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newdigital, 2014.09.30 06:48
Trading the News: Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index (CPI) (based on dailyfx article)
A further slowdown in the Euro-Zone’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) may
prompt fresh monthly lows in the EUR/USD as it puts increased pressure
on the European Central Bank (ECB) to implement more non-standard
What’s Expected:Why Is This Event Important:
The ECB may continue to push monetary policy into uncharted territory as
the Governing Council struggles to achieve its one and only mandate to
deliver price stability, and the bearish sentiment surrounding the Euro
may gather pace throughout the remainder of the year amid the weakening
outlook for growth and inflation.The persistent slack in the real economy may paint a weakened outlook
for price growth, and a dismal CPI print may generate a bearish reaction
in the EUR/USD should the report highlight a greater threat for
deflation.However, the unprecedented steps taken by the ECB may help to mitigate
the downside risk for inflation, and a better-than-expected release may
generate a more meaningful rebound in the Euro as it curbs bets of
seeing a new wave of monetary support.
How To Trade This Event Risk
Bearish EUR Trade: Headline & Core CPI Highlight Greater Threat for Deflation
MetaTrader Trading Platform Screenshots
EURUSD, M5, 2014.09.30
MetaQuotes Software Corp., MetaTrader 5, Demo
EURUSD M5 : 68 pips price movement by EUR - CPI news event
Something Interesting in Financial Video March 2014
newdigital, 2014.03.03 16:19
Boosting RSI with the Modified Inverse Fisher Transform (MIFT) - Part 1
Upside price action can be in sharp contrast to what is experienced to
the downside. "The market goes down like an elevator but up like an
escalator," as prices tend to fall faster than they rise. At the same
time, technical indicators, such as the well-known Relative Strength
Index (RSI), treat rising prices the same as falling prices. Adjusting
the indicator distribution with the Modified Inverse Fisher Transform
(MIFT) helps to account for those differences and provides new trading
applications. This paper will introduce the TSLabs: Modified Inverse
Fisher Transform custom indicator with practical examples to explore and
apply in trading.
The article : Applying The Fisher Transform and Inverse Fisher Transform to Markets Analysis in MetaTrader 5
Indicators from MT5 CodeBase :
Market Condition Evaluation based on standard indicators in Metatrader 5
newdigital, 2013.09.01 21:06
This my post? red dotted lines are for possible sell stop trade, blue dotted lines are are possible buy stop ...
Anyway - I just copied some latest summary from this thread :
Market Condition Evaluation
story/thread was started from here/different thread
more to follow ...
MA Channel Stochastic system is here.
newdigital, 2014.03.04 10:58
Case shows slides about what strategies to use in high and low implied volatility situations. Her and Tom talk about how the market conditions affect the types of plays she makes.
newdigital, 2014.09.30 16:49
Next EUR/USD Leg Lower Begins; Trade Opportunities in EUR/AUD, EUR/GBP
economic data came out roundly weaker than expected today, and the
aftershocks have been felt throughout EUR-complex. The depth of impact
stemming from the disappointing preliminary September Euro-Zone CPI may
have to do with expectations for the core: +0.9% y/y was expected when
+0.7% y/y was delivered. The scope of disinflation widens.
the next few months, Euro-Zone CPI may start to bottom. For starters,
if it takes three to nine months for changes in interest rates and
exchange rates to impact an economy, then the EURUSD peak in early-May
is a good watermark to look back at; the window for peak drag on CPI by
FX is just about now.
newdigital, 2014.10.01 05:48
EUR/USD Downside Targets in Focus- Gold Eyes Key $1,179 Support
newdigital, 2014.10.01 12:34
Trading the News: U.S. ISM Manufacturing (based on dailyfx article)
A downtick in the ISM Manufacturing survey may generate a bearish dollar reaction (bullish EUR/USD) should the data print dampen the outlook for growth and inflation.
Why Is This Event Important:
At the same time, we will need to keep a close eye on the employment
component as the highly anticipated Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is
expected to show the U.S. economy adding another 217K jobs in September,
and a material downward revision in the key metrics may undermine the
bullish sentiment surrounding the greenback as it drags on interest rate
expectations.The dollar may face a near-term correction should the ongoing slack in
the real economy spur a marked slowdown in manufacturing, and a dismal
ISM print may prompt the Fed to further delay its normalization cycle as
Chair Janet Yellen remains reluctant to move away from the
zero-interest rate policy (ZIRP).Nevertheless, the resilience in private sector consumption may foster
another unexpected uptick in the manufacturing survey, and a
better-than-expected release may heighten the bullish sentiment
surrounding the dollar as it raises the Fed’s scope to implement a rate
hike sooner rather than later.
How To Trade This Event Risk
Bearish USD Trade: ISM Survey Narrows to 58.5 or Lower
Something Interesting in Financial Video January 2014
newdigital, 2014.01.19 07:43
is the 1st video in a series on economic reports created for all
markets, or for those who simply have an interest in economics. In this
and the next lesson, we cover the Employment Situation Report, also
known as Non Farm Payroll.
Non-farm Payrolls is the assessment of the total number of employees recorded in payrolls.
This is a very strong indicator
that shows the change in employment in the country. The growth of this
indicator characterizes the increase in employment and leads to the
growth of the dollar. It is considered an indicator tending to move the
market. There is a rule of thumb that an increase in its value by
200,000 per month equates to an increase in GDP by 3.0%.
FF forum economic calendar :
mql5 forum thread :
Non-Farm Employment Strategy
AUDUSD M5 with 45 pips in profit (by equity) for NFP :
EURUSD M5 : 87 pips price movement by NFP news event :
NZDUSD M5 : 37 pips price movement by USD - Non-Farm Employment Change :
Trading EURUSD during NFP :
newdigital, 2014.01.23 12:58
02: NON FARM PAYROLL (Part 2)- ECONOMIC REPORTS FOR ALL MARKETS
This is the second part of video lesson about nfp. The first part of the lesson is on this post :
newdigital, 2014.10.04 12:25
USDJPY Fundamentals (based on dailyfx article)
The Japanese Yen fell to fresh post-financial crisis lows versus the
surging US Dollar, but a clear slowdown the USDJPY rally warns that it’s
near an end. When might we buy?
The difficulty in trading the USDJPY is clear: recent data shows that
the trade is extremely crowded, and a sharp correction is possible if
not likely. Yet the US Dollar continues to defy our expectations and is
plowing higher across the board. We’ll need to wait for signs of
concrete turnaround before getting short USDJPY.
An upcoming Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting and Decision dominate
event risk for the Japanese Yen in the week ahead, while clear USD
outperformance keeps focus on a number of important US data releases.
See the full video for our take on what to expect, but in sum: we are
likely biding our time and keeping a very close eye on whether the
USDJPY breaks above ¥110.