in the next one, I'll explain it since we'll be using that same code as a springboard for what we're actually developing. So, be attentive and patient. Wait for the next article, because every day everything becomes more interesting.
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Symbolic Price Forecasting Equation Using SymPy

Symbolic Price Forecasting Equation Using SymPy

The article describes an interesting approach to algorithmic trading based on symbolic mathematical equations instead of traditional machine learning "black boxes". The author demonstrates how to transform opaque neural networks into readable mathematical equations using the SymPy library and polynomial regression, allowing for a full understanding of the logic behind trading decisions. The approach combines the computational power of ML with the transparency of classical methods, giving traders the ability to analyze, adjust, and adapt models in real time.
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MQL5 Trading Toolkit (Part 6): Expanding the History Management EX5 Library with the Last Filled Pending Order Functions

MQL5 Trading Toolkit (Part 6): Expanding the History Management EX5 Library with the Last Filled Pending Order Functions

Learn how to create an EX5 module of exportable functions that seamlessly query and save data for the most recently filled pending order. In this comprehensive step-by-step guide, we will enhance the History Management EX5 library by developing dedicated and compartmentalized functions to retrieve essential properties of the last filled pending order. These properties include the order type, setup time, execution time, filling type, and other critical details necessary for effective pending orders trade history management and analysis.
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Building Volatility Models in MQL5 (Part III): Implementing the SLSQP Algorithm for Model Estimation

Building Volatility Models in MQL5 (Part III): Implementing the SLSQP Algorithm for Model Estimation

An SLSQP optimizer is implemented in MQL5 to resolve parameter discrepancies between a volatility library and Python's ARCH module. The article details constraint handling, gradient options, configuration, and convergence controls and shows how to integrate the solver into existing code. Practical examples and comparisons demonstrate matched log‑likelihoods and parameters on shared datasets.
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Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Theory

Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Theory

The article is devoted to the metaheuristic Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO) algorithm, which simulates the behavior of clouds to solve optimization problems. The algorithm uses the principles of cloud generation, movement and propagation, adapting to the "weather conditions" in the solution space. The article reveals how the algorithm's meteorological simulation finds optimal solutions in a complex possibility space and describes in detail the stages of ACMO operation, including "sky" preparation, cloud birth, cloud movement, and rain concentration.
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Bivariate Copulae in MQL5 (Part 3): Implementation and Tuning of Mixed Copula Models in MQL5

Bivariate Copulae in MQL5 (Part 3): Implementation and Tuning of Mixed Copula Models in MQL5

The article extends our copula toolkit with mixed copulas implemented natively in MQL5. We construct Clayton–Frank–Gumbel and Clayton–Student–t–Gumbel mixtures, estimate them via EM, and enable sparsity control through SCAD with cross‑validation. Provided scripts tune hyperparameters, compare mixtures using information criteria, and save trained models. Practitioners can apply these components to capture asymmetric tail dependence and embed the selected model in indicators or Expert Advisors.
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Implementing Practical Modules from Other Languages in MQL5 (Part 05): The Logging module from Python, Log Like a Pro

Implementing Practical Modules from Other Languages in MQL5 (Part 05): The Logging module from Python, Log Like a Pro

Integrating Python's logging module with MQL5 empowers traders with a systematic logging approach, simplifying the process of monitoring, debugging, and documenting trading activities. This article explains the adaptation process, offering traders a powerful tool for maintaining clarity and organization in trading software development.
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MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 27): Rendering Parametric Butterfly Curve on Canvas

MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 27): Rendering Parametric Butterfly Curve on Canvas

In this article, we explore the butterfly curve, a parametric mathematical equation, and render it visually on a MQL5 canvas. We build an interactive display with a draggable, resizable canvas window, supersampled curve rendering, gradient backgrounds, and a color-segmented legend. By the end, we have a fully functional visual tool that plots the butterfly curve directly on the MetaTrader 5 chart.
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MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 38): Adding a Tabbed Settings Window for Editing Object Properties

MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 38): Adding a Tabbed Settings Window for Editing Object Properties

We add a tabbed settings window opened from the ribbon and bound to the selected object. The tabs — Style, Text, Coordinates, and Visibility — are built from the same descriptor system, with scrolling, per-level rows, and shared color/width/style popovers. The article covers layout, rendering, interaction, and inline price/time and numeric editing. You get one place to edit every property with live preview and commit-or-discard on close.
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Seasonality Indicator by Hours, Days of the Week, and Days of the Month

