Core Retail Sales m/m show changes in the volume of US retail sales in the given month compared to the previous month. Auto sales are excluded from calculation due to high volatility.
The calculation takes into account two types of retail companies: stores with fixed points of sale and without them (using paper and electronic catalogs, mobile stands, home-based sales, vending machines, etc.).
The indicator is calculated based on a written survey of nearly 12,000 retailers of all types and sizes across the nation. The sample is updated quarterly to include new emerging companies and to exclude closed ones.
The indicator has high seasonal volatility: thus, 20% of all retail sales in the country occur during Christmas and New Year holidays. That is why, economists usually interpret a seasonally adjusted version of the indicator, instead of the "raw" one.
Analysts widely use the indicator to evaluate the nation's economy conditions.
The release of the Retail Sales is one of important factors, which may affect dollar quotes. A slowdown in the growth of retail sales shows that consumers have reduced their spending level. This may lead to a decline in economic activity and have a negative effect on dollar quotes.
The chart of the entire available history of the "United States Core Retail Sales m/m" macroeconomic indicator. The dashed line shows the forecast values of the economic indicator for the specified dates.
A significant deviation of a real value from a forecast one may cause a short-term strengthening or weakening of a national currency in the Forex market. The threshold values of the indicators signaling the approach of the critical state of the national (local) economy occupy a special place.
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