Forecast and levels for AUD - page 21

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.12.05 09:03

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Retail Sales and range price movement 

2019-12-05 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Retail Sales]

  • past data is 0.2%
  • forecast data is 0.3%
  • actual data is 0.0% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Retail Sales] = Change in the total value of sales at the retail level.

==========

From official report :

  • "The trend estimate rose 0.2% in October 2019. This follows a rise of 0.2% in September 2019, and a rise of 0.2% in August 2019."
  • "The seasonally adjusted estimate was relatively unchanged (0.0%) in October 2019. This follows a rise of 0.2% in September 2019, and a rise of 0.4% in August 2019."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Retail Sales news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Retail Sales news event

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Retail Sales news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:


 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.12.19 08:43

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Employment Change and range price movement 

2019-12-19 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Employment Change]

  • past data is -24.8K
  • forecast data is 31.2K
  • actual data is 39.9K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month.

==========

From official report :

  • "Employment increased by 39,900 to 12,954,400 people. Full-time employment increased by 4,200 to 8,837,300 people and part-time employment increased by 35,700 to 4,117,200 people."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Employment Change news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Employment Change news event

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After 

  1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
  2. Asctrend indicator in depth
  3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included) 
  4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2020.01.08 06:52

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Building Approvals and range price movement 

2020-01-08 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Building Approvals]

  • past data is -7.9%
  • forecast data is 2.1%
  • actual data is 11.8% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Building Approvals] = Change in the number of new building approvals issued.

==========

From official report :

"The trend estimate for total dwellings approved rose 0.8% in November.""The seasonally adjusted estimate for total dwellings approved rose 11.8% in November."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Building Approvals news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Building Approvals news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2020.01.09 05:33

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Trade Balance and range price movement 

2020-01-09 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Trade Balance]

  • past data is 4.08B
  • forecast data is 4.10B
  • actual data is 5.80B according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Trade Balance] = Difference in value between imported and exported goods and services during the reported month.

==========

From official report :

  • "In trend terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $5,392m in November 2019, a decrease of $455m on the surplus in October 2019."
  • "In seasonally adjusted terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $5,800m in November 2019, an increase of $1,725m on the surplus in October 2019."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Trade Balance news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Trade Balance news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5: 


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2020.01.23 06:50

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Employment Change and range price movement 

2020-01-23 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Employment Change]

  • past data is 38.5
  • forecast data is 13.7K
  • actual data is 28.9K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month.

==========

From official report :

  • "Employment increased by 17,500 to 12,976,300 people. Full-time employment increased by 8,900 to 8,851,000 people and part-time employment increased by 8,600 to 4,125,300 people. Unemployment rate decreased by less than 0.1 pts to 5.1%"

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Employment Change news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Employment Change news event

============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2020.01.29 05:19

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia CPI and range price movement 

2020-01-30 00:30 GMT | [AUD - CPI]

  • past data is 0.5%
  • forecast data is 0.6%
  • actual data is 0.7% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

==========

From official report :

  • "rose 0.7% this quarter, compared to a rise of 0.5% in the September 2019 quarter." "rose 1.8% over the twelve months to the December 2019 quarter, compared to a rise of 1.7% over the twelve months to the September 2019 quarter."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by  Australia CPI news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia CPI news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2020.02.03 05:42

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Building Approvals and range price movement 

2020-02-03 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Building Approvals]

  • past data is 10.9%
  • forecast data is -5.0%
  • actual data is -0.2% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Building Approvals] = Change in the number of new building approvals issued.

==========

From official report :

  • "The trend estimate for total dwellings approved rose 2.1% in December."
  • "The seasonally adjusted estimate for total dwellings approved fell 0.2% in December."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Building Approvals news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Building Approvals news event

============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2020.02.04 07:44

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBA Cash Rate, Rate Statement and range price movement 

2020-02-04 03:30 GMT | [AUD - Cash Rate]

  • past data is 0.75%
  • forecast data is 0.75%
  • actual data is 0.75% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.

==========

From official report :

  • "At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 0.75 per cent.""Interest rates are very low around the world and a number of central banks eased monetary policy over the second half of last year. There is an expectation of a little further monetary easing in some economies. Long-term government bond yields are around record lows in many countries, including Australia. Borrowing rates for both businesses and households are at historically low levels. The Australian dollar is around its lowest level over recent times.""With interest rates having already been reduced to a very low level and recognising the long and variable lags in the transmission of monetary policy, the Board decided to hold the cash rate steady at this meeting. Due to both global and domestic factors, it is reasonable to expect that an extended period of low interest rates will be required in Australia to reach full employment and achieve the inflation target. The Board will continue to monitor developments carefully, including in the labour market. It remains prepared to ease monetary policy further if needed to support sustainable growth in the economy, full employment and the achievement of the inflation target over time."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2020.02.25 17:26

Intra-Day Fundamentals - AUD/USD, USD/CNH and GOLD (XAU/USD): CB Consumer Confidence

2020-02-25 15:00 GMT | [USD - CB Consumer Confidence]

  • past data is 130.4
  • forecast data is 132.6
  • actual data is 130.7 according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - CB Consumer Confidence] = Level of a composite index based on surveyed households.

==========

From official report :

  • "The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® improved slightly in February, following an increase in January. The Index now stands at 130.7 (1985=100), up from 130.4 in January. The Present Situation Index – based on consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions – decreased from 173.9 to 165.1. However, the Expectations Index – based on consumers’ short-term outlook for income, business and labor market conditions – increased from 101.4 last month to 107.8 this month." 
  • "Consumer confidence improved slightly in February, following an increase in January," said Lynn Franco, Senior Director of Economic Indicators. "Despite the decline in the Present Situation Index, consumers continue to view current conditions quite favorably. Consumers’ short-term expectations improved, and when coupled with solid employment growth, should be enough to continue to support spending and economic growth in the near term."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by CB Consumer Confidence news events

UD/USD: range price movement by CB Consumer Confidence news events

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by CB Consumer Confidence news events

USD/CNH: range price movement by CB Consumer Confidence news events

==========

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by CB Consumer Confidence news events

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by CB Consumer Confidence news events

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2020.03.03 08:48

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBA Cash Rate, Rate Statement and range price movement 

2020-03-03 03:30 GMT | [AUD - Cash Rate]

  • past data is 0.75%
  • forecast data is 0.50%
  • actual data is 0.50% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.

==========

From official report :

  • "At its meeting today, the Board decided to lower the cash rate by 25 basis points to 0.50 per cent. The Board took this decision to support the economy as it responds to the global coronavirus outbreak. The unemployment rate increased in January to 5.3 per cent and has been around 5¼ per cent since April last year. Wages growth remains subdued and is not expected to pick up for some time. A gradual lift in wages growth would be a welcome development and is needed for inflation to be sustainably within the 2–3 per cent target range. The global outbreak of the coronavirus is expected to delay progress in Australia towards full employment and the inflation target. The Board therefore judged that it was appropriate to ease monetary policy further to provide additional support to employment and economic activity. It will continue to monitor developments closely and to assess the implications of the coronavirus for the economy. The Board is prepared to ease monetary policy further to support the Australian economy."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

The forum threads
  1. Key forum thread - Fast Fourier Transform - Cycle Extraction - the thead with FFTfiltr indicator and explanation
  2. New EA based on the !xMeter (!xMter based on Fast Fourier Transform) - the thread 
  3. Many FFT indicators with examples and explanations - the thread 
  4. Ticks Before The News - the thread with many FFT indicators and explanation how to trade

CodeBase

  1. dt_FFT - library for MetaTrader  
  2. LGLIB - Numerical Analysis Library - library for MetaTrader 4 
  3. ALGLIB - Numerical Analysis Library - library for MetaTrader 5 
  4. AFIRMA - indicator for MetaTrader 5
  5. Fourier extrapolation of price - indicator for MetaTrader 5

The articles


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