Uriel Gold Oracle
- Experts
-
Jose Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer
Independent researcher in economics and finance, and founder of Fiorio Economics — a quantitative research brand focused on exchange rate dynamics, international macroeconomics, monetary policy, and applied econometrics, with a geographic emphasis on Latin America, Paraguay, and emerging markets. - Version: 3.7
- Updated: 24 June 2026
- Activations: 20
Uriel Gold Oracle v3.7 — XAUUSD M30 Expert Advisor
A research-grounded gold trading system. No martingale. No grid. No averaging. No lot-doubling. Every position carries a hard, volatility-scaled stop loss.
Uriel Gold Oracle is built for traders who want a controlled, rule-based approach to gold on the M30 timeframe — not a high-risk recovery system that hides danger under a smooth equity curve. It opens a single position at a time, only when multiple independent filters agree, and protects every trade with an ATR-based stop.
Validated full-period backtest
2017.01.01 – 2026.05.31 | XAUUSD M30 | 100% real ticks | 10,000 USD start | 1:100 leverage
| Metric | Result |
|---|---|
| Total Net Profit | 17,427.55 USD |
| Profit Factor | 1.18 |
| Recovery Factor | 4.88 |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.84 |
| Maximum Equity Drawdown | 3,568.32 USD / 11.64% |
| Total Trades | 1,427 |
| Profit Trades | 573 / 40.15% |
| Loss Trades | 854 / 59.85% |
| Average Profit Trade | 198.85 USD |
| Average Loss Trade | -113.02 USD |
| Maximum Consecutive Losses | 17 |
| Average Position Holding Time | 24h 59m |
Over more than nine years and 1,427 trades, the system stays profitable through a positive reward-to-risk ratio (average win 198.85 USD against average loss 113.02 USD), keeping maximum drawdown under 12%.
Recent market validation
2023.01.01 – 2026.05.31 | XAUUSD M30 | 100% real ticks | 10,000 USD start | 1:100 leverage
| Metric | Result |
|---|---|
| Total Net Profit | 11,949.84 USD |
| Profit Factor | 1.27 |
| Recovery Factor | 3.35 |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.52 |
| Maximum Equity Drawdown | 3,568.32 USD / 14.17% |
| Total Trades | 470 |
| Profit Trades | 200 / 42.55% |
| Loss Trades | 270 / 57.45% |
| Average Profit Trade | 285.21 USD |
| Average Loss Trade | -167.01 USD |
| Maximum Consecutive Losses | 12 |
| Average Position Holding Time | 23h 59m |
Over the most recent three years and 470 trades, performance improves: a higher profit factor (1.27) and Sharpe ratio (1.52), with the strategy adapting to current gold market conditions.
Out-of-sample validation
2025.01.01 – 2026.05.31 | XAUUSD M30 | 100% real ticks | 10,000 USD start | 1:100 leverage
| Metric | Result |
|---|---|
| Total Net Profit | 7,485.91 USD |
| Profit Factor | 1.40 |
| Recovery Factor | 2.10 |
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.44 |
| Maximum Equity Drawdown | 3,568.32 USD / 17.23% |
| Total Trades | 124 |
| Profit Trades | 57 / 45.97% |
| Loss Trades | 67 / 54.03% |
| Average Profit Trade | 462.31 USD |
| Average Loss Trade | -281.57 USD |
| Maximum Consecutive Losses | 4 |
| Average Position Holding Time | 21h 52m |
The most recent period shows the highest profit factor (1.40) and Sharpe ratio (2.44) of the three windows, indicating the strategy remains effective on recent, out-of-sample data rather than only on the years it was developed against.
Live forward test
15 May – 24 June 2026 | XAUUSD M30 | 10,000 USD account | real-time forward execution
| Metric | Result |
|---|---|
| Net Profit | +4,256 USD (+42.6%) |
| Profit Factor | 2.03 |
| Recovery Factor | 2.59 |
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.03% |
| Total Trades | 22 |
| Average Win vs Average Loss | 762 USD vs 375 USD (about 2:1) |
This forward period was tracked in real time and is consistent with the long-term backtest: a positive reward-to-risk profile with drawdown held close to 12%. It is an early sample and is presented for transparency, not as a guarantee of future returns.
What makes Uriel Gold Oracle different
- Multi-factor confluence engine — a trade opens only when trend, momentum and volatility filters align.
- Volatility-scaled (ATR) stops — every position has a defined hard stop; no recovery or averaging trades.
- No martingale, no grid, no averaging, no lot-doubling — risk per trade is known in advance.
- Single-position management with a protected internal execution model and a built-in drawdown protection guard.
- Long and short trading, both enabled by default and individually optional.
- Spread-aware execution control and optional risk-based position sizing.
- Specialist, not generalist — engineered exclusively for XAUUSD on M30.
Who develops it
Uriel Gold Oracle is developed by Jose Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer, founder of Fiorio Economics and an independent quantitative researcher in economics and finance. His research is publicly indexed and peer-accessible:
- Working papers published and indexed on SSRN, Zenodo, Google Scholar and ORCID.
- Research focus on exchange-rate dynamics, commodity-linked macro-finance and applied econometrics.
- Dual master's degrees in Finance and Administration; more than 20 years of international asset-management experience.
The EA is the applied output of that research discipline — statistical method first. The author's identity and academic record are public and verifiable.
Recommended setup
- Symbol and timeframe: XAUUSD, M30
- Recommended starting capital: 10,000 USD (calibrated for this balance; smaller accounts are not advised)
- Broker: low-spread ECN / raw-spread account
- VPS recommended for uninterrupted execution
Honest disclosures
The live forward results above cover a short period (about six weeks) and represent the beginning of an ongoing track record, not a promise of future performance. The opening period favored short trades during a gold downtrend, so the long side has fewer samples to date. Trading gold carries a real risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use only risk capital you can afford to lose.
After purchase, please send a private message to receive the setup guide and recommended input files.
