MQL5 Programs Market

A Sharpe ratio read off the best of many optimization runs is not the number it looks like. This article ships a reusable native CDeflatedSharpe class that turns a raw Sharpe into an honest confidence statement. The Probabilistic Sharpe Ratio corrects it for sample length and for skew and kurtosis; the Deflated Sharpe Ratio adds the correction almost nobody applies, for the number of variants you tried before keeping the best. Everything is from scratch, the sample moments, the normal CDF and its inverse included, so there is no Python, no DLL and no library. On a real sweep of 56 moving-average variants on XAUUSD the winner looked significant at 98.5 percent by PSR, then fell to 90.6 percent once the 56 trials were admitted, below the usual bar. That gap is the selection bias, made measurable.

This article implements an MQL5 Expert Advisor that scores each impulse leg behind a swing extreme with a 0–100 Candle Imbalance Score. The score combines four bounded components—body dominance, directional consistency, leg efficiency, and Fair Value Gap coverage—to filter weak swings before any pullback setup is armed. You will see enforced swing alternation, a state machine for first-clean-retest-only entries, and a three-mode trailing stop, enabling consistent setup selection and exit management.

The article provides a detailed examination of the integration of the ST-Expert framework's approaches into the Extralonger architecture, which enables the simultaneous analysis of temporal and spatial representations of data. The results of testing on real historical data are presented, demonstrating the model's effectiveness and its robustness to market anomalies. The article describes the framework's modular structure, which ensures reproducibility, flexibility for research, and the ability to optimize components in stages.