Seasonality Indicator by Hours, Days of the Week, and Days of the Month

The article explains how to develop a tool for analyzing recurring price patterns in financial markets — by day of the month (1-31), day of the week (Monday-Sunday), or hour of the day (0-23). The indicator analyzes historical data, calculates the average return for each period, and displays the results as a histogram with a forecast. It includes customizable parameters: seasonality type, number of bars analyzed, display as percentages or absolute values, chart colors.
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Biogeography-Based Optimization (BBO)

Biogeography-Based Optimization (BBO)

Biogeography-Based Optimization (BBO) is an elegant global optimization method inspired by natural processes of species migration between islands within archipelagos. The algorithm is based on a simple yet powerful idea: high-quality solutions actively share their characteristics, while low-quality ones actively adopt new features, creating a natural flow of information from the best solutions to the worst. A unique adaptive mutation operator provides an excellent balance between exploration and exploitation. BBO demonstrates high efficiency on a variety of tasks.
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Quantum Neural Network in MQL5 (Part II): Training a Neural Network with Backpropagation on ALGLIB Markov Matrices

Quantum Neural Network in MQL5 (Part II): Training a Neural Network with Backpropagation on ALGLIB Markov Matrices

The article presents an innovative quantum neural network architecture for algorithmic trading that combines the principles of quantum mechanics with modern machine learning methods. The system includes quantum effects (resonance, interference, decoherence), multi-level memory of different time scales, Markov chains with the ALGLIB library, and adaptive parameter control. The full implementation is done in MQL5 using the built-in matrix/vector types, which removes implementation barriers in MetaTrader 5.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 60): Playing the Service (I)

Developing a Replay System (Part 60): Playing the Service (I)

We have been working on just the indicators for a long time now, but now it's time to get the service working again and see how the chart is built based on the data provided. However, since the whole thing is not that simple, we will have to be attentive to understand what awaits us ahead.
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MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 28): Filling Sweep Polygons for Butterfly Curve in MQL5

MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 28): Filling Sweep Polygons for Butterfly Curve in MQL5

We expand the capabilities of the MetaTrader 5 butterfly curve canvas by adding multi-layered wing fills, vein lines, scale dots, and a full body (abdomen, thorax, head, eyes, antennae). This article implements polygon fills with vertical and radial gradients, as well as filled circles and ellipses, all using supersampling antialiasing. You will also receive reusable MQL5 helper functions and a rendering order that transforms a simple curve into a customizable, detailed chart illustration.
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Position Management: A Reusable Trade Journal with Live Maximum Adverse Excursion, Maximum Favorable Excursion, and R-Multiple Tracking in MQL5

Position Management: A Reusable Trade Journal with Live Maximum Adverse Excursion, Maximum Favorable Excursion, and R-Multiple Tracking in MQL5

This article presents CTradeJournal, a self-contained MQL5 class for live tracking of open positions at tick frequency. It maintains MAE, MFE, and initial risk in money, calculates the R-multiple when a position closes, and writes a complete CSV record. The text explains the design choices, provides the implementation, and shows simple EA integration so you can analyze entries, stop placement, and outcome distribution.
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Execution Cost and Slippage Sensitivity Analyzer

Execution Cost and Slippage Sensitivity Analyzer

Backtests often understate spread, commission, and slippage. This MQL5 analyzer loads closing deals and simulates rising execution costs to measure robustness. It computes the breakeven cost per deal, the cushion over an assumed cost, the net profit and profit factor at that cost, and how many winners turn into losers, then summarizes the result with an A+ to F grade and targeted guidance.
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Community of Scientists Optimization (CoSO): Practice

Community of Scientists Optimization (CoSO): Practice

We resume the topic of optimization by the scientific community. CoSO should not be viewed as a ready-made solution, but as a promising research platform. With proper development, CoSO can find its niche in tasks where adaptability and resilience to change are important, and computation time is not critical.
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Gaussian Processes in Machine Learning (Part 1): Classification Model in MQL5

Gaussian Processes in Machine Learning (Part 1): Classification Model in MQL5

The article considers the classification model of Gaussian processes. We will start by studying its theoretical principles moving on to the practical development of the GP library in MQL5.
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Developing a Multi-Currency Expert Advisor (Part 28): Adding a Position Closing Manager

Developing a Multi-Currency Expert Advisor (Part 28): Adding a Position Closing Manager

When running multiple strategies in parallel, you may want to periodically close all open positions and start the strategies over again. The existing code only allows this behavior to be implemented through manual intervention. Let's try to automate this part.
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Population optimization algorithms: Bacterial Foraging Optimization - Genetic Algorithm (BFO-GA)

Population optimization algorithms: Bacterial Foraging Optimization - Genetic Algorithm (BFO-GA)

The article presents a new approach to solving optimization problems by combining ideas from bacterial foraging optimization (BFO) algorithms and techniques used in the genetic algorithm (GA) into a hybrid BFO-GA algorithm. It uses bacterial swarming to globally search for an optimal solution and genetic operators to refine local optima. Unlike the original BFO, bacteria can now mutate and inherit genes.
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Creating an Interactive Portfolio Analyzer Dashboard with CCanvas in MQL5

Creating an Interactive Portfolio Analyzer Dashboard with CCanvas in MQL5

This article presents a standalone Portfolio Analyzer dashboard implemented as an Expert Advisor for MetaTrader 5. It reads account deal history, reconstructs closed positions, and attributes results by magic number or normalized comment to deliver clear per-strategy metrics. The interface provides a vector equity curve, date filters, and strategy selectors, plus a Pearson correlation matrix to reveal strategy redundancy. You can attach it to a separate chart without modifying existing trading EAs.
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Market Simulation (Part 12): Sockets (VI)

Market Simulation (Part 12): Sockets (VI)

In this article, we will look at how to solve certain problems and issues that arise when using Python code within other programs. More specifically, we will demonstrate a common issue encountered when using Excel in conjunction with MetaTrader 5, although we will be using Python to facilitate this interaction. However, this implementation has a minor drawback. It does not occur in all cases, but only in certain specific situations. When it does happen, it is necessary to understand the cause. In today’s article, we will begin explaining how to resolve this issue.
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Overcoming Accessibility Problems in MQL5 Trading Tools (Part IV): Remote voice trading

Overcoming Accessibility Problems in MQL5 Trading Tools (Part IV): Remote voice trading

Learn a practical way to execute MetaTrader 5 trades from Telegram voice notes using a Python middleware and an MQL5 EA acting as an HTTP client. The article covers architecture, WebRequest polling, in-memory queuing, JSON parsing with null-terminator stripping, and a constrained command grammar with a 0.001-lot default. You will configure the environment and validate round‑trip latency suitable for mobile data connections.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 45): Chart Trade Project (IV)

Developing a Replay System (Part 45): Chart Trade Project (IV)

The main purpose of this article is to introduce and explain the C_ChartFloatingRAD class. We have a Chart Trade indicator that works in a rather interesting way. As you may have noticed, we still have a fairly small number of objects on the chart, and yet we get the expected functionality. The values present in the indicator can be edited. The question is, how is this possible? This article will start to make things clearer.
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Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Practice

Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Practice

In this article, we will continue diving into the implementation of the ACMO (Atmospheric Cloud Model Optimization) algorithm. In particular, we will discuss two key aspects: the movement of clouds into low-pressure regions and the rain simulation, including the initialization of droplets and their distribution among clouds. We will also look at other methods that play an important role in managing the state of clouds and ensuring their interaction with the environment.
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A feature selection algorithm using energy based learning in pure MQL5

A feature selection algorithm using energy based learning in pure MQL5

In this article we present the implementation of a feature selection algorithm described in an academic paper titled,"FREL: A stable feature selection algorithm", called Feature weighting as regularized energy based learning.
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Feature selection and dimensionality reduction using principal components

Feature selection and dimensionality reduction using principal components

The article delves into the implementation of a modified Forward Selection Component Analysis algorithm, drawing inspiration from the research presented in “Forward Selection Component Analysis: Algorithms and Applications” by Luca Puggini and Sean McLoone.
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Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization (ASBO): Two-phase evolution

Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization (ASBO): Two-phase evolution

We continue dwelling on the topic of social behavior of living organisms and its impact on the development of a new mathematical model - ASBO (Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization). We will dive into the two-phase evolution, test the algorithm and draw conclusions. Just as in nature a group of living organisms join their efforts to survive, ASBO uses principles of collective behavior to solve complex optimization problems.
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Exploring Regression Models for Causal Inference and Trading

Exploring Regression Models for Causal Inference and Trading

The article explores the possibility of using regression models in algorithmic trading. Regression models, unlike binary classification, allow for the creation of more flexible trading strategies by quantifying predicted price changes.
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Kohonen Self-Organizing Maps in an MQL5 Expert Advisor

Kohonen Self-Organizing Maps in an MQL5 Expert Advisor

Kohonen's self-organizing maps transform the chaos of market data into an ordered two-dimensional map, where similar patterns are grouped together. The article demonstrates a complete implementation of a SOM in an MQL5 Expert Advisor with 400 neurons and continuous learning. We break down the Best Matching Unit search algorithm, weight updates using a Gaussian neighborhood function, integration with quantum effects, and the generation of trading signals. The code is open-source, the math is clear, and the results are verifiable.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 35): Making Adjustments (I)

Developing a Replay System (Part 35): Making Adjustments (I)

Before we can move forward, we need to fix a few things. These are not actually the necessary fixes but rather improvements to the way the class is managed and used. The reason is that failures occurred due to some interaction within the system. Despite attempts to find out the cause of such failures in order to eliminate them, all these attempts were unsuccessful. Some of these cases make no sense, for example, when we use pointers or recursion in C/C++, the program crashes.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 55): Control Module

Developing a Replay System (Part 55): Control Module

In this article, we will implement a control indicator so that it can be integrated into the message system we are developing. Although it is not very difficult, there are some details that need to be understood about the initialization of this module. The material presented here is for educational purposes only. In no way should it be considered as an application for any purpose other than learning and mastering the concepts shown.
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Stepwise feature selection in MQL5

Stepwise feature selection in MQL5

In this article, we introduce a modified version of stepwise feature selection, implemented in MQL5. This approach is based on the techniques outlined in Modern Data Mining Algorithms in C++ and CUDA C by Timothy Masters.
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Determining Fair Exchange Rates Using PPP and IMF Data

Determining Fair Exchange Rates Using PPP and IMF Data

Building a purchasing power parity (PPP)-based exchange rate analysis system using Python. The author developed an algorithm with 5 methods for calculating fair exchange rates using IMF data. A practical guide to fundamental currency analysis, economic data processing, and integration with trading systems. Full code in open source.
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The case for using Hospital-Performance Data with Perceptrons, this Q4, in weighing SPDR XLV's next Performance

The case for using Hospital-Performance Data with Perceptrons, this Q4, in weighing SPDR XLV's next Performance

XLV is SPDR healthcare ETF and in an age where it is common to be bombarded by a wide array of traditional news items plus social media feeds, it can be pressing to select a data set for use with a model. We try to tackle this problem for this ETF by sizing up some of its critical data sets in MQL5.
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Dingo Optimization Algorithm (DOA)

Dingo Optimization Algorithm (DOA)

The article presents a new metaheuristic method based on the hunting strategies of Australian dingoes: group attack, chase, and scavenging. Let's see how the Dingo Optimization Algorithm (DOA) performs algorithmically.
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Beyond GARCH (Part II): Measuring the Fractal Dimension of Markets

Beyond GARCH (Part II): Measuring the Fractal Dimension of Markets

Building on the partition function analysis from Part 1, this article deepens the theoretical foundation before completing the analytical pipeline. We first give a full treatment of the Hurst exponent: what it measures, what it implies about market memory, and why it matters for the MMAR. This is followed by an intuitive exploration of multifractal spectra and what f(α) reveals about volatility heterogeneity. We then move to implementation: extracting the scaling function τ(q), estimating H via R/S analysis, and fitting the multifractal spectrum across four candidate distributions. By the end, we have the complete parameter set needed to construct the MMAR process in Part 3. Part 2 of an eight-part series.
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MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 90): Fenwick Tree Money Management with 1D CNN in MQL5

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 90): Fenwick Tree Money Management with 1D CNN in MQL5

This article implements a Fenwick Tree (Binary Indexed Tree) for volume-aware money management inside an MQL5 Wizard Expert Advisor. We structure cumulative volume in O(log n) and apply four scaling modes—linear, conservative, aggressive, and mean-reversion—optionally gated by a lightweight 1D CNN. Practical tests compare the algorithm alone versus the CNN‑filtered approach to illustrate adaptive lot sizing and risk control under varying volume topologies.
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Market Microstructure in MQL5 (Part 2): Measuring long memory in MQL5 with Hurst estimators

Market Microstructure in MQL5 (Part 2): Measuring long memory in MQL5 with Hurst estimators

Part 2 focuses on practical long-memory detection for intraday data. Three complementary Hurst estimators are implemented and combined into a confidence‑weighted composite, with confidence tied to valid regression scales. The final H and confidence populate the shared analysis struct, enabling indicators to act only when H departs from the neutral 0.40–0.60 band and to select trend‑following above 0.60 or mean‑reversion below 0.40.