Forecast and levels for EURO - page 44

 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.06.09 14:18

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: ECB Interest Rates, Monetary Policy Statement and range price movement 

2022-06-09 11:45 GMT | [EUR - Main Refinancing Rate]

  • past data is 0.00%
  • forecast data is 0.00%
  • actual data is 0.00% according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - Main Refinancing Rate] = Interest rate on the main refinancing operations that provide the bulk of liquidity to the banking system.

==========

From official report :

"Accordingly, and in line with the Governing Council’s policy sequencing, the Governing Council intends to raise the key ECB interest rates by 25 basis points at its July monetary policy meeting. In the meantime, the Governing Council decided to leave the interest rate on the main refinancing operations and the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility unchanged at 0.00%, 0.25% and -0.50% respectively."

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EUR/USD: range price movement by ECB  Interest Rates news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by ECB  Interest Rates news event

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:


 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.06.23 11:03

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: German Manufacturing PMI and range price movement 

2022-06-23 07:30 GMT | [EUR - German Manufacturing PMI]

  • past data is 54.8
  • forecast data is 54.0
  • actual data is 52.0 according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - German Manufacturing PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.

==========

From official report :

  • Flash Germany PMI Composite Output Index at 51.3 (May: 53.7). 6-month low.
  • Flash Germany Services PMI Activity Index at 52.4 (May: 55.0). 5-month low.
  • Flash Germany Manufacturing Output Index at 49.0 (May: 51.2). 2-month low.
  • Flash Germany Manufacturing PMI  at 52.0 (May: 54.8). 23-month low.
    • ==========

      EUR/USD: range price movement by German Manufacturing PMI news event

      EUR/USD: range price movement by German Manufacturing PMI news event

      ==========

      Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

      ==========

      Same systems for MT4/MT5:

      The beginning

      1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
      2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
      3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
      4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4
      5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
      6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

      After

      1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
      2. Asctrend indicator in depth
      3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included)
      4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread

       

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      Press review

      Sergey Golubev, 2022.06.28 08:57

      Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USDGerman GfK Consumer Climate

      2022-06-28 06:00 GMT | [EUR -  German GfK Consumer Climate]

      • past data is -26.2
      • forecast data is -27.5
      • actual data is -27.4 according to the latest press release

      if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

      [EUR -  German GfK Consumer Climate] =  Level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers.

      ==========

      From usnews article :

      "The GfK institute said its consumer sentiment index, based on a survey of around 2,000 Germans, dropped to -27.4 points heading into July after posting a short-lived recovery in June with a revised reading of -26.2 points."

      ==========

      EUR/USD: range price movement by German GfK Consumer Climate news events

      EUR/USD: range price movement by German GfK Consumer Climate news events

      ==========

      Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

      Same system for MT4:

      1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
      2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
      3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
      4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

       

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      Press review

      Sergey Golubev, 2022.07.15 15:29

      Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, USD/CAD and Dax Index : United States Retail Sales

      2022-07-15 12:30 GMT | [USD - Retail Sales]

      • past data is -0.3%
      • forecast data is  0.9%
      • actual data is 1.0% according to the latest press release

      if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

      [USD - Retail Sales] = Change in the total value of sales at the retail level.

      ==========

      From official report :

      "Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for June 2022, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $680.6 billion, an increase of 1.0 percent (±0.5 percent) from the previous month, and 8.4 percent (±0.7 percent) above June 2021. Retail trade sales were up 1.0 percent (±0.4 percent) from May 2022, and up 7.7 percent (±0.7 percent) above last year. Gasoline stations were up 49.1 percent (±1.6 percent) from June 2021, while food services and drinking places were up 13.4 percent (±3.9 percent) from last year".

        ==========

        EUR/USD : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

        EUR/USD : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

        ==========

        USD/CAD : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

        USD/CAD : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

        ==========

        Dax Index : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

        Dax Index : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

        ==========

        Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:


         

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        Press review

        Sergey Golubev, 2022.07.21 15:05

        EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: ECB Interest Rates, Monetary Policy Statement and range price movement 

        2022-07-21 12:15 GMT | [EUR - Main Refinancing Rate]

        • past data is 0.00%
        • forecast data is 0.00%
        • actual data is  0.50%  according to the latest press release 
        if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

        [EUR - Main Refinancing Rate] = Interest rate on the main refinancing operations that provide the bulk of liquidity to the banking system.

        ==========

        From official report :

        "Today, in line with the Governing Council’s strong commitment to its price stability mandate, the Governing Council took further key steps to make sure inflation returns to its 2% target over the medium term. The Governing Council decided to raise the three key ECB interest rates by 50 basis points and approved the Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI)".

        ==========

        EUR/USD: range price movement by ECB  Interest Rates news event

        EUR/USD: range price movement by ECB  Interest Rates news event

        ==========

        The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:


         

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        Press review

        Sergey Golubev, 2022.08.11 15:31

        Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, GOLD (XAU/USD) and Dax IndexUnited States Producer Price Index

        2022-08-11 12:30 GMT | [USD - PPI]

        • past data is 1.1%
        • forecast data is 0.2%
        • actual data is -0.5% according to the latest press release

        if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

        [USD - PPI] = Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers.

        ==========

        From official report :

        "The Producer Price Index for final demand fell 0.5 percent in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This decline followed advances of 1.0 percent in June and 0.8 percent in May. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, final demand prices moved up 9.8 percent for the 12 months ended in July".

        ==========

        EUR/USD : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

        EUR/USD : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

        ==========

        GOLD (XAU/USD) : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

        GOLD (XAU/USD) : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

        ============

        Dax Index : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

        Dax Index : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

        ==========

        Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

        ==========

        Same systems for MT4/MT5:

        The beginning

        1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
        2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
        3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
        4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
        5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
        6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread 

        After


         

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        Press review

        Sergey Golubev, 2022.09.02 16:23

        Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, GOLD (XAU/USD) and NIkkei 225 : United States Nonfarm Payrolls

        2022-09-02 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

        • past data is 526K
        • forecast data is 295K
        • actual data is 315K according to the latest press release

        if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

        [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

        ==========

        From official report :

        "Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 315,000 in August, and the unemployment rate rose to 3.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in professional and business services, health care, and retail trade".

        ==========

        EUR/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

        EUR/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

        ==========

        GOLD (XAU/USD) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


        GOLD (XAU/USD) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

        ==========

        NIkkei 225 : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

        NIkkei 225 : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

        ==========

        Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

        Same system for MT4:

        1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
        2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
        3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
        4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

         

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        Press review

        Sergey Golubev, 2022.09.15 16:37

        Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, GOLD (XAU/USD) and Dax Index : United States Retail Sales

        2022-09-15 12:30 GMT | [USD - Retail Sales]

        • past data is -0.4%
        • forecast data is  -0.1%
        • actual data is 0.3% according to the latest press release

        if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

        [USD - Retail Sales] = Change in the total value of sales at the retail level.

        ==========

        From official report :

        "Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for August 2022, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $683.3 billion, an increase of 0.3 percent (±0.5 percent)* from the previous month, and 9.1 percent (±0.7 percent) above August 2021. Total sales for the June 2022 through August 2022 period were up 9.3 percent (±0.5 percent) from the same period a year ago. The June 2022 to July 2022 percent change was revised from virtually unchanged (±0.5 percent)* to down 0.4 percent (±0.2 percent)".

        ==========

        EUR/USD : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

        EUR/USD : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

        ==========

        GOLD (XAU/USD) : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

        GOLD (XAU/USD) : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

        ==========

        Dax Index : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

        Dax Index : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

        ==========

        Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

        All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


         

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        Press review

        Sergey Golubev, 2022.09.20 14:13

        Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USDEuropean Union Current Account

        2022-09-20 08:00 GMT | [EUR -  Current Account]

        • past data is 4.2B
        • forecast data is 5.3B
        • actual data is -19.9B according to the latest press release

        if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

        [EUR -  Current Account] =  Difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers during the previous month.

        ==========

        From official report :

        "Current account recorded €20 billion deficit in July 2022, down from €4 billion surplus in previous month".

        ==========

        EUR/USD: range price movement by European Union Current Account news events

        EUR/USD: range price movement by European Union Current Account news events

        ==========

        Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

        All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


         

        Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

        Press review

        Sergey Golubev, 2022.10.13 17:49

        Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, NZD/USD and GOLD (XAU/USD) : United States  Consumer Price Index (CPI)

        2022-10-13 12:30 GMT | [USD - CPI]

        • past data is 0.1%
        • forecast data is 0.2%
        • actual data is 0.4% according to the latest press release

        if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

        [USD - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

        ==========

        From rttnews article :

        "Consumer prices in the U.S. increased by more than expected in the month of September, according to a highly anticipated report released by the Labor Department on Thursday. The Labor Department said its consumer price index rose by 0.4 percent in September after inching up by 0.1 percent in August".

        ==========

        EUR/USD : range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

        EUR/USD : range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

        ==========

        NZD/USD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

        NZD/USD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

        ==========

        GOLD (XAU/USD) : range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

        GOLD (XAU/USD) : range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

        ==========

        The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:


        Reason: