The Conference Board United States Consumer Confidence Index

Country:
United States
USD, US dollar
Sector:
Consumer
High 117.2 115.9
117.5
Last release Importance Actual Forecast
Previous
119.5
117.2
Next release Actual Forecast
Previous
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Consumer Confidence Index displays the level of consumer confidence in the stability of the country's economy. The index is based on a monthly survey of about 3,000 households (the sample covers the entire country). The index allows assessing the financial status, purchasing power and confidence of an average consumer. The index is calculated by the Conference Board, the non-profit research organization.

The questionnaire includes 5 questions. Two questions are connected with current economic conditions: general business conditions and employment. Three more questions reflect consumer expectations regarding changes in business conditions, employment and household income for the next 6 month. Respondents evaluate these components as good, bad, or medium. Since 60% of the survey has to do with expectations, the indicator is considered to be a leading market indicator. It is included in the calculation of the Leading Economic Index.

A strong report on consumer confidence, especially when economy slows down, can sharply push currency markets. The growth of consumer confidence suggests that people will spend more and will make large purchases (for example, a car or a house). This will lead to an increase in economic activity and an increase in consumer spending. Also, the growth of consumer spending may lead to inflationary growth. Therefore, the Consumer Confidence Index is usually closely monitored by professional economists.

However, consumer confidence is a very subjective estimate, which depends on the current mood. Therefore, the results should be interpreted cautiously. Many economists evaluate the moving average of the index over 3 to 6 months. If it shows a steady growth or decline, analysts speak of a trend.

A higher than expected index growth may cause a short-term dollar volatility in the upward direction.

Last values:

actual data

forecast

The chart of the entire available history of the "The Conference Board United States Consumer Confidence Index" macroeconomic indicator. The dashed line shows the forecast values ​​of the economic indicator for the specified dates.

A significant deviation of a real value from a forecast one may cause a short-term strengthening or weakening of a national currency in the Forex market. The threshold values ​​of the indicators signaling the approach of the critical state of the national (local) economy occupy a special place.

Date (GMT)
Reference
Actual
Forecast
Previous
May 2021
117.2
115.9
117.5
Apr 2021
121.7
100.5
109.0
Mar 2021
109.7
90.1
90.4
Feb 2021
91.3
88.7
88.9
Jan 2021
89.3
92.1
87.1
Dec 2020
88.6
98.3
92.9
Nov 2020
96.1
101.2
101.4
Oct 2020
100.9
93.2
101.3
Sep 2020
101.8
88.5
86.3
Aug 2020
84.8
95.2
91.7
Jul 2020
92.6
92.2
98.3
Jun 2020
98.1
66.3
85.9
May 2020
86.6
115.2
85.7
Apr 2020
86.9
133.8
118.8
Mar 2020
120.0
134.8
132.6
Feb 2020
130.7
129.5
130.4
Jan 2020
131.6
123.9
128.2
Dec 2019
126.5
122.6
126.8
Nov 2019
125.5
125.2
126.1
Oct 2019
125.9
130.2
126.3
Sep 2019
125.1
135.3
134.2
Aug 2019
135.1
131.5
135.8
Jul 2019
135.7
127.2
124.3
Jun 2019
121.5
126.3
131.3
May 2019
134.1
123.9
129.2
Apr 2019
129.2
125.3
124.2
Mar 2019
124.1
126.6
131.4
Feb 2019
131.4
131.5
121.7
Jan 2019
120.2
137.9
126.6
Dec 2018
128.1
139.5
136.4
Nov 2018
135.7
137.2
137.9
Oct 2018
137.9
133.3
135.3
Sep 2018
138.4
129.4
134.7
Aug 2018
133.4
128.0
127.9
Jul 2018
127.4
128.6
127.1
Jun 2018
126.4
128.0
128.8
May 2018
128.0
127.1
125.6
Apr 2018
128.7
126.4
127.0
Mar 2018
127.7
127.2
130.0
Feb 2018
130.8
126.7
124.3
Jan 2018
125.4
125.8
123.1
Dec 2017
122.1
125.0
128.6
Nov 2017
129.5
123.0
126.2
Oct 2017
125.9
122.6
120.6
Sep 2017
119.8
122.0
120.4
Aug 2017
122.9
122.6
120.0
Jul 2017
121.1
123.6
117.3
Jun 2017
118.9
124.7
117.6
May 2017
117.9
123.4
119.4
Apr 2017
120.3
124.9

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