Forecast and levels for AUD - page 10

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2017.11.16 07:49

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australian Employment Change and range price movement 

2017-11-16 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Employment Change]

  • past data is 26.6K
  • forecast data is 17.8K
  • actual data is 3.7K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[CNY - CPI] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month. 

==========

From official report :

  • "Employment increased 3,700 to 12,297,100. Full-time employment increased 24,300 to 8,425,400 and part-time employment decreased 20,700 to 3,871,700."
  • "Unemployment rate decreased 0.1 pts to 5.4%."

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AUD/USD M5: range price movement by Australian Employment Change news event 


==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread
 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2017.11.29 14:51

Intra-Day Fundamentals - GBP/USD, AUD/USD and USD/CAD: GDP Second Release

2017-11-29 13:30 GMT | [USD - GDP]

  • past data is 3.0%
  • forecast data is 3.3%
  • actual data is 3.3% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - GDP] = Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods.

==========

From official report :

  • "Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.3 percent in the third quarter of 2017 (table 1), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 3.1 percent."
  • "The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "advance" estimate issued last month. In the advance estimate, the increase in real GDP was 3.0 percent. With this second estimate for the third quarter, the general picture of economic growth remains the same; nonresidential fixed investment, state and local government spending, and private inventory investment were revised up from the prior estimate (see "Updates to GDP" on page 2)."

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GBP/USD M5: range price movement by U.S. Gross Domestic Product news events


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AUD/USD M5: range price movement by U.S. Gross Domestic Product news events


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USD/CAD M1: range price movement by U.S. Gross Domestic Product news events


==========

The charts were made on MT5 with MA Channel Stochastic system uploaded on this post, and using standard indicators from Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:


 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2017.11.30 09:43

Intra-Day Fundamentals - GBP/USD, AUD/USD and USD/CAD: China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing Index

2017-11-30 01:00 GMT | [CNY - Manufacturing PMI]

  • past data is 51.6
  • forecast data is 51.5
  • actual data is 51.8 according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[CNY - Manufacturing PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.

==========

From chinadailyasia article :

  • "China's manufacturing sector expanded at a faster pace in November, official data showed Thursday. The country's manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) came in at 51.8, up from 51.6 in October, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)."
  • "China's manufacturing PMI has been in positive territory for 16 consecutive months."

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USD/CNH M15: range price movement by China Manufacturing PMI news events


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AUD/USD M5: range price movement by China Manufacturing PMI news events


==========

The charts were made on MT5 with MA Channel Stochastic system uploaded on this post, and using standard indicators from Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:


 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2017.12.04 07:15

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Company Gross Operating Profits and range price movement 

2017-12-04 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Company Operating Profits]

  • past data is -3.3%
  • forecast data is 0.3%
  • actual data is -0.2% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Company Operating Profits] = Change in the total value of profits earned by corporations. 

==========

From official report :

  • "The trend estimate for inventories rose 0.1% in the September quarter 2017. The seasonally adjusted estimate rose 0.2% this quarter."
  • "The seasonally adjusted estimate for company gross operating profits fell 0.2% in the September quarter 2017."

==========

AUD/USD M5: range price movement by Company Gross Operating Profits news event 


============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2017.12.05 08:51

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Retail Sales and range price movement 

2017-12-05 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Retail Sales]

  • past data is 0.1%
  • forecast data is 0.3%
  • actual data is 0.5% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Retail Sales] = Change in the total value of sales at the retail level. 

==========

From official report :

  • "The trend estimate fell 0.1% in October 2017. This follows a relatively unchanged estimate (0.0%) in September 2017, and a relatively unchanged estimate (0.0%) in August 2017."
  • "The seasonally adjusted estimate rose 0.5% in October 2017. This follows a rise of 0.1% in September 2017 and a fall of 0.6% in August 2017."

==========

AUD/USD M15: range price movement by Australia Retail Sales news event 


============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2017.12.06 07:44

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Gross Domestic Product and range price movement 

2017-12-06 00:30 GMT | [AUD - GDP]

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - GDP] = Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. 

==========

From official report :

  • "The Australian economy grew by 0.6% in seasonally adjusted chain volume terms in the September quarter."

==========

AUD/USD M5: range price movement by Australia Gross Domestic Product news event 


==========

The charts were made on MT5 with MA Channel Stochastic system uploaded on this post, and using standard indicators from Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:


 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2017.12.07 08:17

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australian Trade Balance and range price movement 

2017-12-07 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Trade Balance]

  • past data is 1.60B
  • forecast data is 1.37B
  • actual data is 0.11B according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Trade Balance] = Difference in value between imported and exported goods and services during the reported month. 

==========

From official report :

  • "In trend terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $644m in October 2017, a decrease of $112m on the surplus in September 2017."
  • "In seasonally adjusted terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $105m in October 2017, a decrease of $1,499m on the surplus in September 2017."

==========

AUD/USD M5: range price movement by Australian Trade Balance news event 


============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2017.12.13 20:39

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, AUD/USD and GOLD: Federal Funds Rate

2017-12-13 19:00 GMT | [USD - Federal Funds Rate]

  • past data is 1.25%
  • forecast data is 1.50%
  • actual data 1.50% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Federal Funds Rate] = Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight.

==========

From official report :

  • "Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in November indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a solid rate. Averaging through hurricane-related fluctuations, job gains have been solid, and the unemployment rate declined further. Household spending has been expanding at a moderate rate, and growth in business fixed investment has picked up in recent quarters. On a 12-month basis, both overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy have declined this year and are running below 2 percent. Market-based measures of inflation compensation remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance.""In view of realized and expected labor market conditions and inflation, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1-1/4 to 1‑1/2 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting strong labor market conditions and a sustained return to 2 percent inflation."

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EUR/USD M5: range price movement by Federal Funds Rate news events


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AUD/USD M5: range price movement by Federal Funds Rate news events


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XAU/USD M5: rrange price movement by Federal Funds Rate news events


============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2017.12.14 09:27

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Employment Change and range price movement 

2017-12-14 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Employment Change]

  • past data is 7.8K
  • forecast data is 18.1K
  • actual data is 61.6K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month. 

==========

From official report :

  • "Unemployment rate remained steady at 5.4%."
  • "Employment increased 61,600 to 12,403,000. Full-time employment increased 41,900 to 8,501,900 and part-time employment increased 19,700 to 3,901,100."

==========

AUD/USD H1: range price movement by Australia Employment Change news event 


==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2017.12.28 07:07

Intra-Day Fundamentals - AUD/USD, USD/CNH and GOLD: The Conference Board United States Consumer Confidence Index

2017-11-29 13:30 GMT | [USD - Consumer Confidence]

  • past data is 128.6
  • forecast data is 128.2
  • actual data is 122.1 according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Consumer Confidence] = Level of a composite index based on surveyed households.

==========

From official report :

  • "The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® decreased in December, following a modest improvement in November. The Index now stands at 122.1 (1985=100), down from 128.6 in November. The Present Situation Index increased from 154.9 to 156.6, while the Expectations Index declined from 111.0 last month to 99.1 this month."

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AUD/USD M5: range price movement by CB Consumer Confidence news events


==========

USD/CNH M5: range price movement by CB Consumer Confidence news events


==========

XAU/USD M1: range price movement by CB Consumer Confidence news events


==========

The charts were made on MT5 with MA Channel Stochastic system uploaded on this post, and using standard indicators from Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:


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