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Forecast and levels for NZD - page 10

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Sergey Golubev
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Sergey Golubev  

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Sergey Golubev, 2019.02.07 08:22

NZD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: New Zealand Employment Change and range price movement  

2019-02-06 21:45 GMT | [NZD - Employment Change]

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for NZD in our case)

[NZD - Employment Change] = Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month.

==========

From official report :

  • "The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate rose to 4.3 percent in the December 2018 quarter, up from 4.0 percent (revised) last quarter, Stats NZ said today.""The rise in the unemployment rate reflected higher growth in unemployment (up 10,000), as a share of the overall growth in the labour force (up 12,000). Unemployment was largely influenced by more unemployed men (up 8,000). For women, unemployment rose 2,000. For men and women combined, there were 12,000 more unemployed youth (15–24-year-olds)."
  • "In the latest quarter, we adjusted some high-level data to improve its accuracy. This included figures for employed people, those not in the labour force, and hours worked. While this is not the first time we’ve made this type of adjustment, it is the first time we’ve done it before publishing. Previously, we made the adjustment a few quarters later."

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand Employment Change news event 

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand Employment Change news event

============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


Sergey Golubev
Moderator
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Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.02.13 11:16

NZD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBNZ Official Cash RateRBNZ Monetary Policy Statement and range price movement  

2019-02-13 01:00 GMT | [NZD - Official Cash Rate]

  • past data is 1.75%
  • forecast data is 1.75%
  • actual data is 1.75% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for NZD in our case)

[NZD - Official Cash Rate] = Interest rate at which banks lend balances held at the RBNZ to other banks overnight.

==========

From official report :

  • "The Official Cash Rate (OCR) remains at 1.75 percent. We expect to keep the OCR at this level through 2019 and 2020. The direction of our next OCR move could be up or down."
  • "Employment is near its maximum sustainable level. However, core consumer price inflation remains below our 2 percent target mid-point, necessitating continued supportive monetary policy."

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by RBNZ Official Cash Rate news event 

NZD/USD: range price movement by RBNZ Official Cash Rate news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread 

After

Sergey Golubev
Moderator
114836
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.02.27 07:56

NZD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: New Zealand Overseas Merchandise Trade and range price movement  

2019-02-26 21:45 GMT | [NZD - Trade Balance]

if actual > forecast or previous good for currency (for NZD in our case)

[NZD - Trade Balance] = Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month.

==========

From official report :

  • "Goods exports rose $128 million (3.0 percent) to $4.4 billion."
  • "Goods imports rose $379 million (7.7 percent) to $5.3 billion."
  • "The monthly trade balance was a deficit of $914 million. This is the largest trade deficit on record for a January month."

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand Overseas Merchandise Trade news event 

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand Overseas Merchandise Trade news event

============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


Sergey Golubev
Moderator
114836
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.03.13 16:01

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USDUSD/CAD and NZD/USDUnited States Producer Price Index

2019-03-13 12:30 GMT | [USD - PPI]

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - PPI] = Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers.

==========

From official report :

  • "The Producer Price Index for final demand edged up 0.1 percent in February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices fell 0.1 percent in both January and December. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index moved up 1.9 percent for the 12 months ended in February."


==========

EUR/USD M5: range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

EUR/USD M5: range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

==========

USD/CAD M5: range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

USD/CAD M5: range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

============

NZD/USD M5: range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

NZD/USD M5: range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread 

After


Sergey Golubev
Moderator
114836
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.03.20 11:15

NZD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: New Zealand Current Account and range price movement  

2019-03-19 21:45 GMT | [NZD - Current Account]

  • past data is -6.18B
  • forecast data is -3.55B
  • actual data is -3.26B according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for NZD in our case)

[NZD - Current Account] = Difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers during the previous quarter.

==========

From official report :

  • "New Zealand’s seasonally adjusted current account deficit was $2.5 billion."
  • "The current account deficit for the year ended December 2018 widened to $11.0 billion (3.7 percent of GDP) from the $8.2 billion deficit for the December 2017 year (2.9 percent of GDP)."

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand Current Account news event 

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand Current Account news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Sergey Golubev
Moderator
114836
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.03.21 07:37

NZD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: New Zealand Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and range price movement  

2019-03-20 21:45 GMT | [NZD - GDP]

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for NZD in our case)

[NZD - GDP] = Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy.

==========

From official report :

  • "New Zealand economy grew 0.6 percent""service industries grew 0.9 percent, driving economic growth""agriculture, forestry, and fishing industry was down 0.6 percent""construction was up 1.8 percent""household spending was up 1.3 percent""investment spending was up 1.4 percent""GDP per capita rose 0.1 percent""real purchasing power of New Zealand’s income was down 0.2 percent."

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand Gross Domestic Product news event 

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand Gross Domestic Product news event

============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


Sergey Golubev
Moderator
114836
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.03.27 07:13

NZD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: New Zealand Official Cash RateRBNZ Rate Statement and range price movement  

2019-03-27 01:00 GMT | [NZD - RBNZ Official Cash Rate]

  • past data is 1.75%
  • forecast data is 1.75%
  • actual data is 1.75% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for NZD in our case)

[NZD - RBNZ Official Cash Rate] = Interest rate at which banks lend balances held at the RBNZ to other banks overnight.

==========

From official report :

  • "The Official Cash Rate (OCR) remains at 1.75 percent. Given the weaker global economic outlook and reduced momentum in domestic spending, the more likely direction of our next OCR move is down."
  • "We expect ongoing low interest rates, and increased government spending and investment, to support economic growth over 2019. Low interest rates, and continued employment growth, should support household spending and business investment. Government spending on infrastructure, housing, and transfer payments also supports domestic demand."

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by RBNZ Official Cash Rate news event 

NZD/USD: range price movement by RBNZ Official Cash Rate news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread 

After


Sergey Golubev
Moderator
114836
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

NZDUSD : high W1 compression before EXPLOSION.

Hacking the MARKETS, 2019.04.02 06:25

NZDUSD : high W1 compression before EXPLOSION. 

Heavy MN3 bearish configuratiom, with bearish break down. 

Very interesting targets. 

Sergey Golubev
Moderator
114836
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.05.01 07:10

NZD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: New Zealand Jobless Rate and range price movement  

2019-04-30 22:45 GMT | [NZD - Unemployment Rate]

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for NZD in our case)

[NZD - Unemployment Rate] = Percentage of total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous quarter.

==========

From official report :

  • "The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 4.2 percent in the March 2019 quarter, down from 4.3 percent in the December 2018 quarter, Stats NZ said today."

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand Jobless Rate news event 

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand Jobless Rate news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread 

After


Sergey Golubev
Moderator
114836
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.05.08 08:10

NZD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBNZ Official Cash RateRBNZ Monetary Policy Statement and range price movement  

2019-05-08 02:00 GMT | [NZD - Official Cash Rate]

  • past data is 1.75%
  • forecast data is 1.75%
  • actual data is 1.50% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for NZD in our case)

[NZD - Official Cash Rate] = Interest rate at which banks lend balances held at the RBNZ to other banks overnight.

==========

From official report :

  • "The Official Cash Rate (OCR) has been reduced to 1.5 percent. The Monetary Policy Committee decided a lower OCR is necessary to support the outlook for employment and inflation consistent with its policy remit."
  • "Employment is near its maximum sustainable level. However, the outlook for employment growth is more subdued and capacity pressure is expected to ease slightly in 2019. Consequently, inflationary pressure is projected to rise only slowly."

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by RBNZ Official Cash Rate news event 

NZD/USD: range price movement by RBNZ Official Cash Rate news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread 

After



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