Forecast and levels for Nikkei - page 5

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.02.03 15:54

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/CNH, EUR/USD and Nikkei 225: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2023-02-03 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

• past data is 260K
• forecast data is 193K
• actual data is 517K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

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From rttnews article :

"Job growth in the U.S. unexpectedly showed a substantial acceleration in the month of January, according to a closely watched report released by the Labor Department on Friday. The Labor Department said non-farm payroll employment soared by 517,000 jobs in January after surging by an upwardly revised 260,000 jobs in December."

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USD/CNH: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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EUR/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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Nikkei 225: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• ColorSchaffTriXTrendCycle - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5

Same system for MT4:

1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.06.15 07:57

Intra-Day Fundamentals - NZD/USD, GBP/USD and Nikkei 225 : Federal Funds Rate and FOMC Statement

2023-06-14 18:00 GMT | [USD - Federal Funds Rate]

• past data is 5.25%
• forecast data is 5.25%
• actual data is 5.25% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Federal Funds Rate] = Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight.

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From rttnews article :

"Following ten consecutive interest rate hikes, the Federal Reserve on Wednesday announced its widely expected decision to pause its rate increases. The Fed said it has decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 5 to 5.25 percent, marking the first time the central bank has left rates unchanged since January 2022."

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NZD/USD: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

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GBP/USD: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

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Nikkei 225 : range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

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The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:

• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Laguerre - indicator for MetaTrader 5 (as a part of Laguerre scalping system)

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.09.14 15:01

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/JPY, Dollar Index (DXY) and Nikkei 225 : United States Retail Sales

2023-09-14 12:30 GMT | [USD - Retail Sales]

• past data is 0.5%
• forecast data is 0.0%
• actual data is 0.6% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Retail Sales] = Change in the total value of sales at the retail level.

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From rttnews article :

"The Commerce Department released a report on Thursday showing U.S. retail sales increased by much more than expected in the month of August. The report said retail sales climbed by 0.6 percent in August after rising by a downwardly revised 0.5 percent in July."

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USD/JPY : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

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Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

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Nikkei 225 : range price movement by United States Retail Sales news events

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Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

• SilverTrend_Signal - indicator for MetaTrader 5
  
• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• custom color schemes for MT5 - post #525

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.01.05 17:06

Intra-Day Fundamentals - NZD/USD, AUD/USD and Nikkei 225: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2024-01-05 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

• past data is 199K
• forecast data is 1K
• actual data is 216K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

"Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 216,000 in December, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in government, health care, social assistance, and construction, while transportation and warehousing lost jobs."

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NZD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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AUD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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Nikkei 225: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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The chart was made on MT5 with the following indicator from CodeBase:

• Half Trend New Alert - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5