Alpha Trend Signal Pro
- Indicators
- Version: 1.1
- Activations: 5
Trend arrows with a stop-loss for every signal, and a statistics panel that scores every past signal the way it would really have traded: next-bar entry, spread charged, stop assumed first when a bar touches both. No repaint, no hindsight, no hidden losers. If the signal does not work on your symbol, the panel tells you before your money does.
Every arrow indicator looks perfect on a screenshot. Alpha Trend Signal shows you the bill as well.
WHAT YOU SEE
- Trend line (blue up, red down) built from ATR, the classic "Supertrend" idea
- Buy / sell arrow when the trend flips, decided on the CLOSED bar only
- Stop loss (red dots) and optional take profit (green dots) for every signal
- Statistics panel: number of signals, win rate, average result in R, profit factor and total R over the last N bars, after spread
- Open-trade line: entry, stop, target and how many R it is up or down right now
HOW EACH PAST SIGNAL IS SCORED
- Entry at the open of the bar after the arrow
- Stop = trend line at the signal bar; target = RR x risk (or none)
- Exit early on the opposite flip
- Spread charged on every trade (the larger of the bar's spread and the current spread)
- If one bar touches both stop and target, the stop counts
OUR OWN TEST, BEFORE YOU BUY
H1 bars, 2010-2026, ATR 10 x 3, default settings (200 MA filter, exit on the opposite signal), compared with random entries using the same stops:
- Gold (XAUUSD): +0.10 R per trade after spread, beat random in both 2010-2017 and 2018-2026. Works.
- Bitcoin (2018+): +0.12 R per trade. Works.
- USDJPY: +0.07 R per trade overall, but almost all of it from 2022-2024 and negative since 2025. Mixed.
- EURUSD, GBPUSD: about 0 after spread. Does not beat costs.
- NAS100: negative after spread. Does not beat costs.
Other timeframes were not tested: check the panel on your own symbol and timeframe.
Two things we learned and built into the defaults: trend signals pay on markets that trend (gold, crypto) and not on mean-reverting majors; and a fixed take profit cuts off the big trends that pay for the losers, so the default exits on the opposite signal instead. The win rate is about 35%, which is normal for trend following: the winners are larger than the losers. The edge is small, so losing stretches of many trades are normal. Past results do not guarantee future results.
SETTINGS
- ATR period (10)
- ATR multiplier (3.0): higher = fewer, longer trends
- Take profit, x risk (0 = exit on the opposite signal)
- Trend filter: trade only in the direction of this moving average (200, 0 = off)
- Bars scored in the statistics panel (10000): keep it large. Even on gold, where the signal works, about one 2,000-bar stretch in three ends negative
- Alerts: off, popup, push to phone, email
- Colours for up and down
FOR EA DEVELOPERS
iCustom buffers: 0 trend line, 1 line colour, 2 buy arrow, 3 sell arrow, 4 stop loss, 5 take profit. Values on closed bars never change.
Works on any symbol and timeframe.
Pairs well with Alpha Regime Meter (direction and volatility context) and Alpha Swing Levels (structure levels for stops and trailing).
