Articles on machine learning in trading

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Creating AI-based trading robots: native integration with Python, matrices and vectors, math and statistics libraries and much more.

Find out how to use machine learning in trading. Neurons, perceptrons, convolutional and recurrent networks, predictive models — start with the basics and work your way up to developing your own AI. You will learn how to train and apply neural networks for algorithmic trading in financial markets.

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Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Theory

Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Theory

The article is devoted to the metaheuristic Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO) algorithm, which simulates the behavior of clouds to solve optimization problems. The algorithm uses the principles of cloud generation, movement and propagation, adapting to the "weather conditions" in the solution space. The article reveals how the algorithm's meteorological simulation finds optimal solutions in a complex possibility space and describes in detail the stages of ACMO operation, including "sky" preparation, cloud birth, cloud movement, and rain concentration.
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Neural networks made easy (Part 70): Closed-Form Policy Improvement Operators (CFPI)

Neural networks made easy (Part 70): Closed-Form Policy Improvement Operators (CFPI)

In this article, we will get acquainted with an algorithm that uses closed-form policy improvement operators to optimize Agent actions in offline mode.
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Quantum Neural Network in MQL5 (Part II): Training a Neural Network with Backpropagation on ALGLIB Markov Matrices

Quantum Neural Network in MQL5 (Part II): Training a Neural Network with Backpropagation on ALGLIB Markov Matrices

The article presents an innovative quantum neural network architecture for algorithmic trading that combines the principles of quantum mechanics with modern machine learning methods. The system includes quantum effects (resonance, interference, decoherence), multi-level memory of different time scales, Markov chains with the ALGLIB library, and adaptive parameter control. The full implementation is done in MQL5 using the built-in matrix/vector types, which removes implementation barriers in MetaTrader 5.
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Neural Networks in Trading: Adaptive Periodic Segmentation (Creating Tokens)

Neural Networks in Trading: Adaptive Periodic Segmentation (Creating Tokens)

We invite you to embark on an exciting journey through the world of adaptive analysis of financial time series and learn how to turn complex spectral analysis and flexible convolution into real trading signals. You will see how LightGTS listens to the market rhythm, adapting to its changes through a variable-window stride, and how OpenCL acceleration can turn computation into a fast track to profitable decisions.
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Biogeography-Based Optimization (BBO)

Biogeography-Based Optimization (BBO)

Biogeography-Based Optimization (BBO) is an elegant global optimization method inspired by natural processes of species migration between islands within archipelagos. The algorithm is based on a simple yet powerful idea: high-quality solutions actively share their characteristics, while low-quality ones actively adopt new features, creating a natural flow of information from the best solutions to the worst. A unique adaptive mutation operator provides an excellent balance between exploration and exploitation. BBO demonstrates high efficiency on a variety of tasks.
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Exploring Regression Models for Causal Inference and Trading

Exploring Regression Models for Causal Inference and Trading

The article explores the possibility of using regression models in algorithmic trading. Regression models, unlike binary classification, allow for the creation of more flexible trading strategies by quantifying predicted price changes.
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Kohonen Self-Organizing Maps in an MQL5 Expert Advisor

Kohonen Self-Organizing Maps in an MQL5 Expert Advisor

Kohonen's self-organizing maps transform the chaos of market data into an ordered two-dimensional map, where similar patterns are grouped together. The article demonstrates a complete implementation of a SOM in an MQL5 Expert Advisor with 400 neurons and continuous learning. We break down the Best Matching Unit search algorithm, weight updates using a Gaussian neighborhood function, integration with quantum effects, and the generation of trading signals. The code is open-source, the math is clear, and the results are verifiable.
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Gaussian Processes in Machine Learning (Part 1): Classification Model in MQL5

Gaussian Processes in Machine Learning (Part 1): Classification Model in MQL5

The article considers the classification model of Gaussian processes. We will start by studying its theoretical principles moving on to the practical development of the GP library in MQL5.
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Neural Networks in Trading: Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting (K2VAE)

Neural Networks in Trading: Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting (K2VAE)

We invite you to explore the original implementation of the K²VAE framework — a flexible model capable of linearly approximating complex dynamics in latent space. This article demonstrates how to implement key components in MQL5, including parameterized matrices and how to manage them outside standard neural network layers. This material will be useful for anyone looking for a practical approach to building interpretable time-series models.
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Neural Networks in Trading: Hyperbolic Latent Diffusion Model (HypDiff)

Neural Networks in Trading: Hyperbolic Latent Diffusion Model (HypDiff)

The article considers methods of encoding initial data in hyperbolic latent space through anisotropic diffusion processes. This helps to more accurately preserve the topological characteristics of the current market situation and improves the quality of its analysis.
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Nonlinear OHLC Features Derived from Elliptic Curves

Nonlinear OHLC Features Derived from Elliptic Curves

The article discusses the projection of EURUSD daily candlesticks onto the secp256k1 elliptic curve and the extraction of 96 features (EC+TA) to predict the direction of the next candlestick in CatBoost. The price mapping to the curve and the training pipeline on 2,000 D1 bars are shown; the full model achieves a test AUC of 0.6508, with EC features contributing 60.6%. The materials are suitable for reproduction in Python/MetaTrader 5.
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Foundation Models for Trading (Part I): Porting Kronos to Native MQL5

Foundation Models for Trading (Part I): Porting Kronos to Native MQL5

Kronos is a pretrained transformer that models OHLCV bars the way a language model predicts words. We reimplement its tokenizer/encoder and transformer block in native MQL5, export weights to flat .bin files, and remove Python from runtime entirely. Part 1 delivers preprocessing and BSQ tokenization plus a bit-for-bit verification harness against PyTorch, so you can run the encoder inside MetaTrader 5 with confidence.
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Neural Networks in Trading: An Intelligent Forecast Pipeline (Time-MoE)

Neural Networks in Trading: An Intelligent Forecast Pipeline (Time-MoE)

We invite you to explore the modern Time-MoE framework, which has been adapted for time series forecasting tasks. In this article, we will implement the key components of the architecture step by step, providing explanations and practical examples along the way. This approach will allow you not only to understand how the model works, but also to apply those principles to real-world trading scenarios.
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MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 10). The Unconventional RBM

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 10). The Unconventional RBM

Restrictive Boltzmann Machines are at the basic level, a two-layer neural network that is proficient at unsupervised classification through dimensionality reduction. We take its basic principles and examine if we were to re-design and train it unorthodoxly, we could get a useful signal filter.
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Population optimization algorithms: Bacterial Foraging Optimization - Genetic Algorithm (BFO-GA)

Population optimization algorithms: Bacterial Foraging Optimization - Genetic Algorithm (BFO-GA)

The article presents a new approach to solving optimization problems by combining ideas from bacterial foraging optimization (BFO) algorithms and techniques used in the genetic algorithm (GA) into a hybrid BFO-GA algorithm. It uses bacterial swarming to globally search for an optimal solution and genetic operators to refine local optima. Unlike the original BFO, bacteria can now mutate and inherit genes.
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Community of Scientists Optimization (CoSO): Practice

Community of Scientists Optimization (CoSO): Practice

We resume the topic of optimization by the scientific community. CoSO should not be viewed as a ready-made solution, but as a promising research platform. With proper development, CoSO can find its niche in tasks where adaptability and resilience to change are important, and computation time is not critical.
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Beyond GARCH (Part II): Measuring the Fractal Dimension of Markets

Beyond GARCH (Part II): Measuring the Fractal Dimension of Markets

Building on the partition function analysis from Part 1, this article deepens the theoretical foundation before completing the analytical pipeline. We first give a full treatment of the Hurst exponent: what it measures, what it implies about market memory, and why it matters for the MMAR. This is followed by an intuitive exploration of multifractal spectra and what f(α) reveals about volatility heterogeneity. We then move to implementation: extracting the scaling function τ(q), estimating H via R/S analysis, and fitting the multifractal spectrum across four candidate distributions. By the end, we have the complete parameter set needed to construct the MMAR process in Part 3. Part 2 of an eight-part series.
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Neural networks made easy (Part 69): Density-based support constraint for the behavioral policy (SPOT)

Neural networks made easy (Part 69): Density-based support constraint for the behavioral policy (SPOT)

In offline learning, we use a fixed dataset, which limits the coverage of environmental diversity. During the learning process, our Agent can generate actions beyond this dataset. If there is no feedback from the environment, how can we be sure that the assessments of such actions are correct? Maintaining the Agent's policy within the training dataset becomes an important aspect to ensure the reliability of training. This is what we will talk about in this article.
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Harris Hawks Optimization (HHO)

Harris Hawks Optimization (HHO)

We implement the Harris Hawks Optimization algorithm in MQL5 and analyze five movement modes of agents controlled by a single parameter — the decaying escape energy E. The C_AO_HHO class is introduced; it is compatible with the unified test bench and features a reproducible implementation of Lévy flight. The algorithm was tested on the Hilly, Forest, and Megacity functions with 5, 25, and 500 coordinates — the results indicate anomalous behavior.
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Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Practice

Atmosphere Clouds Model Optimization (ACMO): Practice

In this article, we will continue diving into the implementation of the ACMO (Atmospheric Cloud Model Optimization) algorithm. In particular, we will discuss two key aspects: the movement of clouds into low-pressure regions and the rain simulation, including the initialization of droplets and their distribution among clouds. We will also look at other methods that play an important role in managing the state of clouds and ensuring their interaction with the environment.
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Neural Networks in Trading: An End-to-End Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Model (Conclusion)

Neural Networks in Trading: An End-to-End Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Model (Conclusion)

We are pleased to present the final part of our series on GinAR — a neural network framework for time series forecasting. In this article, we analyze the results of testing the model on new data and assess its robustness under real-market conditions.
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Beyond GARCH (Part I): Mandelbrot's MMAR versus Engle's GARCH

Beyond GARCH (Part I): Mandelbrot's MMAR versus Engle's GARCH

This article starts the MMAR pipeline on EURUSD M5 data. We load market data via the MetaTrader5 Python API and run partition-function analysis with non-overlapping intervals to test for multifractal scaling. The result is an evidence-based decision on fractality, a prerequisite for building MMAR and for choosing whether to proceed beyond GARCH.
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Cricket Algorithm (CA)

Cricket Algorithm (CA)

The article discusses the Cricket Algorithm, a metaheuristic optimization method that combines elements of the Bat Algorithm and the Firefly Algorithm with the physical laws governing the propagation of sound in the atmosphere. The algorithm simulates the behavior of crickets that navigate by the chirping of their conspecifics, using Dolbear's law and acoustic formulas to guide the search for best solutions.
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Machine Learning Without the Black Box: The Tsetlin Machine for Trading

Machine Learning Without the Black Box: The Tsetlin Machine for Trading

This article builds a white-box classifier in MQL5 using the Tsetlin Machine. It learns human-readable AND-rules instead of weights, trains with integer state updates, and requires no external dependencies. You will assemble the automaton, clause, and multi-class voter, verify on XOR and other boolean tasks, booleanize indicators, label by forward ATR-scaled return, save the model to CSV, and view active rules on a live chart.
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Neural Networks in Trading: Time Series Forecasting Using Adaptive Modal Decomposition (Final Part)

Neural Networks in Trading: Time Series Forecasting Using Adaptive Modal Decomposition (Final Part)

The article discusses the adaptation and practical implementation of the ACEFormer framework using MQL5 in the context of algorithmic trading. It presents key architectural decisions, training features, and model testing results on real data.
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A feature selection algorithm using energy based learning in pure MQL5

A feature selection algorithm using energy based learning in pure MQL5

In this article we present the implementation of a feature selection algorithm described in an academic paper titled,"FREL: A stable feature selection algorithm", called Feature weighting as regularized energy based learning.
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Feature selection and dimensionality reduction using principal components

Feature selection and dimensionality reduction using principal components

The article delves into the implementation of a modified Forward Selection Component Analysis algorithm, drawing inspiration from the research presented in “Forward Selection Component Analysis: Algorithms and Applications” by Luca Puggini and Sean McLoone.
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Dingo Optimization Algorithm (DOA)

Dingo Optimization Algorithm (DOA)

The article presents a new metaheuristic method based on the hunting strategies of Australian dingoes: group attack, chase, and scavenging. Let's see how the Dingo Optimization Algorithm (DOA) performs algorithmically.
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Implementation of the Quantum Reservoir Computing (QRC) circuit

Implementation of the Quantum Reservoir Computing (QRC) circuit

A revolutionary approach to machine learning in trading through quantum computing. The article demonstrates a practical implementation of an adaptive QRC system with continuous retraining for predicting market movements in real time.
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Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization (ASBO): Two-phase evolution

Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization (ASBO): Two-phase evolution

We continue dwelling on the topic of social behavior of living organisms and its impact on the development of a new mathematical model - ASBO (Adaptive Social Behavior Optimization). We will dive into the two-phase evolution, test the algorithm and draw conclusions. Just as in nature a group of living organisms join their efforts to survive, ASBO uses principles of collective behavior to solve complex optimization problems.
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Determining Fair Exchange Rates Using PPP and IMF Data

Determining Fair Exchange Rates Using PPP and IMF Data

Building a purchasing power parity (PPP)-based exchange rate analysis system using Python. The author developed an algorithm with 5 methods for calculating fair exchange rates using IMF data. A practical guide to fundamental currency analysis, economic data processing, and integration with trading systems. Full code in open source.
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Neural Networks in Trading: From Transformers to Spiking Neurons (Conclusion)

Neural Networks in Trading: From Transformers to Spiking Neurons (Conclusion)

Neural networks are already changing the way we analyze markets, and new architectures are opening up even more possibilities. In this article, we wrap up our work with the SpikingBrain framework, which opens up new possibilities for us.
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Stepwise feature selection in MQL5

Stepwise feature selection in MQL5

In this article, we introduce a modified version of stepwise feature selection, implemented in MQL5. This approach is based on the techniques outlined in Modern Data Mining Algorithms in C++ and CUDA C by Timothy Masters.
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Neural Networks in Trading: Adaptive Periodic Segmentation (LightGTS)

Neural Networks in Trading: Adaptive Periodic Segmentation (LightGTS)

We invite you to learn about the innovative technique of adaptive patching — a method for flexibly segmenting time series while taking their internal periodicity into account. We will also look at an efficient encoding technique that preserves important semantic characteristics when working with data at different scales. These methods open up new possibilities for the accurate processing of complex, multiscale data characteristic of financial markets and significantly improve the stability and reliability of forecasts.
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The case for using Hospital-Performance Data with Perceptrons, this Q4, in weighing SPDR XLV's next Performance

The case for using Hospital-Performance Data with Perceptrons, this Q4, in weighing SPDR XLV's next Performance

XLV is SPDR healthcare ETF and in an age where it is common to be bombarded by a wide array of traditional news items plus social media feeds, it can be pressing to select a data set for use with a model. We try to tackle this problem for this ETF by sizing up some of its critical data sets in MQL5.
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Exchange Market Algorithm (EMA)

Exchange Market Algorithm (EMA)

The article presents a detailed analysis of the Exchange Market Algorithm (EMA) inspired by the behavior of stock market traders. The algorithm simulates stock trading, where market participants with varying levels of success employ different strategies to maximize profits.
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MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 90): Fenwick Tree Money Management with 1D CNN in MQL5

MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 90): Fenwick Tree Money Management with 1D CNN in MQL5

This article implements a Fenwick Tree (Binary Indexed Tree) for volume-aware money management inside an MQL5 Wizard Expert Advisor. We structure cumulative volume in O(log n) and apply four scaling modes—linear, conservative, aggressive, and mean-reversion—optionally gated by a lightweight 1D CNN. Practical tests compare the algorithm alone versus the CNN‑filtered approach to illustrate adaptive lot sizing and risk control under varying volume topologies.
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Integrating MQL5 with Data Processing Packages (Part 9): Entropy-Based Adaptive Volatility

Integrating MQL5 with Data Processing Packages (Part 9): Entropy-Based Adaptive Volatility

This work presents an end-to-end pipeline: collect MetaTrader 5 data, engineer entropy/volatility/trend features, train a PyTorch classifier, and expose predictions through a Flask API. An MQL5 EA posts rolling prices each tick, receives probability and regime, and applies adaptive position sizing and stop distances. The result is a clear recipe for integrating ML inference with MetaTrader 5.
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Defining your Edge (Part 2): Using Divergence Mapping and a Temporal Fusion Transformer in a Trading Robot

Defining your Edge (Part 2): Using Divergence Mapping and a Temporal Fusion Transformer in a Trading Robot

In this article we make the case for merging Divergence Mapping with a Temporal Fusion Proxy in a Trading Robot. Rather than depending on lagging price confirmations, the Divergence Mapping's thesis is that acting like a structural sensor can help identify hidden momentum shifts from price action and indicator anomalies. To establish how these anomalies are interpreted over time we use a Temporal Fusion Transformer proxy. This network incorporates historical context to weigh developing trends such that merging it with Divergence Mapping should set us up to spot shifts in accumulation and distribution before price breakouts.
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Bison Algorithm (BIA)

Bison Algorithm (BIA)

A new optimization method, the Bison Algorithm (BIA), uses two strategies, inspired by the behavior of bison, for solving continuous problems with a single objective function. The key features of BIA are two fundamental principles borrowed from the behavior of bison: the ability to move dynamically and a defensive strategy.