NAHB United States Housing Market Index

Country:
United States
USD, US dollar
Sector:
Housing
Low 60 69
68
Last release Importance Actual Forecast
Previous
69
60
Next release Actual Forecast
Previous
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NAHB Housing Market Index is issued by US National Association of Home Builders. About 80% of the total number of new US homes are built annually by the members of this association.

The index is based on a monthly survey of 140,000 association members. Respondents are polled to evaluate market conditions for new home sales at the current moment and in the next six months, as well as prospective buyer traffic for new homes.

The first two series are evaluated as Good, Fair and Poor. The prospective buyer traffic is rated as High/Very High, Average, Low/Very Low. Based on the survey results, three separate diffusion indices are calculated by applying the following formula: (% positive estimates - % negative estimates + 100)/2. Then each index is adjusted for seasonal variations, because the housing market is sensitive to seasonal changes. NAHB uses average values of these series to calculate the total HMI.

The index is closely correlated with the Housing Starts index.

HMI can range between 0 and 100. Readings above 50 mean that most of Association members evaluate sales conditions as favorable. The index characterizes the intent of home buyers, so it can provide valuable information on the near-term US housing market state. Economists closely monitor the index to be able to evaluate prospects for the US housing sector. A sharp or unexpected change in the indicator values ​​may cause a small short-term volatility of the dollar.

Last values:

actual data

forecast

The chart of the entire available history of the "NAHB United States Housing Market Index" macroeconomic indicator. The dashed line shows the forecast values ​​of the economic indicator for the specified dates.

A significant deviation of a real value from a forecast one may cause a short-term strengthening or weakening of a national currency in the Forex market. The threshold values ​​of the indicators signaling the approach of the critical state of the national (local) economy occupy a special place.

Date (GMT)
Reference
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Nov 2018
60
69
68
Oct 2018
68
69
67
Sep 2018
67
68
67
Aug 2018
67
68
68
Jul 2018
68
67
68
Jun 2018
68
67
70
May 2018
70
67
68
Apr 2018
69
71
70
Mar 2018
70
75
71
Feb 2018
72
76
72
Jan 2018
72
74
74
Dec 2017
74
70
69
Nov 2017
70
67
68
Oct 2017
68
66
64
Sep 2017
64
67
67
Aug 2017
68
67
64
Jul 2017
64
70
66
Jun 2017
67
70
69
May 2017
70
69
68
Apr 2017
68
71
Mar 2017
71
65
Feb 2017
65
67
Jan 2017
67
69
Dec 2016
70
63
Nov 2016
63
63
Oct 2016
63
65
Sep 2016
65
59
Aug 2016
60
58
Jul 2016
59
60
Jun 2016
60
58
May 2016
58
58
Apr 2016
58
58
Mar 2016
58
58
Feb 2016
58
61
Jan 2016
60
60
Dec 2015
61
62
Nov 2015
62
65
Oct 2015
64
61
Sep 2015
62
61
Aug 2015
61
60
Jul 2015
60
60
Jun 2015
59
54
May 2015
54
56
Apr 2015
56
53
Mar 2015
52
55
Feb 2015
55
57
Jan 2015
57
57
Dec 2014
58
58
Nov 2014
58
54
Oct 2014
54
59

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