Articles on machine learning in trading

This is a continuation of the previous article considering the idea of social groups. The article explores the evolution of social groups using movement and memory algorithms. The results will help to understand the evolution of social systems and apply them in optimization and search for solutions.

In this article we explore different ways in which the eigenvectors and eigenvalues can be applied in exploratory data analysis to reveal unique relationships in data.

This article builds the foundation layer of a twelve-part MQL5 market microstructure toolkit. It implements guarded math helpers (SafeDivide, SafeLog, SafeSqrt, SafeExp, SafeTanh), robust data validation (ValidateSymbolV2, SafeCopyClose), trimmed statistical estimators (robust mean var), a linear regression slope, shared structs, and an FFT. You compile a single include file that hardens indicators and expert advisors against silent numerical failures and standardizes data flow for later parts.

The article presents the Artificial Showering Algorithm (ASHA), a new metaheuristic method developed for solving general optimization problems. Based on simulation of water flow and accumulation processes, this algorithm constructs the concept of an ideal field, in which each unit of resource (water) is called upon to find an optimal solution. We will find out how ASHA adapts flow and accumulation principles to efficiently allocate resources in a search space, and see its implementation and test results.

The article considers an optimization method based on the principles of the body's immune system - Micro Artificial Immune System (Micro-AIS) - a modification of AIS. Micro-AIS uses a simpler model of the immune system and simple immune information processing operations. The article also discusses the advantages and disadvantages of Micro-AIS compared to conventional AIS.

In this article, we explore the challenge of understanding how AI works. AI models often make decisions in ways that are hard to explain, leading to what's known as the "disagreement problem". This issue is key to making AI more transparent and trustworthy.

In this article we make the case for pairing the Discrete Fourier Transform with a Spiking Neural Network in a Trading Robot. The Fourier Transform helps represent data as oscillations instead of its raw values. To govern how we interpret these cycles, we engage a Spiking Neural Network that unlike regular networks, uses time dependent electrical charges to accumulate potential and only "spike" when a target threshold is met. Combining these two engines allows us better control on the timing of discrete market movements, that in theory should give us entry signals with rigorous mathematical confirmation.

In this section, we will look at the implementation of the key interfaces of the library of Gaussian processes in MQL5: IKernel, ILikelihood, and IInference. We will also demonstrate its operation on synthetic data and implement indicators for classification and regression, demonstrating its operation in online mode - with retraining of the model on each new bar.

A detailed guide on how to create a heat map indicator for MetaTrader 5 that visualizes the price distribution over time. The article reveals the mathematical basis of time density analysis, where each price level is colored from red (minimum stay time) to blue (maximum stay time).

In this article, we present the Arithmetic Optimization Algorithm (AOA) based on simple arithmetic operations: addition, subtraction, multiplication and division. These basic mathematical operations serve as the foundation for finding optimal solutions to various problems.

Applying Python session boundaries to MQL5 broker timestamps misclassifies session membership by two to three hours on any non-UTC broker, corrupting session flags across the full backtest history. We implement CTimeFeatures.mqh, containing CRingBuffer and CTimeFeatures, with three EA-facing methods: Initialize (UTC offset capture and frequency gate configuration), Update (log return push to session-conditional ring buffers), and Calculate (cyclical encoding, session flags, and session volatility). The output is a flat double array drop-compatible with Python's get_time_features for sub-hourly, hourly, and daily timeframes.

A detailed guide on how to create a heat map indicator for MetaTrader 5 that visualizes the price distribution over time. The article reveals the mathematical basis of time density analysis, where each price level is colored from red (minimum stay time) to blue (maximum stay time).

We invite you to explore the Actor-Director-Critic framework, which combines hierarchical learning and a multi-component architecture for creating adaptive trading strategies. In this article, we take a detailed look at how using the Director to classify the Actor's actions helps to effectively optimize trading decisions and improve the robustness of models in financial market conditions.

The article presents the revolutionary architecture of PatchTST, a tailored transformer for financial time series analysis that breaks market data into 16-bar patches for efficient processing. We will discuss the full implementation of a trading robot in MQL5 covering everything from mathematical fundamentals and data structures to a ready-made EA with risk management and continuous learning systems.

This article shows how to configure a black-box model to automatically uncover strong trading strategies using a data-driven approach. By using Mutual Information to prioritize the most learnable signals, we can build smarter and more adaptive models that outperform conventional methods. Readers will also learn to avoid common pitfalls like overreliance on surface-level metrics, and instead develop strategies rooted in meaningful statistical insight.

RSI accumulates losses in trending conditions by firing at every threshold crossing regardless of market regime. A Random Forest secondary classifier trained on 12 contextual features — RSI momentum slope, EMA50 trend velocity, ATR-normalised trend stretch, and nine others — filters raw signals and scales position size by classifier confidence on EURUSD H1. Results compare plain RSI, meta-filtered RSI, and bet-sized RSI across a 16-month out-of-sample period with per-trade metrics and drawdown diagnostics.

Our next focus in these series on ideas that can be rapidly prototyped with the MQL5 Wizard, is a Custom Trailing class that uses the Blooming Filter. Trailing Stop systems are an optional but very resourceful part to any trading system that we want to explore more in these series besides the traditional Entry Signals.

In this article, we will get acquainted with an algorithm that uses closed-form policy improvement operators to optimize Agent actions in offline mode.

We bridge Python-native artifacts to MQL5 for tick-accurate CPCV backtesting. The export script converts the ONNX model, calibrator, feature spec, and path masks to flat files, while the expert advisor rebuilds features, performs ONNX inference with calibration, and trades on real ticks. The Strategy Tester runs each combinatorial path, and Python aggregates per-path equities into a path Sharpe distribution to assess robustness after spread, slippage, and commission.

We continue to implement the DA-CG-LSTM framework, which offers innovative methods for time series analysis and forecasting. The use of CG-LSTM and dual attention allows for more accurate detection of both long-term and short-term dependencies in data, which is particularly useful for working with financial markets.

In offline learning, we use a fixed dataset, which limits the coverage of environmental diversity. During the learning process, our Agent can generate actions beyond this dataset. If there is no feedback from the environment, how can we be sure that the assessments of such actions are correct? Maintaining the Agent's policy within the training dataset becomes an important aspect to ensure the reliability of training. This is what we will talk about in this article.

The article presents a new approach to solving optimization problems by combining ideas from bacterial foraging optimization (BFO) algorithms and techniques used in the genetic algorithm (GA) into a hybrid BFO-GA algorithm. It uses bacterial swarming to globally search for an optimal solution and genetic operators to refine local optima. Unlike the original BFO, bacteria can now mutate and inherit genes.

In this article we present the implementation of a feature selection algorithm described in an academic paper titled,"FREL: A stable feature selection algorithm", called Feature weighting as regularized energy based learning.

We implement Ehlers-style DSP filters in a single reusable MQL5 library and use it to build two indicators. The Roofing Filter applies a 2‑pole high‑pass followed by a Super Smoother to isolate the tradeable 10–48‑bar band. The Even Better Sinewave normalizes the wave to about ±1, oscillating in cycle regimes and railing in trends, so you can read cycles and detect regime shifts in charts and EAs.

Secrets of effective optimization of trading strategies in metaheuristic approaches. Community of Scientists Optimization is a new population-based algorithm inspired by the mechanisms of the scientific community. Unlike traditional nature-inspired metaphors, CoSO models unique aspects of human scientific activity: publishing results in journals, competing for grants, and forming research teams.