United States Retail Control m/m

Country:
United States
USD, US dollar
Source:
Sector:
Consumer
Medium 1.1% 1.0%
0.3%
Last release Importance Actual Forecast
Previous
0.4%
1.1%
Next release Actual Forecast
Previous
  • Overview
  • Chart
  • History
  • Widget

Retail Control m/m reflects a change in the US retail sales in the so called control group in the reported month compared to the previous one. This group includes all US retailers, except for food, cars, construction materials and motor fuel.

These groups are excluded from the indicator calculation do to the high volatility of their prices. For example, prices for seasonal products increase in periods when they have to be imported from other countries or from other climatic zones. Cars are considered to be highly volatile for general retail sales because of the high price per unit. Therefore, even a small increase in the number of units sold leads to an increase in the monetary volume of retail sales. Construction materials are also excluded from the calculation due to seasonal characteristics: construction and renovation are traditionally more active in summer, and therefore retail sales grow at this time. Retail sales of motor fuel also increase in summer, when people start traveling by car across the country.

The control group is used as a measure of the "core" consumer spending and is applied in further PCE calculations. Since this is an auxiliary indicator, it indirectly characterizes the US inflation. So, it influences dollar quotes indirectly through PCE.

Last values:

actual data

forecast

The chart of the entire available history of the "United States Retail Control m/m" macroeconomic indicator. The dashed line shows the forecast values ​​of the economic indicator for the specified dates.

A significant deviation of a real value from a forecast one may cause a short-term strengthening or weakening of a national currency in the Forex market. The threshold values ​​of the indicators signaling the approach of the critical state of the national (local) economy occupy a special place.

Date (GMT)
Reference
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Mar 2024
1.1%
1.0%
0.3%
Feb 2024
0.0%
0.6%
-0.3%
Jan 2024
-0.4%
0.1%
0.6%
Dec 2023
0.8%
-0.2%
0.5%
Nov 2023
0.4%
0.4%
0.0%
Oct 2023
0.2%
-0.3%
0.7%
Sep 2023
0.6%
0.2%
0.2%
Aug 2023
0.1%
-0.2%
0.7%
Jul 2023
1.0%
0.2%
0.5%
Jun 2023
0.6%
-0.3%
0.3%
May 2023
0.2%
0.0%
0.6%
Apr 2023
0.7%
0.0%
-0.4%
Mar 2023
-0.3%
0.6%
0.5%
Feb 2023
0.5%
-1.2%
2.3%
Jan 2023
1.7%
0.3%
-0.7%
Dec 2022
-0.7%
0.4%
-0.2%
Nov 2022
-0.2%
0.3%
0.5%
Oct 2022
0.7%
-0.3%
0.6%
Sep 2022
0.4%
0.5%
0.2%
Aug 2022
0.0%
-0.6%
0.4%
Jul 2022
0.8%
0.8%
0.7%
Jun 2022
0.5%
-1.1%
0.0%
May 2022
0.0%
1.5%
0.5%
Apr 2022
1.0%
-2.0%
1.1%
Mar 2022
-0.1%
2.6%
-0.9%
Feb 2022
-1.2%
-2.4%
6.7%
Jan 2022
4.8%
1.5%
-4.0%
Dec 2021
-3.5%
-1.1%
-0.1%
Nov 2021
-0.1%
1.3%
1.8%
Oct 2021
1.3%
-1.4%
0.8%
Sep 2021
1.0%
1.5%
2.5%
Aug 2021
1.8%
-2.0%
-1.0%
Jul 2021
-1.0%
2.6%
1.4%
Jun 2021
1.1%
-3.5%
-1.4%
May 2021
-0.7%
5.0%
-0.4%
Apr 2021
-1.5%
-6.0%
7.6%
Mar 2021
6.9%
5.0%
-3.4%
Feb 2021
-3.5%
-5.9%
8.7%
Jan 2021
6.0%
2.0%
-2.4%
Dec 2020
-1.9%
-16.3%
-1.1%
Nov 2020
-0.5%
-15.9%
-0.1%
Oct 2020
0.1%
-8.2%
0.9%
Sep 2020
1.4%
7.5%
-0.3%
Aug 2020
-0.1%
-6.1%
0.9%
Jul 2020
1.4%
5.6%
6.0%
Jun 2020
5.6%
9.7%
10.1%
May 2020
11.0%
119.8%
-12.4%
Apr 2020
-15.3%
0.3%
3.1%
Mar 2020
1.7%
0.2%
-0.2%
Feb 2020
0.0%
0.8%
0.4%

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