Forecast and levels for CAC 40 - page 3

Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2020.09.05 16:58

CAC 40 - daily ranging within 4889/5131 support/resistance level for direction (based on the article)

CAC 40 daily Brainwashing chart by Metatrader 5

  • "While the US grapples with floundering technology stocks, the Euro Area will have to negotiate looming growth data and an ECB rate decision. After initially wresting control of the virus following the initial outbreak, some pockets of Europe have begun to see a rise in cases once more. Should the rise be reflected in upcoming Euro Area growth data due to lockdowns, the DAX 30 and CAC 40 could falter slightly as investors reassess the outlook for the region."
  • "Similarly, European indices could experience turbulence should ECB officials lament recovery prospects without a simultaneous increase in stimulus or accommodation. Either way, a lot of uncertainty surrounds the DAX 30 and CAC 40 headed into next week. That being said, notable event risk and heightened volatility could deliver the spark required to liberate the two indices from their recent trading ranges."

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Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.05.12 16:20

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/CAD, USD/CNH and CAC 40: United States  Consumer Price Index (CPI)

2021-05-12 13:30 GMT | [USD - Core CPI]

  • past data is 0.6%
  • forecast data is 0.2%
  • actual data is 0.8% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Core CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy.

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From official report :

  • "The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.8 percentin April on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.6 percent in March, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 4.2 percent before seasonal adjustment. This is the largest 12-month increase since a 4.9-percent increase for the period ending September 2008".

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USD/CAD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

USD/CAD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

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USD/CNH: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

USD/CNH: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

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CAC 40: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

CAC 40: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

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Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

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Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After 

  1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
  2. Asctrend indicator in depth 
  3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included) 
  4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread



Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.12.15 20:22

Intra-Day Fundamentals - CAC 40, Dollar Index and USD/CNHFederal Funds Rate and FOMC Statement

2021-12-15 19:00 GMT | [USD - Federal Funds Rate]

  • past data is 0.25%
  • forecast data is 0.25%
  • actual data is 0.25% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Federal Funds Rate] = Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight.

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From official report :

  • "The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent. With inflation having exceeded 2 percent for some time, the Committee expects it will be appropriate to maintain this target range until labor market conditions have reached levels consistent with the Committee's assessments of maximum employment. In light of inflation developments and the further improvement in the labor market, the Committee decided to reduce the monthly pace of its net asset purchases by $20 billion for Treasury securities and $10 billion for agency mortgage-backed securities. Beginning in January, the Committee will increase its holdings of Treasury securities by at least $40 billion per month and of agency mortgage‑backed securities by at least $20 billion per month. The Committee judges that similar reductions in the pace of net asset purchases will likely be appropriate each month, but it is prepared to adjust the pace of purchases if warranted by changes in the economic outlook. The Federal Reserve's ongoing purchases and holdings of securities will continue to foster smooth market functioning and accommodative financial conditions, thereby supporting the flow of credit to households and businesses".

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CAC 40: range price movement by Federal Funds Rate news events

CAC 40: range price movement by Federal Funds Rate news events

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Dollar Index: range price movement by Federal Funds Rate news events

Dollar Index: range price movement by Federal Funds Rate news events

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USD/CNH: range price movement by Federal Funds Rate news events

USD/CNH: range price movement by Federal Funds Rate news events

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The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:


Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.05.06 16:19

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, USD/CNH and CAC 40 : United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2022-05-06 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

  • past data is 428K
  • forecast data is 390K
  • actual data is 428K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

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From official report :

"Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 428,000 in April, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job growth was widespread, led by gains in leisure and hospitality, in manufacturing, and in transportation and warehousing".

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EUR/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

EUR/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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USD/CNH : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


USD/CNH : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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CAC 40 : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

USD/CNH : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Sergey Golubev  

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.08.10 15:10

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/CAD, USD/CNH and CAC 40 :  United States Core Consumer Price Index (CPI)

2022-08-10 12:30 GMT | [USD - Core CPI]

  • past data is 0.7%
  • forecast data is 0.5%
  • actual data is 0.3% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Core CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy.

==========

From official report :

"The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in July on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 1.3 percent in June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 8.5 percent before seasonal adjustment. The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.3 percent in July, a smaller increase than in April, May, or June".

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USD/CAD: range price movement by United States Core Consumer Price Index news event 

USD/CAD: range price movement by United States Core Consumer Price Index news event

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USD/CNH: range price movement by United States Core Consumer Price Index news event  


USD/CNH: range price movement by United States Core Consumer Price Index news event

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CAC 40 : range price movement by United States Core Consumer Price Index news event 

CAC 40 : range price movement by United States Core Consumer Price Index news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5: