Forecast and levels for EURO - page 43

Sergey Golubev
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Sergey Golubev  

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Sergey Golubev, 2022.03.04 17:37

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, USD/CAD and S&P 500 : United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2022-03-04 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

  • past data is 481K
  • forecast data is 407K
  • actual data is 678K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

"Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 678,000 in February, and the unemployment rate edged down to 3.8 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job growth was widespread, led by gains in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, health care, and construction".

==========

EUR/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

EUR/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

USD/CAD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


USD/CAD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

S&P 500 : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

S&P 500 : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Sergey Golubev
Moderator
126161
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.03.29 19:12

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USDCB Consumer Confidence

2022-03-29 14:00 GMT | [USD - CB Consumer Confidence]

  • past data is 105.7
  • forecast data is 106.9
  • actual data is 107.2 according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - CB Consumer Confidence] = Level of a composite index based on surveyed households.

==========

From rttnews article :

"The Conference Board released a report on Tuesday showing an unexpected improvement in U.S. consumer confidence in the month of March. The report showed the Conference Board's consumer confidence index rose to 107.2 in March from a revised 105.7 in February".

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by CB Consumer Confidence news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by CB Consumer Confidence news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread 

After


Sergey Golubev
Moderator
126161
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

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Sergey Golubev, 2022.04.04 12:08

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USDGermany Trade Balance

2022-04-04 06:00 GMT | [EUR -  Germany Trade Balance]

  • past data is 9.4B
  • forecast data is 11.3B
  • actual data is 11.5B according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR -  Germany Trade Balance] =  Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month.

==========

From rttnews article :

"German exports rebounded at a stronger-than-expected pace in February, data from Destatis showed on Monday. Exports grew 6.4 percent on a monthly basis, reversing a 3.0 percent fall in January. Shipments were forecast to climb 1.5 percent. As a result, the trade surplus rose to a seasonally adjusted EUR 11.5 billion from EUR 8.9 billion in January. This was also well above the economists' forecast of EUR 9.6 billion."

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by Germany Trade Balance news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by Germany Trade Balance news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Sergey Golubev
Moderator
126161
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.04.07 17:14

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD: United States Initial Jobless Claims

2022-04-07 12:30 GMT | [USD - United States Initial Jobless Claims]

  • past data is 171K
  • forecast data is 201K
  • actual data is 166K according to the latest press release

if actual < forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - United States Initial Jobless Claims] = The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week.

==========

From official report :

"In the week ending April 2, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 166,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 31,000 from 202,000 to 171,000. The 4-week moving average was 170,000, a decrease of 8,000 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised down by 30,500 from 208,500 to 178,000".

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by United States Initial Jobless Claims news events


EUR/USD: range price movement by United States Initial Jobless Claims news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Sergey Golubev
Moderator
126161
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.04.14 14:57

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: ECB Interest Rates, Monetary Policy Statement and range price movement 

2022-04-14 11:45 GMT | [EUR - Main Refinancing Rate]

  • past data is 0.00%
  • forecast data is 0.00%
  • actual data is 0.00% according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - Main Refinancing Rate] = Interest rate on the main refinancing operations that provide the bulk of liquidity to the banking system.

==========

From official report :

"The interest rate on the main refinancing operations and the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility will remain unchanged at 0.00%, 0.25% and -0.50% respectively".

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by ECB  Interest Rates news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by ECB  Interest Rates news event

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:


Sergey Golubev
Moderator
126161
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.04.21 06:57

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD:  European Union Industrial Production

2022-04-20 09:00 GMT | [EUR -  Industrial Production]

  • past data is -0.7%
  • forecast data is -0.5%
  • actual data is 0.7% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[EUR -  Industrial Production] =  Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities.

==========

From rttnews article :

"Eurozone industrial production rose more than expected in February after falling in the previous month, data from Eurostat showed on Wednesday. Industrial output rose 0.7 percent month-on-month in February, reversing a 0.7 percent decrease in January, which was revised from a no change reading. Economists had forecast a monthly growth of 0.2 percent".

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by European Union Industrial Production news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by European Union Industrial Production news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Sergey Golubev
Moderator
126161
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.04.28 07:01

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USDGerman GfK Consumer Climate

2022-04-27 06:00 GMT | [EUR -  German GfK Consumer Climate]

  • past data is -15.7
  • forecast data is -12.0
  • actual data is -26.5 according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR -  German GfK Consumer Climate]Level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers.

==========

From rttnews article :

"The war and high inflation took German consumer confidence to a new historic low, survey results from the market research group GfK showed on Wednesday. The forward-looking consumer sentiment index declined more-than-expected to -26.5 in May from revised -15.7 in April. The expected score was -16.0. The score remained even below the previous record low".

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by German GfK Consumer Climate news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by German GfK Consumer Climate news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Sergey Golubev
Moderator
126161
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.05.06 16:19

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, USD/CNH and CAC 40 : United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2022-05-06 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

  • past data is 428K
  • forecast data is 390K
  • actual data is 428K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

"Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 428,000 in April, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job growth was widespread, led by gains in leisure and hospitality, in manufacturing, and in transportation and warehousing".

==========

EUR/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

EUR/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

USD/CNH : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


USD/CNH : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

CAC 40 : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

USD/CNH : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Sergey Golubev
Moderator
126161
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.05.23 11:36

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Ifo Germany Business Climate and range price movement 

2022-05-23 08:00 GMT | [EUR - Ifo Germany Business Climate]

  • past data is 91.9
  • forecast data is 91.2
  • actual data is 93.0 according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - Ifo Germany Business Climate] = Level of a composite index based on surveyed manufacturers, builders, wholesalers, services, and retailers.

==========

From official report :

"Sentiment in the German economy has brightened. The ifo Business Climate Index rose to 93.0 points in May, after 91.9 points (seasonally adjusted) in April. The companies were above all much more satisfied with their current business. In contrast, expectations barely changed, with companies remaining skeptical. The German economy has proven itself resilient in the face of inflation concerns, material bottlenecks, and the war in Ukraine. There are currently no observable signs of a recession".

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by Ifo Germany Business Climate news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by Ifo Germany Business Climate news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Sergey Golubev
Moderator
126161
Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.05.27 06:39

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD United States Pending Home Sales

2022-05-26 14:00 GMT | [USD -  Pending Home Sales]

  • past data is -1.6%
  • forecast data is -0.6%
  • actual data is -3.9% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD -  Pending Home Sales] = Change in the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction, excluding new construction.

==========

From rttnews article :

"A report released by the National Association of Realtors on Thursday showed pending home sales in the U.S. plummeted by much more than expected in the month of April. NAR said its pending home sales plunged by 3.9 percent to 99.3 in April after tumbling by 1.6 percent to a revised 103.3 in March".

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by Pending Home Sales news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by Pending Home Sales news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread