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We have been suspicious of the action in USDCAD since the dramatic reversal on the FOMC decision last month. It was one of the widest daily ranges in years on some of the highest volume in years. A textbook sign of exhaustion – especially after just seeking out a new high...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 16 April 2015, 22:11 #resistance, support
EUR/USD broke below the 78.6% retracement of the late-March range yesterday While below 1.0830 our near-term trend bias is lower in the euro The 127% extension of the 2005-2008 adavance around 1...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 15 April 2015, 12:11 #resistance, support
Starting with EUR/USD, GS notes that it peaked least week right underneath an important resistance area at 1.1052-1.1099, a region included the interim high (bearish key day reversal) from Mar. 26th , the interim low from Jan. 26th and the 55-dma...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 15 April 2015, 09:11 #Goldman Sachs
GBP/USD fell to its lowest level in almost 5 years on Monday before finding support near the 161.8% extension of the January to February advance near 1.4575 Our near-term trend bias is lower in Cable while below 1.4760 A move under 1...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 14 April 2015, 21:11 #resistance, support
Every now and again we like to step and take a look at where exchange rates stand in the longer-term scheme of things. USD/JPY remains an interesting chart in this context and partially explains the choppy range bound nature of trading in the pair since December...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 14 April 2015, 18:11 #resistance, support
The US Dollar looks poised to continue higher after clearing range resistance below the 0.98 figure against the Swiss Franc. A daily close above the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion at 0.9910 exposes the 1.0126-77 area (March 12 high, 38.2% level). Alternatively, a turn back below the 14...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 14 April 2015, 12:11 #price patterns, usdchf
The British pound was seen trading lower against the Japanese yen, as the latter one was bid across the board. Plus, the British also weakened in the short term igniting downside reaction in GBPUSD, GBPJPY...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 13 April 2015, 18:11 #technical analysis
Tenkan-sen line is located below Kijun-sen line of Ichimoku indicator with 1.4634 support level on W1 timeframe with good signal for the downtrend to be continuing...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 13 April 2015, 15:11 #resistance, support
EURUSD rolled over at slope resistance but several longer term technical observations are worthy of note; the rate found low at an important long term level (line off of 2008 and 2010 lows). The speculative crowd has never been more bearish…ever...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 13 April 2015, 12:11 #resistance, support
D1 price is on primary bearish with secondary breakdown for trying to cross 1...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 13 April 2015, 10:11 #resistance, support
US Dollar - "Patience may wear thin for those holding USD-long positions rather quickly; recent CFTC Commitment of Traders data showed large speculators were their most net-long US Dollar versus the Euro (short EUR/USD) on record...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 13 April 2015, 07:11 #dollar index
Tenkan-sen line is located below Kijun-sen line of Ichimoku indicator with 0.7189 support level and 0.7695 resistance level on W1 timeframe. AbsoluteStrength indicator and TrendStrength indicators are indicating the ranging market condition. “NZDUSD traded to the 61...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 12 April 2015, 21:11 #nzdusd, resistance, support
Tenkan-sen line is located below Kijun-sen line of Ichimoku indicator with 0.7532 support level on W1 timeframe. W1 price is ranging between 0.7532 support and 0.7937 resistance levels. AbsoluteStrength indicator and TrendStrength indicators are indicating the ranging bearish market condition...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 11 April 2015, 21:11 #resistance, support
Tenkan-sen line is located above Kijun-sen line of Ichimoku indicator with 2.6479 resistance level on W1 timeframe with good signal for uptrend on open W1 bar...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 11 April 2015, 15:33 #resistance, support
The key theme on the gold price chart are the two trading ranges since gold’s all time highs. One trading range started end of 2011 and lasted till early 2013, the second one is still in play. In technical terms, both trading ranges took the form of a descending triangle...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 7 April 2015, 09:11 #gold
US Dollar - "It is difficult to establish at what level the Dollar’s rally has over-reached its fair value as the Fed’s timetable contrasts its ECB and BoJ peers so definitively...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 6 April 2015, 15:11 #fundamental analysis, gold
D1 price is on trend reversal from bullish to the primary bearish started on open D1 bar: The price is breaking Senkou Span A line for reversal to be inside Ichimoku cloud/kumo for bearish ranging Chinkou Span line is crossing the price on open bar for good possible breakdown Nearest support leve...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 6 April 2015, 12:11 #fundamental analysis
2015-04-03 13:30 GMT (or 15:30 MQ MT5 time) | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] past data is 295K forecast data is 244K actual data is 126K according to the latest press release if actual > forecast (or previous data) = good for currency (for USD in our case...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 3 April 2015, 15:28 #fundamental analysis
US Dollar - "After the FOMC rate decision two weeks ago and Yellen’s remarks this past week, it is clear that the first hike is increasingly data dependent. That will emphasize the importance of significant fundamental developments in the rates picture...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 30 March 2015, 15:11 #fundamental analysis, gold
D1 price is on ranging bearish market condition: The price is located below Ichimoku cloud/kumo and far below Senkou Span A line Chinkou Span line is too far for any possible reversal of the price movement from bearish to the bullish Nearest support levels are 1...
Weekly Trends
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Sergey Golubev, 30 March 2015, 12:11 #technical analysis