Forecast and levels for Dollar Index - page 21

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.06.03 16:02

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/CNH, Dollar Index (DXY) and GOLD (XAU/USD): United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2022-06-03 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

  • past data is 436K
  • forecast data is 325K
  • actual data is 390K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

"Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 390,000 in May, and the unemployment rate remained at 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, in professional and business services, and in transportation and warehousing. Employment in retail trade declined".

==========

USD/CNH : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

USD/CNH : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

XAU/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

XAU/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:


 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.06.15 16:17

Intra-Day Fundamentals - Dollar Index, NZD/USD and Nikkei 225: United States Retail Sales

2022-06-15 12:30 GMT | [USD - Retail Sales]

  • past data is 0.7%
  • forecast data is 0.1%
  • actual data is -0.3% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Retail Sales] = Change in the total value of sales at the retail level.

==========

From rttnews article :

"Reflecting a sharp pullback in auto sales, the Commerce Department released a report on Wednesday showing an unexpected decrease in U.S. retail sales in the month of May. The report showed retail sales fell by 0.3 percent in May after climbing by a downwardly revised 0.7 percent in April".

    ==========

    Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

    Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

    ==========

    NZD/USD: range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

    NZD/USD: range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

    ==========

    Nikkei 225: range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

    Nikkei 225: range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

    ==========

    Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

    All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2022.07.13 16:23

    Intra-Day Fundamentals - GBP/USD, Dollar Index (DXY) and S&P 500 : United States  Consumer Price Index (CPI)

    2022-07-13 12:30 GMT | [USD - CPI]

    • past data is 1.0%
    • forecast data is 1.1%
    • actual data is 1.3% according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

    [USD - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

    ==========

    From official report :

    "The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 1.3 percent in June on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 1.0 percent in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 9.1 percent before seasonal adjustment".

    ==========

    GBP/USD : range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

    GBP/USD : range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

    ==========

    Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event


    Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

    ==========

    S&P 500 : range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

    S&P 500 : range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

    ==========

    Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (Brainwashing original system; free to download) together with following indicator:

    Same system for MT4:

    1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
    2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
    3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
    4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2022.08.05 15:40

    Intra-Day Fundamentals - GBP/USD, NZD/USD and Dollar Index (DXY) : United States Nonfarm Payrolls

    2022-08-05 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

    • past data is 398K
    • forecast data is 250K
    • actual data is 250K according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

    [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

    ==========

    From official report :

    "Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 528,000 in July, and the unemployment rate edged down to 3.5 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job growth was widespread, led by gains in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, and health care. Both total nonfarm employment and the unemployment rate have returned to their February 2020 pre-pandemic levels".

    ==========

    GBP/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    GBP/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    ==========

    NZD/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


    NZD/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    ==========

    Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    ==========

    Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

    Same system for MT4:

    1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
    2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
    3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
    4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2022.09.01 17:13

    Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/JPY, USD/CNH and Dollar Index (DXY): ISM United States Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)

    2022-09-01 14:00 GMT | [USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI]

    • past data is 52.8
    • forecast data is 52.1
    • actual data is 52.8 according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

    [USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.

    ==========

    From official report :

    "The August Manufacturing PMI ® registered 52.8 percent, the same reading as recorded in July. This figure indicates expansion in the overall economy for the 27th month in a row after contraction in April and May 2020. For a second straight month, the Manufacturing PMI ® figure is the lowest since June 2020, when it registered 52.4 percent".

    ==========

    USD/JPY: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

    USD/JPY: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

    ==========

    USD/CNH: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

    USD/CNH: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

    ============

    Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

    Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

    ==========

    Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

    ==========

    Same systems for MT4/MT5:

    The beginning

    1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
    2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
    3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
    4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
    5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
    6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

    After 

    1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
    2. Asctrend indicator in depth 
    3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included) 
    4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread 

     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2022.09.13 15:50

    Intra-Day Fundamentals - AUD/USD, NZD/USD and Dollar Index (DXY) :  United States Core Consumer Price Index (CPI)

    2022-09-13 12:30 GMT | [USD - Core CPI]

    • past data is 0.0%
    • forecast data is -0.1%
    • actual data is 0.1% according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

    [USD - Core CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy.

    ==========

    From official report :

    "The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.1 percent in August on a seasonally adjusted basis after being unchanged in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 8.3 percent before seasonal adjustment".

    ==========

    AUD/USD: range price movement by United States Core Consumer Price Index news event 

    AUD/USD: range price movement by United States Core Consumer Price Index news event

    ==========

    NZD/USD: range price movement by United States Core Consumer Price Index news event  


     NZD/USD: range price movement by United States Core Consumer Price Index news event

    ==========

    Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by United States Core Consumer Price Index news event 

    Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by United States Core Consumer Price Index news event

    ==========

    The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:


     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2022.10.12 19:07

    Intra-Day Fundamentals - GBP/USD, Dollar Index (DXY) and Brent Crude Oil United States Producer Price Index

    2022-10-12 12:30 GMT | [USD - PPI]

    • past data is -0.1%
    • forecast data is 0.2%
    • actual data is 0.4% according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

    [USD - PPI] = Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers.

    ==========

    From official report :

    "The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.4 percent in September, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices declined 0.2 percent in August and 0.4 percent in July. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand advanced 8.5 percent for the 12 months ended in September."

    ==========

    GBP/USD : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

    GBP/USD : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

    ==========

    Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events


    Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

    ============

    Brent Crude Oil : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

    Brent Crude Oil : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

    ==========

    Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

    All about BrainTrading system for MT5: 


     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2022.11.04 15:51

    Intra-Day Fundamentals - GBP/USD, Dollar Index (DXY) and  Dow Jones Industrial Average: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

    2022-11-04 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

    • past data is 315K
    • forecast data is 197K
    • actual data is 261K according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

    [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

    ==========

    From official report :

    "Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 261,000 in October, and the unemployment rate rose to 3.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in health care, professional and technical services, and manufacturing."

    ==========

    GBP/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    GBP/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    ==========

    Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


    Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    ==========

    Dow Jones Industrial Average : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


    Dow Jones Industrial Average : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    ==========

    Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

    All about BrainTrading system for MT5: 


     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2022.12.02 15:53

    Intra-Day Fundamentals - GBP/USD, NZD/USD and Dollar Index (DXY) : United States Nonfarm Payrolls

    2022-12-02 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

    • past data is 284K
    • forecast data is 200K
    • actual data is 263K according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

    [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

    ==========

    From official report :

    "Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 263,000 in November, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today".

    ==========

    GBP/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    GBP/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    ==========

    NZD/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


    NZD/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    ==========

    Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    ==========

    Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

    Same system for MT4:

    1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
    2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
    3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
    4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2023.01.06 15:13

    Intra-Day Fundamentals - AUD/USD, NZD/USD and Dollar Index (DXY) : United States Nonfarm Payrolls

    2023-01-06 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

    • past data is 256K
    • forecast data is 200K
    • actual data is 223K according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

    [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

    ==========

    From official report :

    "Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 223,000 in November, and the unemployment rate was edged down to 3.5 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today".

    ==========

    AUD/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    AUD/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    ==========

    NZD/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


    NZD/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    ==========

    Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

    ==========

    Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

    Same system for MT4:

    1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
    2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
    3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
    4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

    Reason: