Articles on data analysis and statistics in MQL5

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Articles on mathematical models and laws of probability are interesting for many traders. Mathematics is the basis of technical indicators, and statistics is required to analyze trading results and develop strategies.

Read about the fuzzy logic, digital filters, market profile, Kohonen maps, neural gas and many other tools that can be used for trading.

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Quantum Neural Network in MQL5 (Part II): Training a Neural Network with Backpropagation on ALGLIB Markov Matrices

Quantum Neural Network in MQL5 (Part II): Training a Neural Network with Backpropagation on ALGLIB Markov Matrices

The article presents an innovative quantum neural network architecture for algorithmic trading that combines the principles of quantum mechanics with modern machine learning methods. The system includes quantum effects (resonance, interference, decoherence), multi-level memory of different time scales, Markov chains with the ALGLIB library, and adaptive parameter control. The full implementation is done in MQL5 using the built-in matrix/vector types, which removes implementation barriers in MetaTrader 5.
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Implementation of a table model in MQL5: Applying the MVC concept

Implementation of a table model in MQL5: Applying the MVC concept

In this article, we look at the process of developing a table model in MQL5 using the MVC (Model-View-Controller) architectural pattern to separate data logic, presentation, and control, enabling structured, flexible, and scalable code. We consider implementation of classes for building a table model, including the use of linked lists for storing data.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 34): Order System (III)

Developing a Replay System (Part 34): Order System (III)

In this article, we will complete the first phase of construction. Although this part is fairly quick to complete, I will cover details that were not discussed previously. I will explain some points that many do not understand. Do you know why you have to press the Shift or Ctrl key?
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Market Simulation: Position View (V)

Market Simulation: Position View (V)

Despite what was shown in the previous article, all of this may seem simple at first. In reality, several problems remain, along with many tasks that still need to be completed. You, dear reader, may imagine that everything is easy and straightforward. Out of inexperience, you may simply accept whatever is presented to you. And that is a mistake you should try to avoid. Even worse is trying to use something without truly understanding what exactly you are using. Beginners often pass through a copy-and-paste stage. If you do not want to remain stuck at that stage forever, you should learn how to use certain tools. One of the tools most often used by programmers is documentation. The second is testing, supported by log files. Here we will see how to do this.
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Market Simulation (Part 22): Getting Started with SQL (V)

Market Simulation (Part 22): Getting Started with SQL (V)

Before you give up and decide to abandon learning SQL, allow me to remind you, dear readers, that here we are still using only the most basic elements. We have not yet looked at some of SQL's capabilities. Once you understand them, you will see that SQL is far more practical than it seems. Although, most likely, we will eventually change the direction of what we are building, because the creation process is dynamic. We will show a little more about creating different things in SQL, because this is truly important and useful for you. Simply thinking that you are more capable than an entire community of programmers and developers will only lead to wasted time and opportunities. Do not worry, because what comes next will be even more interesting.
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MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 90): Fenwick Tree Money Management with 1D CNN in MQL5

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 90): Fenwick Tree Money Management with 1D CNN in MQL5

This article implements a Fenwick Tree (Binary Indexed Tree) for volume-aware money management inside an MQL5 Wizard Expert Advisor. We structure cumulative volume in O(log n) and apply four scaling modes—linear, conservative, aggressive, and mean-reversion—optionally gated by a lightweight 1D CNN. Practical tests compare the algorithm alone versus the CNN‑filtered approach to illustrate adaptive lot sizing and risk control under varying volume topologies.
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Population optimization algorithms: Resistance to getting stuck in local extrema (Part I)

Population optimization algorithms: Resistance to getting stuck in local extrema (Part I)

This article presents a unique experiment that aims to examine the behavior of population optimization algorithms in the context of their ability to efficiently escape local minima when population diversity is low and reach global maxima. Working in this direction will provide further insight into which specific algorithms can successfully continue their search using coordinates set by the user as a starting point, and what factors influence their success.
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Automatic Session Volume Profile Builder in MQL5: Rendering POC and Value Area Without Third-Party Tools

Automatic Session Volume Profile Builder in MQL5: Rendering POC and Value Area Without Third-Party Tools

Implement a session-focused volume profile in MQL5: acquire ticks with CopyTicksRange(), bin prices, and compute POC, VAH, and VAL by the 70% approach. The indicator renders directly on the chart as native objects, supports fixed-width scaling for consistent geometry across timeframes, and refreshes on each new session. This provides objective reference levels without external dependencies.
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Developing a Multi-Currency Expert Advisor (Part 28): Adding a Position Closing Manager

Developing a Multi-Currency Expert Advisor (Part 28): Adding a Position Closing Manager

When running multiple strategies in parallel, you may want to periodically close all open positions and start the strategies over again. The existing code only allows this behavior to be implemented through manual intervention. Let's try to automate this part.
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Building a Hierarchical Market Structure Framework (Prototype) in MQL5 Using Modular Architecture and Event-Driven Design

Building a Hierarchical Market Structure Framework (Prototype) in MQL5 Using Modular Architecture and Event-Driven Design

This article describes a prototype reusable market structure framework for MQL5, built with a clean modular architecture and an internal event queue. It shows how to detect swing points, classify break-of-structure and change-of-character events, maintain a deterministic market state, and persist data to CSV. The focus is entirely on software engineering, component separation, and extensibility, not on trading signals. The prototype is a foundation for further development, not a production-ready library.
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Seasonality Indicator by Hours, Days of the Week, and Days of the Month

Seasonality Indicator by Hours, Days of the Week, and Days of the Month

The article explains how to develop a tool for analyzing recurring price patterns in financial markets — by day of the month (1-31), day of the week (Monday-Sunday), or hour of the day (0-23). The indicator analyzes historical data, calculates the average return for each period, and displays the results as a histogram with a forecast. It includes customizable parameters: seasonality type, number of bars analyzed, display as percentages or absolute values, chart colors.
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MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 29): Continuation on Learning Rates with MLPs

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 29): Continuation on Learning Rates with MLPs

We wrap up our look at learning rate sensitivity to the performance of Expert Advisors by primarily examining the Adaptive Learning Rates. These learning rates aim to be customized for each parameter in a layer during the training process and so we assess potential benefits vs the expected performance toll.
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Exchange Market Algorithm (EMA)

Exchange Market Algorithm (EMA)

The article presents a detailed analysis of the Exchange Market Algorithm (EMA) inspired by the behavior of stock market traders. The algorithm simulates stock trading, where market participants with varying levels of success employ different strategies to maximize profits.
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Determining Fair Exchange Rates Using PPP and IMF Data

Determining Fair Exchange Rates Using PPP and IMF Data

Building a purchasing power parity (PPP)-based exchange rate analysis system using Python. The author developed an algorithm with 5 methods for calculating fair exchange rates using IMF data. A practical guide to fundamental currency analysis, economic data processing, and integration with trading systems. Full code in open source.
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MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 29): Step-by-Step Butterfly Animation on Canvas

MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 29): Step-by-Step Butterfly Animation on Canvas

In this article, we expand our butterfly animation program with a four-stage animation pipeline: sequential curve drawing, smooth wing fill fading, detailed body rendering, and continuous flight. We implement a timer-driven state machine, four oscillators for wing flapping, vertical bobbing, horizontal sway, and tilt, as well as a neon glow around the wing outlines and a cyclical color change based on hue. You will learn how to structure these effects on the MetaTrader 5 canvas for clean and controlled playback.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 56): Adapting the Modules

Developing a Replay System (Part 56): Adapting the Modules

Although the modules already interact with each other properly, an error occurs when trying to use the mouse pointer in the replay service. We need to fix this before moving on to the next step. Additionally, we will fix an issue in the mouse indicator code. So this version will be finally stable and properly polished.
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Exploring Regression Models for Causal Inference and Trading

Exploring Regression Models for Causal Inference and Trading

The article explores the possibility of using regression models in algorithmic trading. Regression models, unlike binary classification, allow for the creation of more flexible trading strategies by quantifying predicted price changes.
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Gaussian Processes in Machine Learning (Part 1): Classification Model in MQL5

Gaussian Processes in Machine Learning (Part 1): Classification Model in MQL5

The article considers the classification model of Gaussian processes. We will start by studying its theoretical principles moving on to the practical development of the GP library in MQL5.
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MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 92): Using B-Tree Indexing and a Bayesian NN in a Custom Signal Class

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 92): Using B-Tree Indexing and a Bayesian NN in a Custom Signal Class

In this article we present yet another custom MQL5 Signal Class that we are labelling ‘CSignalBTreeBayesian’. We are marrying the algorithm of a balanced tree with a neural network that is built on Bayesian principles to formulate yet another custom signal testable independently or with other signals thanks to the MQL5 Wizard.
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Overcoming Accessibility Problems in MQL5 Trading Tools (Part I): How to Add Contextual Voice Alerts in MQL5 Indicators

Overcoming Accessibility Problems in MQL5 Trading Tools (Part I): How to Add Contextual Voice Alerts in MQL5 Indicators

This article explores an accessibility-focused enhancement that goes beyond default terminal alerts by leveraging MQL5 resource management to deliver contextual voice feedback. Instead of generic tones, the indicator communicates what has occurred and why, allowing traders to understand market events without relying solely on visual observation. This approach is especially valuable for visually impaired traders, but it also benefits busy or multitasking users who prefer hands-free interaction.
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Introduction to MQL5 (Part 40): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (II)

Introduction to MQL5 (Part 40): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (II)

Create a CSV trading journal in MQL5 by reading account history over a defined period and writing structured records to file. The article explains deal counting, ticket retrieval, symbol and order type decoding, and capturing entry (lot, time, price, SL/TP) and exit (time, price, profit, result) data with dynamic arrays. The result is an organized, persistent log suitable for analysis and reporting.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 63): Playing the service (IV)

Developing a Replay System (Part 63): Playing the service (IV)

In this article, we will finally solve the problems with the simulation of ticks on a one-minute bar so that they can coexist with real ticks. This will help us avoid problems in the future. The material presented here is for educational purposes only. Under no circumstances should the application be viewed for any purpose other than to learn and master the concepts presented.
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MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 34): Replacing Native Chart Objects with an Interactive Canvas Drawing Layer

MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 34): Replacing Native Chart Objects with an Interactive Canvas Drawing Layer

We replace native MetaTrader chart objects with a canvas-based drawing engine that renders tools pixel-by-pixel on a full-chart bitmap layer. The article implements persistent object storage with per-tool style memory, precise hit testing, selection, whole-object dragging, and handle manipulation. It also adds new line tools, a reorganized category system with a one-click delete action, and a rubber-band preview for multi-click placement.
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Market Simulation (Part 24): Position View (II)

Market Simulation (Part 24): Position View (II)

In this article, I will show how to use an indicator to track open positions on the trading server in the simplest and most practical way possible. I am doing this step by step to show that you do not necessarily have to move all of this into an Expert Advisor. Many of you have probably become used to doing that for one reason or another. In fact, that is not really justified, because as this implementation evolves, it will become clear that you can create or implement different types of indicators for this purpose.
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Dingo Optimization Algorithm (DOA)

Dingo Optimization Algorithm (DOA)

The article presents a new metaheuristic method based on the hunting strategies of Australian dingoes: group attack, chase, and scavenging. Let's see how the Dingo Optimization Algorithm (DOA) performs algorithmically.
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Beyond GARCH (Part I): Mandelbrot's MMAR versus Engle's GARCH

Beyond GARCH (Part I): Mandelbrot's MMAR versus Engle's GARCH

This article starts the MMAR pipeline on EURUSD M5 data. We load market data via the MetaTrader5 Python API and run partition-function analysis with non-overlapping intervals to test for multifractal scaling. The result is an evidence-based decision on fractality, a prerequisite for building MMAR and for choosing whether to proceed beyond GARCH.
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Symbolic Price Forecasting Equation Using SymPy

Symbolic Price Forecasting Equation Using SymPy

The article describes an interesting approach to algorithmic trading based on symbolic mathematical equations instead of traditional machine learning "black boxes". The author demonstrates how to transform opaque neural networks into readable mathematical equations using the SymPy library and polynomial regression, allowing for a full understanding of the logic behind trading decisions. The approach combines the computational power of ML with the transparency of classical methods, giving traders the ability to analyze, adjust, and adapt models in real time.
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Implementation of the Quantum Reservoir Computing (QRC) circuit

Implementation of the Quantum Reservoir Computing (QRC) circuit

A revolutionary approach to machine learning in trading through quantum computing. The article demonstrates a practical implementation of an adaptive QRC system with continuous retraining for predicting market movements in real time.
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MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 93): Using Suffix Automation and an Auto Encoder in a Custom Money Management Class

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 93): Using Suffix Automation and an Auto Encoder in a Custom Money Management Class

For this article we switch to a custom MQL5 Wizard class implementation that explores Money Management. We are labelling our custom class ‘CMoneySuffixAE’ that we derive by combining the Suffix Automaton algorithm with an Autoencoder neural network. As always, this formulation is testable with MQL5 Wizard Assembled Expert Advisors that can be tuned with various entry signals and trailing stop approaches.
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Duelist Algorithm

Duelist Algorithm

What if your trading strategies could learn from each other, like real fighters? Duelist Algorithm is a new optimization method where trading system parameters literally duel for the right to be called the best.
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MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 30): Spotlight on Batch-Normalization in Machine Learning

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 30): Spotlight on Batch-Normalization in Machine Learning

Batch normalization is the pre-processing of data before it is fed into a machine learning algorithm, like a neural network. This is always done while being mindful of the type of Activation to be used by the algorithm. We therefore explore the different approaches that one can take in reaping the benefits of this, with the help of a wizard assembled Expert Advisor.
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Developing a Replay System (Part 58): Returning to Work on the Service

Developing a Replay System (Part 58): Returning to Work on the Service

After a break in development and improvement of the service used for replay/simulator, we are resuming work on it. Now that we've abandoned the use of resources like terminal globals, we'll have to completely restructure some parts of it. Don't worry, this process will be explained in detail so that everyone can follow the development of our service.
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Execution Cost and Slippage Sensitivity Analyzer

Execution Cost and Slippage Sensitivity Analyzer

Backtests often understate spread, commission, and slippage. This MQL5 analyzer loads closing deals and simulates rising execution costs to measure robustness. It computes the breakeven cost per deal, the cushion over an assumed cost, the net profit and profit factor at that cost, and how many winners turn into losers, then summarizes the result with an A+ to F grade and targeted guidance.
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Creating an Interactive Portfolio Analyzer Dashboard with CCanvas in MQL5

Creating an Interactive Portfolio Analyzer Dashboard with CCanvas in MQL5

This article presents a standalone Portfolio Analyzer dashboard implemented as an Expert Advisor for MetaTrader 5. It reads account deal history, reconstructs closed positions, and attributes results by magic number or normalized comment to deliver clear per-strategy metrics. The interface provides a vector equity curve, date filters, and strategy selectors, plus a Pearson correlation matrix to reveal strategy redundancy. You can attach it to a separate chart without modifying existing trading EAs.
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Market Simulation: (Part 11): Sockets (V)

Market Simulation: (Part 11): Sockets (V)

We are beginning to implement the connection between Excel and MetaTrader 5, but first we need to understand some key points. This way, you won't have to rack your brains trying to figure out why something works or doesn't. And before you frown at the prospect of integrating Python and Excel, let's see how we can (to some extent) control MetaTrader 5 through Excel using xlwings. What we demonstrate here will primarily focus on educational objectives. However, don't think that we can only do what will be covered here.
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MQL5 Bootstrap (II): Essential Validators for Robust Trading Systems

MQL5 Bootstrap (II): Essential Validators for Robust Trading Systems

The article builds a reusable validation layer for Expert Advisors in MQL5. It implements lot-size rules and normalization, SL/TP and freeze-level guards, price digit normalization, margin sufficiency checks, unchanged-level filtering on modifications, account order-limit control, new-bar detection, symbol tradability checks, economic-calendar news windows, and session detectors. The result is cleaner code and fewer terminal errors in live trading.
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Quantum Neural Network in MQL5 (Part I): Creating the Include File

Quantum Neural Network in MQL5 (Part I): Creating the Include File

The article presents a new approach to creating trading systems based on quantum principles and artificial intelligence. The author describes the development of a unique neural network that goes beyond classical machine learning by combining quantum mechanics with modern AI architectures.
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Market Microstructure in MQL5 (Part 4): Volatility That Remembers

Market Microstructure in MQL5 (Part 4): Volatility That Remembers

This article adds eight volatility functions to MicroStructure_Foundation.mqh, including realized volatility, duration-adjusted volatility, fractional volatility, a FIGARCH-inspired proxy, a volatility clustering index, a GJR-GARCH asymmetry measure (using the Dube library), bipower-variation jump detection, and a wrapper function. The MFDFA implementation is revised to return the conventional Legendre-transform Δα with an R² confidence field, replacing the τ-spread proxy used in the original submission. Thresholds are derived from 514 NY sessions of NQ E-mini Nasdaq 100 futures (May 2024–May 2026); no new include file is created.
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MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 35): Adding Channel, Pitchfork, Gann, and Fibonacci Tools to the Canvas Drawing Layer

MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 35): Adding Channel, Pitchfork, Gann, and Fibonacci Tools to the Canvas Drawing Layer

We extend the canvas drawing layer from the previous part with seven new categories of multi-anchor analytical drawing tools, covering three channel variants, three pitchfork variants, three Gann tools, and the six Fibonacci tools. We work through how each tool encodes its geometry on the canvas, how derived handles let users reshape compound shapes coherently, and how shared helpers handle ray clipping, scanline filling, and anti-aliased arc rendering. By the end, we will have a full set of analytical drawing tools that live on the same interactive canvas alongside the basic line tools from the previous part.
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MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 95): Using Disjoint Set Union and Deep Belief Network in a Custom Signal Class

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 95): Using Disjoint Set Union and Deep Belief Network in a Custom Signal Class

For this article we switch to a custom MQL5 Wizard class that examines entry Signals. Our custom class is ‘CSignalDSUDBN’ this time around, and is coded by combining the Disjoint Set Union algorithm with a Deep Belief network. As has been the case throughout these series, our model is testable with MQL5 Wizard-Assembled Expert Advisors that can be tuned with different trailing stops and money management classes.