Analysis of economic indicators and their impact on currency and commodity prices using trading systems.

Sergey Golubev 2021.06.05 11:00 #161

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Sergey Golubev, 2021.06.05 10:57

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/JPY, GOLD (XAU/USD) and Nikkei 225: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2021-06-04 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

past data is 278K
forecast data is -396K
actual data is 559K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 559,000 in May, and the unemployment rate declined by 0.3 percentage point to 5.8 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, in public and private education, and in health care and social assistance.

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USD/JPY: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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Nikkei 225: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5

Same system for MT4:

Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread
Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Forecast and levels for Forecast and levels for Press review

Sergey Golubev 2021.07.13 16:08 #162

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.07.13 15:54

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/JPY, GOLD (XAU/USD) and Hang Seng Index (HK50): United States Consumer Price Index (CPI)

2021-07-13 13:30 GMT | [USD - CPI]

past data is 0.6%
forecast data is 0.1%
actual data is 0.9% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

==========

From official report :

"The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.9 percent in June on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.6 percent in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This was the largest 1-month change since June 2008 when the index rose 1.0 percent. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 5.4 percent before seasonal adjustment; this was the largest 12-month increase since a 5.4-percent increase for the period ending August 2008."

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USD/JPY: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news event

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GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news event

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Hang Seng Index (HK50): range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news event

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The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicator:

Fibo Bar MT5 - indicator for MetaTrader 5 (read this thread for fixed version)

Forecast and levels for Forecast and levels for Press review

Sergey Golubev 2021.08.06 15:19 #163

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.08.06 14:44

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/JPY, GOLD (XAU/USD) and USD/CAD: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2021-08-06 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

past data is 938K
forecast data is 870K
actual data is 943K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 943,000 in July, and the unemployment rate declined by 0.5 percentage point to 5.4 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, in local government education, and in professional and business services.

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USD/JPY: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

USD/CAD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5

Same system for MT4:

Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread
Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Forecast and levels for Forecast and levels for Press review

Sergey Golubev 2021.09.03 15:03 #164

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.09.03 14:59

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/CAD, USD/JPY and GOLD (XAU/USD): United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2021-09-03 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

past data is 1053K
forecast data is 23K
actual data is 235K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

"Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 235,000 in August, and the unemployment rate declined by 0.2 percentage point to 5.2 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. So far this year, monthly job growth has averaged 586,000. In August, notable job gains occurred in professional and business services, transportation and warehousing, private education, manufacturing, and other services. Employment in retail trade declined over the month".

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USD/CAD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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USD/JPY: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
ColorSchaffTriXTrendCycle - indicator for MetaTrader 5

Same system for MT4:

Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread
Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Forecast and levels for Forecast and levels for Press review

Sergey Golubev 2021.10.13 16:04 #165

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.10.13 15:41

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/JPY, Brent Crude Oil and Dow Jones Industrial Average: United States Core Consumer Price Index (CPI)

2021-10-13 12:30 GMT | [USD - Core CPI]

past data is 0.1%
forecast data is 0.2%
actual data is 0.2% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Core CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy.

==========

From official report :

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent in September on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.3 percent in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 5.4 percent before seasonal adjustment.
The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent in September, after increasing 0.1 percent in August. Along with the index for shelter, the indexes for new vehicles, household furnishings and operations, and motor vehicle insurance also rose in September. The indexes for airline fares, apparel, and used cars and trucks all declined over the month.

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USD/JPY: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) news events

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Brent Crude Oi : range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) news events

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Dow Jones Industrial Averag : range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) news events

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The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:

MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
ColorSchaffTriXTrendCycle - indicator for MetaTrader 5

Forecast and levels for Forecast and levels for Press review

Sergey Golubev 2021.11.05 15:51 #166

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.11.05 15:50

Intra-Day Fundamentals - McDonalds, GOLD (XAU/USD) and USD/JPY: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2021-11-05 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

past data is 312K
forecast data is 455K
actual data is 531K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 531,000 in October, and the unemployment rate edged down by 0.2 percentage point to 4.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job growth was widespread, with notable job gains in leisure and hospitality, in professional and business services, in manufacturing, and in transportation and warehousing. Employment in public education declined over the month.

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McDonald's : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

USD/JPY: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5

Same system for MT4:

Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread
Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

McDonald's Forecast and levels for Press review

Sergey Golubev 2022.01.12 17:39 #167

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.01.12 17:27

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, GOLD (XAU/USD) and USD/JPY: United States Consumer Price Index (CPI)

2022-01-12 13:30 GMT | [USD - CPI]

past data is 0.8%
forecast data is 0.7%
actual data is 0.5% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

==========

From official report :

"The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.5 percent in December on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.8 percent in November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 7.0 percent before seasonal adjustment".

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EUR/USD: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news event

==========

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news event

==========

USD/JPY: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (Brainwashing original system; free to download) together with following indicator:

MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
custom color schemes for MT5 - post #525

Same system for MT4:

Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread
Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Forecast and levels for Forecast and levels for Press review

Sergey Golubev 2022.02.10 18:02 #168

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.02.10 17:44

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/JPY, GOLD (XAU/USD) and Nikkei 225: United States Consumer Price Index (CPI)

2022-02-10 13:30 GMT | [USD - CPI]

past data is 0.5%
forecast data is 0.4%
actual data is 0.6% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

==========

From official report :

"The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.6 percent in January on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 7.5 percent before seasonal adjustment".

==========

USD/JPY : range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news event

==========

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news event

==========

Nikkei 225 : range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (Brainwashing original system; free to download) together with following indicator:

MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
custom color schemes for MT5 - post #525

Same system for MT4:

Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread
Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Forecast and levels for Forecast and levels for Press review

Sergey Golubev 2022.02.18 08:51 #169

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.02.18 08:46

USD/JPY Intra-Day Fundamentals: Japan Consumer Price Index (CPI) and range price movement

2022-02-17 23:30 GMT | [JPY - CPI]

past data is 0.8%
forecast data is 0.6%
actual data is 0.5% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for JPY in our case)

[JPY - CPI] = The index estimates price changes from the perspective of the consumer, in the given month compared to the same month of the previous year.

==========

From rttnews article :

"Consumer prices in Japan were up 0.5 percent on year in January, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications said on Friday. That was shy of expectations for an increase of 0.6 percent and down from 0.8 percent in December. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food prices, was up 0.2 percent on year - missing forecasts for an increase of 0.3 percent and down from 0.5 percent a month earlier."

==========

USD/JPY: range price movement by Japan Consumer Price Index (CPI) news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
ColorSchaffTriXTrendCycle - indicator for MetaTrader 5

Same system for MT4:

Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread
Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

Press review Forecast and levels for Forecast and levels for

Sergey Golubev 2022.04.01 15:02 #170

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.04.01 14:53

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/JPY, GOLD (XAU/USD) and Dow Jones Industrial Average: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2022-04-01 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

past data is 750K
forecast data is 492K
actual data is 431K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

"Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 431,000 in March, and the unemployment rate declined to 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains continued in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, retail trade, and manufacturing".

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USD/JPY : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events