United States Core Retail Sales m/m

Country:
United States
USD, US dollar
Source:
Sector:
Consumer
Medium -0.1% 0.3%
0.2%
Last release Importance Actual Forecast
Previous
0.3%
-0.1%
Next release Actual Forecast
Previous
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Core Retail Sales m/m show changes in the volume of US retail sales in the given month compared to the previous month. Auto sales are excluded from calculation due to high volatility.

The calculation takes into account two types of retail companies: stores with fixed points of sale and without them (using paper and electronic catalogs, mobile stands, home-based sales, vending machines, etc.).

The indicator is calculated based on a written survey of nearly 12,000 retailers of all types and sizes across the nation. The sample is updated quarterly to include new emerging companies and to exclude closed ones.

The indicator has high seasonal volatility: thus, 20% of all retail sales in the country occur during Christmas and New Year holidays. That is why, economists usually interpret a seasonally adjusted version of the indicator, instead of the "raw" one.

Analysts widely use the indicator to evaluate the nation's economy conditions.

  • The Bureau of Economic Analysis uses this data in GDP calculation.
  • The Bureau of Labor Statistics applies retail sales data when preparing consumer price indices.
  • The Fed uses this indicator to assess the structure of consumer purchases in the context of general analysis of the country's economic activity.
  • Investors use data in the evaluation of customer activity.

The release of the Retail Sales is one of important factors, which may affect dollar quotes. A slowdown in the growth of retail sales shows that consumers have reduced their spending level. This may lead to a decline in economic activity and have a negative effect on dollar quotes.

Last values:

actual data

forecast

The chart of the entire available history of the "United States Core Retail Sales m/m" macroeconomic indicator. The dashed line shows the forecast values ​​of the economic indicator for the specified dates.

A significant deviation of a real value from a forecast one may cause a short-term strengthening or weakening of a national currency in the Forex market. The threshold values ​​of the indicators signaling the approach of the critical state of the national (local) economy occupy a special place.

Date (GMT)
Reference
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Sep 2018
-0.1%
0.3%
0.2%
Aug 2018
0.3%
0.3%
0.9%
Jul 2018
0.6%
0.3%
0.2%
Jun 2018
0.4%
0.2%
1.4%
May 2018
0.9%
0.2%
0.4%
Apr 2018
0.3%
0.2%
0.4%
Mar 2018
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
Feb 2018
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
Jan 2018
0.0%
0.2%
0.1%
Dec 2017
0.4%
0.2%
1.3%
Nov 2017
1.0%
0.2%
0.4%
Oct 2017
0.1%
0.2%
1.2%
Sep 2017
1.0%
0.1%
0.5%
Aug 2017
0.2%
0.1%
0.4%
Jul 2017
0.5%
0.1%
0.1%
Jun 2017
-0.2%
0.1%
-0.3%
May 2017
-0.3%
0.1%
0.4%
Apr 2017
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Mar 2017
0.0%
0.0%
Feb 2017
0.2%
1.2%
Jan 2017
0.8%
0.4%
Dec 2016
0.2%
0.3%
Nov 2016
0.2%
0.6%
Oct 2016
0.8%
0.7%
Sep 2016
0.5%
-0.2%
Aug 2016
-0.1%
-0.4%
Jul 2016
-0.3%
0.9%
Jun 2016
0.7%
0.4%
May 2016
0.4%
0.8%
Apr 2016
0.8%
0.2%
Mar 2016
0.2%
0.0%
Feb 2016
-0.1%
-0.4%
Jan 2016
0.1%
0.1%
Dec 2015
-0.1%
0.3%
Nov 2015
0.4%
0.1%
Oct 2015
0.2%
-0.4%
Sep 2015
-0.3%
-0.1%
Aug 2015
0.1%
0.6%
Jul 2015
0.4%
0.4%
Jun 2015
-0.1%
0.8%
May 2015
1.0%
0.1%
Apr 2015
0.1%
0.7%
Mar 2015
0.4%
-0.1%
Feb 2015
0.0%
-0.9%
Jan 2015
-1.1%
-1.0%
Dec 2014
-0.9%
0.5%
Nov 2014
0.5%
0.3%
Oct 2014
0.4%
-0.2%
Sep 2014
0.0%
0.3%
Aug 2014
0.3%
0.1%

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