Forecast and levels for USD/CNH - page 15

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Sergey Golubev, 2020.09.15 06:31

USD/CNH Intra-Day Fundamentals: China Industrial Production and range price movement 

2020-09-15 03:00 GMT | [CNY - Industrial Production]

  • past data is 4.8%
  • forecast data is 5.1%
  • actual data is 5.6% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[CNY - Industrial Production] = Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities.

==========

From rttnews article :

  • "Industrial production in China was up 5.6 percent on year in August, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Tuesday. That blew away expectations for an increase of 5.1 percent and was up sharply from the 4.8 percent gain in July."

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USD/CNH M5: range price movement by China Industrial Production news event 

USD/CNH M5: range price movement by China Industrial Production news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

 

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Sergey Golubev, 2020.10.07 20:23

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/CNH, GOLD (XAU/USD) and S&P 500: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes

2020-10-07 19:00 GMT | [USD - FOMC Meeting Minutes]

  • past data is n/a
  • forecast data is n/a
  • actual data is n/a according to the latest press release

[USD - FOMC Meeting Minutes] = It's a detailed record of the FOMC's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic and financial conditions that influenced their vote on where to set interest rates.

==========

From official report :

  • "Participants noted that business investment, which had plummeted in the second quarter, appeared to have begun to turn around. Al­though business contacts indicated that overall business activity had been stronger than they expected, it remained well below pre-pandemic levels. Several participants agreed it was appropriate to incorporate key elements of the consensus statement into the post-meeting statement, they preferred to retain forward guidance similar to that provided in recent FOMC statements."
  • "Many participants said that if future fiscal support was significantly smaller or came significantly later than they expected, the pace of recovery could be slower than anticipated. These participants judged that given very low long-term rates, there did not appear to be a need for enhanced forward guidance at this juncture or much scope for forward guidance to put additional downward pressure on yields."

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USD/CNH: range price movement by FOMC Meeting Minutes news events

USD/CNH: range price movement by FOMC Meeting Minutes news events

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GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by FOMC Meeting Minutes news events


GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by FOMC Meeting Minutes news events

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S&P 500: range price movement by FOMC Meeting Minutes news events

S&P 500: range price movement by FOMC Meeting Minutes news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

 

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Sergey Golubev, 2020.10.19 16:32

USD/CNH Intra-Day Fundamentals: China Gross Domestic Product and range price movement 

2020-10-19 03:00 GMT | [CNY - GDP]

  • past data is 3.2%
  • forecast data is 3.3%
  • actual data is 4.9% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[CNY - GDP] = Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy.

==========

From edition.cnn article :

  • "The world's second largest economy expanded 4.9% in the July-to-September quarter compared to a year ago, according to government statistics released Monday. The pace was quicker than the 3.2% increase that China recorded in the second quarter, when it managed to avoid the pandemic-fueled recession that has gripped much of the globe. But the growth was also a bit weaker than expected: Analysts polled by Refinitiv predicted that China's economy would expand 5.2%."

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by  China Gross Domestic Product news event 

USD/CNH: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase: 

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

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Sergey Golubev, 2020.10.29 14:46

Intra-Day Fundamentals - GBP/USD, USD/CNH and Brent Crude Oil: United States Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

2020-10-20 13:30 GMT | [USD - GDP]

  • past data is -31.4%
  • forecast data is -37.9%
  • actual data is 33.1% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - GDP] = Annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy.

==========

From official report :

  • "Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 33.1 percent in the third quarter of 2020 (table 1), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP decreased 31.4 percent."

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GBP/USD: range price movement by  United States Gross Domestic Product news events

GBP/USD: range price movement by United States Gross Domestic Product news events

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USD/CNH: range price movement by  United States Gross Domestic Product news events

USD/CNH: range price movement by United States Gross Domestic Product news events

==========

Brent Crude Oil: range price movement by  United States Gross Domestic Product news events

Brent Crude Oil: range price movement by United States Gross Domestic Product news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

 

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Sergey Golubev, 2020.11.17 05:40

USD/CNH Intra-Day Fundamentals: China Unemployment Rate and range price movement 

2020-11-16 02:00 GMT | [CNY - Unemployment Rate]

  • past data is 5.4%
  • forecast data is 5.6%
  • actual data is 5.3% according to the latest press release

if actual < forecast (or previous good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[CNY - Unemployment Rate] = Percentage of the total urban work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month.

==========

From asia.nikkei article :

  • "China's economic recovery continued last month, though signals were mixed as the latest consumption indicator was weaker than expected, even as fixed-asset investment and industrial output activity beat forecasts, official data showed on Monday. The labor market also improved as China's surveyed urban unemployment rate eased to 5.3% in October from 5.4% the previous month, NBS data showed. Newly created urban jobs reached nearly 10.1 million in the first 10 months, hitting the annual target of 9 million ahead of schedule."

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USD/CNH: range price movement by China Unemployment Rate news event 

USD/CNH: range price movement by China Unemployment Rate news event

USD/CNH: range price movement by China Unemployment Rate news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5: 


 

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Sergey Golubev, 2020.11.30 09:29

USD/CNH Intra-Day Fundamentals: China Manufacturing PMI and range price movement 

2020-11-30 01:00 GMT | [CNY - Manufacturing PMI]

  • past data is 51.4
  • forecast data is 49.1
  • actual data is 52.1 according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[CNY - Manufacturing PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.

==========

From think.ing article :

  • "China's manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index jumped to 52.1 in November from 51.4 a month ago. The jump was mostly due to more domestic new orders and an increase in raw material prices. New export orders also increased but less so compared to domestic new orders."

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by China Manufacturing PMI news event 

USD/CNH: range price movement by China Manufacturing PMI news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase: 

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

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Sergey Golubev, 2020.12.15 08:11

USD/CNH Intra-Day Fundamentals: China Industrial Production and range price movement 

2020-12-15 02:00 GMT | [CNY - Industrial Production]

  • past data is 6.9%
  • forecast data is 2.9%
  • actual data is 7.0% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[CNY - Industrial Production] = Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities.

==========

From rttnews article :

  • "Industrial production in China was up 7.0 percent on year in November, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Tuesday. The bureau also said that retail sales rose an annual 5.0 percent - shy of expectations for an increase of 5.2 percent but still up from 4.3 percent in the previous month."

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by China Industrial Production news event 

USD/CNH: range price movement by China Industrial Production news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

 

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.01.13 15:02

Intra-Day Fundamentals - NZD/USD, USD/CNH and AUD/USD: United States Consumer Price Index (CPI)

2021-01-13 13:30 GMT | [USD - CPI]

  • past data is 0.2%
  • forecast data is 0.0%
  • actual data is 0.4% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

==========

From official report :

  • "The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent in December on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.2 percent in November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.4 percent before seasonal adjustment."

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NZD/USD: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news events

NZD/USD: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news events

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news events

USD/CNH: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news events

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news events

AUD/USD: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news events

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After 

  1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
  2. Asctrend indicator in depth 
  3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included) 
  4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread 

 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.01.18 11:50

USD/CNH Intra-Day Fundamentals: China Gross Domestic Product and range price movement 

2021-01-18 02:00 GMT | [CNY - GDP]

  • past data is 4.9%
  • forecast data is 0.4%
  • actual data is 6.5% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[CNY - GDP] = Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy.

==========

From businessinsider article :

  • "The Chinese economy beat expectations to grow 6.5% in the final quarter of 2020, according to official figures on Monday, capping off a rapid recovery from the coronavirus lockdowns in the first few months of the year and further cementing China as an economic powerhouse. The final-quarter figures meant gross domestic product grew 2.3% over 2020 as a whole. It was China's slowest expansion since the 1970s, but nonetheless made it the only major economy to grow last year."

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by  China Gross Domestic Product news event 

USD/CNH: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news event


USD/CNH: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news event

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

The forum threads
  1. Key forum thread - Fast Fourier Transform - Cycle Extraction - the thead with FFTfiltr indicator and explanation
  2. New EA based on the !xMeter (!xMter based on Fast Fourier Transform) - the thread 
  3. Many FFT indicators with examples and explanations - the thread 
  4. Ticks Before The News - the thread with many FFT indicators and explanation how to trade

CodeBase

  1. dt_FFT - library for MetaTrader  
  2. LGLIB - Numerical Analysis Library - library for MetaTrader 4 
  3. ALGLIB - Numerical Analysis Library - library for MetaTrader 5 
  4. AFIRMA - indicator for MetaTrader 5
  5. Fourier extrapolation of price - indicator for MetaTrader 5

The articles


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.02.10 06:40

USD/CNH Intra-Day Fundamentals: China Consumer Price Index (CPI) and range price movement 

2021-02-10 01:30 GMT | [CNY - CPI]

  • past data is 0.7%
  • forecast data is 0.9%
  • actual data is 1.0% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[CNY - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

==========

From rttnews article :

  • "Consumer prices in China were up 1.0 percent on month in January, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday - in line with expectations following the 0.7 percent increase in December. On a yearly basis, consumer prices fell 0.3 percent - shy of expectations for a flat reading following the 0.2 percent gain in the previous month."

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by China Consumer Price Index (CPI) news event 

USD/CNH: range price movement by China Consumer Price Index (CPI) news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread



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