Uriel Bitcoin Capital

VALIDATED PERFORMANCE — 8.4 YEARS, WALK-FORWARD TESTED, 99% REAL TICKS

Profit Factor 1.25 | Sharpe Ratio 1.68 | 282 Trades

Net Profit +$7,754 on $10,000 starting balance (default LotSize 0.20)

Max Equity Drawdown 18.06% | Recovery Factor 2.36 | Win Rate 47.5%

Tested January 2018 — May 2026 on BTCUSD M30 inside the MetaTrader 5 Strategy Tester at 99% real-tick history quality (Dukascopy tick data imported via TickStory as a custom symbol). No synthetic-tick interpolation anywhere in the test. The window covers the 2018 crypto winter, the COVID flash crash of March 2020, the 2021 Bitcoin mania to $69,000, the 2022 collapse that took BTC down to $15,500 (a 77% peak-to-trough drawdown), the FTX failure, the 2024 ETF-driven rally past $100,000, and the 2025-2026 trend resumption. Every regime BTC has experienced this decade — in one continuous run with the same sealed parameters throughout.

What's new in v2.0

This is a complete strategy reset, not an incremental update from v1.22.

  • New entry/exit thresholds derived by genetic-algorithm optimization across 2018-2023 BTCUSD M30 data, then walk-forward validated against an untouched 2024-2026 holdout window. Only 1 of the 3 top training candidates survived the holdout test. The surviving parameter set is sealed into v2.0.
  • Same sealed architecture as Uriel Gold Oracle. Bitcoin Capital v2.0 and Gold Oracle share identical strategy code — only the six entry-gate constants differ to account for bitcoin's volatility profile. That cross-instrument structural agreement is rare robustness evidence.
  • LotSize default raised to 0.20 for buyers with $20,000+ accounts. Conservative 0.05-lot mode also documented for $5,000-$20,000 accounts.
  • Direction default: long+short. Trade both sides with bitcoin-tuned thresholds.
  • All safety infrastructure preserved: drawdown circuit-breaker with three-condition halt resume, cross-instance trade lock, session-aware execution, live status panel, passive macro regime alert, sealed risk thresholds.

Why Uriel Bitcoin Capital v2.0 is Different

Most BTCUSD Expert Advisors in this performance category accept 20-50% maximum equity drawdowns to post their headline profit numbers. Bitcoin Capital v2.0 was designed the opposite way:

  • Walk-forward validated — parameters optimized on 2018-2023 and verified to maintain Profit Factor ≥ 1.10 on an unseen 2024-2026 window. Most BTC EAs are single-window curve-fits that have never been tested on data the optimizer did not see.
  • Cross-instrument architecture proof — the same sealed strategy delivers Profit Factor 1.24 on XAUUSD (Uriel Gold Oracle) and Profit Factor 1.25 on BTCUSD. Structural agreement across two unrelated instruments is robustness evidence no single-instrument EA can match.
  • Maximum Equity Drawdown 18.06% across 8.4 years including the 2018 bear, COVID crash, and 2022 crypto winter. Conservative 0.05-lot mode produces 7.32% maximum equity drawdown for risk-averse buyers.
  • Profit Factor 1.25 with Sharpe 1.68 — a defensible risk-adjusted return for a 282-trade sample over 8.4 years, not a fantasy number from a single favorable regime.
  • No martingale, no grid, no doubling, no averaging down — single-position management on every trade. Position size is fixed (default 0.20 lots) or risk-percent based with a hard cap at 3× the base lot.
  • Win rate 47.5% — honest trend-confluence math, not high-win-rate logic that hides catastrophic tail losses.
  • Drawdown circuit-breaker with three-condition resume — automatic halt at configurable equity-loss threshold, with resume gated by equity recovery, time cooldown, or trend regime re-confirmation.

If you have been burned by Bitcoin EAs that show beautiful 2023-2025 bull-market backtests and then blow up the moment the regime changes, this is the alternative.

Introductory Launch Price — $49 USD (Limited Time)

This $49 price is a launch-only introductory offer. Bitcoin Capital v2.0 is a complete strategy reset, and this price exists solely to build the initial review base on MQL5 Market.

  • After 10+ verified buyer reviews: price rises to $99
  • After 6+ months of live MQL5 Signal track record matching the backtest range: price rises to $149-$199

Final tier depends on live performance against the disclosed backtest figures.

The price only goes up from here. Buyers who enter during the introductory window lock in lifetime access to all future updates of Bitcoin Capital at the price they paid. This introductory price is not coming back.

Why Bitcoin Capital v2.0 exists

Most BTCUSD Expert Advisors on this marketplace show headline profit figures cherry-picked from a single favorable market regime — almost always the 2023-2025 bull run. That approach conceals the only question a serious buyer should ask: what happens when the market regime changes?

Bitcoin Capital v2.0 was validated the opposite way. The same sealed .ex5 was tested as one continuous run across the full 8.4-year period 2018-2026 — covering every regime BTC has experienced this decade. The drawdown circuit-breaker, the three-condition resume, and the position management all had to survive multiple cycles, not just a single favorable window. The strategy parameters were then walk-forward validated on a 2024-2026 holdout window the optimizer never saw. That is the only form of robustness proof worth trusting on an instrument as volatile as Bitcoin.

The robustness signal most sellers cannot show

Here is the test every serious BTCUSD EA should pass — and most cannot:

BTC spot peak-to-trough drawdown 2021-2022: ~77% (from $69,000 to $15,500)

Bitcoin Capital v2.0 maximum equity drawdown across the full 2018-2026 window: 18.06% at default LotSize 0.20, or 7.32% at conservative LotSize 0.05.

An EA that survives an instrument that lost nearly four-fifths of its value in a single year with bounded, low-double-digit drawdown is not curve-fit to one regime. The 18% number was achieved across multiple halt-and-resume cycles — the circuit-breaker triggered when conditions deteriorated, and the three-condition resume mechanism brought trading back online when the regime re-confirmed.

Most BTC EAs show their best year and call it the strategy. Bitcoin Capital v2.0 shows 8.4 continuous years with the resume infrastructure that makes them possible — and was validated against data the optimizer never saw.

Verified Performance (2018.01.01 – 2026.05.06, BTCUSD M30, 99% real ticks)

Default LotSize 0.20 (recommended for $20,000+ accounts):

  • Net Profit: $7,754
  • Profit Factor: 1.25
  • Sharpe Ratio: 1.68
  • Recovery Factor: 2.36
  • Maximum Balance Drawdown: 14.95%
  • Maximum Equity Drawdown: 18.06%
  • Total Trades: 282
  • Win Rate: 47.5%
  • Largest Single Loss: $992 (2.5% of starting $10,000)

Conservative LotSize 0.05 (recommended for $5,000-$20,000 accounts):

  • Net Profit: $1,878
  • Profit Factor: 1.24
  • Sharpe Ratio: 1.53
  • Recovery Factor: 2.13
  • Maximum Balance Drawdown: 6.07%
  • Maximum Equity Drawdown: 7.32%
  • Total Trades: 282

Tester configuration (both runs): Symbol BTCUSD M30 (custom symbol BTCUSD_TS, Dukascopy tick data via TickStory). Modeling: Every tick based on real ticks (99% history quality). Starting balance $10,000. Broker spec: IC Markets Raw spread, hedging account. Leverage 1:100.

Why these numbers matter

18.06% maximum equity drawdown across 8.4 years on Bitcoin is bounded. Most BTC EAs accept 30-50% drawdowns at comparable position sizes to post their headline profit figures. Bitcoin Capital v2.0 held drawdown under 19% across the full 2018-2026 window — including the 2018 bear, the COVID crash, and the 2022 crypto winter.

Profit Factor 1.25 with Sharpe 1.68 is a defensible risk-adjusted return for a 282-trade sample. Systems claiming PF > 2 on Bitcoin are almost always curve-fit to a single regime and fail the moment market conditions change. PF 1.25 here matches the Profit Factor of Uriel Gold Oracle (1.24) on a different instrument — that cross-instrument structural agreement is a stronger generalisation signal than any single-instrument backtest can produce.

Recovery Factor 2.36 means each unit of maximum drawdown was returned 2.36× over in net profit. The ratio that separates a strategy with edge from a strategy with luck.

Walk-forward validation discipline. The six entry-gate constants in v2.0 were optimized on 2018-2023 BTCUSD M30 data using genetic-algorithm sweep. The top three training candidates were then tested on an untouched 2024-2026 holdout window. Only one — the parameter set in v2.0 — maintained Profit Factor above 1.10 on the unseen data. The other two were curve-fit and were discarded. Most MQL5 listings do not perform this test.

What's inside (high-level)

  • Proprietary multi-factor confluence entry logic with adaptive volatility-scaled stops and targets
  • Bar-close signal evaluation — no intra-bar noise, no repainting
  • Single-position management — never stacks positions, never martingales, never averages down
  • Automatic spread filtering — entries skipped when spread is abnormally wide
  • Drawdown circuit-breaker with three-condition resume (equity recovery, time cooldown, or regime re-confirmation)
  • Cross-instance trade lock — prevents duplicate orders across charts
  • Session-aware execution — auto-skip during broker daily close window
  • Live status panel for at-a-glance monitoring
  • Passive macro regime change notifications
  • Core strategy parameters are sealed — entry/exit math cannot be modified by the user

What you can configure

Direction:

  • EnableLongs — allow long entries (default true)
  • EnableShorts — allow short entries (default true; v2.0 trades both directions)

Position sizing:

  • UseRiskBasedSizing — risk-percent or fixed lots (default false)
  • RiskPercent — risk per trade as % of equity (default 1.0)
  • LotSize — fixed lot size (default 0.20; use 0.05 for conservative mode)
  • MaxLotMultiplier — cap on lot size growth (default 3.0)

Execution:

  • AlgorithmID — unique identifier for multiple instances
  • SinglePosition — one position at a time (default true, recommended)
  • DeviationPoints — maximum execution slippage tolerance (default 200)
  • MaxSpreadPoints — skip entries if spread exceeds this (default 8000)
  • UseBreakeven — move stop to breakeven once in profit (default false)

Risk management:

  • EnableRiskGuard — master enable for the drawdown circuit-breaker (default true)
  • EnableRegimeAlert — macro regime change notifications (default true)

Status panel: position, size, and colors fully customizable.

Sealed (cannot be modified): entry/exit logic, indicator parameters, regime filter, halt thresholds. This protects the strategy's integrity AND the disclosed risk profile.

Recommended setup

  • Instrument: BTCUSD (auto-detects BTC / BITCOIN / XBT broker symbols)
  • Timeframe: M30 (required — Bitcoin Capital is tuned and sealed for this timeframe)
  • Account type: Hedging ECN/Raw spread account
  • Minimum deposit:
    • $20,000 for the default 0.20 lot (matches the headline backtest CAGR of ~7%)
    • $5,000 for the conservative 0.05 lot (matches the conservative backtest at 7% equity DD)
  • Leverage: 1:100 is sufficient; higher is unnecessary
  • VPS recommended for 24/5 uptime and consistent execution latency

What you get

  • Compiled .ex5 Expert Advisor for MetaTrader 5 (Bitcoin Capital v2.0)
  • Free minor updates for life
  • Email support within 48 hours

Risk disclaimer

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. All trading involves risk of loss, and trading Bitcoin carries substantial volatility risk. The backtest figures shown above were obtained inside the MetaTrader 5 Strategy Tester at 99% real-tick history quality (Dukascopy data imported as a custom MT5 symbol via TickStory) and will vary across brokers, account types, and market conditions.

Bitcoin is one of the most volatile instruments in global markets; drawdowns larger than those shown in any single backtest period are possible in live trading, and short-period live or recent results may differ materially from the multi-year backtest.

Equity Drawdown (which measures running drawdown including open-position adverse excursion) can be substantially wider than Balance Drawdown (which measures closed-trade drawdown). Buyers should size positions and risk against the wider Equity Drawdown figure of 18.06% (at default 0.20 lots) or 7.32% (at conservative 0.05 lots), not the Balance Drawdown figure.

A live broker track record will be published as it accumulates so buyers can verify ongoing performance against the historical figures. You are responsible for your own trading decisions.

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Experts
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5 (9)
Experts
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Experts
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Scalper speed with sniper entries. Built for Gold. VERY LIMITED PRICE (8 licenses left) -  299 USD  (499 USD regular)  to celebrate WR6 launch Tired of all the fake EAs that eventually disappear? Most authors just create another EA when it fails - I wanted to do it differently. Wave Rider is my personal project built out of passion - honest, transparent EA without any fake AI or manipulated back-test that's been continuously updated for more than 8 months, that I am using myself from very first
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Lo Thi Mai Loan
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Experts
[ IMPORTANT ] REAL CLIENT FEEDBACK :  https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/127498/comments#comment_58814415 [ IMPORTANT ]  UPDATED (1 YEAR PERFORMANCE):  https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/127498/comments#comment_59233853 [ IMPORTANT ]  UPDATED (1 YEAR 6 MONTHS PERFORMANCE):  https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/127498/comments#comment_60000067 [ IMPORTANT ]  UPDATED  (2026/09):  https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/127498/comments/page2#comment_60389797 [ IMPORTANT ] UPDATED (2026/
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