The Conference Board United States Consumer Confidence Index

Country:
United States
USD, US dollar
Sector:
Consumer
High 108.3 101.2
101.4
Last release Importance Actual Forecast
Previous
104.2
108.3
Next release Actual Forecast
Previous
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Consumer Confidence Index displays the level of consumer confidence in the stability of the country's economy. The index is based on a monthly survey of about 3,000 households (the sample covers the entire country). The index allows assessing the financial status, purchasing power and confidence of an average consumer. The index is calculated by the Conference Board, the non-profit research organization.

The questionnaire includes 5 questions. Two questions are connected with current economic conditions: general business conditions and employment. Three more questions reflect consumer expectations regarding changes in business conditions, employment and household income for the next 6 month. Respondents evaluate these components as good, bad, or medium. Since 60% of the survey has to do with expectations, the indicator is considered to be a leading market indicator. It is included in the calculation of the Leading Economic Index.

A strong report on consumer confidence, especially when economy slows down, can sharply push currency markets. The growth of consumer confidence suggests that people will spend more and will make large purchases (for example, a car or a house). This will lead to an increase in economic activity and an increase in consumer spending. Also, the growth of consumer spending may lead to inflationary growth. Therefore, the Consumer Confidence Index is usually closely monitored by professional economists.

However, consumer confidence is a very subjective estimate, which depends on the current mood. Therefore, the results should be interpreted cautiously. Many economists evaluate the moving average of the index over 3 to 6 months. If it shows a steady growth or decline, analysts speak of a trend.

A higher than expected index growth may cause a short-term dollar volatility in the upward direction.

Last values:

actual data

forecast

The chart of the entire available history of the "The Conference Board United States Consumer Confidence Index" macroeconomic indicator. The dashed line shows the forecast values ​​of the economic indicator for the specified dates.

A significant deviation of a real value from a forecast one may cause a short-term strengthening or weakening of a national currency in the Forex market. The threshold values ​​of the indicators signaling the approach of the critical state of the national (local) economy occupy a special place.

Date (GMT)
Reference
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Dec 2022
108.3
101.2
101.4
Nov 2022
100.2
105.2
102.2
Oct 2022
102.5
105.6
107.8
Sep 2022
108.0
99.4
103.6
Aug 2022
103.2
97.1
95.3
Jul 2022
95.7
102.4
98.4
Jun 2022
98.7
106.8
106.4
May 2022
106.4
107.2
108.6
Apr 2022
107.3
108.8
107.6
Mar 2022
107.2
112.1
105.7
Feb 2022
110.5
114.8
111.1
Jan 2022
113.8
112.7
115.2
Dec 2021
115.8
111.6
111.9
Nov 2021
109.5
111.6
111.6
Oct 2021
113.8
111.5
109.8
Sep 2021
109.3
121.5
115.2
Aug 2021
113.8
128.5
125.1
Jul 2021
129.1
117.3
128.9
Jun 2021
127.3
119.5
120.0
May 2021
117.2
115.9
117.5
Apr 2021
121.7
100.5
109.0
Mar 2021
109.7
90.1
90.4
Feb 2021
91.3
88.7
88.9
Jan 2021
89.3
92.1
87.1
Dec 2020
88.6
98.3
92.9
Nov 2020
96.1
101.2
101.4
Oct 2020
100.9
93.2
101.3
Sep 2020
101.8
88.5
86.3
Aug 2020
84.8
95.2
91.7
Jul 2020
92.6
92.2
98.3
Jun 2020
98.1
66.3
85.9
May 2020
86.6
115.2
85.7
Apr 2020
86.9
133.8
118.8
Mar 2020
120.0
134.8
132.6
Feb 2020
130.7
129.5
130.4
Jan 2020
131.6
123.9
128.2
Dec 2019
126.5
122.6
126.8
Nov 2019
125.5
125.2
126.1
Oct 2019
125.9
130.2
126.3
Sep 2019
125.1
135.3
134.2
Aug 2019
135.1
131.5
135.8
Jul 2019
135.7
127.2
124.3
Jun 2019
121.5
126.3
131.3
May 2019
134.1
123.9
129.2
Apr 2019
129.2
125.3
124.2
Mar 2019
124.1
126.6
131.4
Feb 2019
131.4
131.5
121.7
Jan 2019
120.2
137.9
126.6
Dec 2018
128.1
139.5
136.4
Nov 2018
135.7
137.2
137.9

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