Forecast and levels for EURO - page 41

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2020.12.22 16:09

Intra-Day Fundamentals - Dollar Index, USD/JPY and EUR/USD: United States Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

2020-12-22 13:30 GMT | [USD - GDP]

  • past data is 33.1%
  • forecast data is 33.1%
  • actual data is 33.4% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - GDP] = Annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy.

==========

From official report :

  • "Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 33.4 percent in the third quarter of 2020 (table 1), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP decreased 31.4 percent."

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Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by  United States Gross Domestic Product news events

Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by United States Gross Domestic Product news events

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USD/JPY: range price movement by  United States Gross Domestic Product news events

USD/JPY: range price movement by United States Gross Domestic Product news events

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EUR/USD: range price movement by  United States Gross Domestic Product news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by United States Gross Domestic Product news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

 

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.01.08 10:09

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: ECB German Trade Balance

2021-01-08 07:00 GMT | [EUR - German Trade Balance n.s.a.]

  • past data is 19.4B
  • forecast data is 22.4B
  • actual data is 17.2B according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - German Trade Balance n.s.a.] = Trade Balance n.s.a. (not seasonally adjusted) shows the difference between Germany's export and import of goods and services over the reported period. A positive balance value indicates a trade surplus, while a negative one hints at a trade deficit. The year-over-year indicator provides seasonally unadjusted data. Higher than expected readings can affect the euro quotes positively.

==========

From official report :

  • "The foreign trade balance showed a surplus of 17.2 billion euros in November 2020. In November 2019, the surplus amounted to 18.5 billion euros. In calendar and seasonally adjusted terms, the foreign trade balance recorded a surplus of 16.4 billion euros in November 2020."

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EUR/USD: range price movement by German Trade Balance n.s.a. news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by German Trade Balance n.s.a. news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase: 

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.01.21 14:33

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: ECB Interest Rates, Monetary Policy Statement and range price movement 

2021-01-21 12:45 GMT | [EUR - Main Refinancing Rate]

  • past data is 0.00%
  • forecast data is 0.00%
  • actual data is 0.00% according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - Main Refinancing Rate] = Interest rate on the main refinancing operations that provide the bulk of liquidity to the banking system.

==========

From official report :

  • "First, the interest rate on the main refinancing operations and the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility will remain unchanged at 0.00%, 0.25% and -0.50% respectively. The Governing Council expects the key ECB interest rates to remain at their present or lower levels until it has seen the inflation outlook robustly converge to a level sufficiently close to, but below, 2% within its projection horizon, and such convergence has been consistently reflected in underlying inflation dynamics."
  • "Second, the Governing Council will continue the purchases under the pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP) with a total envelope of €1,850 billion. The Governing Council will conduct net asset purchases under the PEPP until at least the end of March 2022 and, in any case, until it judges that the coronavirus crisis phase is over. The purchases under the PEPP will be conducted to preserve favourable financing conditions over the pandemic period. If favourable financing conditions can be maintained with asset purchase flows that do not exhaust the envelope over the net purchase horizon of the PEPP, the envelope need not be used in full. Equally, the envelope can be recalibrated if required to maintain favourable financing conditions to help counter the negative pandemic shock to the path of inflation."

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EUR/USD: range price movement by ECB  Interest Rates news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by ECB Interest Rates news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase: 

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:




 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.01.22 10:05

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: German Manufacturing PMI and range price movement 

2021-01-22 08:30 GMT | [EUR - German Manufacturing PMI]

  • past data is 58.3
  • forecast data is 58.5
  • actual data is 57.0 according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - German Manufacturing PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.

==========

From official report :

  • "Flash Germany PMI Composite Output Index at 50.8 (Dec: 52.0). 7-month low."
  • "Flash Germany Services PMI Activity Index at 46.8 (Dec: 47.0). 2-month low."
  • "Flash Germany Manufacturing Output Index at 58.6 (Dec: 61.3). 5-month low. "
  • "Flash Germany Manufacturing PMI at 57.0 (Dec: 58.3). 4-month low."

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by German Manufacturing PMI news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by German Manufacturing PMI news event

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After

  1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
  2. Asctrend indicator in depth
  3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included)
  4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread



 

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.02.10 16:29

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, USD/CAD and GBP/USD: United States  Consumer Price Index (CPI)

2021-02-10 13:30 GMT | [USD - Core CPI]

  • past data is 0.0%
  • forecast data is 0.4%
  • actual data is 0.0% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Core CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy.

==========

From official report :

  • "The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent in January on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.4 percent before seasonal adjustment.The index for all items less food and energy was unchanged in January. The indexes for apparel, medical care, shelter, and motor vehicle insurance all increased over the month. The indexes for recreation, used cars and trucks, airline fares, and new vehicles all declined in January. "

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EUR/USD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

EUR/USD: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news event

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USD/CAD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

USD/CAD: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news event

==========

GBP/USD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

GBP/USD: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news event

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After 

  1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
  2. Asctrend indicator in depth 
  3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included) 
  4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.02.19 11:44

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: German PPI and range price movement 

2021-02-19 07:00 GMT | [EUR - German PPI]

  • past data is 0.8%
  • forecast data is 0.1%
  • actual data is 1.4% according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - German PPI] = Change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers.

==========

From official report :

  • In January 2021, the index of producer prices for industrial products increased by 0.9% compared with the corresponding month of the preceding year. In December 2020 the annual rate of change all over had been +0.2%, as reported by the Federal Statistical Office. Compared with the preceding month December 2020 the overall index increased by 1.4% in January 2021 (+0.8% in December 2020).

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by German PPI news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by German PPI news event

============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.04.23 15:06

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: German Manufacturing PMI and range price movement 

2021-04-23 08:30 GMT | [EUR - German Manufacturing PMI]

  • past data is 66.6
  • forecast data is 65.8
  • actual data is 66.4 according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - German Manufacturing PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.

==========

From official report:

  • "Flash Germany Manufacturing PMI(3) at 66.4 (Mar: 66.6). 2-month low".
  • "Flash Germany Manufacturing Output Index at 67.7 (Mar: 68.9). 2-month low".
  • "Flash Germany Services PMI Activity Index at 50.1 (Mar: 51.5). 2-month low".
  • "Flash Germany PMI Composite Output Index at 56.0 (Mar: 57.3). 2-month low".

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by German Manufacturing PMI news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by German Manufacturing PMI news event

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicator:


 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.05.03 18:02

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, GOLD (XAU/USD) and USD/JPY: ISM United States Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)

2021-05-03 15:00 GMT | [USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI]

  • past data is 64.7
  • forecast data is 62.9
  • actual data is 60.7 according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.

==========

From official report :

  • “The April Manufacturing PMI® registered 60.7 percent, a decrease of 4 percentage points from the March reading of 64.7 percent. This figure indicates expansion in the overall economy for the 11th month in a row after contraction in April 2020. The New Orders Index registered 64.3 percent, declining 3.7 percentage points from the March reading of 68 percent. The Production Index registered 62.5 percent, a decrease of 5.6 percentage points compared to the March reading of 68.1 percent. The Backlog of Orders Index registered 68.2 percent, 0.7 percentage point higher compared to the March reading of 67.5 percent. The Employment Index registered 55.1 percent, 4.5 percentage points lower than the March reading of 59.6 percent. The Supplier Deliveries Index registered 75 percent, down 1.6 percentage points from the March figure of 76.6 percent. The Inventories Index registered 46.5 percent, 4.3 percentage points lower than the March reading of 50.8 percent. The Prices Index registered 89.6 percent, up 4 percentage points compared to the March reading of 85.6 percent. The New Export Orders Index registered 54.9 percent, an increase of 0.4 percentage point compared to the March reading of 54.5 percent. The Imports Index registered 52.2 percent, a 4.5-percentage point decrease from the March reading of 56.7 percent.”

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

==========

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

============

USD/JPY: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

USD/JPY: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events



==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After 

  1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
  2. Asctrend indicator in depth 
  3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included) 
  4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread 

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.05.06 09:33

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: German Factory Orders and range price movement 

2021-05-06 07:00 GMT | [EUR - German Factory Orders]

  • past data is 1.4%
  • forecast data is 0.5%
  • actual data is 3.0% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - German Factory Orders] = Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers.

==========

From official report:

  • According to provisional results of the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), real (price adjusted) new orders increased by a seasonally and calendar adjusted 3.0% in March 2021 compared with February 2021. Excluding major orders, real new orders in manufacturing were 1.6% higher than in the previous month.

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by German Factory Orders news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by German Factory Orders news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:




 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.06.02 10:47

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: German Retail Sales and range price movement 

2021-06-02 07:00 GMT | [EUR - German Retail Sales]

  • past data is 7.7%
  • forecast data is 1.2%
  • actual data is -5.5% according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - German Retail Sales] = Change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles and gas stations.

==========

From official report :

  • -5.5% on the previous month (in real terms, calendar and seasonally adjusted).
  • -5.4% on the previous month (in nominal terms, calendar and seasonally adjusted).
  • +4.4% on the same month a year earlier (in real terms).
  • +5.8% on the same month a year earlier (in nominal terms).

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by German Retail Sales news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by German Retail Sales news event

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After

  1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
  2. Asctrend indicator in depth
  3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included)
  4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread



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