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Forecast and levels for AUD - page 19

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.07.31 10:59

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia CPI and range price movement 

2019-07-31 01:30 GMT | [AUD - CPI]

  • past data is 0.0%
  • forecast data is 0.5%
  • actual data is 0.6% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

==========

From official report :

  • "Rose 0.6% this quarter, following no movement (0.0%) in the March quarter 2019."
  • "Rose 1.6% over the twelve months to the June quarter 2019, following a rise of 1.3% over the twelve months to the March quarter 2019."

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AUD/USD: range price movement by  Australia CPI news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia CPI news even

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Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:


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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.08.06 11:53

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBA Cash Rate, Rate Statement and range price movement 

2019-08-06 04:30 GMT | [AUD - Cash Rate]

  • past data is 1.00%
  • forecast data is 1.00%
  • actual data is 1.00% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.

==========

From official report :

  • "At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.00 per cent."
  • "The outlook for the global economy remains reasonable. However, the increased uncertainty generated by the trade and technology disputes is affecting investment and means that the risks to the global economy remain tilted to the downside. In most advanced economies, unemployment rates are low and wages growth has picked up, although inflation remains low. The slowdown in global trade has contributed to slower growth in Asia. In China, the authorities have taken steps to support the economy, while continuing to address risks in the financial system."

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AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA  Cash Rate news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:


Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.08.14 06:07

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia  Wage Price Index and range price movement 

2019-08-14 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Wage Price Index]

  • past data is 0.5%
  • forecast data is 0.5%
  • actual data is 0.6% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Wage Price Index] = Change in the price businesses and the government pay for labor, excluding bonuses.

==========

From official report :

  • "The seasonally adjusted index for Australia rose 0.6% in the June quarter 2019 and the trend index rose 0.5%."
  • "In seasonally adjusted terms, the Private sector wage price index rose 0.5% and the Public sector index rose 0.8%."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Wage Price Index news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Wage Price Index news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.08.15 05:53

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia  Employment Change and range price movement 

2019-08-15 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Employment Change]

  • past data is -2.3K
  • forecast data is 14.2K
  • actual data is 41.1K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month.

==========

From official report :

  • "Employment increased 41,100 to 12,908,200 persons. Full-time employment increased 34,500 to 8,847,100 persons and part-time employment increased 6,700 to 4,061,100 persons."
  • "Unemployment rate remained steady at 5.2%."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Employment Change news event

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Employment Change news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.08.26 17:23

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD: United States  Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation

2019-08-26 12:30 GMT | [USD - Core Durable Goods Orders]

  • past data is 1.0%
  • forecast data is -0.2%
  • actual data is -0.4% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Core Durable Goods Orders] = Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods, excluding transportation items.

==========

From official report :

  • "New orders for manufactured durable goods in July increased $5.0 billion or 2.1 percent to $250.4 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today.  This increase, up two consecutive months, followed a 1.8 percent June increase.  Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.4 percent.  Excluding defense, new orders increased 1.4 percent.  Transportation equipment, also up two consecutive months, drove the increase, $5.7 billion or 7.0 percent to $86.3 billion."

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by United States  Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by United States Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation news events

==========

GBP/USD: range price movement by United States  Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation news events 

GBP/USD: range price movement by United States Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation news events

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by United States  Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation news events 

AUD/USD: range price movement by United States Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:


Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.08.29 10:29

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Private Capital Expenditure and range price movement 

2019-08-29 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Private Capital Expenditure]

  • past data is -1.3%
  • forecast data is 0.4%
  • actual data is -0.5% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Private Capital Expenditure] = Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of new capital expenditures made by private businesses.

==========

From official report :

  • "The trend estimate for total new capital expenditure fell by 0.7% in the June quarter 2019 while the seasonally adjusted estimate fell by 0.5%."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Private Capital Expenditure news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Private Capital Expenditure news event

============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.09.08 10:18

AUD/USD - bouncing from 0.6687 to above for the possible bullish reversal; 0.69 is the key(based on  the article)

AUDUSD daily chart by Metatrader 5

  • "AUDUSD is rising hard off the recent low, stringing together multiple positive days. It’s the strongest bounce since June, but like the first month of summer the initial push higher may prove to be short-lived. The key will be how momentum continues in the days ahead."
  • "There is an immediate threat to the rally via the June low, and to a lesser degree the May low. A reversal in the vicinity of 6840/75 could present traders with an opportunity to short for a drop back towards the recent lows under 6700. Stops set above any swing-high that develops once a turn down begins."

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:


Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.09.19 10:38

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia  Employment Change and range price movement 

2019-09-19 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Employment Change]

  • past data is 36.4
  • forecast data is 15.2K
  • actual data is 34.7K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or prvious value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month.

==========

From official report :

  • "Employment increased by 34,700 to 12,926,900 persons. Full-time employment decreased by 15,500 to 8,818,000 persons and part-time employment increased by 50,200 to 4,108,900 persons."
  • "Unemployment rate increased by less than 0.1 pts to 5.3%."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Employment Change news event

AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia Employment Change news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase: 

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.10.01 09:45

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBA Cash Rate, Rate Statement and range price movement 

2019-10-01 04:30 GMT | [AUD - Cash Rate]

  • past data is 1.00%
  • forecast data is 0.75%
  • actual data is 0.75% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.

==========

From official report :

  • "At its meeting today, the Board decided to lower the cash rate by 25 basis points to 0.75 per cent."
  • "The Board took the decision to lower interest rates further today to support employment and income growth and to provide greater confidence that inflation will be consistent with the medium-term target. The economy still has spare capacity and lower interest rates will help make inroads into that. The Board also took account of the forces leading to the trend to lower interest rates globally and the effects this trend is having on the Australian economy and inflation outcomes."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA  Cash Rate news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:


Good support on the AUDUSD around the 0.6676 level once again. The pair pulls back above the 0.6700 level and it could try to visit the 0.6800 zone.
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