Australia GDP, range price movement by the Australian economy - General

Sergey Golubev 2021.06.02 10:12 #251

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.06.02 10:09

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and range price movement

2021-06-02 02:30 GMT | [AUD - GDP]

past data is 3.2%
forecast data is 0.4%
actual data is 1.8% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - GDP] = Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy.

==========

From official report :

"The Australian economy rose 1.8% in seasonally adjusted chain volume measures".
"Through the year GDP rose 1.1%".
"The terms of trade rose 7.4%".
"Household saving ratio decreased to 11.6% from 12.2%".

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AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia GDP news event

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Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

BrainTrend2Sig indicator from Codebase (free to download)
Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:

BrainTrending indicators to download with template.
Rules to trade manually
How to install

Gross Domestic Product - Gross Domestic Product - Gross Domestic Product -

Sergey Golubev 2021.06.25 16:01 #252

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.06.25 15:59

Intra-Day Fundamentals - AUD/USD and NZD/USD: United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index m/m

2021-06-25 13:30 GMT | [USD - Core PCE Price Index]

past data is 0.7%
forecast data is 0.5%
actual data is 0.5% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Core PCE Price Index] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy.

==========

From marketwatch article :

A key measure of U.S. inflation rose sharply again in May and showed prices rising at the fastest annual pace since 2008, signaling consumers can expect to pay more for goods and services over the summer as the economy recovers from the pandemic.
The rate of PCE inflation is now almost double the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal, but senior officials have downplayed the increase. Fed leaders insist prices will ease next year as the economy returns to normal, most people go back to work and widespread shortages of labor and supplies fade away.
The core PCE price index moved up 0.5% in May. That nudged the increase over the past 12 months to 3.4% from 3.1%.

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AUD/USD: range price movement by Core PCE Price Index news events

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NZD/USD: range price movement by Core PCE Price Index news events

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Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
Price prediction by Nearest Neighbor found by a weighted correlation coefficient - indicator for MetaTrader 5
ColorSchaffTriXTrendCycle - indicator for MetaTrader 5

Same system for MT4:

Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread
Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Consumer Price Index - Consumer Price Index - Consumer Price Index -

Sergey Golubev 2021.07.21 07:49 #253

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.07.21 07:47

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Retail Sales and range price movement

2021-07-21 02:30 GMT | [AUD - Retail Sales]

past data is 0.4%
forecast data is -0.6%
actual data is -1.8% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Retail Sales] = Change in the total value of sales at the retail level.

==========

From rttnews article :

"Australia's retail sales declined more than expected in June, preliminary data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics revealed on Wednesday. Retail sales decreased 1.8 percent month-on-month in June, in contrast to a 0.4 percent rise in May. This was also bigger than the economists' forecast of -0.5 percent."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Retail Sales news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
Price prediction by Nearest Neighbor found by a weighted correlation coefficient - indicator for MetaTrader 5
ColorSchaffTriXTrendCycle - indicator for MetaTrader 5

Same system for MT4:

Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread
Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Moving Average - Trend Moving Average - Trend Average True Range -

Sergey Golubev 2021.08.03 13:09 #254

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.08.03 13:08

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBA Cash Rate, Rate Statement and range price movement

2021-08-03 05:30 GMT | [AUD - Cash Rate]

past data is 0.10%
forecast data is 0.10%
actual data is 0.10% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.

==========

From official report :

"At its meeting today, the Board decided to:

maintain the cash rate target at 10 basis points and the interest rate on Exchange Settlement balances of zero per cent
maintain the target of 10 basis points for the April 2024 Australian Government bond
continue to purchase government securities at the rate of $5 billion a week until early September and then $4 billion a week until at least mid November".

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

BrainTrend2Sig indicator from Codebase (free to download)
Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:

BrainTrending indicators to download with template.
Rules to trade manually
How to install

Futures - For Advanced Average True Range - Average True Range -

Sergey Golubev 2021.08.17 19:06 #255

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.08.17 18:56

Intra-Day Fundamentals - GBP/USD, AUD/USD and USD/CNH: United States Retail Sales

2021-08-17 12:30 GMT | [USD - Retail Sales]

past data is 0.7%
forecast data is 0.1%
actual data is -1.1% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Retail Sales] = Change in the total value of sales at the retail level.

==========

From marketwatch article :

U.S. stocks fell Tuesday, threatening to end a five-day run of record finishes for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 indexes, after July retail sales came in weaker than expected.
U.S. stocks recovered Monday from early losses, and the S&P 500 notched its 49th record close of 2021. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average each established a fifth straight record close, while the Nasdaq Composite weakened by 0.2%.
Retail sales fell 1.1% in July, and were down 0.4% after excluding autos. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had penciled in a 0.3% monthly drop in sales in July, or a 0.2% gain when autos are excluded.

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GBP/USD : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

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AUD/USD : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
ASCtrend - indicator for MetaTrader 5
Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
AbsoluteStrengthMarket- indicator for MetaTrader 5

Retail Price Index - Average True Range - Average True Range -

Sergey Golubev 2021.09.28 07:26 #256

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.09.28 07:24

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Retail Sales and range price movement

2021-09-28 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Retail Sales]

past data is -2.7%
forecast data is -2.5%
actual data is -1.7% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Retail Sales] = Change in the total value of sales at the retail level.

==========

From official report :

Australian retail turnover fell 1.7 per cent in August 2021, seasonally adjusted, according to the Retail Trade figures released today by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). This was the third consecutive monthly fall in turnover following falls of 2.7 per cent in July 2021, and 1.8 per cent in June 2021.

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Retail Sales news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
ASCtrend - indicator for MetaTrader 5
Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
AbsoluteStrengthMarket- indicator for MetaTrader 5

Moving Average - Trend Moving Average - Trend Strategy Testing - Algorithmic

Sergey Golubev 2021.11.02 09:44 #257

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.11.02 09:42

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBA Cash Rate, Rate Statement and range price movement

2021-11-02 03:30 GMT | [AUD - Cash Rate]

past data is 0.10%
forecast data is 0.10%
actual data is 0.10% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.

==========

From official report :

"maintain the cash rate target at 10 basis points and the interest rate on Exchange Settlement balances at zero per cent"
"continue to purchase government securities at the rate of $4 billion a week until at least mid February 2022"
"discontinue the target of 10 basis points for the April 2024 Australian Government bond".

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
ASCtrend - indicator for MetaTrader 5
Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
SilverTrend_NRTR - indicator for MetaTrader 5
Fourier extrapolation of price - indicator for MetaTrader 5

==========

The forum threads

Key forum thread - Fast Fourier Transform - Cycle Extraction - the thead with FFTfiltr indicator and explanation
New EA based on the !xMeter (!xMter based on Fast Fourier Transform) - the thread
Many FFT indicators with examples and explanations - the thread
Ticks Before The News - the thread with many FFT indicators and explanation how to trade

CodeBase

dt_FFT - library for MetaTrader
LGLIB - Numerical Analysis Library - library for MetaTrader 4
ALGLIB - Numerical Analysis Library - library for MetaTrader 5
AFIRMA - indicator for MetaTrader 5
Fourier extrapolation of price - indicator for MetaTrader 5

The articles

RBA Interest Rate Decision Fundamental analysis tools in Indicators - Charts -

Sergey Golubev 2021.12.03 15:15 #258

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.12.03 14:50

Intra-Day Fundamentals - GBP/USD, AUD/USD and BTC/USD: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2021-12-03 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

past data is 546K
forecast data is 553K
actual data is 210K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

"Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 210,000 in November, and the unemployment rate fell by 0.4 percentage point to 4.2 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in professional and business services, transportation and warehousing, construction, and manufacturing. Employment in retail trade declined over the month".

==========

GBP/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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AUD/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

BTC/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5

Jobless Claims (Initial Claims) Retail Price Index - Gross Domestic Product -

Sergey Golubev 2021.12.07 09:33 #259

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.12.07 09:33

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBA Cash Rate, Rate Statement and range price movement

2021-12-07 03:30 GMT | [AUD - Cash Rate]

past data is 0.10%
forecast data is 0.10%
actual data is 0.10% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.

==========

From official report :

"At its meeting today, the Board decided to:

maintain the cash rate target at 10 basis points and the interest rate on Exchange Settlement balances at zero per cent
continue to purchase government securities at the rate of $4 billion a week until at least mid February 2022".

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

BrainTrend2Sig indicator from Codebase (free to download)
Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:

BrainTrending indicators to download with template.
Rules to trade manually
How to install

Average True Range - Average True Range - Fundamental analysis tools in

Sergey Golubev 2022.01.26 20:31 #260

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.01.26 20:25

Intra-Day Fundamentals - AUD/USD, NZD/USD and Hang Seng Index : Federal Funds Rate and FOMC Statement

2022-01-26 19:00 GMT | [USD - Federal Funds Rate]

past data is 0.25%
forecast data is 0.25%
actual data is 0.25% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Federal Funds Rate] = Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight.

==========

From official report :

"The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent. With inflation well above 2 percent and a strong labor market, the Committee expects it will soon be appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate. The Committee decided to continue to reduce the monthly pace of its net asset purchases, bringing them to an end in early March. Beginning in February, the Committee will increase its holdings of Treasury securities by at least $20 billion per month and of agency mortgage‑backed securities by at least $10 billion per month. The Federal Reserve's ongoing purchases and holdings of securities will continue to foster smooth market functioning and accommodative financial conditions, thereby supporting the flow of credit to households and businesses".

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AUD/USD: range price movement by Federal Funds Rate news events

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NZD/USD: range price movement by Federal Funds Rate news events

==========

Hang Seng Index (HK50) : range price movement by Federal Funds Rate news events

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Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
ASCtrend - indicator for MetaTrader 5
Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
Vortex - indicator for MetaTrader 5

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4
Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After

The main AscTrend thread is this one.
Asctrend indicator in depth
ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included)
Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread

ISM Index - USA Beige Book - USA Employment Cost Index -

Forecast and levels for AUD - page 26