QuantMatrix Historical Move Probability9

  • Indicators
  • Rafael Barreto Haddad
    Rafael Barreto Haddad

    Rafael Barreto Haddad

    • Rafael Haddad → QuantMatrix → quantitative trading research at  Quantitative Trading Systems Researcher
    • Brazil
    • 2393
    I am the creator of the QuantMatrix Research Series for MetaTrader 5.
    My work focuses on quantitative trading systems, adaptive Expert Advisors and market-analysis tools built around historical evidence, strategy validation and continuous model evaluation.
  • Version: 2.20
  • Updated: 14 August 2026

QuantMatrix Probability AI Free


QuantMatrix Probability AI Free is a technical indicator for MetaTrader 5 that combines several measurements of current market conditions into three numerical estimates.

The indicator uses exponential moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Average True Range (ATR) and the current price position in its calculation.

These measurements are combined into a normalized market score.

The resulting information is displayed on the chart as:

  • BUY percentage
  • SELL percentage
  • NEUTRAL percentage

The percentages provide a numerical representation of the indicator's current internal market assessment.

They should not be interpreted as a guaranteed probability of a successful trade.

Features

  • BUY percentage
  • SELL percentage
  • NEUTRAL percentage
  • EMA-based trend measurement
  • RSI-based momentum measurement
  • ATR normalization
  • Current price-position analysis
  • Configurable fast EMA period
  • Configurable slow EMA period
  • Configurable RSI period
  • Configurable ATR period
  • Uses the symbol and timeframe of the current chart
  • Does not open, modify or close trades

Free and PRO Versions

QuantMatrix Probability AI Free provides the basic probability model of the Probability AI series.

A separate QuantMatrix Probability AI PRO version is available for users who require additional quantitative and historical analysis.

The PRO version extends the model with:

  • Historical similarity analysis
  • Historical sample size
  • Historical bullish, bearish and neutral frequencies
  • Market regime classification
  • Wick pressure analysis
  • Breakout bias analysis
  • Confidence measurement
  • Minimum historical evidence requirements
  • Entry Window analysis
  • NO TRADE status when the configured evidence requirements are not satisfied

Both versions use the symbol and timeframe of the chart where the indicator is attached.

The Free version can therefore also be used to understand the basic Probability AI approach before using the additional analytical functions available in QuantMatrix Probability AI PRO.

QuantMatrix Research Series

QuantMatrix Probability AI Free is part of the QuantMatrix series of quantitative market analysis tools developed by Rafael Haddad.

The percentages displayed by the indicator are mathematical outputs derived from its internal calculations. They do not represent guaranteed probabilities of future price direction and do not guarantee trading results.


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4 (4)
Indicators
Unix Scalper — MetaTrader 5 Message me on MQL5 after purchase to receive Smart Universal Expert Advisor for FREE, plus the online course, PDF manual, and private group access. Find the setup. See the plan. Choose how to trade it. UNIX Scalper brings market analysis, BUY/SELL/WAIT decisions and Entry, Stop Loss, TP1 and TP2 levels into one organized panel. SEE THE SIGNAL AND THE PLAN • Clear decisions: BUY, SELL or WAIT. • Defined levels: Entry, Stop Loss, TP1 and TP2. • Multi-timeframe overvie
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Crystal Heikin Ashi Signals—Professional Trend & Signal Detection Indicator Advanced Heikin Ashi Visualization with Intelligent Signal System for Manual & Automated Trading Final Price: $149 ---------> Price goes up $10 after every 10 sales . Limited slots available — act fast . Overview User Guide PDF Crystal Heikin Ashi Signals is a professional-grade MetaTrader 5 indicator that combines pure Heikin Ashi candle visualization with an advanced momentum-shift detection system. Designed for both m
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Indicators
Auto Optimized SpeedAngle is an institutional-grade momentum vectoring system that eliminates curve-fitting through continuous Walk-Forward Optimization (WFO). Rather than relying on static inputs that degrade when market regimes shift, the indicator dynamically recalibrates its parameters using Out-of-Sample (OOS) validation, ensuring the displayed signals represent genuine statistical edges rather than historical anomalies. By shifting the focus from subjective visual angles to normalized, qua
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SMC PRO TOOLKIT — SMART MONEY ANALYSIS & STRUCTURED TRADE PLANNING SMC Pro ToolKit is a professional Smart Money Concepts analysis workspace for MetaTrader 5. It combines market structure, multi-timeframe analysis, institutional price zones, setup evaluation, confirmation tools, volume context, alerts, and risk planning inside one organized chart environment. One workspace. Multiple layers of confirmation. One structured trading plan. OPEN COMPLETE USER GUIDE MULTI-CONDITION SETUP ENGINE At
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