Halifax United Kingdom House Price Index (HPI) m/m

Country:
United Kingdom
GBP, Pound sterling
Source:
Sector:
Housing
Medium -1.0% 0.1%
0.3%
Last release Importance Actual Forecast
Previous
0.1%
-1.0%
Next release Actual Forecast
Previous
  • Overview
  • Chart
  • History
  • Widget

Halifax House Price Index (HPI) m/m demonstrates a change in the price of homes and properties in the given month compared to the previous month. It is calculated by the largest UK mortgage lender Halifax Bank of Scotland (HBOS), based on long-term data series. Monthly mortgage property price data statistic goes back to 1983. This long-term data is used to calculate a "standardized" house price and measure its changes.

A house price depends on its characteristics, including physical properties (size and number of rooms), as well as the type of district the house is located in. Therefore, the average house cost is calculated using a hedonic regression rather than a simple arithmetic mean. This allows calculating the price of an average "typical" UK house and its change over time. This "typical" house does not physically exist; it represents a certain model with given characteristics, which, in turn, are used in a mathematical formula.

HPI information is derived from Halifax lending data. Property transactions paid by cash are not included in the sample data. The index is seasonally adjusted, because winter months tend to see weaker price rises and spring/summer see higher increases due to market activity changes.

Halifax Housing Price Index is an alternative inflation index in the UK housing market. Its advantage over the HPI provided by the Office for National Statistics is a deeper data sampling (monthly price change statistics have been collected since 1983). The weak point is the limited data source (only mortgage loans issued by Halifax, no cash transactions).

The index growth can be seen as positive for the pound quotes since it indicates an inflationary increase in the property market.

Last values:

actual data

forecast

The chart of the entire available history of the "Halifax United Kingdom House Price Index (HPI) m/m" macroeconomic indicator. The dashed line shows the forecast values ​​of the economic indicator for the specified dates.

A significant deviation of a real value from a forecast one may cause a short-term strengthening or weakening of a national currency in the Forex market. The threshold values ​​of the indicators signaling the approach of the critical state of the national (local) economy occupy a special place.

Date (GMT)
Reference
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Mar 2024
-1.0%
0.1%
0.3%
Feb 2024
0.4%
-0.1%
1.2%
Jan 2024
1.3%
-0.6%
1.1%
Dec 2023
1.1%
-0.1%
0.6%
Nov 2023
0.5%
-0.2%
1.2%
Oct 2023
1.1%
-0.3%
-0.3%
Sep 2023
-0.4%
-0.3%
-1.8%
Aug 2023
-1.9%
-0.2%
-0.4%
Jul 2023
-0.3%
-0.1%
-0.1%
Jun 2023
-0.1%
-0.1%
-0.2%
May 2023
0.0%
0.0%
-0.4%
Apr 2023
-0.3%
0.2%
0.8%
Mar 2023
0.8%
0.2%
1.2%
Feb 2023
1.1%
0.4%
0.2%
Jan 2023
0.0%
0.4%
-1.3%
Dec 2022
-1.5%
0.1%
-2.4%
Nov 2022
-2.3%
0.9%
-0.4%
Oct 2022
-0.4%
1.2%
-0.1%
Sep 2022
-0.1%
0.5%
0.3%
Aug 2022
0.4%
1.5%
-0.1%
Jul 2022
-0.1%
0.9%
1.4%
Jun 2022
1.8%
0.8%
1.2%
May 2022
1.0%
1.0%
1.2%
Apr 2022
1.1%
0.8%
1.5%
Mar 2022
1.4%
0.4%
0.8%
Feb 2022
0.5%
1.1%
0.2%
Jan 2022
0.3%
0.7%
1.1%
Dec 2021
1.1%
0.7%
1.1%
Nov 2021
1.0%
0.6%
1.0%
Oct 2021
0.9%
0.4%
1.7%
Sep 2021
1.7%
0.8%
0.7%
Aug 2021
0.7%
0.4%
0.4%
Jul 2021
0.4%
0.8%
-0.6%
Jun 2021
-0.5%
0.8%
1.2%
May 2021
1.3%
0.7%
1.5%
Apr 2021
1.4%
0.8%
1.1%
Mar 2021
1.1%
0.4%
0.0%
Feb 2021
-0.1%
0.6%
-0.4%
Jan 2021
-0.3%
0.8%
0.0%
Dec 2020
0.2%
0.3%
1.0%
Nov 2020
1.2%
0.5%
0.3%
Oct 2020
0.3%
0.3%
1.5%
Sep 2020
1.6%
0.6%
1.7%
Aug 2020
1.6%
0.3%
1.7%
Jul 2020
1.6%
0.3%
0.0%
Jun 2020
-0.1%
0.5%
-0.2%
May 2020
-0.2%
-0.4%
-0.6%
Apr 2020
-0.6%
0.3%
-0.3%
Mar 2020
0.0%
0.2%
0.2%
Feb 2020
0.3%
-0.6%
0.4%

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