Forecast and levels for AUD - page 14

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Sergey Golubev
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Sergey Golubev, 2018.06.04 06:57

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Retail Sales and range price movement 

2018-05-04 02:30 GMT | [AUD - Retail Sales]

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[USD - PPI] = Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers.

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From official report :

  • "The trend estimate rose 0.3% in April 2018. This follows a rise of 0.3% in March 2018 and a rise of 0.3% in February 2018."
  • "The seasonally adjusted estimate rose 0.4% in April 2018. This follows a relatively unchanged result (0.0%) in March 2018 and a rise of 0.6% in February 2018."

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AUD/USD M5: range price movement by Australia Retail Sales news event 

AUDUSD chart by Metatrader 5

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5: 


Sergey Golubev
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Sergey Golubev, 2018.06.06 16:42

AUD/USD Intra-Day FundamentalsAustralia Gross Domestic Product and range price movement 

2018-06-06 02:30 GMT | [AUD - GDP]

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[AUD - GDP] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.

==========

From official report :

  • "The Australian economy grew by 1.0% in seasonally adjusted chain volume terms in the March quarter."
  • "Gross operating surplus increased 4.0%."

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AUD/USD M5: range price movement by Australia Gross Domestic Product news event 

AUD/USD asctrend-ichimoku chart by Metatrader 5

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5: 


Sergey Golubev
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Sergey Golubev, 2018.06.07 13:17

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Trade Balance and range price movement 

2018-05-07 02:30 GMT | [AUD - Trade Balance]

  • past data is 1.73B
  • forecast data is 0.98B
  • actual data is 0.98B according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Trade Balance] = Difference in value between imported and exported goods and services during the reported month.

==========

From official report :

  • "In trend terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $1,461m in April 2018, an increase of $300m on the surplus in March 2018."
  • "In seasonally adjusted terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $977m in April 2018, a decrease of $754m on the surplus in March 2018."

==========

AUD/USD M5: range price movement by Australia Trade Balance news event 

AUD/USD chart by Metatrader 5

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5: 


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Sergey Golubev, 2018.06.14 11:07

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Employment Change and range price movement 

2018-06-14 02:30 GMT | [AUD - Employment Change]

  • past data is 18.3K
  • forecast data is 18.8K
  • actual data is 12.0K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month.

==========

From official report :

  • "Employment increased 12,000 to 12,518,300. Full-time employment decreased 20,600 to 8,521,400 and part-time employment increased 32,600 to 3,996,900.""Unemployment decreased 26,800 to 714,600. The number of unemployed persons looking for full-time work decreased 11,200 to 494,300 and the number of unemployed persons only looking for part-time work decreased 15,600 to 220,300.""Unemployment rate decreased by 0.2 pts to 5.4%."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Employment Change news event 

AUD/USD chart by Metatrader 5

AUD/USD chart by Metatrader 5

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread 

After


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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2018.06.17 08:15

Weekly Fundamental Forecast for AUD/USD (based on the article)

AUD/USD by MT5

AUD/USD"The Australian Dollar faces a lack of major, first-tier domestic economic data in the coming week and, given that last week’s full calendar saw AUD/USD appreciably lower, it might be reasonable to assume that a sparser calendar might bring some reprieve. The coming week won’t bring anything of comparable importance to the data table. Investors will get a look at the minutes of the last RBA policy meeting but, given that Lowe has already spoken since, these seem unlikely to add much to what’s already known –that the record low, 1.50% Official Cash Rate won’t be going anywhere soon."

============

The chart was made on Metatrader 5 using HWAFM tool pattern tool from this post.


Sergey Golubev
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Elliottwave Analysis: AUDUSD

Yue Wang, 2018.06.18 08:20

6-18 Elliottwave Analysis: AUDUSD, sell at market, add at 0.7485

AUDUSD closed below daily Ichimoku cloud.

For now short term, medium term and long trend trend all point down.

From an Elliottwave perspective, further downside toward 0.7300/0.7298 could not be ruled out.

All these information could be translated into a strong sell signal.

Any bounce toward 0.7500 should be sold into against H4 upper bands.

Daily support levels: 0.7418 0.7410 0.7395

Daily resistance levels: 0.7466 0.7484 .7502

AUDUSD Trade Idea:  (spot 0.7438)

①Sell @ markert SL 0.7565 Take Profit @ 0.7369

②Sell @ 0.7485  SL 0.7565 Take Profit @ 0.7369

Intraday Trade Idea:

Sell Latentinterest Order:  0.7466

Buy Latentinterest Order:  0.7395

Click on the image to enlarge

1


Sergey Golubev
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aud/jpy has been bearish

daytray, 2018.06.26 20:42

  • any one trading this pair at all its been a bearish start from sunday since they opend the markets but right now its staring to turn bullish and looks like its heading up to its previous higher high any thoughts

Sergey Golubev
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Sergey Golubev  

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2018.07.03 08:28

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBA Rate Statement, Cash Rate and range price movement 

2018-07-03 05:30 GMT | [AUD - Cash Rate]

  • past data is 1.50%
  • forecast data is 1.50%
  • actual data is 1.50% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.

==========

From official report :

  • "At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.50 per cent."
  • "The global economic expansion is continuing. A number of advanced economies are growing at an above-trend rate and unemployment rates are low. The Chinese economy continues to grow solidly, with the authorities paying increased attention to the risks in the financial sector and the sustainability of growth. Globally, inflation remains low, although it has increased in some economies and further increases are expected given the tight labour markets. One uncertainty regarding the global outlook stems from the direction of international trade policy in the United States. There have also been strains in a few emerging market economies, largely for country-specific reasons."

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AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event 

AUDUSD by Metatrader 5

============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


Sergey Golubev
Moderator
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Sergey Golubev  

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2018.07.12 16:06

Intra-Day Fundamentals - AUD/USDNZD/USD and GOLD: United States Consumer Price Index (CPI)

2018-07-12 13:30 GMT | [USD - CPI]

  • past data is 0.2%
  • forecast data is 0.2%
  • actual data is 0.1% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

==========

From official report :

  • "The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.1 percent in June on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.2 percent in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 2.9 percent before seasonal adjustment."

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AUD/USD M5: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) news events

AUD/USD chart by Metatrader 5

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NZD/USD M5: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) news events

NZD/USD chart by Metatrader 5

============

XAU/USD M5: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) news events


==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After 

  1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
  2. Asctrend indicator in depth 
  3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included) 
  4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread 

Sergey Golubev
Moderator
113401
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2018.07.19 10:35

AUD/USD Intra-Day FundamentalsAustralia Employment Change and range price movement 

2018-07-19 02:30 GMT | [AUD - Employment Change]

  • past data is 13.4K
  • forecast data is 16.7K
  • actual data is 50.9K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[AUD - Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month.

==========

From official report :

  • "Employment increased 50,900 to 12,573,600. Full-time employment increased 41,200 to 8,565,200 and part-time employment increased 9,700 to 4,008,400."
  • "Unemployment rate remained steady at 5.4%."

==========

AUD/USD M5: range price movement by Australia Employment Change news event 

AUD/USD chart by Metatrader 5

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicator:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

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