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QuantMatrix Historical Move Probability9

FREE

Published: 13 August 2026

Current version: 2.20

QuantMatrix Historical Move Probability9

Indicators
Rafael Barreto Haddad
Rafael Barreto Haddad
Rafael Haddad → QuantMatrix → quantitative trading research at Quantitative Trading Systems Researcher

Brazil

1884
I am the creator of the QuantMatrix Research Series for MetaTrader 5.
My work focuses on quantitative trading systems, adaptive Expert Advisors and market-analysis tools built around historical evidence, strategy validation and continuous model evaluation.
Version: 2.20
Updated: 14 August 2026

QuantMatrix Probability AI Free

QuantMatrix Probability AI Free is a technical indicator for MetaTrader 5 that combines several measurements of current market conditions into three numerical estimates.

The indicator uses exponential moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Average True Range (ATR) and the current price position in its calculation.

These measurements are combined into a normalized market score.

The resulting information is displayed on the chart as:

BUY percentage
SELL percentage
NEUTRAL percentage

The percentages provide a numerical representation of the indicator's current internal market assessment.

They should not be interpreted as a guaranteed probability of a successful trade.

Features

BUY percentage
SELL percentage
NEUTRAL percentage
EMA-based trend measurement
RSI-based momentum measurement
ATR normalization
Current price-position analysis
Configurable fast EMA period
Configurable slow EMA period
Configurable RSI period
Configurable ATR period
Uses the symbol and timeframe of the current chart
Does not open, modify or close trades

Free and PRO Versions

QuantMatrix Probability AI Free provides the basic probability model of the Probability AI series.

A separate QuantMatrix Probability AI PRO version is available for users who require additional quantitative and historical analysis.

The PRO version extends the model with:

Historical similarity analysis
Historical sample size
Historical bullish, bearish and neutral frequencies
Market regime classification
Wick pressure analysis
Breakout bias analysis
Confidence measurement
Minimum historical evidence requirements
Entry Window analysis
NO TRADE status when the configured evidence requirements are not satisfied

Both versions use the symbol and timeframe of the chart where the indicator is attached.

The Free version can therefore also be used to understand the basic Probability AI approach before using the additional analytical functions available in QuantMatrix Probability AI PRO.

QuantMatrix Research Series

QuantMatrix Probability AI Free is part of the QuantMatrix series of quantitative market analysis tools developed by Rafael Haddad.

The percentages displayed by the indicator are mathematical outputs derived from its internal calculations. They do not represent guaranteed probabilities of future price direction and do not guarantee trading results.

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Screenshot #1 QuantMatrix Historical Move Probability9

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QuantMatrix Historical Move Probability QuantMatrix Historical Move Probability is a statistical indicator for MetaTrader 5 that compares the current price movement with similar movements found in the historical data of the selected symbol and timeframe. Price movements are normalized using Average True Range (ATR). This allows movements from different historical periods to be compared relative to the volatility present at each period. The indicator searches the configured historical sample for

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QuantMatrix Prism Structure is a MetaTrader 5 indicator for visual analysis of market structure. It identifies confirmed swing highs and swing lows and displays structural information directly on the chart. The indicator can display higher highs, higher lows, lower highs, lower lows, structure changes, fair value gap areas and ATR based information. A chart panel summarizes the current structure state, recent structural events and relevant market information. The indicator is intended for m

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QuantMatrix Volume Depth is a MetaTrader 5 indicator for visual analysis of market activity across different price levels. The indicator builds a horizontal profile across the analyzed price range and shows where trading activity has been concentrated. It displays the Point of Control, Value Area High, Value Area Low and the distribution of activity across multiple price levels. The indicator can use real volume when it is available from the symbol. When real volume is not available, tick vol

49 USD

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QuantMatrix Historical Move Probability9

Rafael Barreto Haddad

Features

Free and PRO Versions

QuantMatrix Research Series