Forecast and levels for NZD - page 22

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.08.21 08:40

NZD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: New Zealand Overseas Merchandise Trade and range price movement  

2023-08-20 22:45 GMT | [NZD - Trade Balance]

  • past data is -111M
  • forecast data is -953M
  • actual data is -1107M according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for NZD in our case)

[NZD - Trade Balance] = Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month.

==========

From rttnews article :

"New Zealand posted a merchandise trade deficit of NZ$1.107 billion in July, Statistics New Zealand said on Monday. That's down from the downwardly revised NZ$111 million in June (originally a NZ$9 million surplus)."

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand Trade Balance news event 

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand Trade Balance news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.09.19 17:35

Intra-Day Fundamentals - NZD/USD, GBP/USD and Hang Seng Index : United States Building Permits

2023-09-19 12:30 GMT | [USD - Building Permits]

  • past data is 1.44M
  • forecast data is 1.44M
  • actual data 1.54M according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Building Permits] = Annualized number of new residential building permits issued during the previous month.

==========

From rttnews article :

The Commerce Department said building permits surged by 6.9 percent to an annual rate of 1.543 million in August after inching up by 0.1 percent to a revised rate of 1.443 million in July.

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by U.S. Building Permits news events

NZD/USD: range price movement by U.S. Building Permits news events

==========

GBP/USD: range price movement by U.S. Building Permits news events

GBP/USD: range price movement by U.S. Building Permits news events

============

Hang Seng Index : range price movement by U.S. Building Permits news events

Hang Seng Index : range price movement by U.S. Building Permits news events

============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.09.21 07:41

NZD/USD Intra-Day FundamentalsNew Zealand GDP and range price movement  

2023-09-21 22:45 GMT | [NZD - GDP]

  • past data is 0.0%
  • forecast data is -1.6%
  • actual data is 0.9% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for NZD in our case)

[NZD - GDP] = Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy.

==========

From official report :

"Economic activity rose 0.9 percent in the June 2023 quarter as measured by gross domestic product. This follows a flat (0.0 percent) March 2023 quarter."

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand GDP news event 

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand GDP news event

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After 

  1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
  2. Asctrend indicator in depth 
  3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included)
  4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.10.26 15:10

Intra-Day Fundamentals - NZD/USD, GOLD (XAU/USD) and USD/CNH: Unites States Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

2023-10-26 12:30 GMT | [USD - GDP]

  • past data is 2.1%
  • forecast data is 2.1%
  • actual data is  4.9% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - GDP] = Level of a composite index based on surveyed households.

==========

From rttnews article :

A report released by the Commerce Department on Thursday showed U.S. gross domestic product soared by more than expected in the third quarter of 2023. The Commerce Department said GDP spiked by 4.9 percent in the third quarter after jumping by 2.1 percent in the second quarter.

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events

NZD/USD: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events

==========

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events 

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events 

USD/CNH: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.11.29 08:20

NZD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBNZ Official Cash Rate, RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement and range price movement  

2023-11-29 01:00 GMT | [NZD - Official Cash Rate]

  • past data is 5.50%
  • forecast data is 5.50%
  • actual data is 5.50% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for NZD in our case)

[NZD - Official Cash Rate] = Interest rate at which banks lend balances held at the RBNZ to other banks overnight.

==========

From official report :

The Committee agreed that interest rates will need to remain at a restrictive level for longer, to ensure annual consumer price inflation returns to the 1 to 3 percent target range and to support maximum sustainable employment. On Wednesday 29 November, the Committee reached a consensus to maintain the Official Cash Rate at 5.50 percent.

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by RBNZ  Official Cash Rate news event 

NZD/USD: range price movement by RBNZ  Official Cash Rate news event

============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.01.05 17:06

Intra-Day Fundamentals - NZD/USD, AUD/USD and Nikkei 225: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2024-01-05 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

  • past data is 199K
  • forecast data is 1K
  • actual data is 216K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

"Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 216,000 in December, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in government, health care, social assistance, and construction, while transportation and warehousing lost jobs."

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

NZD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


AUD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

Nikkei 225: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


Nikkei 225: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with the following indicator from CodeBase:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.01.24 06:26

NZD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: New Zealand CPI and range price movement  

2024-01-23 21:45 GMT | [NZD - CPI]

  • past data is 1.8%
  • forecast data is 1.4%
  • actual data is 0.5% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for NZD in our case)

[NZD - CPI]  = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

==========

From rttnews article :

"Consumer prices in New Zealand were up a seasonally adjusted 0.5 percent on quarter in the fourth quarter of 2023, Statistics New Zealand said on Wednesday".

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand CPI news event 

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand CPI news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.02.02 09:52

NZD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: New Zealand Building Consents and range price movement  

2024-02-01 21:45 GMT | [NZD - Building Consents]

  • past data is -10.6%
  • forecast data is 0.0%
  • actual data is 3.7% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for NZD in our case)

[NZD - Building Consents] = Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy.

==========

From official report :

In December 2023, the seasonally adjusted number of new dwellings consented rose 3.7 percent, after falling 11 percent in November 2023.

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand Building Consents news event 

NZD/USD: range price movement by New Zealand Building Consents news event

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicator:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.02.28 09:12

NZD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBNZ Official Cash Rate, RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement and range price movement  

2024-02-28 01:00 GMT | [NZD - Official Cash Rate]

  • past data is 5.50%
  • forecast data is 5.50%
  • actual data is 5.50% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for NZD in our case)

[NZD - Official Cash Rate] = Interest rate at which banks lend balances held at the RBNZ to other banks overnight.

==========

From official report :

The Committee remains confident that the current level of the OCR is restricting demand. However, a sustained decline in capacity pressures in the New Zealand economy is required to ensure that headline inflation returns to the 1 to 3 percent target. The OCR needs to remain at a restrictive level for a sustained period of time to ensure this occurs. 

==========


NZD/USD
: range price movement by RBNZ  Official Cash Rate news event
 

NZD/USD: range price movement by RBNZ  Official Cash Rate news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.04.05 17:10

Intra-Day Fundamentals - GBP/USD, NZD/USD and GOLD (XAU/USD): United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2024-04-05 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

  • past data is 270K
  • forecast data is 212K
  • actual data is 303K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From rttnews article :

"A closely watched report released by the Labor Department on Friday showed employment in the U.S. shot up by much more than expected in the month of March. The Labor Department said non-farm payroll employment spiked by 303,000 jobs in March after surging by a downwardly revised 270,000 jobs in February."

==========

GBP/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

GBP/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


NZD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

XAU/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


XAU/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:


Reason: