Articles on data analysis and statistics in MQL5

icon

Articles on mathematical models and laws of probability are interesting for many traders. Mathematics is the basis of technical indicators, and statistics is required to analyze trading results and develop strategies.

Read about the fuzzy logic, digital filters, market profile, Kohonen maps, neural gas and many other tools that can be used for trading.

Add a new article
latest | best
preview
Non-stationary processes and spurious regression

Non-stationary processes and spurious regression

The article demonstrates spurious regression occurring when attempting to apply regression analysis to non-stationary processes using Monte Carlo simulation.
preview
Low-Frequency Quantitative Strategies in MetaTrader 5 (Part 3): A Regime-Adaptive Mean-Reversion Swing Trading System

Low-Frequency Quantitative Strategies in MetaTrader 5 (Part 3): A Regime-Adaptive Mean-Reversion Swing Trading System

The article describes and codes MR Swing in MQL5, a mean‑reversion swing approach that combines a 200‑day hysteresis channel with Value Charts, DVO, and SVAPO. We document entry/exit rules for bull and bear regimes and show five‑year backtests on six high‑liquidity Nasdaq stocks. The complete EA code and backtest configurations are provided for reproducibility.
preview
The Group Method of Data Handling: Implementing the Multilayered Iterative Algorithm in MQL5

The Group Method of Data Handling: Implementing the Multilayered Iterative Algorithm in MQL5

In this article we describe the implementation of the Multilayered Iterative Algorithm of the Group Method of Data Handling in MQL5.
preview
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 87): Volatility-Scaled Money Management with Monotonic Queue in MQL5

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 87): Volatility-Scaled Money Management with Monotonic Queue in MQL5

This article presents a custom MQL5 money management class that adapts position sizing to real-time volatility using a monotonic queue for O(N) sliding-window extremes. The class applies inverse volatility scaling and optionally validates risk with an RBF network. We show implementation details in the Optimize method and compare results with the inbuilt Size-Optimized class to assess latency and risk control benefits.
preview
Statistical Arbitrage Through Cointegrated Stocks (Part 10): Detecting Structural Breaks

Statistical Arbitrage Through Cointegrated Stocks (Part 10): Detecting Structural Breaks

This article presents the Chow test for detecting structural breaks in pair relationships and the application of the Cumulative Sum of Squares - CUSUM - for structural breaks monitoring and early detection. The article uses the Nvidia/Intel partnership announcement and the US Gov foreign trade tariff announcement as examples of slope inversion and intercept shift, respectively. Python scripts for all the tests are provided.
preview
Larry Williams Market Secrets (Part 7): An Empirical Study of the Trade Day of the Week Concept

Larry Williams Market Secrets (Part 7): An Empirical Study of the Trade Day of the Week Concept

An empirical study of Larry Williams’ Trade Day of the Week concept, showing how time-based market bias can be measured, tested, and applied using MQL5. This article presents a practical framework for analyzing win rates and performance across trading days to improve short-term trading systems.
preview
Deterministic Oscillatory Search (DOS)

Deterministic Oscillatory Search (DOS)

Deterministic Oscillatory Search (DOS) algorithm is an innovative global optimization method that combines the advantages of gradient and swarm algorithms without the use of random numbers. The fitness oscillation and slope mechanism allows DOS to explore complex search spaces in a deterministic manner.
preview
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 10). The Unconventional RBM

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 10). The Unconventional RBM

Restrictive Boltzmann Machines are at the basic level, a two-layer neural network that is proficient at unsupervised classification through dimensionality reduction. We take its basic principles and examine if we were to re-design and train it unorthodoxly, we could get a useful signal filter.
preview
Developing a Replay System (Part 57): Understanding a Test Service

Developing a Replay System (Part 57): Understanding a Test Service

One point to note: although the service code is not included in this article and will only be provided in the next one, I'll explain it since we'll be using that same code as a springboard for what we're actually developing. So, be attentive and patient. Wait for the next article, because every day everything becomes more interesting.
preview
Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Theory

Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Theory

The article is devoted to the metaheuristic Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO) algorithm, which simulates the behavior of clouds to solve optimization problems. The algorithm uses the principles of cloud generation, movement and propagation, adapting to the "weather conditions" in the solution space. The article reveals how the algorithm's meteorological simulation finds optimal solutions in a complex possibility space and describes in detail the stages of ACMO operation, including "sky" preparation, cloud birth, cloud movement, and rain concentration.
preview
MQL5 Trading Toolkit (Part 6): Expanding the History Management EX5 Library with the Last Filled Pending Order Functions

MQL5 Trading Toolkit (Part 6): Expanding the History Management EX5 Library with the Last Filled Pending Order Functions

Learn how to create an EX5 module of exportable functions that seamlessly query and save data for the most recently filled pending order. In this comprehensive step-by-step guide, we will enhance the History Management EX5 library by developing dedicated and compartmentalized functions to retrieve essential properties of the last filled pending order. These properties include the order type, setup time, execution time, filling type, and other critical details necessary for effective pending orders trade history management and analysis.
preview
Developing a Replay System (Part 60): Playing the Service (I)

Developing a Replay System (Part 60): Playing the Service (I)

We have been working on just the indicators for a long time now, but now it's time to get the service working again and see how the chart is built based on the data provided. However, since the whole thing is not that simple, we will have to be attentive to understand what awaits us ahead.
preview
Introduction to MQL5 (Part 41): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (III)

Introduction to MQL5 (Part 41): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (III)

Learn how to read a CSV file in MQL5 and organize its trading data into dynamic arrays. This article shows step by step how to count file elements, store all data in a single array, and separate each column into dedicated arrays, laying the foundation for advanced analysis and trading performance visualization.
preview
A feature selection algorithm using energy based learning in pure MQL5

A feature selection algorithm using energy based learning in pure MQL5

In this article we present the implementation of a feature selection algorithm described in an academic paper titled,"FREL: A stable feature selection algorithm", called Feature weighting as regularized energy based learning.
preview
Analyzing Price Time Gaps in MQL5 (Part I): Building a Basic Indicator

Analyzing Price Time Gaps in MQL5 (Part I): Building a Basic Indicator

Time gap analysis helps traders identify potential market reversal points. The article discusses what a time gap is, how to interpret it, and how it can be used to detect large volume influxes into the market.
preview
Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Practice

Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Practice

In this article, we will continue diving into the implementation of the ACMO (Atmospheric Cloud Model Optimization) algorithm. In particular, we will discuss two key aspects: the movement of clouds into low-pressure regions and the rain simulation, including the initialization of droplets and their distribution among clouds. We will also look at other methods that play an important role in managing the state of clouds and ensuring their interaction with the environment.
preview
Population optimization algorithms: Bacterial Foraging Optimization - Genetic Algorithm (BFO-GA)

Population optimization algorithms: Bacterial Foraging Optimization - Genetic Algorithm (BFO-GA)

The article presents a new approach to solving optimization problems by combining ideas from bacterial foraging optimization (BFO) algorithms and techniques used in the genetic algorithm (GA) into a hybrid BFO-GA algorithm. It uses bacterial swarming to globally search for an optimal solution and genetic operators to refine local optima. Unlike the original BFO, bacteria can now mutate and inherit genes.
preview
Application of the Grey Model in Technical Analysis of Financial Time Series

Application of the Grey Model in Technical Analysis of Financial Time Series

This article explores the grey model, a promising tool that can expand trader's capabilities. We will look at some options for applying this model to technical analysis and building trading strategies.
preview
Developing a Replay System (Part 45): Chart Trade Project (IV)

Developing a Replay System (Part 45): Chart Trade Project (IV)

The main purpose of this article is to introduce and explain the C_ChartFloatingRAD class. We have a Chart Trade indicator that works in a rather interesting way. As you may have noticed, we still have a fairly small number of objects on the chart, and yet we get the expected functionality. The values present in the indicator can be edited. The question is, how is this possible? This article will start to make things clearer.
preview
Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization (ASBO): Two-phase evolution

Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization (ASBO): Two-phase evolution

We continue dwelling on the topic of social behavior of living organisms and its impact on the development of a new mathematical model - ASBO (Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization). We will dive into the two-phase evolution, test the algorithm and draw conclusions. Just as in nature a group of living organisms join their efforts to survive, ASBO uses principles of collective behavior to solve complex optimization problems.
preview
Market Simulation (Part 12): Sockets (VI)

Market Simulation (Part 12): Sockets (VI)

