Minibull gold vs indices shift ratio edge

BullBOP13 — Balance of Powers | Gold vs US Indices


Don't predict the market. Survive it


BullBOP13 detects temporary divergences between Gold (XAUUSD) and three US equity indices (NAS100, US500, US30). When 3 of 4 assets move in one direction and 1 moves opposite, the outlier is experiencing a "fake move" that tends to reverse.

FakeOut Detector


HOW IT WORKS — 4-Layer Signal Filter:

1. Phase Filter — D1 timeframe regime analysis (Aligned / Diverging / Strong Divergence)

2. Fake Move Detection — 3-to-1 rule: 3 assets agree, 1 diverges = signal on the outlier

3. Ratio Reversal — Gold/Index ratios with EMA + standard deviation bands confirm divergence is turning

4. Price Confirmation — MA deviation of the fake mover must be decreasing


A signal fires ONLY when all 4 layers agree simultaneously.


FEATURES:

• Subwindow ratio chart with EMA and ±1/±2 SD Bollinger bands (color-coded)

• BUY/SELL arrows when all 4 conditions trigger

• Interactive panel: prices, MA deviations, ratio SD levels, 6-timeframe phase analysis (MN1→M30)

• Ratio selector: switch between Gold/NDX, Gold/SPX, Gold/US30 views

• Auto-generated market commentary (Big / Mid / Fast)

• Collapsible panel — full dashboard or compact mode

• 7-step broker-agnostic symbol detection — works with any naming convention

• Graceful degradation — never crashes if a symbol is missing

• Push + email alerts on signals and phase changes

• Non-repainting signals — all 4 conditions evaluated on closed bars only (shift=1)


SIGNAL QUALITY (validated via companion EA backtest):

• Forward test (Sep 2025 → Feb 2026): 61.5% win rate on M5, 56.3% on H1

• BUY signals outperform SELL across all configurations (67% vs 55% WR)

• Strongest during sharp dislocations: Liberation Day crash 100% WR, Japan Carry Trade 88% WR


REQUIREMENTS:

• Broker must offer XAUUSD + NAS100 + US500 + US30 (any naming convention)

• Works on any chart/timeframe — panel always monitors all 4 assets


Best on XAUUSD H1 or M5 for signal generation. Use as a deviation detector and mean-reversion signal — not a trend indicator.


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