Reimagining Classic Strategies (Part 17): Modelling Technical Indicators
In this discussion, we focus on how we can break the glass ceiling imposed by classical machine learning techniques in finance. It appears that the greatest limitation to the value we can extract from statistical models does not lie in the models themselves — neither in the data nor in the complexity of the algorithms — but rather in the methodology we use to apply them. In other words, the true bottleneck may be how we employ the model, not the model’s intrinsic capability.
Developing a multi-currency Expert Advisor (Part 20): Putting in order the conveyor of automatic project optimization stages (I)
We have already created quite a few components that help arrange auto optimization. During the creation, we followed the traditional cyclical structure: from creating minimal working code to refactoring and obtaining improved code. It is time to start clearing up our database, which is also a key component in the system we are creating.
MQL5 Wizard Techniques You should know (Part 86): Speeding Up Data Access with a Sparse Table for a Custom Trailing Class
We revamp our earlier articles on testing trade setups with the MQL5 Wizard by putting a bit more emphasis on input data quality, cleaning, and handling. In the earlier articles we had looked at a lot of custom signal classes, usable by the wizard, so we now shift our focus to a custom trailing class, given that exiting is also a very important part in any trading system. Our broad theme for this particular piece data-efficiency and the O(1) range-query; the core ‘tech’ is MQL5, SQLite, Python-Polars; the Algorithm is the Sparse-Table while we will seek validation from the ATR Indicator.
Implementing Practical Modules from Other Languages in MQL5 (Part 03): Schedule Module from Python, the OnTimer Event on Steroids
The schedule module in Python offers a simple way to schedule repeated tasks. While MQL5 lacks a built-in equivalent, in this article we’ll implement a similar library to make it easier to set up timed events in MetaTrader 5.
Modelling Requotes in Tester and Expert Advisor Stability Analysis
Requote is a scourge for many Expert Advisors, especially for those that have rather sensitive conditions of entering/exiting a trade. In the article, a way to check up the EA for the requotes stability is offered.
Statistical Arbitrage Through Cointegrated Stocks (Part 4): Real-time Model Updating
This article describes a simple but comprehensive statistical arbitrage pipeline for trading a basket of cointegrated stocks. It includes a fully functional Python script for data download and storage; correlation, cointegration, and stationarity tests, along with a sample Metatrader 5 Service implementation for database updating, and the respective Expert Advisor. Some design choices are documented here for reference and for helping in the experiment replication.
Neural Networks Made Easy (Part 83): The "Conformer" Spatio-Temporal Continuous Attention Transformer Algorithm
This article introduces the Conformer algorithm originally developed for the purpose of weather forecasting, which in terms of variability and capriciousness can be compared to financial markets. Conformer is a complex method. It combines the advantages of attention models and ordinary differential equations.
The MQL5 Standard Library Explorer (Part 4): Custom Signal Library
Today, we use the MQL5 Standard Library to build custom signal classes and let the MQL5 Wizard assemble a professional Expert Advisor for us. This approach simplifies development so that even beginner programmers can create robust EAs without in-depth coding knowledge, focusing instead on tuning inputs and optimizing performance. Join this discussion as we explore the process step by step.
Quantitative Analysis of Trends: Collecting Statistics in Python
What is quantitative trend analysis in the Forex market? We collect statistics on trends, their magnitude and distribution across the EURUSD currency pair. How quantitative trend analysis can help you create a profitable trading expert advisor.
Neural networks made easy (Part 71): Goal-Conditioned Predictive Coding (GCPC)
In previous articles, we discussed the Decision Transformer method and several algorithms derived from it. We experimented with different goal setting methods. During the experiments, we worked with various ways of setting goals. However, the model's study of the earlier passed trajectory always remained outside our attention. In this article. I want to introduce you to a method that fills this gap.
Larry Williams Market Secrets (Part 3): Proving Non-Random Market Behavior with MQL5
Explore whether financial markets are truly random by recreating Larry Williams’ market behavior experiments using MQL5. This article demonstrates how simple price-action tests can reveal statistical market biases using a custom Expert Advisor.
Trading Using Linux
The article describes how to use indicators to watch the situation on financial markets online.
Developing a Replay System — Market simulation (Part 13): Birth of the SIMULATOR (III)
Here we will simplify a few elements related to the work in the next article. I'll also explain how you can visualize what the simulator generates in terms of randomness.
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 51): Reinforcement Learning with SAC
Soft Actor Critic is a Reinforcement Learning algorithm that utilizes 3 neural networks. An actor network and 2 critic networks. These machine learning models are paired in a master slave partnership where the critics are modelled to improve the forecast accuracy of the actor network. While also introducing ONNX in these series, we explore how these ideas could be put to test as a custom signal of a wizard assembled Expert Advisor.
Ten "Errors" of a Newcomer in Trading?
The article substantiates approach to building a trading system as a sequence of opening and closing the interrelated orders regarding the existing conditions - prices and the current values of each order's profit/loss, not only and not so much the conventional "alerts". We are giving an exemplary realization of such an elementary trading system.
Quick Integration of a Large Language Model into MetaTrader 5 (Part I): Building the Model
The article explores the revolutionary integration of large language models (LLMs) with the MetaTrader 5 trading platform, where AI does not simply predict prices but makes autonomous trading decisions by analyzing market context much like an experienced trader. The author highlights a fundamental difference between LLMs and classical machine learning models such as CatBoost — the ability to engage in metacognition and self-reflection, which allows the system to learn from its own mistakes and improve its strategy.
Python-MetaTrader 5 Strategy Tester (Part 05): Multi-Symbols and Timeframes Strategy Tester
This article presents a MetaTrader 5–compatible backtesting workflow that scales across symbols and timeframes. We use HistoryManager to parallelize data collection, synchronize bars and ticks from all timeframes, and run symbol‑isolated OnTick handlers in threads. You will learn how modelling modes affect speed/accuracy, when to rely on terminal data, how to reduce I/O with event‑driven updates, and how to assemble a complete multicurrency trading robot.
Developing a Replay System (Part 42): Chart Trade Project (I)
Let's create something more interesting. I don't want to spoil the surprise, so follow the article for a better understanding. From the very beginning of this series on developing the replay/simulator system, I was saying that the idea is to use the MetaTrader 5 platform in the same way both in the system we are developing and in the real market. It is important that this is done properly. No one wants to train and learn to fight using one tool while having to use another one during the fight.
Analyzing Overbought and Oversold Trends Via Chaos Theory Approaches
We determine the overbought and oversold condition of the market according to chaos theory: integrating the principles of chaos theory, fractal geometry and neural networks to forecast financial markets. The study demonstrates the use of the Lyapunov exponent as a measure of market randomness and the dynamic adaptation of trading signals. The methodology includes an algorithm for generating fractal noise, hyperbolic tangent activation, and moment optimization.
Feature Engineering for ML (Part 3): Session-Aware Time Features for Forex Machine Learning
The article addresses the loss of temporal information in ML pipelines by encoding periodic time variables with Fourier harmonics and adding forex session structure. It implements session and overlap flags, lagged session volatility, and calendar effects, then prunes features by timeframe. The get time features function returns an index‑aligned, ML‑ready set of time features suitable for integration with price‑based signals.
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 72): Using Patterns of MACD and the OBV with Supervised Learning
We follow up on our last article, where we introduced the indicator pair of the MACD and the OBV, by looking at how this pairing could be enhanced with Machine Learning. MACD and OBV are a trend and volume complimentary pairing. Our machine learning approach uses a convolution neural network that engages the Exponential kernel in sizing its kernels and channels, when fine-tuning the forecasts of this indicator pairing. As always, this is done in a custom signal class file that works with the MQL5 wizard to assemble an Expert Advisor.
Automating Classic Market Methods in MQL5 (Part 1): Wyckoff Accumulation and Distribution
The article describes an MQL5 EA that automates Wyckoff accumulation and distribution via a finite state machine. It confirms spring to SOS and upthrust to SOW before placing LPS or LPSY entries, using relative tick volume as the confirmation metric. Readers get the state model, detection criteria, code organization, and MetaTrader 5 testing procedure.
Neural Networks in Trading: A Complex Trajectory Prediction Method (Traj-LLM)
In this article, I would like to introduce you to an interesting trajectory prediction method developed to solve problems in the field of autonomous vehicle movements. The authors of the method combined the best elements of various architectural solutions.
Neural Networks Made Easy (Part 95): Reducing Memory Consumption in Transformer Models
Transformer architecture-based models demonstrate high efficiency, but their use is complicated by high resource costs both at the training stage and during operation. In this article, I propose to get acquainted with algorithms that allow to reduce memory usage of such models.
Developing a multi-currency Expert Advisor (Part 24): Adding a new strategy (I)
In this article, we will look at how to connect a new strategy to the auto optimization system we have created. Let's see what kind of EAs we need to create and whether it will be possible to do without changing the EA library files or minimize the necessary changes.
Neural networks made easy (Part 42): Model procrastination, reasons and solutions
In the context of reinforcement learning, model procrastination can be caused by several reasons. The article considers some of the possible causes of model procrastination and methods for overcoming them.
Formulating Dynamic Multi-Pair EA (Part 9): Market Microstructure Execution Noise Filtering
This article presents a multi-symbol execution filter that scores real-time market quality before any trade is allowed. It measures spread behavior, tick velocity, quote gaps, micro-volatility, and a slippage estimate, then classifies the state to block degraded conditions. Once noise settles, a liquidity sweep continuation model evaluates structure shifts so entries occur only when execution is mechanically stable.
Neural Networks in Trading: Directional Diffusion Models (DDM)
In this article, we discuss Directional Diffusion Models that exploit data-dependent anisotropic and directed noise in a forward diffusion process to capture meaningful graph representations.
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 14): Transaction Cost Modeling for Triple-Barrier Labels in MQL5
The article replaces hardcoded cost assumptions in triple-barrier labeling with measured inputs. An MQL5 script captures spread distribution, swap rates, and symbol metadata from your broker, and a Python model converts them into a broker-calibrated min ret you can pass to get events. Labels then reflect the actual round-trip friction for your instrument and holding period.
Neural networks made easy (Part 57): Stochastic Marginal Actor-Critic (SMAC)
Here I will consider the fairly new Stochastic Marginal Actor-Critic (SMAC) algorithm, which allows building latent variable policies within the framework of entropy maximization.
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 79): Using Gator Oscillator and Accumulation/Distribution Oscillator with Supervised Learning
In the last piece, we concluded our look at the pairing of the gator oscillator and the accumulation/distribution oscillator when used in their typical setting of the raw signals they generate. These two indicators are complimentary as trend and volume indicators, respectively. We now follow up that piece, by examining the effect that supervised learning can have on enhancing some of the feature patterns we had reviewed. Our supervised learning approach is a CNN that engages with kernel regression and dot product similarity to size its kernels and channels. As always, we do this in a custom signal class file that works with the MQL5 wizard to assemble an Expert Advisor.
Market Simulation (Part 01): Cross Orders (I)
Today we will begin the second stage, where we will look at the market replay/simulation system. First, we will show a possible solution for cross orders. I will show you the solution, but it is not final yet. It will be a possible solution to a problem that we will need to solve in the near future.
Data Science and ML (Part 47): Forecasting the Market Using the DeepAR model in Python
In this article, we will attempt to predict the market with a decent model for time series forecasting named DeepAR. A model that is a combination of deep neural networks and autoregressive properties found in models like ARIMA and Vector Autoregressive (VAR).
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 28): GANs Revisited with a Primer on Learning Rates
The Learning Rate, is a step size towards a training target in many machine learning algorithms’ training processes. We examine the impact its many schedules and formats can have on the performance of a Generative Adversarial Network, a type of neural network that we had examined in an earlier article.
Developing a Replay System — Market simulation (Part 23): FOREX (IV)
Now the creation occurs at the same point where we converted ticks into bars. This way, if something goes wrong during the conversion process, we will immediately notice the error. This is because the same code that places 1-minute bars on the chart during fast forwarding is also used for the positioning system to place bars during normal performance. In other words, the code that is responsible for this task is not duplicated anywhere else. This way we get a much better system for both maintenance and improvement.
Neural Networks in Trading: Controlled Segmentation
In this article. we will discuss a method of complex multimodal interaction analysis and feature understanding.
Hidden Markov Models in Machine Learning-Based Trading Systems
Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are a powerful class of probabilistic models designed to analyze sequential data, where observed events depend on some sequence of unobserved (hidden) states that form a Markov process. The main assumptions of HMM include the Markov property for hidden states, meaning that the probability of transition to the next state depends only on the current state, and the independence of observations given knowledge of the current hidden state.
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 21): Testing with Economic Calendar Data
Economic Calendar Data is not available for testing with Expert Advisors within Strategy Tester, by default. We look at how Databases could help in providing a work around this limitation. So, for this article we explore how SQLite databases can be used to archive Economic Calendar news such that wizard assembled Expert Advisors can use this to generate trade signals.
MQL5 Wizard Techniques you should know (Part 50): Awesome Oscillator
The Awesome Oscillator is another Bill Williams Indicator that is used to measure momentum. It can generate multiple signals, and therefore we review these on a pattern basis, as in prior articles, by capitalizing on the MQL5 wizard classes and assembly.
Developing a Replay System — Market simulation (Part 22): FOREX (III)
Although this is the third article on this topic, I must explain for those who have not yet understood the difference between the stock market and the foreign exchange market: the big difference is that in the Forex there is no, or rather, we are not given information about some points that actually occurred during the course of trading.