Something Interesting in Financial Video October 2014 - page 2

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newdigital, 2014.10.06 06:58

Will the EURUSD continue to fall?

Technical Analysis (October 6, 2014). The EURUSD tumbled to support after better than expected Non-Farm Payroll. Will the trend continue in trading this week?



 

Trading Video: Dollar and S&P 500 Post-NFP Rallies Tripped Up

  • The bouyant growth and rate forecasts that lifted the Dollar and US equities Friday reversed Monday
  • Both the Euro and Yen can extend their respective tumbles, but motivation is tougher to fuel
  • Ahead, policy speculation will stir volatility for the Yen, Aussie dollar and Pound


 

EURUSD and USDJPY - One Risks Correction, The Other Reversal

Normally, the media and market participants are hyping the risk of reversal or volatility. It seems they under-appreciate it today. Both the US Dollar and equity indexes are standing on the edge of important technical levels - a break from the greenbacks three-month trend and the floor of a S&P 500 channel that stretches back to the beginning of 2013. Symbolic breaks for either of these two can tip large fundamental imbalances to trigger deeper trends. What is the potential this pressure represents? Which faces the larger unwind? Why does the USDJPY appeal through more scenarios while the medium-term EURUSD outlook is bearish even if the greenback slips? We discuss these topics in today's Trading Video.


 

How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio

Created by Ray Dalio this simple but not simplistic and easy to follow 30 minute, animated video answers the question, "How does the economy really work?" Based on Dalio's practical template for understanding the economy, which he developed over the course of his career, the video breaks down economic concepts like credit, deficits and interest rates, allowing viewers to learn the basic driving forces behind the economy, how economic policies work and why economic cycles occur.


 

Very interesting video about Algorithmic Trading.

 

 

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newdigital, 2014.10.11 18:47

USDJPY Fundamentals (based on dailyfx article)

Fundamental Forecast for Pound: Neutral


The Japanese Yen surged versus all major counterparts as the US S&P 500 saw its worst weekly decline in over two years. There’s little economic event risk out of Japan in the week ahead, but we think big things stand on the horizon for JPY pairs.



Traders pushed the Japanese Yen to fresh multi-year lows versus the US Dollar as broader financial markets soared, but a clear flight to safety warns that the JPY may soon regain favor. Typically we would favor the traditional safe-haven in the US Dollar through times of market turmoil.

Yet the clear fact is that speculators remain extremely short the Yen and long the dollar (long USDJPY). This in turn suggests that the Greenback could actually do poorly if we see further stock market tumbles and a broader deleveraging across leveraged assets.

A virtually empty Japanese economic calendar in the week ahead suggests that few expect major JPY moves. Our Senior Technical Strategist nonetheless warns that the USDJPY may be nearing a significant breakdown. And indeed we say this: don’t fall asleep on the Yen. It could very well be that this is a minor S&P 500 correction within a much larger bull trend. Yet we can’t rule out a larger pullback, and we believe the JPY could surge if this is indeed the start of a larger market correction.


 

Trading Video: S&P 500 Selloff Intensifies, Dollar and Yen Unconvinced

  • S&P 500 ends its longest bull run (above 200-day SMA) in 16 years and is suffering the loss of confidence
  • The capitulation of this complacency stalwart, however, didn't leverage risk aversion market wide
  • If speculative appetite isn't all consuming, currencies like the Dollar and Pound will account for rates

For years, US equity indexes were the diehard holdouts to risk aversion swoons. A tumble from the S&P 500 this morning ended the most persistent bull trend for the benchmark since 1998 and warned investors that the shift in sentiment could become disorderly if provoked. Yet, the occasion of this bastion of bullishness collapsing didn't seem to signal a definitive turning point for the rest of the financial system. Volatility measures for other asset classes, selling on Yen crosses and appetite for the Dollar as a liquidity haven represent the next tiers of risk aversion. As the market remains transfixed on the ebb and flow of sentiment; scheduled event risk such as 3Q US earnings, UK inflation and Eurozone investor sentiment data will influence price action. We discuss these important and conflicting themes in today's Trading Video.


 

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newdigital, 2014.10.14 19:20

EUR/USD Bear Flag in Focus Amid Growing Risk for Euro-Zone Recession (based on dailyfx article)

  • EUR/USD Bear Flag Remains in Play Even as Germany Cuts 2014,201 GDP Forecast.
  • GBP/USD Bearish RSI Momentum Continues to Take Shape as U.K. CPI Disappoints.


  • Looks as though a bearish flag pattern is taking shape in EUR/USD as it carves a string of higher-lows even as Germany cuts its 2014 growth forecast to 1.2% from an initial forecast of 1.8%.
  • Will look for a continuation of the long-term bearish trend once the Relative Strength Index (RSI) breaks the near-term upward momentum.

 

Gold and Platinum Ratios as a Precious Metals Trading Indicator

This video takes a look at the price and production ratios of gold to platinum, measuring the price of each metal relative to each other as well as the production supply of each metal on a relative basis. This information can be used to construct a variety of trading strategies, as well as shed light on the sentiment of the market and underlying trends that may be worth considering.



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