In this article, we will look at how to solve certain problems and issues that arise when using Python code within other programs. More specifically, we will demonstrate a common issue encountered when using Excel in conjunction with MetaTrader 5, although we will be using Python to facilitate this interaction. However, this implementation has a minor drawback. It does not occur in all cases, but only in certain specific situations. When it does happen, it is necessary to understand the cause. In today’s article, we will begin explaining how to resolve this issue.
preview
Feature selection and dimensionality reduction using principal components

Feature selection and dimensionality reduction using principal components

The article delves into the implementation of a modified Forward Selection Component Analysis algorithm, drawing inspiration from the research presented in “Forward Selection Component Analysis: Algorithms and Applications” by Luca Puggini and Sean McLoone.
preview
The case for using Hospital-Performance Data with Perceptrons, this Q4, in weighing SPDR XLV's next Performance

The case for using Hospital-Performance Data with Perceptrons, this Q4, in weighing SPDR XLV's next Performance

XLV is SPDR healthcare ETF and in an age where it is common to be bombarded by a wide array of traditional news items plus social media feeds, it can be pressing to select a data set for use with a model. We try to tackle this problem for this ETF by sizing up some of its critical data sets in MQL5.
preview
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 88): Using Blooms Filter with a Custom Trailing Class

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 88): Using Blooms Filter with a Custom Trailing Class

Our next focus in these series on ideas that can be rapidly prototyped with the MQL5 Wizard, is a Custom Trailing class that uses the Blooming Filter. Trailing Stop systems are an optional but very resourceful part to any trading system that we want to explore more in these series besides the traditional Entry Signals.
preview
Developing a Replay System (Part 35): Making Adjustments (I)

Developing a Replay System (Part 35): Making Adjustments (I)

Before we can move forward, we need to fix a few things. These are not actually the necessary fixes but rather improvements to the way the class is managed and used. The reason is that failures occurred due to some interaction within the system. Despite attempts to find out the cause of such failures in order to eliminate them, all these attempts were unsuccessful. Some of these cases make no sense, for example, when we use pointers or recursion in C/C++, the program crashes.
preview
Feature Engineering for ML (Part 2): Implementing Fixed-Width Fractional Differentiation in MQL5

Feature Engineering for ML (Part 2): Implementing Fixed-Width Fractional Differentiation in MQL5

This article delivers a production-grade MQL5 implementation of fixed-width fractional differentiation for live MetaTrader 5 feeds. We introduce a header-only CFFDEngine that precomputes weights without a fixed cap, performs O(width) per-bar updates, and avoids per-tick allocations. The FFD.mq5 indicator supports all ENUM_APPLIED_PRICE types and prev_calculated optimization. Validation scripts confirm numerical equivalence with the standard Python frac diff_ffd pipeline.
preview
Bivariate Copulae in MQL5 (Part 3): Implementation and Tuning of Mixed Copula Models in MQL5

Bivariate Copulae in MQL5 (Part 3): Implementation and Tuning of Mixed Copula Models in MQL5

The article extends our copula toolkit with mixed copulas implemented natively in MQL5. We construct Clayton–Frank–Gumbel and Clayton–Student–t–Gumbel mixtures, estimate them via EM, and enable sparsity control through SCAD with cross‑validation. Provided scripts tune hyperparameters, compare mixtures using information criteria, and save trained models. Practitioners can apply these components to capture asymmetric tail dependence and embed the selected model in indicators or Expert Advisors.
preview
Developing a Replay System (Part 55): Control Module

Developing a Replay System (Part 55): Control Module

In this article, we will implement a control indicator so that it can be integrated into the message system we are developing. Although it is not very difficult, there are some details that need to be understood about the initialization of this module. The material presented here is for educational purposes only. In no way should it be considered as an application for any purpose other than learning and mastering the concepts shown.
preview
MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 25): Expanding to Multiple Distributions with Interactive Switching

MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 25): Expanding to Multiple Distributions with Interactive Switching

In this article, we expand the MQL5 graphing tool to support seventeen statistical distributions with interactive cycling via a header switch icon. We add type-specific data loading, discrete and continuous histogram computation, and theoretical density functions for each model, with dynamic titles, axis labels, and parameter panels that adapt automatically. The result lets you overlay distribution models on the same sample and compare fit across families without reloading the tool.
preview
Market Positioning Codex for VGT with Kendall's Tau and Distance Correlation

