Market / MetaTrader 5 / Experts /

TSM Breakout

1 450 USD

Demo downloaded: 9

Published: 8 July 2026

Current version: 1.11

TSM Breakout

Experts
Ludovic Marc Marie Moncla
Ludovic Marc Marie Moncla
France

214
Version: 1.11
Activations: 5

TSM Breakout is a fully automated Expert Advisor implementing time-series momentum - the most extensively documented market anomaly in the academic literature (Moskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen; the classic Turtle rules) - combined with a daily trend filter.

HOW IT TRADES

- Buys when the close breaks above the highest high of the last 55 bars; sells on a break of the lowest low

- Initial stop loss proportional to volatility (2 x ATR) on every single trade - no exceptions

- Exit on a break of the opposite 20-bar channel. No take profit: winners are left to run

- A daily trend filter (D1 EMA200) only allows breakouts aligned with the higher-timeframe trend

- Position size computed from your risk percentage (built-in money management)

WHAT THIS EA NEVER DOES

- No martingale

- No grid

- No averaging down

- Never an order without a stop loss

RECOMMENDED USE

- Symbol: XAUUSD (Gold)

- Timeframe: M30

- Frequency: about 2 trades per week (irregular - bursts during trends, quiet spells otherwise)

- Expected win rate: around 30%. This is intended: winners are 4-5x larger than losers. If you need a high win rate to sleep at night, this EA is not for you.

- Minimum recommended deposit: 3,000 USD

TWO PROFILES (preset files provided)

- Standard (default): RiskPercent 0.5 - backtest 2021-2026 on XAUUSD M30: profit factor 1.28, max drawdown 26%

- Aggressive: RiskPercent 1.0 - profit factor 1.32, max drawdown 49%. More aggressive and riskier: recommended capital at least 20,000 USD, and only if you can withstand such a drawdown without switching the system off

SETTINGS (all documented in the manual)

- Money management: fixed lots or % risk per trade

- Signal: EntryPeriod 55, ExitPeriod 20, ATR 14, initial stop 2 x ATR

- Filters: D1 EMA200 trend filter (enabled), optional session filter (disabled)

- Equity-stop circuit breaker

VISUAL PANEL

Blinking activity dot, position status with P/L, both trigger levels with their distance in points, probable next signal with progress %, filter-blocked states shown explicitly, countdown to the next bar evaluation, and channel levels drawn on the chart. The EA decides only at bar close - a wick through a level triggers nothing.

HONEST EXPECTATIONS

Results are based on 2021-2026 backtests (551 trades, 100% history quality, 50 ms execution delay). Order of magnitude with the Standard profile on one symbol: roughly 3-6% per year on average, in bursts, with drawdowns that can last months. This is a slow, disciplined system - not a get-rich-quick tool. Past performance does not predict future results. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

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TSM Breakout

Ludovic Marc Marie Moncla