Central Bank of Brazil IBC-Br Economic Activity

Country:
Brazil
BRL, Brazilian real
Sector:
Business
Low 0.40% 0.69%
0.52%
Last release Importance Actual Forecast
Previous
0.10%
0.40%
Next release Actual Forecast
Previous
  • Overview
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The Index of Economic Activity of the Central Bank of Brazil (IBC-Br) is an indicator developed as a preliminary for the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the country. In this sense, it is a thermometer for the economy, where the Central Bank of Brazil uses this index as a tool to define the basic interest rate (Selic Rate) of the Brazilian economy.

This index includes growth estimates for the agricultural, industrial and service sectors, considering the evolution of the total production supply, together with import products, and also the taxes approved by the government and the national congress.

IBC-Br and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) are indicators that measure economic activity, where IBC-Br reflects the GDP slope, but not necessarily a forecast, since they present very significant differences in relation to their calculation methodologies. The differences between the two indicators are reflected in the final results.

IBC-Br reflects the behavior of the economic activity, guiding the policy of inflation control by the Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM). GDP is calculated by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) from the sum of the goods and services produced in Brazil. The higher the IBC-Br index, the better the economy of Brazil is, increasing the value of the Brazilian real.

Last values:

actual data

forecast

The chart of the entire available history of the "Central Bank of Brazil IBC-Br Economic Activity" macroeconomic indicator. The dashed line shows the forecast values ​​of the economic indicator for the specified dates.

A significant deviation of a real value from a forecast one may cause a short-term strengthening or weakening of a national currency in the Forex market. The threshold values ​​of the indicators signaling the approach of the critical state of the national (local) economy occupy a special place.

Date (GMT)
Reference
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Feb 2024
0.40%
0.69%
0.52%
Jan 2024
0.60%
0.07%
0.82%
Dec 2023
0.82%
-0.05%
0.10%
Nov 2023
0.01%
-0.44%
-0.18%
Oct 2023
-0.06%
-0.36%
-0.05%
Sep 2023
-0.06%
0.01%
-0.81%
Aug 2023
-0.77%
0.19%
0.42%
Jul 2023
0.44%
0.19%
0.22%
Jun 2023
0.63%
-0.03%
-2.05%
May 2023
-2.00%
-0.13%
0.81%
Apr 2023
0.56%
-0.18%
-0.14%
Mar 2023
-0.15%
-0.02%
2.53%
Feb 2023
3.32%
0.13%
-0.09%
Jan 2023
-0.04%
0.21%
0.47%
Dec 2022
0.29%
0.02%
-0.77%
Nov 2022
-0.55%
-0.25%
-0.28%
Oct 2022
-0.05%
-0.26%
0.00%
Sep 2022
0.05%
0.06%
-1.13%
Aug 2022
-1.13%
0.24%
1.67%
Jul 2022
1.17%
0.24%
0.93%
Jun 2022
0.69%
-0.14%
-0.26%
May 2022
-0.11%
-0.64%
Apr 2022
-0.44%
-0.39%
1.09%
Feb 2022
0.34%
0.06%
-0.73%
Jan 2022
-0.99%
0.63%
0.32%
Dec 2021
0.33%
0.29%
0.51%
Nov 2021
0.69%
-0.45%
-0.28%
Oct 2021
-0.40%
-0.08%
-0.46%
Sep 2021
-0.27%
0.24%
-0.29%
Aug 2021
-0.15%
0.64%
0.23%
Jul 2021
0.60%
0.01%
0.92%
Jun 2021
1.14%
-0.41%
-0.55%
May 2021
-0.43%
-0.65%
0.85%
Apr 2021
0.44%
0.16%
-1.61%
Mar 2021
-1.59%
0.43%
1.89%
Feb 2021
1.70%
0.03%
1.25%
Jan 2021
1.04%
-0.16%
0.71%
Dec 2020
0.64%
-0.34%
0.59%
Nov 2020
0.59%
-0.53%
0.75%
Oct 2020
0.86%
0.35%
1.68%
Sep 2020
1.29%
1.21%
1.39%
Aug 2020
1.06%
2.49%
3.71%
Jul 2020
2.15%
2.24%
5.32%
Jun 2020
4.89%
-0.91%
1.59%
May 2020
1.31%
-12.00%
-9.45%
Apr 2020
-9.73%
0.12%
-6.16%
Mar 2020
-5.90%
0.02%
0.32%
Feb 2020
0.35%
-0.02%
-0.01%
Jan 2020
0.24%
0.00%
-0.38%
Dec 2019
-0.27%
0.01%
-0.11%

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