United States Core Producer Price Index (PPI) y/y

Country:
United States
USD, US dollar
Sector:
Prices
Low 2.5% 2.4%
2.3%
Last release Importance Actual Forecast
Previous
2.3%
2.5%
Next release Actual Forecast
Previous
  • Overview
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  • History
  • Widget

Core Producer Price Index (PPI) y/y shows changes in selling prices received by domestic producers of goods and services in the specified month compared to the same month of the previous year. PPI shows price changes from the manufacturer perspective. Food and energy are excluded from the core index calculation due to their high volatility.

Index calculation includes all sectors of US industry, which produce physical goods, including commodity markets. In the production sector, the calculation takes into account producers' prices in the mining and manufacturing industries, agriculture, construction, etc. In the services sector, the PPI calculation program covers approximately 72% of data from trade, health, transportation, warehousing, media, financial and insurance sectors, etc. Unlike the Consumer Price Index, PPI does not include prices for imported goods.

Data for the index is collected based on a survey of more than 25,000 companies of different types and sizes across the nation, which are included in a statistically representative sample.

The producer price index is calculated in relation to the base year (today it is 1982), in which the index is equal to 100. All subsequent changes in prices are calculated in relation to this benchmark. Different weights for different industries are used in calculation. Weights are adjusted every few years.

PPI is considered a leading indicator of consumer prices and of inflation. It is a more accurate preliminary indicator, if compared to CPI (Consumer Price Index): if producer prices grow, consumer prices are expected to grow accordingly. These two indicators are closely correlated. The Fed closely monitors CPI to prepare its inflationary forecasts.

Some of PPI components are used for the calculation of the GDP Price Index.

PPI growth almost always indicates inflation growth, which is usually seen as positive for the US dollar.

Last values:

actual data

forecast

The chart of the entire available history of the "United States Core Producer Price Index (PPI) y/y" macroeconomic indicator. The dashed line shows the forecast values ​​of the economic indicator for the specified dates.

A significant deviation of a real value from a forecast one may cause a short-term strengthening or weakening of a national currency in the Forex market. The threshold values ​​of the indicators signaling the approach of the critical state of the national (local) economy occupy a special place.

Date (GMT)
Reference
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Sep 2018
2.5%
2.4%
2.3%
Aug 2018
2.3%
2.6%
2.7%
Jul 2018
2.7%
2.6%
2.8%
Jun 2018
2.8%
2.5%
2.4%
May 2018
2.4%
2.7%
2.3%
Apr 2018
2.3%
2.4%
2.7%
Mar 2018
2.7%
2.1%
2.5%
Feb 2018
2.5%
2.0%
2.2%
Jan 2018
2.2%
2.5%
2.3%
Dec 2017
2.3%
2.7%
2.4%
Nov 2017
2.4%
2.5%
2.4%
Oct 2017
2.4%
2.0%
2.2%
Sep 2017
2.2%
1.7%
2.0%
Aug 2017
2.0%
1.5%
1.8%
Jul 2017
1.8%
1.8%
1.9%
Jun 2017
1.9%
2.2%
2.1%
May 2017
2.1%
2.0%
1.9%
Apr 2017
1.9%
1.7%
1.6%
Mar 2017
1.6%
1.5%
Feb 2017
1.5%
1.2%
Jan 2017
1.2%
1.6%
Dec 2016
1.6%
1.6%
Nov 2016
1.6%
1.2%
Oct 2016
1.2%
1.2%
Sep 2016
1.2%
1.0%
Aug 2016
1.0%
0.7%
Jul 2016
0.7%
1.3%
Jun 2016
1.3%
1.2%
May 2016
1.2%
0.9%
Apr 2016
0.9%
1.0%
Mar 2016
1.0%
1.2%
Feb 2016
1.2%
0.6%
Jan 2016
0.6%
0.3%
Dec 2015
0.3%
0.5%
Nov 2015
0.5%
0.1%
Oct 2015
0.1%
0.8%
Sep 2015
0.8%
0.9%
Aug 2015
0.9%
0.6%
Jul 2015
0.6%
0.8%
Jun 2015
0.8%
0.6%
May 2015
0.6%
0.8%
Apr 2015
0.8%
0.9%
Mar 2015
0.9%
1.0%
Feb 2015
1.0%
1.6%
Jan 2015
1.6%
2.1%
Dec 2014
2.1%
1.8%
Nov 2014
1.8%
1.8%
Oct 2014
1.8%
1.6%
Sep 2014
1.6%
1.8%
Aug 2014
1.8%
1.6%

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