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Sergey Golubev, 2018.02.10 08:36
Dollar Index - weekly ranging bearish; 88.25 support is the key (based on the article)
Weekly price is on bearish ranging below Ichimoku cloud and within the following s/r levels:
Descending triangle pattern was formed by the price to be crossed to below, thus - most likely scenario for the next month price movement is the following: the primary bearish trend will be continuing with the secondary ranging way.
The chart was made on W1 timeframe with Ichimoku market condition setup (MT5) from this post (free to download for indicators and template) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:
MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
In the above image, I have cycled the indicator that I am interested in with yellow color and in the image below is the Asctrend that I am not interested in
The indicator which you have circled, I think it one of the stochastic arrow indicator, you can search for it within the forum
Sergey Golubev, 2018.02.22 21:48
Dollar Index - strong weekly bearish trend; 88.15 is the key (based on the article)
Weekly price broke Ichimoku cloud to below for the bearish reversal: the price is testing 88.15 support level to below for the bearish trend to be continuing
Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:
Same system for MT4:
Sergey Golubev, 2018.02.27 18:19
Intra-Day Fundamentals - Dollar Index, AUD/USD and USD/CNH: U.S. Durable Goods Orders
2018-02-27 13:30 GMT | [USD - Durable Goods Orders]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for USD in our case)
[USD - Durable Goods Orders] = Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods.
From rttnews article :
Dollar Index M5: range price movement by Durable Goods Orders news events
AUD/USD M5: range price movement by Durable Goods Orders news events
USD/CNH M5: range price movement by by Durable Goods Orders news events
Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:
All about BrainTrading system for MT5:
BrainTrending indicators to download with template.
Rules to trade manually
How to install
Sergey Golubev, 2018.03.04 08:16
Weekly Fundamental Forecast for Dollar Index (based on the article)
Dollar Index - "It’s been a chaotic and somewhat climactic week for the US Dollar. The Greenback started the week by extending last week’s jump; and that strength largely remained until we got to Thursday. The big driver behind the Dollar appeared to be the testimony from incoming Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday; as he talked down the prospect of the ‘Fed put’ while also implying that we may get as many as four rate hikes out of the United States this year. Stocks did not like this implication, and US equities traded lower thereafter; but it was the perk in the Dollar that really seemed to get attention across FX markets as there appeared to be a very legitimate chance of the Greenback breaking its year-long slump that’s seen as much as 15% of its value erased."
The chart was made on Metatrader 5 using HWAFM tool pattern tool from this post.
Sergey Golubev, 2018.03.14 18:48
There was one high impacted news event: U.S. Core Retail Sales Previous value was 0.1% (reviced from the past one), and the actual value was 0.2% which is same or less as forecasting value but anyway - it is more than the previous one.There were some other high impacted news events on this time so the price was moved to the USD side because.
Example with EUR/USD: the price was bounced from 200-SMA to below for the bearish area of the chart (this is intra-day M5 chart).
Example with the Dollar Index: the price on M5 chart broke 200-SMA to above for the reversal to the bullish market condition with 89.87 resistance level to be testing for the bullish trend to be continuing.
This is just the example about how the high impacted events can move the price on intra-day basus for example.
Sergey Golubev, 2018.03.17 11:48
Dollar Index - "A week marked by seesaw price action ended with a spirited push higher for the US Dollar. The rally was especially notable in that it occurred without an obvious fundamental catalyst. The week’s top data point of interest was February’s CPI print. The headline inflation rate printed exactly in line with forecasts at 2.2 percent, which eased worries about Fed rate hike acceleration and sent the greenback lower. A weekly bottom started taking shape a mere five hours later however, from which it rallied into Friday’s close.
The US currency’s preemptive rally telegraphs the markets’ concern with such an outcome. Momentum will probably slow ahead of the announcement, with traders unwilling to commit until after it hits the wires. When that happens, fireworks are likely. The Fed’s primacy in shaping trends coupled with a tame docket in the days thereafter also means follow-through faces few obstacles. Indeed, short work was made of Rex Tillerson’s actual ouster from the Trump administration and H.R. McMaster’s rumored one last week."
Sergey Golubev, 2018.03.24 13:40
Dollar Index - "US politics triggered brutal bloodletting across financial markets last week, handing the bellwether S&P 500 stock index its biggest loss in over two years. A staff reshuffle at the White House purged moderating voices on the foreign policy front shortly after the same fate befell the economics team, surrounding President Trump with a cadre of enablers encouraging his most bellicose tendencies. The exit of top economic advisor Gary Cohn in opposition to tariffs that Mr Trump levied on steel and aluminum imports paved the way for still more protectionism. This time, the President slapped China with tariffs of up to $60 billion as punishment for alleged intellectual property theft, which Beijing promptly promised to counter with duties of their own. Incoming economic data is unlikely to help the greenback remedy this conflict. A revision of fourth-quarter GDP data is expected to see thegrowth upgraded from 2.5 to 2.7 percent. Meanwhile, the Fed’s favored PCE inflation gauge is forecast hit 1.6 percent in February, the highest in 11 months. These outcomes will reinforce the FOMC’s cautious optimism, but that is probably the extent of their significance."
Sergey Golubev, 2018.04.02 16:41
Intra-Day Fundamentals - Dollar Index, Brent Crude Oil and EUR/USD: ISM United States Manufacturing PMI
2018-04-02 15:00 GMT | [USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI]
[USD - Durable Goods Orders] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.
From official report :
Dollar Index M1: range price movement by ISM United States Manufacturing PMI news events
Brent Crude Oil M1: range price movement by ISM United States Manufacturing PMI news events
EUR/USD M5: range price movement by ISM United States Manufacturing PMI news events
Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:
Same systems for MT4/MT5:
Sergey Golubev, 2018.04.07 18:22
Dollar Index - "The big items on the macro-economic calendar for next week both take place on Wednesday, with March inflation numbers released early in the US morning and meeting minutes from the Fed’s March rate hike being released later in the day. We have one additional high impact USD print on the calendar for next Friday, with the April release of University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Numbers. Next week also ushers in earning season out of the US as many US corporates release first quarter performance numbers."