The Conference Board United States Consumer Confidence Index

Country:
United States
USD, US dollar
Sector:
Consumer
High 128.1 139.5
136.4
Last release Importance Actual Forecast
Previous
137.9
128.1
Next release Actual Forecast
Previous
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Consumer Confidence Index displays the level of consumer confidence in the stability of the country's economy. The index is based on a monthly survey of about 3,000 households (the sample covers the entire country). The index allows assessing the financial status, purchasing power and confidence of an average consumer. The index is calculated by the Conference Board, the non-profit research organization.

The questionnaire includes 5 questions. Two questions are connected with current economic conditions: general business conditions and employment. Three more questions reflect consumer expectations regarding changes in business conditions, employment and household income for the next 6 month. Respondents evaluate these components as good, bad, or medium. Since 60% of the survey has to do with expectations, the indicator is considered to be a leading market indicator. It is included in the calculation of the Leading Economic Index.

A strong report on consumer confidence, especially when economy slows down, can sharply push currency markets. The growth of consumer confidence suggests that people will spend more and will make large purchases (for example, a car or a house). This will lead to an increase in economic activity and an increase in consumer spending. Also, the growth of consumer spending may lead to inflationary growth. Therefore, the Consumer Confidence Index is usually closely monitored by professional economists.

However, consumer confidence is a very subjective estimate, which depends on the current mood. Therefore, the results should be interpreted cautiously. Many economists evaluate the moving average of the index over 3 to 6 months. If it shows a steady growth or decline, analysts speak of a trend.

A higher than expected index growth may cause a short-term dollar volatility in the upward direction.

Last values:

actual data

forecast

The chart of the entire available history of the "The Conference Board United States Consumer Confidence Index" macroeconomic indicator. The dashed line shows the forecast values ​​of the economic indicator for the specified dates.

A significant deviation of a real value from a forecast one may cause a short-term strengthening or weakening of a national currency in the Forex market. The threshold values ​​of the indicators signaling the approach of the critical state of the national (local) economy occupy a special place.

Date (GMT)
Reference
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Dec 2018
128.1
139.5
136.4
Nov 2018
135.7
137.2
137.9
Oct 2018
137.9
133.3
135.3
Sep 2018
138.4
129.4
134.7
Aug 2018
133.4
128
127.9
Jul 2018
127.4
128.6
127.1
Jun 2018
126.4
128
128.8
May 2018
128
127.1
125.6
Apr 2018
128.7
126.4
127
Mar 2018
127.7
127.2
130
Feb 2018
130.8
126.7
124.3
Jan 2018
125.4
125.8
123.1
Dec 2017
122.1
125
128.6
Nov 2017
129.5
123
126.2
Oct 2017
125.9
122.6
120.6
Sep 2017
119.8
122
120.4
Aug 2017
122.9
122.6
120
Jul 2017
121.1
123.6
117.3
Jun 2017
118.9
124.7
117.6
May 2017
117.9
123.4
119.4
Apr 2017
120.3
124.9
Mar 2017
125.6
116.1
Feb 2017
114.8
111.6
Jan 2017
111.8
113.7
Dec 2016
113.7
109.4
Nov 2016
107.1
100.8
Oct 2016
98.6
103.5
Sep 2016
104.1
101.8
Aug 2016
101.1
96.7
Jul 2016
97.3
97.4
Jun 2016
98
92.4
May 2016
92.6
94.7
Apr 2016
94.2
96.1
Mar 2016
96.2
94
Feb 2016
92.2
97.8
Jan 2016
98.1
96.3
Dec 2015
96.5
92.6
Nov 2015
90.4
99.1
Oct 2015
97.6
102.6
Sep 2015
103
101.3
Aug 2015
101.5
91
Jul 2015
90.9
99.8
Jun 2015
101.4
94.6
May 2015
95.4
94.3
Apr 2015
95.2
101.3
Mar 2015
101.4
96.4
Feb 2015
98.8
102.9
Jan 2015
103.8
92.6
Dec 2014
93.1
88.7
Nov 2014
91
94.5

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