Neural networks made easy (Part 69): Density-based support constraint for the behavioral policy (SPOT)
In offline learning, we use a fixed dataset, which limits the coverage of environmental diversity. During the learning process, our Agent can generate actions beyond this dataset. If there is no feedback from the environment, how can we be sure that the assessments of such actions are correct? Maintaining the Agent's policy within the training dataset becomes an important aspect to ensure the reliability of training. This is what we will talk about in this article.
Exploring Regression Models for Causal Inference and Trading
The article explores the possibility of using regression models in algorithmic trading. Regression models, unlike binary classification, allow for the creation of more flexible trading strategies by quantifying predicted price changes.
Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Practice
In this article, we will continue diving into the implementation of the ACMO (Atmospheric Cloud Model Optimization) algorithm. In particular, we will discuss two key aspects: the movement of clouds into low-pressure regions and the rain simulation, including the initialization of droplets and their distribution among clouds. We will also look at other methods that play an important role in managing the state of clouds and ensuring their interaction with the environment.
A feature selection algorithm using energy based learning in pure MQL5
In this article we present the implementation of a feature selection algorithm described in an academic paper titled,"FREL: A stable feature selection algorithm", called Feature weighting as regularized energy based learning.
Feature selection and dimensionality reduction using principal components
The article delves into the implementation of a modified Forward Selection Component Analysis algorithm, drawing inspiration from the research presented in “Forward Selection Component Analysis: Algorithms and Applications” by Luca Puggini and Sean McLoone.
Kohonen Self-Organizing Maps in an MQL5 Expert Advisor
Kohonen's self-organizing maps transform the chaos of market data into an ordered two-dimensional map, where similar patterns are grouped together. The article demonstrates a complete implementation of a SOM in an MQL5 Expert Advisor with 400 neurons and continuous learning. We break down the Best Matching Unit search algorithm, weight updates using a Gaussian neighborhood function, integration with quantum effects, and the generation of trading signals. The code is open-source, the math is clear, and the results are verifiable.
Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization (ASBO): Two-phase evolution
We continue dwelling on the topic of social behavior of living organisms and its impact on the development of a new mathematical model - ASBO (Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization). We will dive into the two-phase evolution, test the algorithm and draw conclusions. Just as in nature a group of living organisms join their efforts to survive, ASBO uses principles of collective behavior to solve complex optimization problems.
Neural Networks in Trading: Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting (K2VAE)
We invite you to explore the original implementation of the K²VAE framework — a flexible model capable of linearly approximating complex dynamics in latent space. This article demonstrates how to implement key components in MQL5, including parameterized matrices and how to manage them outside standard neural network layers. This material will be useful for anyone looking for a practical approach to building interpretable time-series models.
Neural Networks in Trading: Time Series Forecasting Using Adaptive Modal Decomposition (Final Part)
The article discusses the adaptation and practical implementation of the ACEFormer framework using MQL5 in the context of algorithmic trading. It presents key architectural decisions, training features, and model testing results on real data.
Dingo Optimization Algorithm (DOA)
The article presents a new metaheuristic method based on the hunting strategies of Australian dingoes: group attack, chase, and scavenging. Let's see how the Dingo Optimization Algorithm (DOA) performs algorithmically.
Beyond the Clock (Part 4): Efficacy of Bars on Trending and Mean-Reversion Strategies
Does better return conditioning buy strategy performance? We hold bar count fixed across time, tick, tick-imbalance, and tick-runs on 60.5 million EURUSD ticks, then meta-label RSI, Bollinger, and ADX/DI entries and score with purged cross-validation. No family delivers a consistent edge; efficacy varies narrowly and the best case fails a permutation test. Readers learn how to control overlap, leakage, and multiple testing in bar studies.
Neural Networks in Trading: An Intelligent Forecast Pipeline (Time-MoE)
We invite you to explore the modern Time-MoE framework, which has been adapted for time series forecasting tasks. In this article, we will implement the key components of the architecture step by step, providing explanations and practical examples along the way. This approach will allow you not only to understand how the model works, but also to apply those principles to real-world trading scenarios.
Determining Fair Exchange Rates Using PPP and IMF Data
Building a purchasing power parity (PPP)-based exchange rate analysis system using Python. The author developed an algorithm with 5 methods for calculating fair exchange rates using IMF data. A practical guide to fundamental currency analysis, economic data processing, and integration with trading systems. Full code in open source.
Stepwise feature selection in MQL5
In this article, we introduce a modified version of stepwise feature selection, implemented in MQL5. This approach is based on the techniques outlined in Modern Data Mining Algorithms in C++ and CUDA C by Timothy Masters.
The case for using Hospital-Performance Data with Perceptrons, this Q4, in weighing SPDR XLV's next Performance
XLV is SPDR healthcare ETF and in an age where it is common to be bombarded by a wide array of traditional news items plus social media feeds, it can be pressing to select a data set for use with a model. We try to tackle this problem for this ETF by sizing up some of its critical data sets in MQL5.
Neural Networks in Trading: An Intelligent Forecast Pipeline (Time-MoE)
We invite you to explore the modern Time-MoE framework, which has been adapted for time series forecasting tasks. In this article, we will implement the key components of the architecture step by step, providing explanations and practical examples along the way. This approach will allow you not only to understand how the model works, but also to apply those principles to real-world trading scenarios.
Beyond GARCH (Part II): Measuring the Fractal Dimension of Markets
Building on the partition function analysis from Part 1, this article deepens the theoretical foundation before completing the analytical pipeline. We first give a full treatment of the Hurst exponent: what it measures, what it implies about market memory, and why it matters for the MMAR. This is followed by an intuitive exploration of multifractal spectra and what f(α) reveals about volatility heterogeneity. We then move to implementation: extracting the scaling function τ(q), estimating H via R/S analysis, and fitting the multifractal spectrum across four candidate distributions. By the end, we have the complete parameter set needed to construct the MMAR process in Part 3. Part 2 of an eight-part series.
Beyond GARCH (Part I): Mandelbrot's MMAR versus Engle's GARCH
This article starts the MMAR pipeline on EURUSD M5 data. We load market data via the MetaTrader5 Python API and run partition-function analysis with non-overlapping intervals to test for multifractal scaling. The result is an evidence-based decision on fractality, a prerequisite for building MMAR and for choosing whether to proceed beyond GARCH.
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 90): Fenwick Tree Money Management with 1D CNN in MQL5
This article implements a Fenwick Tree (Binary Indexed Tree) for volume-aware money management inside an MQL5 Wizard Expert Advisor. We structure cumulative volume in O(log n) and apply four scaling modes—linear, conservative, aggressive, and mean-reversion—optionally gated by a lightweight 1D CNN. Practical tests compare the algorithm alone versus the CNN‑filtered approach to illustrate adaptive lot sizing and risk control under varying volume topologies.
Implementation of the Quantum Reservoir Computing (QRC) circuit
A revolutionary approach to machine learning in trading through quantum computing. The article demonstrates a practical implementation of an adaptive QRC system with continuous retraining for predicting market movements in real time.
Machine Learning Without the Black Box: The Tsetlin Machine for Trading
This article builds a white-box classifier in MQL5 using the Tsetlin Machine. It learns human-readable AND-rules instead of weights, trains with integer state updates, and requires no external dependencies. You will assemble the automaton, clause, and multi-class voter, verify on XOR and other boolean tasks, booleanize indicators, label by forward ATR-scaled return, save the model to CSV, and view active rules on a live chart.
Bison Algorithm (BIA)
A new optimization method, the Bison Algorithm (BIA), uses two strategies, inspired by the behavior of bison, for solving continuous problems with a single objective function. The key features of BIA are two fundamental principles borrowed from the behavior of bison: the ability to move dynamically and a defensive strategy.
Exchange Market Algorithm (EMA)
The article presents a detailed analysis of the Exchange Market Algorithm (EMA) inspired by the behavior of stock market traders. The algorithm simulates stock trading, where market participants with varying levels of success employ different strategies to maximize profits.
Cricket Algorithm (CA)
The article discusses the Cricket Algorithm, a metaheuristic optimization method that combines elements of the Bat Algorithm and the Firefly Algorithm with the physical laws governing the propagation of sound in the atmosphere. The algorithm simulates the behavior of crickets that navigate by the chirping of their conspecifics, using Dolbear's law and acoustic formulas to guide the search for best solutions.
Duelist Algorithm
What if your trading strategies could learn from each other, like real fighters? Duelist Algorithm is a new optimization method where trading system parameters literally duel for the right to be called the best.
Defining your Edge (Part 2): Using Divergence Mapping and a Temporal Fusion Transformer in a Trading Robot
In this article we make the case for merging Divergence Mapping with a Temporal Fusion Proxy in a Trading Robot. Rather than depending on lagging price confirmations, the Divergence Mapping's thesis is that acting like a structural sensor can help identify hidden momentum shifts from price action and indicator anomalies. To establish how these anomalies are interpreted over time we use a Temporal Fusion Transformer proxy. This network incorporates historical context to weigh developing trends such that merging it with Divergence Mapping should set us up to spot shifts in accumulation and distribution before price breakouts.
Integrating MQL5 with Data Processing Packages (Part 9): Entropy-Based Adaptive Volatility
This work presents an end-to-end pipeline: collect MetaTrader 5 data, engineer entropy/volatility/trend features, train a PyTorch classifier, and expose predictions through a Flask API. An MQL5 EA posts rolling prices each tick, receives probability and regime, and applies adaptive position sizing and stop distances. The result is a clear recipe for integrating ML inference with MetaTrader 5.
Neural Networks in Trading: Adaptive Periodic Segmentation (LightGTS)
We invite you to learn about the innovative technique of adaptive patching — a method for flexibly segmenting time series while taking their internal periodicity into account. We will also look at an efficient encoding technique that preserves important semantic characteristics when working with data at different scales. These methods open up new possibilities for the accurate processing of complex, multiscale data characteristic of financial markets and significantly improve the stability and reliability of forecasts.
Elite Crystal Evolution Algorithm (CEO-inspired): Theory
A new original population-based algorithm, ECEA, is presented. Inspired by the process of water freezing, it adapts ideas from the Crystal Energy Optimizer (CEO) algorithm, which uses graph-based search, for general optimization problems. The algorithm uses a dynamic elite group, three search strategies, and a periodic diversification mechanism.
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 29): Continuation on Learning Rates with MLPs
We wrap up our look at learning rate sensitivity to the performance of Expert Advisors by primarily examining the Adaptive Learning Rates. These learning rates aim to be customized for each parameter in a layer during the training process and so we assess potential benefits vs the expected performance toll.
Neural Networks in Trading: An End-to-End Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Model (Conclusion)
We are pleased to present the final part of our series on GinAR — a neural network framework for time series forecasting. In this article, we analyze the results of testing the model on new data and assess its robustness under real-market conditions.
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 92): Using B-Tree Indexing and a Bayesian NN in a Custom Signal Class
In this article we present yet another custom MQL5 Signal Class that we are labelling ‘CSignalBTreeBayesian’. We are marrying the algorithm of a balanced tree with a neural network that is built on Bayesian principles to formulate yet another custom signal testable independently or with other signals thanks to the MQL5 Wizard.
Building an Object-Oriented ONNX Inference Engine in MQL5
This article shows how to run Python-trained models natively in MetaTrader 5 via the terminal's ONNX functions. We build an MQL5 class that encapsulates session creation, fixes input/output tensor shapes, applies min-max feature normalization to mirror training, and executes OnnxRun once per bar to protect the CPU, the result is a reliable, maintainable inference path for live charts and the Strategy Tester without sockets or DLLs.
Competitive Learning Algorithm (CLA)
The article presents the Competitive Learning Algorithm (CLA), a new metaheuristic optimization method based on simulating the educational process. The algorithm organizes the population of solutions into classes with students and teachers, where agents learn through three mechanisms: following the best in the class, using personal experience, and sharing knowledge between classes.
Foundation Models for Trading (Part I): Porting Kronos to Native MQL5
Kronos is a pretrained transformer that models OHLCV bars the way a language model predicts words. We reimplement its tokenizer/encoder and transformer block in native MQL5, export weights to flat .bin files, and remove Python from runtime entirely. Part 1 delivers preprocessing and BSQ tokenization plus a bit-for-bit verification harness against PyTorch, so you can run the encoder inside MetaTrader 5 with confidence.
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 95): Using Disjoint Set Union and Deep Belief Network in a Custom Signal Class
For this article we switch to a custom MQL5 Wizard class that examines entry Signals. Our custom class is ‘CSignalDSUDBN’ this time around, and is coded by combining the Disjoint Set Union algorithm with a Deep Belief network. As has been the case throughout these series, our model is testable with MQL5 Wizard-Assembled Expert Advisors that can be tuned with different trailing stops and money management classes.
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 93): Using Suffix Automation and an Auto Encoder in a Custom Money Management Class
For this article we switch to a custom MQL5 Wizard class implementation that explores Money Management. We are labelling our custom class ‘CMoneySuffixAE’ that we derive by combining the Suffix Automaton algorithm with an Autoencoder neural network. As always, this formulation is testable with MQL5 Wizard Assembled Expert Advisors that can be tuned with various entry signals and trailing stop approaches.
Development and Forward Testing of an Autonomous LLM Agent for Trading with SEAL
A hybrid architecture based on Llama 3.2 and SEAL is being tested on eight currency pairs (M15), with forward-period data isolation and information leakage control. The methodology combines adversarial self-play, curriculum learning, and class balancing to ensure stable training. The experiments confirm the gap between forecast accuracy and actual returns, providing readers with practical guidelines for testing strategies and accurately assessing their generalizability.
Quantum Neural Network in MQL5 (Part I): Creating the Include File
The article presents a new approach to creating trading systems based on quantum principles and artificial intelligence. The author describes the development of a unique neural network that goes beyond classical machine learning by combining quantum mechanics with modern AI architectures.
Neural Networks in Trading: Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting (Conclusion)
We invite you to learn about the K²VAE framework and how the proposed approaches can be integrated into a trading system. You will learn how the hybrid Koopman–Kalman–VAE approach helps build adaptive and interpretable models. The article concludes with practical results from using the implemented solutions.