Forecast and levels for EURO - page 47

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.08.15 15:21

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, USD/CNH and Brent Crude Oil : United States Retail Sales

2024-08-15 12:30 GMT | [USD - Retail Sales]

  • past data is -0.2%
  • forecast data is  0.1%
  • actual data is 1.0% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Retail Sales] = Change in the total value of sales at the retail level.

==========

From official report :

"Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for July 2024, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $709.7 billion, an increase of 1.0% (±0.5 percent) from the previous month, and up 2.7 percent (±0.5 percent) from July 2023."

==========

EUR/USD : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

EUR/USD : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

==========

USD/CNH : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

USD/CNH : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

==========

Brent Crude Oil : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

Brent Crude Oil : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.11.01 14:43

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, USD/CNH and GOLD (XAU/USD): United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2024-11-01 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

"Total nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged in October (+12,000), and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in health care and government. Temporary help services lost jobs. Employment declined in manufacturing due to strike activity."

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


USD/CNH: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

XAU/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


XAU/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with the following indicator from CodeBase:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.12.12 16:06

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: ECB Interest Rates, Monetary Policy Statement and range price movement 

2024-12-12 13:15 GMT | [EUR - Main Refinancing Rate]

  • past data is 3.40%
  • forecast data is 3.15%
  • actual data is 3.15%  according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - Main Refinancing Rate] = Interest rate on the main refinancing operations that provide the bulk of liquidity to the banking system.

==========

From official report :

The Governing Council today decided to lower the three key ECB interest rates by 25 basis points. In particular, the decision to lower the deposit facility rate – the rate through which the Governing Council steers the monetary policy stance – is based on its updated assessment of the inflation outlook, the dynamics of underlying inflation and the strength of monetary policy transmission.

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by ECB  Interest Rates news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by ECB  Interest Rates news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase: 

All about BrainTrading system for MT5: