United States Retail Control m/m

Country:
United States
USD, US dollar
Source:
Sector:
Consumer
Medium 0.3% -0.3%
0.3%
Last release Importance Actual Forecast
Previous
0.3%
0.3%
Next release Actual Forecast
Previous
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Retail Control m/m reflects a change in the US retail sales in the so called control group in the reported month compared to the previous one. This group includes all US retailers, except for food, cars, construction materials and motor fuel.

These groups are excluded from the indicator calculation do to the high volatility of their prices. For example, prices for seasonal products increase in periods when they have to be imported from other countries or from other climatic zones. Cars are considered to be highly volatile for general retail sales because of the high price per unit. Therefore, even a small increase in the number of units sold leads to an increase in the monetary volume of retail sales. Construction materials are also excluded from the calculation due to seasonal characteristics: construction and renovation are traditionally more active in summer, and therefore retail sales grow at this time. Retail sales of motor fuel also increase in summer, when people start traveling by car across the country.

The control group is used as a measure of the "core" consumer spending and is applied in further PCE calculations. Since this is an auxiliary indicator, it indirectly characterizes the US inflation. So, it influences dollar quotes indirectly through PCE.

Last values:

actual data

forecast

The chart of the entire available history of the "United States Retail Control m/m" macroeconomic indicator. The dashed line shows the forecast values ​​of the economic indicator for the specified dates.

A significant deviation of a real value from a forecast one may cause a short-term strengthening or weakening of a national currency in the Forex market. The threshold values ​​of the indicators signaling the approach of the critical state of the national (local) economy occupy a special place.

Date (GMT)
Reference
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Oct 2018
0.3%
-0.3%
0.3%
Sep 2018
0.5%
0.5%
0.0%
Aug 2018
0.1%
0.4%
0.8%
Jul 2018
0.5%
0.2%
-0.1%
Jun 2018
0.0%
0.2%
0.8%
May 2018
0.5%
0.2%
0.6%
Apr 2018
0.4%
0.5%
0.5%
Mar 2018
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Feb 2018
0.1%
0.3%
0.0%
Jan 2018
0.0%
-0.8%
-0.2%
Dec 2017
0.3%
0.3%
1.4%
Nov 2017
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
Oct 2017
0.3%
-0.5%
0.5%
Sep 2017
0.4%
0.7%
0.0%
Aug 2017
-0.2%
0.7%
0.6%
Jul 2017
0.6%
0.0%
0.1%
Jun 2017
-0.1%
0.3%
0.0%
May 2017
0.0%
0.1%
0.6%
Apr 2017
-0.1%
0.4%
0.5%
Mar 2017
0.5%
-0.2%
Feb 2017
0.1%
0.8%
Jan 2017
0.4%
0.4%
Dec 2016
0.2%
0.1%
Nov 2016
0.1%
0.6%
Oct 2016
0.8%
0.1%
Sep 2016
0.1%
-0.1%
Aug 2016
-0.1%
-0.1%
Jul 2016
0.0%
0.5%
Jun 2016
0.5%
0.5%
May 2016
0.4%
1.0%
Apr 2016
0.9%
0.1%
Mar 2016
0.1%
0.1%
Feb 2016
0.0%
0.2%
Jan 2016
0.6%
0.6%
Dec 2015
-0.3%
0.5%
Nov 2015
0.6%
0.2%
Oct 2015
0.2%
0.1%
Sep 2015
-0.1%
0.2%
Aug 2015
0.4%
0.6%
Jul 2015
0.3%
0.2%
Jun 2015
-0.1%
0.7%
May 2015
0.7%
0.1%
Apr 2015
0.0%
0.5%
Mar 2015
0.3%
0.0%
Feb 2015
0.0%
-0.1%
Jan 2015
0.1%
-0.3%
Dec 2014
-0.4%

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