Market Positioning Codex for VGT with Kendall's Tau and Distance Correlation

In this article, we look to explore how a complimentary indicator pairing can be used to analyze the recent 5-year history of Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund ETF. By considering two options of algorithms, Kendall’s Tau and Distance-Correlation, we look to select not just an ideal indicator pair for trading the VGT, but also suitable signal-pattern pairings of these two indicators.
preview
From Novice to Expert: Animated News Headline Using MQL5 (V)—Event Reminder System

From Novice to Expert: Animated News Headline Using MQL5 (V)—Event Reminder System

In this discussion, we’ll explore additional advancements as we integrate refined event‑alerting logic for the economic calendar events displayed by the News Headline EA. This enhancement is critical—it ensures users receive timely notifications a short time before key upcoming events. Join this discussion to discover more.
preview
MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 27): Rendering Parametric Butterfly Curve on Canvas

MQL5 Trading Tools (Part 27): Rendering Parametric Butterfly Curve on Canvas

In this article, we explore the butterfly curve, a parametric mathematical equation, and render it visually on a MQL5 canvas. We build an interactive display with a draggable, resizable canvas window, supersampled curve rendering, gradient backgrounds, and a color-segmented legend. By the end, we have a fully functional visual tool that plots the butterfly curve directly on the MetaTrader 5 chart.
preview
Stepwise feature selection in MQL5

Stepwise feature selection in MQL5

In this article, we introduce a modified version of stepwise feature selection, implemented in MQL5. This approach is based on the techniques outlined in Modern Data Mining Algorithms in C++ and CUDA C by Timothy Masters.
preview
Implementing Practical Modules from Other Languages in MQL5 (Part 05): The Logging module from Python, Log Like a Pro

Implementing Practical Modules from Other Languages in MQL5 (Part 05): The Logging module from Python, Log Like a Pro

Integrating Python's logging module with MQL5 empowers traders with a systematic logging approach, simplifying the process of monitoring, debugging, and documenting trading activities. This article explains the adaptation process, offering traders a powerful tool for maintaining clarity and organization in trading software development.
preview
Developing a Replay System (Part 39): Paving the Path (III)

Developing a Replay System (Part 39): Paving the Path (III)

Before we proceed to the second stage of development, we need to revise some ideas. Do you know how to make MQL5 do what you need? Have you ever tried to go beyond what is contained in the documentation? If not, then get ready. Because we will be doing something that most people don't normally do.
preview
Introduction to MQL5 (Part 39): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (I)

Introduction to MQL5 (Part 39): Beginner Guide to File Handling in MQL5 (I)

This article introduces file handling in MQL5 using a practical, project-based workflow. You will use FileSelectDialog to choose or create a CSV file, open it with FileOpen, and write structured account headers such as account name, balance, login, date range, and last update. The result is a clear foundation for a reusable trading journal and safe file operations in MetaTrader 5.
preview
Developing a Replay System (Part 41): Starting the second phase (II)

Developing a Replay System (Part 41): Starting the second phase (II)

If everything seemed right to you up to this point, it means you're not really thinking about the long term, when you start developing applications. Over time you will no longer need to program new applications, you will just have to make them work together. So let's see how to finish assembling the mouse indicator.
preview
Developing a Replay System (Part 34): Order System (III)

Developing a Replay System (Part 34): Order System (III)

In this article, we will complete the first phase of construction. Although this part is fairly quick to complete, I will cover details that were not discussed previously. I will explain some points that many do not understand. Do you know why you have to press the Shift or Ctrl key?
preview
Biogeography-Based Optimization (BBO)

Biogeography-Based Optimization (BBO)

Biogeography-Based Optimization (BBO) is an elegant global optimization method inspired by natural processes of species migration between islands within archipelagos. The algorithm is based on a simple yet powerful idea: high-quality solutions actively share their characteristics, while low-quality ones actively adopt new features, creating a natural flow of information from the best solutions to the worst. A unique adaptive mutation operator provides an excellent balance between exploration and exploitation. BBO demonstrates high efficiency on a variety of tasks.
preview
Analyzing Price Time Gaps in MQL5 (Part II): Creating a Heat Map of Liquidity Distribution Over Time

Analyzing Price Time Gaps in MQL5 (Part II): Creating a Heat Map of Liquidity Distribution Over Time

A detailed guide on how to create a heat map indicator for MetaTrader 5 that visualizes the price distribution over time. The article reveals the mathematical basis of time density analysis, where each price level is colored from red (minimum stay time) to blue (maximum stay time).