Forecast and levels for EURO - page 42

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.06.09 12:09

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: German Trade Balance

2021-06-09 07:00 GMT | [EUR - German Trade Balance n.s.a.]

  • past data is 20.2B
  • forecast data is 15.4B
  • actual data is 15.5B according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - German Trade Balance n.s.a.] = Trade Balance n.s.a. (not seasonally adjusted) shows the difference between Germany's export and import of goods and services over the reported period. A positive balance value indicates a trade surplus, while a negative one hints at a trade deficit. The year-over-year indicator provides seasonally unadjusted data. Higher than expected readings can affect the euro quotes positively.

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From official report :

  • The foreign trade balance showed a surplus of 15.5 billion euros in April 2021. In April 2020, the surplus amounted to 3.4 billion euros. The calendar and seasonally adjusted surplus of April 2021 was 15.9 billion euros.

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EUR/USD: range price movement by German Trade Balance n.s.a. news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by German Trade Balance n.s.a. news event

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Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase: 

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:



 

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.07.27 15:32

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals:  ECB M3 Money Supply  and range price movement 

2021-07-27 09:00 GMT | [EUR -  ECB M3 Money Supply]

  • past data is 8.5%
  • forecast data is 7.9%
  • actual data is 8.3% according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR -  ECB M3 Money Supply]  = Change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks.

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From rttnews article :

  • "The euro area money supply grew at a slower pace in June and the credit to the private sector logged a steady expansion, data from the European Central Bank revealed on Tuesday. The M3 money supply rose 8.3 percent on a yearly basis in June, which was slower than the revised 8.5 percent growth posted in May. At the same time, annual growth in the narrow measure M1 increased marginally to 11.7 percent from 11.6 percent in the previous month".

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EUR/USD: range price movement by ECB M3 Money Supply  news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by ECB M3 Money Supply news event

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The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:



 

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.08.10 13:25

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: German ZEW Economic Sentiment and range price movement 

2021-08-10 09:00 GMT | [EUR - German ZEW Economic Sentiment]

  • past data is 63.3
  • forecast data is 72.6
  • actual data is 40.4 according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - German ZEW Economic Sentiment] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed German institutional investors and analysts.

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From official report :

"The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany decreased in the current August 2021 survey, falling 22.9 points to a new reading of 40.4 points compared to July. This is the third time since May that the indicator has dropped, this time even somewhat stronger than in the previous month. The assessment of the economic situation in Germany improved in August, and currently stands at 29.3 points, 7.4 points higher than in July."

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EUR/USD: range price movement by German ZEW Economic Sentiment news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by German ZEW Economic Sentiment news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by German ZEW Economic Sentiment news event

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

The forum threads
  1. Key forum thread - Fast Fourier Transform - Cycle Extraction - the thead with FFTfiltr indicator and explanation
  2. New EA based on the !xMeter (!xMter based on Fast Fourier Transform) - the thread 
  3. Many FFT indicators with examples and explanations - the thread 
  4. Ticks Before The News - the thread with many FFT indicators and explanation how to trade

CodeBase

  1. dt_FFT - library for MetaTrader  
  2. LGLIB - Numerical Analysis Library - library for MetaTrader 4 
  3. ALGLIB - Numerical Analysis Library - library for MetaTrader 5 
  4. AFIRMA - indicator for MetaTrader 5
  5. Fourier extrapolation of price - indicator for MetaTrader 5

The articles


 

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.08.27 19:22

Intra-Day Fundamentals - Dollar Index, EUR/USD and S&P 500 : Fed Chair Powell Speaks

2021-08-27 14:00 GMT | [USD - Fed Chair Powell Speaks]

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Fed Chair Powell Speaks] = The speech about the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.

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From theguardian article :

  • "Powell’s remarks were far less hawkish than some Wall Street analysts had expected and had an instant impact on the financial markets. The S&P 500 and the technology-dominated Nasdaq share price indices both reached new peaks in the immediate aftermath of the Fed’s chairman’s speech, while there were falls in both the dollar and yields on US Treasury bills.
  • Wall Street had been braced for Powell to flesh out plans to start tapering away the support the Fed has been providing to the US economy through its asset-buying programme. Instead, he warned that an over-hasty tightening of policy could be "particularly harmful" to jobs."

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Dollar Index: range price movement by Fed Chair Powell Speaks news events

Dollar Index: range price movement by Fed Chair Powell Speaks news events

Dollar Index: range price movement by Fed Chair Powell Speaks news events

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EUR/USD: range price movement by Fed Chair Powell Speaks news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by Fed Chair Powell Speaks news events


EUR/USD: range price movement by Fed Chair Powell Speaks news events

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S&P 500: range price movement by Fed Chair Powell Speaks news events

S&P 500: range price movement by Fed Chair Powell Speaks news events

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:


 

Check out the EUR/USD analysis in the video below.


 

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.09.30 15:20

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: European Union Unemployment Rate

2021-09-30 09:00 GMT | [EUR - Unemployment Rate]

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - Unemployment Rate]  = Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month.

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From official report :

  • In August 2021, the euro area seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate was 7.5%, down from 7.6% in July 2021 and from 8.6% in August 2020. The EU unemployment rate was 6.8% in August 2021, down from 6.9% in July 2021 and from 7.7% in August 2020. These figures are published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.


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EUR/USD: range price movement by European Union Unemployment Rate  news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by European Union Unemployment Rate news event

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread




 

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.10.28 15:50

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/CAD: United States Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

2021-10-28 12:30 GMT | [USD - GDP]

  • past data is 6.7%
  • forecast data is 6.7%
  • actual data is 2.0% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - GDP] = Annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy.

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From official report :

  • "Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.0 percent in the third quarter of 2021 (table 1), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 6.7 percent".

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EUR/USD: range price movement by  United States Gross Domestic Product news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by United States Gross Domestic Product news events

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GBP/USD: range price movement by  United States Gross Domestic Product news events

GBP/USD: range price movement by United States Gross Domestic Product news events

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USD/CAD: range price movement by  United States Gross Domestic Product news events

USD/CAD: range price movement by United States Gross Domestic Product news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread



 

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.11.23 14:52

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Markit European Union Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) and range price movement 

2021-11-23 09:00 GMT | [EUR - Markit Services PMI]

  • past data is 54.6
  • forecast data is 53.5
  • actual data is 56.6 according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - Markit Services PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry.

==========

From rttnews article:

  • "Eurozone private sector growth improved unexpectedly in November after slipping to a six-month low in October, flash survey data from IHS Markit showed on Tuesday. The composite output index rose to 55.8 in November from 54.2 in October. The reading was expected to fall to 53.2. The services Purchasing Managers' Index improved to 56.6 from 54.6 in the prior month. The expected score was 53.5."

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EUR/USD: range price movement by Markit Services PMI news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by Markit Services PMI news event

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicator:




 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.01.12 17:27

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, GOLD (XAU/USD) and USD/JPY: United States  Consumer Price Index (CPI)

2022-01-12 13:30 GMT | [USD - CPI]

  • past data is 0.8%
  • forecast data is 0.7%
  • actual data is 0.5% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

==========

From official report :

  • "The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.5 percent in December on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.8 percent in November,  the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 7.0 percent before seasonal adjustment".

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EUR/USD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

EUR/USD: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news event

==========

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news event

==========

USD/JPY: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

USD/JPY: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (Brainwashing original system; free to download) together with following indicator:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.02.02 16:48

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (ADP)

2022-02-02 13:15 GMT | [USD - ADP Non-Farm Employment Change]

  • past data is 776K
  • forecast data is 185K
  • actual data is -301K according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - ADP Non-Farm Employment Change] = Estimated change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry and government.

==========

From official report :

"Private-sector employment decreased by -301,000 from December to January, on a seasonally adjusted basis".

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by ADP Non-Farm Employment Change news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by ADP Non-Farm Employment Change news event

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

The forum threads
  1. Key forum thread - Fast Fourier Transform - Cycle Extraction - the thead with FFTfiltr indicator and explanation
  2. New EA based on the !xMeter (!xMter based on Fast Fourier Transform) - the thread 
  3. Many FFT indicators with examples and explanations - the thread 
  4. Ticks Before The News - the thread with many FFT indicators and explanation how to trade

CodeBase

  1. dt_FFT - library for MetaTrader  
  2. LGLIB - Numerical Analysis Library - library for MetaTrader 4 
  3. ALGLIB - Numerical Analysis Library - library for MetaTrader 5 
  4. AFIRMA - indicator for MetaTrader 5
  5. Fourier extrapolation of price - indicator for MetaTrader 5

The articles


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