Forecast and levels for AUD - page 29

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.10.04 09:43

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBA Cash RateRate Statement and range price movement 

2022-10-04 03:30 GMT | [AUD - Cash Rate]

  • past data is 2.35%
  • forecast data is 2.85%
  • actual data is 2.60% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.

==========

From official report :

  • "At its meeting today, the Board decided to increase the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 2.60 per cent. It also increased the interest rate on Exchange Settlement balances by 25 basis points to 2.50 per cent".
  • "The Board is committed to returning inflation to the 2–3 per cent range over time. Today’s increase in interest rates will help achieve this goal and further increases are likely to be required over the period ahead. The cash rate has been increased substantially in a short period of time. Reflecting this, the Board decided to increase the cash rate by 25 basis points this month as it assesses the outlook for inflation and economic growth in Australia."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:



 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.11.01 06:14

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBA Cash RateRate Statement and range price movement 

2022-11-01 03:30 GMT | [AUD - Cash Rate]

  • past data is 2.60%
  • forecast data is 2.85%
  • actual data is 2.85% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.

==========

From official report :

"At its meeting today, the Board decided to increase the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 2.85 per cent. It also increased the interest rate on Exchange Settlement balances by 25 basis points to 2.75 per cent."

    ==========

    AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event 

    AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event

    ==========

    Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

    All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2022.11.02 07:25

    AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Building Approvals and range price movement 

    2022-11-02 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Building Approvals]

    • past data is 23.1%
    • forecast data is -10.0%
    • actual data is -5.8% according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

    [AUD - Building Approvals] = Change in the number of new building approvals issued.

    ==========

    From rttnews article :

    "The total number of building permits issued in Australia was down a seasonally adjusted 5.8 percent on month in September, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday. On a yearly basis, approvals were down 13.0 percent."


    ==========

    AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Building Approvals news event 

    AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Building Approvals news event

    ==========

    Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

    Same system for MT4:

    1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
    2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
    3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
    4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2022.11.15 15:09

    Intra-Day Fundamentals - AUD/USD, USD/CNH and Brent Crude OilUnited States Core Producer Price Index (PPI)

    2022-10-12 12:30 GMT | [USD - Core PPI]

    • past data is 0.2%
    • forecast data is 0.0%
    • actual data is 0.0% according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

    [USD - Core PPI] = Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers, excluding food and energy.

    ==========

    From official report :

    "The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.2 percent in October, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today".

    ==========

    AUD/USD : range price movement by United States Core Producer Price Index news events

    AUD/USD : range price movement by United States Core Producer Price Index news events

    ==========

    USD/CNH : range price movement by United States Core Producer Price Index news events


    USD/CNH : range price movement by United States Core Producer Price Index news events

    ============

    Brent Crude Oil : range price movement by United States Core Producer Price Index news events

    Brent Crude Oil : range price movement by United States Core Producer Price Index news events

    ==========

    Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

    All about BrainTrading system for MT5: 


     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2023.01.06 15:13

    Intra-Day Fundamentals - AUD/USD, NZD/USD and Dollar Index (DXY) : United States Nonfarm Payrolls

    2023-01-06 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

    • past data is 256K
    • forecast data is 200K
    • actual data is 223K according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

    [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

    ==========

    From official report :

    "Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 223,000 in November, and the unemployment rate was edged down to 3.5 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today".

    ==========

    AUD/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    AUD/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    ==========

    NZD/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


    NZD/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    ==========

    Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    ==========

    Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

    Same system for MT4:

    1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
    2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
    3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
    4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2023.02.07 08:33

    AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBA Cash RateRate Statement and range price movement 

    2023-02-07 05:30 GMT | [AUD - Cash Rate]

    • past data is 3.10%
    • forecast data is 3.35%
    • actual data is 3.35% according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

    [AUD - Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.

    ==========

    From official report :

    "At its meeting today, the Board decided to increase the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 3.35 per cent. It also increased the interest rate on Exchange Settlement balances by 25 basis points to 3.25 per cent."

    ==========

    AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event 

    AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event

    ==========

    Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:


     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2023.02.22 07:58

    AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia  Wage Price Index and range price movement 

    2023-02-22 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Wage Price Index]

    • past data is 1.1%
    • forecast data is 0.7%
    • actual data is  0.8%  according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

    [AUD - Wage Price Index] = Change in the price businesses and the government pay for labor, excluding bonuses.

    ==========

    From rttnews article :

    The wage price index in Australia was up a seasonally adjusted 0.8 percent on quarter in the fourth quarter of 2022, the Australia Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday.

    ==========

    AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Wage Price Index news event 

    AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Wage Price Index news event

    AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Wage Price Index news event

    ==========

    Chart was made on MT5 with the following indicators from CodeBase:


     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2023.04.13 14:00

    AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Employment Change and range price movement 

    2023-04-13 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Employment Change]

    • past data is 63.6K
    • forecast data is 41.6K
    • actual data is 53.0K according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

    [AUD - Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month.

    ==========

    From offical media release :

    The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate remained at 3.5 per cent in March, according to data released today by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Lauren Ford, ABS head of labour statistics said: "with employment increasing by around 53,000 people, and the number of unemployed decreasing by 1,600 people, the unemployment rate remained at a near 50-year low of 3.5 per cent."

      ==========

      AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Employment Change news event 

      AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Employment Change news event

      ==========

      Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

      Same system for MT4:

      1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
      2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
      3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
      4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

       

      Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

      Press review

      Sergey Golubev, 2023.05.05 17:33

      Intra-Day Fundamentals - AUD/USD, Dollar Index (DXY) and GOLD (XAU/USD): United States Nonfarm Payrolls

      2023-05-05 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

      • past data is 165K
      • forecast data is 23K
      • actual data is 253K according to the latest press release

      if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

      [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

      ==========

      From rttnews article :

      "Job growth in the U.S. far exceeded economist estimates in the month of April, the Labor Department revealed in a report on Friday, although the jump in employment followed notable downward revision to the two previous months.  The Labor Department said non-farm payroll employment shot up by 253,000 jobs in April."

      ==========

      AUD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

      AUD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

      ==========

      Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


      Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

      ==========

      GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


      GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

      ==========

      Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

      Same system for MT4:

      1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
      2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
      3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
      4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

       

      Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

      Press review

      Sergey Golubev, 2023.06.06 08:40

      AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBA Cash RateRate Statement and range price movement 

      2023-06-06 03:30 GMT | [AUD - Cash Rate]

      • past data is 3.85%
      • forecast data is 3.85%
      • actual data is 4.10% according to the latest press release

      if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

      [AUD - Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.

      ==========

      From rttnews article :

      "The Reserve Bank of Australia unexpectedly raised its key interest rate on Tuesday, for a second policy session in a row, saying that inflation at 7 percent remains too high and some further policy tightening may be required in future to bring the price growth rate to target."

      ==========

      AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event 

      AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event

      ==========

      Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:


      Reason: